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Illawarra Hawks vs Sydney Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 82-108
19-20 17-28 16-34 30-26
Position#10
Record2-6
FormWLLLW
Points / game98.6
Allowed / game105.6
Illawarra Hawks
Australia
vs
Sydney 🏆
Australia
Position#1
Record4-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game101.0
Allowed / game89.2
AustraliaNBLRound 6· WIN Entertainment Centre
Other2026-27
Meetings · Illawarra Hawks v Sydney
04 Dec 2026
ILLA v SYDN
upcoming
22 Oct 2026
ILLA82
SYDN108
13 Feb 2026
ILLA94
SYDN120
16 Nov 2025
ILLA71
SYDN98
07 Feb 2025
ILLA95
SYDN75
16 Nov 2024
ILLA86
SYDN79
03 Nov 2023
ILLA83
SYDN103
30 Sep 2023
ILLA81
SYDN96
16 Dec 2022
ILLA79
SYDN86
01 Oct 2022
ILLA97
SYDN106
29 Apr 2022
ILLA79
SYDN89
14 Apr 2022
ILLA102
SYDN107
13 Jan 2022
ILLA97
SYDN89
03 Jun 2021
ILLA73
SYDN79
24 Apr 2021
ILLA75
SYDN79
24 Jan 2020
ILLA79
SYDN102
31 Dec 2019
ILLA85
SYDN80
05 Jan 2019
ILLA78
SYDN71
16 Dec 2018
ILLA68
SYDN83
16 Nov 2017
ILLA97
SYDN93
29 Oct 2017
ILLA94
SYDN99
05 Dec 2016
ILLA93
SYDN99
13 Oct 2016
ILLA84
SYDN88
18 Dec 2015
ILLA102
SYDN83
25 Nov 2015
ILLA96
SYDN90
13 Dec 2014
ILLA82
SYDN77
07 Nov 2014
ILLA53
SYDN82
21 Mar 2014
ILLA100
SYDN87
07 Dec 2013
ILLA73
SYDN69
15 Mar 2013
ILLA81
SYDN74
05 Oct 2012
ILLA79
SYDN76
09 Mar 2012
ILLA81
SYDN92
31 Dec 2011
ILLA83
SYDN86
27 Mar 2011
ILLA86
SYDN70
26 Nov 2010
ILLA89
SYDN72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illawarra Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sydney winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#4
W
100-91
100
91
+9
A15/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
103-70
103
70
+33
A18/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
81-95
81
95
-14
A20/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
95-103
95
103
-8
A25/09
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
100-121
100
121
-21
A27/09
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
114-92
114
92
+22
H02/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#6
L
96-113
96
113
-17
A04/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
112-122
112
122
-10
H09/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
100-110
100
110
-10
H11/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#7
W
91-89
91
89
+2
A18/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-24
25-21
23-18
23-28
26-18
28-16
27-17
22-19
24-28
23-26
14-22
20-19
18-25
24-25
24-23
29-30
27-31
18-34
26-33
29-23
35-21
30-14
27-32
22-25
23-23
18-36
32-26
23-28
22-32
25-35
26-24
39-31
27-28
23-29
27-29
23-24
21-27
35-16
22-22
13-24
199.8Avg total
99.2Scored
100.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)98.6105.6204.2-7.025%
Season at home (3)108.7108.0216.7+0.733%
Season away (5)92.6104.2196.8-11.620%
Last 10 (10)99.2100.6199.8-1.440%
Last 5 (5)102.6105.2207.8-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)96.3104.7201.0-8.424%
vs Similar (5)97.491.6189.0+5.860%
vs Weaker (4)96.282.8179.0+13.575%
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#3
L
89-91
89
91
-2
A27/03
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
106-93
106
93
+13
H29/03
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
91-92
91
92
-1
A01/04
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
113-101 OT
113
101
+12
H05/04
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
111-90
111
90
+21
H20/09
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
121-100
121
100
+21
H27/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
93-78
93
78
+15
H30/09
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H11/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
101-102
101
102
-1
H14/10
NBL
Perth
#3
W
102-81
102
81
+21
H17/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-25
22-28
25-15
12-23
24-31
28-22
21-17
33-23
24-22
29-24
21-26
17-20
29-31
27-24
13-21
26-19
32-26
27-27
31-20
21-17
31-27
34-18
33-26
23-29
23-34
20-10
29-14
21-20
18-18
26-23
12-20
22-23
29-31
32-20
12-24
28-27
31-21
21-22
24-20
26-18
191.7Avg total
100.5Scored
91.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)101.089.2190.2+11.867%
Season at home (6)101.089.2190.2+11.867%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)100.591.2191.7+9.360%
Last 5 (5)99.089.0188.0+10.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)103.888.7192.5+15.080%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +1.0+1.0
Illawarra HawksSydney
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#4
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A15/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
54-34
54
34
+20
A18/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A20/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A25/09
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
45-65
45
65
-20
A27/09
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
65-35
65
35
+30
H02/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#6
L
41-59
41
59
-18
A04/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
47-67
47
67
-20
