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Sydney vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Sep 2026
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 121-100
31-27 34-18 33-26 23-29
Position#1
Record1-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game111.0
Allowed / game90.0
Sydney 🏆
Australia
vs
Illawarra Hawks
Australia
Position#10
Record0-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game99.0
AustraliaNBLRound 2· Qudos Bank Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Sydney v Illawarra Hawks
25 Dec 2026
SYDN v ILLA
upcoming
27 Sep 2026
SYDN121
ILLA100
29 Jan 2026
SYDN122
ILLA104
25 Dec 2025
SYDN108
ILLA84
25 Dec 2024
SYDN108
ILLA111
29 Sep 2024
SYDN89
ILLA96
11 Feb 2024
SYDN95
ILLA106
25 Dec 2023
SYDN90
ILLA94
15 Jan 2023
SYDN84
ILLA79
20 Nov 2022
SYDN83
ILLA82
01 May 2022
SYDN99
ILLA87
24 Apr 2022
SYDN84
ILLA87
11 Dec 2021
SYDN84
ILLA92
11 Mar 2021
SYDN69
ILLA89
14 Feb 2021
SYDN82
ILLA85
14 Feb 2020
SYDN98
ILLA82
17 Nov 2019
SYDN92
ILLA87
13 Jan 2019
SYDN84
ILLA96
02 Nov 2018
SYDN86
ILLA79
05 Nov 2017
SYDN83
ILLA93
15 Oct 2017
SYDN103
ILLA87
23 Dec 2016
SYDN75
ILLA87
24 Oct 2016
SYDN90
ILLA73
09 Jan 2016
SYDN90
ILLA114
17 Oct 2015
SYDN86
ILLA100
15 Feb 2015
SYDN73
ILLA75
11 Oct 2014
SYDN86
ILLA83
15 Feb 2014
SYDN84
ILLA102
14 Dec 2013
SYDN63
ILLA69
15 Dec 2012
SYDN70
ILLA63
09 Nov 2012
SYDN65
ILLA51
24 Mar 2012
SYDN68
ILLA77
23 Oct 2011
SYDN95
ILLA89
21 Jan 2011
SYDN81
ILLA71
12 Dec 2010
SYDN80
ILLA95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sydney winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illawarra Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth
#5
W
102-84
102
84
+18
H15/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
117-77
117
77
+40
A20/02
NBL
Perth
#5
W
105-104
105
104
+1
H11/03
NBL
Perth
#5
W
89-75
89
75
+14
A14/03
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
112-68
112
68
+44
H21/03
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
89-91
89
91
-2
A27/03
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
106-93
106
93
+13
H29/03
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
91-92
91
92
-1
A01/04
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
113-101 OT
113
101
+12
H05/04
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
111-90
111
90
+21
H20/09
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-29
27-16
24-19
23-20
26-33
32-17
32-10
27-17
22-24
26-20
25-31
32-29
22-23
21-23
17-13
29-16
31-23
28-16
31-17
22-12
30-25
22-28
25-15
12-23
24-31
28-22
21-17
33-23
24-22
29-24
21-26
17-20
29-31
27-24
13-21
26-19
32-26
27-27
31-20
21-17
191.0Avg total
103.5Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)111.090.0201.0+21.0100%
Season at home (1)111.090.0201.0+21.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)103.587.5191.0+16.080%
Last 5 (5)102.093.4195.4+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)102.988.4191.3+14.580%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
113-75
113
75
+38
A26/01
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
104-122
104
122
-18
A29/01
NBL
Perth
#5
L
99-106
99
106
-7
H31/01
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
100-99
100
99
+1
H05/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
95-106
95
106
-11
A07/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
94-120
94
120
-26
H13/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
100-91
100
91
+9
A15/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
103-70
103
70
+33
A18/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
81-95
81
95
-14
A20/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
95-103
95
103
-8
A25/09
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-11
33-20
41-21
17-23
22-28
23-35
29-28
30-31
30-25
24-23
20-32
25-26
27-21
18-30
24-27
31-21
25-33
25-28
30-23
15-22
19-34
27-24
23-26
25-36
29-24
25-21
23-18
23-28
26-18
28-16
27-17
22-19
24-28
23-26
14-22
20-19
18-25
24-25
24-23
29-30
197.1Avg total
98.4Scored
98.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)88.099.0187.0-11.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)88.099.0187.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)98.498.7197.1-0.340%
Last 5 (5)94.695.8190.4-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)92.7100.9193.6-8.226%
vs Similar (6)91.293.3184.5-2.250%
vs Weaker (5)98.484.2182.6+14.280%
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: -1.8-1.8
SydneyIllawarra Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth
#5
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H15/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
58-50
58
50
+8
A20/02
NBL
Perth
#5
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H11/03
NBL
Perth
#5
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A14/03
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
59-39
59
39
+20
H21/03
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A27/03
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H29/03