H09/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H11/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#7
W
56-43
56
43
+13
A18/10
NBL
101.0Avg total
50.1Scored
50.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.049.897.8-1.833%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.149.397.4-1.229%-
Last 30 away (16)47.950.398.2-2.438%-
Last 10 (10)50.150.9101.0-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)51.852.2104.0-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)47.651.799.3-4.029%-
vs Similar (5)51.446.297.6+5.260%-
vs Weaker (4)45.844.890.5+1.025%-
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#3
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A27/03
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H29/03
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A01/04
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
56-55
56
55
+1
H05/04
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H20/09
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
65-45
65
45
+20
H27/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H30/09
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H11/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
61-51
61
51
+10
H14/10
NBL
Perth
#3
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H17/10
NBL
102.1Avg total
53.7Scored
48.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.545.498.8+8.180%-
Last 30 at home (21)54.745.5100.2+9.286%-
Last 30 away (9)50.645.095.6+5.667%-
Last 10 (10)53.748.4102.1+5.370%-
Last 5 (5)53.044.897.8+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)53.545.498.8+8.180%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 99.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.826.7
57.1%
56.0%53.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.910.8
36.1%
34.4%32.4
🏀 Free throws18.313.4
73.2%
73.7%13.4
They take 76.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 99.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.425.7
57.9%
56.0%51.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.010.9
36.3%
34.4%32.7
🏀 Free throws21.215.1
71.2%
73.7%15.1
They take 74.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Illawarra Hawks
WLLLWLLLWW
Sydney
WLLWWWWLWL
#10
League position
#1
-1.5
Net rating
+9.2
103.6
Offensive rating
106.5
105.1
Defensive rating
97.2
55.9%
Effective FG%
56.5%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
11.7%
Turnover %
10.8%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.1%
3-point %
36.3%
56.5%
Assist %
61.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.6 · 106.5Defence105.1 · 97.2Shooting55.9% · 56.5%3-point %36.1% · 36.3%Ball care11.7% · 10.8%Free throws0.24 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Illawarra Hawks   ■ Sydney
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Illawarra Hawks wins
5
Sydney wins
DateGameScore
27/09/26Sydney v Illawarra Hawks121-100
13/02/26Illawarra Hawks v Sydney94-120
29/01/26Sydney v Illawarra Hawks122-104
25/12/25Sydney v Illawarra Hawks108-84
16/11/25Illawarra Hawks v Sydney71-98
07/02/25Illawarra Hawks v Sydney95-75
25/12/24Sydney v Illawarra Hawks108-111
16/11/24Illawarra Hawks v Sydney86-79
29/09/24Sydney v Illawarra Hawks89-96
11/02/24Sydney v Illawarra Hawks95-106
Illawarra Hawkslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/26AMelbourne United91-89
11/10/26HCairns Taipans100-110
09/10/26HTasmania JackJumpers112-122
04/10/26ASouth East Melbourne96-113
02/10/26HAdelaide114-92
27/09/26ASydney100-121
25/09/26ABrisbane Bullets95-103
20/09/26ANew Zealand Breakers81-95
18/02/26ATasmania JackJumpers103-70
15/02/26AMelbourne United100-91
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/26HPerth102-81
14/10/26HNew Zealand Breakers101-102
11/10/26HAdelaide78-84
30/09/26HBrisbane Bullets93-78
27/09/26HIllawarra Hawks121-100
20/09/26HCairns Taipans111-90
05/04/26HAdelaide113-101 OT
01/04/26AAdelaide91-92
29/03/26HAdelaide106-93
27/03/26AAdelaide89-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW25%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %25%33%20%
Points / game98.6108.792.6
Allowed / game105.6108.0104.2
Point differential-7.0+0.7-11.6
Avg total204.2216.7196.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sydney
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWWLLW67%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games66-
Win %67%67%-
Points / game101.0101.0-
Allowed / game89.289.2-
Point differential+11.8+11.8-
Avg total190.2190.2-
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tasmania JackJumpers86275%98.893.5+5.2
2 Sydney64267%101.089.2+11.8
3 Perth64267%91.294.0-2.8
4 New Zealand Breakers84450%92.189.0+3.1
5 Adelaide84450%88.890.8-2.0
6 Cairns Taipans84450%90.597.5-7.0
7 Melbourne United73443%92.490.0+2.4
8 Brisbane Bullets73443%94.198.6-4.4
9 South East Melbourne83538%96.593.9+2.6
10 Illawarra Hawks82625%98.6105.6-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Illawarra Hawks1917163082
Sydney20283426108
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