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A01/04
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
56-55
56
55
+1
H05/04
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H20/09
NBL
101.9Avg total
53.5Scored
48.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.345.797.9+6.673%-
Last 30 at home (16)55.245.8101.0+9.588%-
Last 30 away (14)48.945.694.4+3.357%-
Last 10 (10)53.548.4101.9+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)54.452.0106.4+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)52.345.797.9+6.673%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
55-31
55
31
+24
A26/01
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
45-63
45
63
-18
A29/01
NBL
Perth
#5
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H31/01
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H05/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A07/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
46-58
46
58
-12
H13/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A15/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
54-34
54
34
+20
A18/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A20/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A25/09
NBL
98.7Avg total
49.2Scored
49.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.448.094.4-1.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.348.593.8-3.229%-
Last 30 away (16)47.447.695.0-0.144%-
Last 10 (10)49.249.598.7-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)48.648.296.8+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)45.648.994.6-3.332%-
vs Similar (6)48.547.295.7+1.350%-
vs Weaker (5)47.045.492.4+1.640%-
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 102.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.624.9
58.5%
56.0%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.612.6
41.2%
34.4%37.8
🏀 Free throws20.715.0
72.5%
73.7%15.0
They take 73.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 98.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.925.7
54.8%
56.0%51.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.1
34.6%
34.4%30.3
🏀 Free throws21.316.3
76.5%
73.7%16.3
They take 76.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sydney
WWLWLWWWWW
Illawarra Hawks
LLWWLLWLLW
#1
League position
#10
+17.5
Net rating
-0.7
111.2
Offensive rating
101.7
93.8
Defensive rating
102.5
59.8%
Effective FG%
53.7%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
9.8%
Turnover %
12.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.28
41.2%
3-point %
34.6%
61.9%
Assist %
59.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 101.7Defence93.8 · 102.5Shooting59.8% · 53.7%3-point %41.2% · 34.6%Ball care9.8% · 12.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Sydney   ■ Illawarra Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Sydney wins
6
Illawarra Hawks wins
DateGameScore
13/02/26Illawarra Hawks v Sydney94-120
29/01/26Sydney v Illawarra Hawks122-104
25/12/25Sydney v Illawarra Hawks108-84
16/11/25Illawarra Hawks v Sydney71-98
07/02/25Illawarra Hawks v Sydney95-75
25/12/24Sydney v Illawarra Hawks108-111
16/11/24Illawarra Hawks v Sydney86-79
29/09/24Sydney v Illawarra Hawks89-96
11/02/24Sydney v Illawarra Hawks95-106
25/12/23Sydney v Illawarra Hawks90-94
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/09/26HCairns Taipans111-90
05/04/26HAdelaide113-101 OT
01/04/26AAdelaide91-92
29/03/26HAdelaide106-93
27/03/26AAdelaide89-91
21/03/26HAdelaide112-68
14/03/26APerth89-75
11/03/26HPerth105-104
20/02/26ABrisbane Bullets117-77
15/02/26HPerth102-84
Illawarra Hawkslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/09/26ABrisbane Bullets95-103
20/09/26ANew Zealand Breakers81-95
18/02/26ATasmania JackJumpers103-70
15/02/26AMelbourne United100-91
13/02/26HSydney94-120
07/02/26ANew Zealand Breakers95-106
05/02/26HAdelaide100-99
31/01/26HPerth99-106
29/01/26ASydney104-122
26/01/26ABrisbane Bullets113-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sydney
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game111.0111.0-
Allowed / game90.090.0-
Point differential+21.0+21.0-
Avg total201.0201.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
Home--
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %0%-0%
Points / game88.0-88.0
Allowed / game99.0-99.0
Point differential-11.0--11.0
Avg total187.0-187.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sydney110100%111.090.0+21.0
2 Brisbane Bullets220100%95.590.0+5.5
3 Adelaide32167%92.387.3+5.0
4 Perth32167%91.396.7-5.3
5 Melbourne United21150%90.579.0+11.5
6 Tasmania JackJumpers21150%91.592.0-0.5
7 New Zealand Breakers31233%91.088.7+2.3
8 South East Melbourne31233%84.087.0-3.0
9 Cairns Taipans31233%84.093.7-9.7
10 Illawarra Hawks2020%88.099.0-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sydney31343323121
Illawarra Hawks27182629100
← all games of the day
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