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Sydney vs Cairns Taipans Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 04:30
Final 74-77
18-22 27-18 13-21 16-16
Position#1
Record-
FormWLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Sydney
Australia
vs
Cairns Taipans 🏆
Australia
Position#9
Record1-1
FormLWLLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game98.0
AustraliaNBLRound 2· Qudos Bank Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Sydney v Cairns Taipans
17 Dec 2026
SYDN v CAIR
upcoming
20 Sep 2026
SYDN111
CAIR90
21 Dec 2025
SYDN119
CAIR77
28 Sep 2025
SYDN74
CAIR77
12 Jan 2025
SYDN91
CAIR87
13 Oct 2024
SYDN99
CAIR73
29 Dec 2023
SYDN101
CAIR82
19 Feb 2023
SYDN79
CAIR64
15 Feb 2023
SYDN95
CAIR87
29 Oct 2022
SYDN106
CAIR103
14 Oct 2022
SYDN78
CAIR83
06 Mar 2022
SYDN98
CAIR88
07 Nov 2016
SYDN79
CAIR77
15 Oct 2016
SYDN92
CAIR78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sydney winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cairns Taipans winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSydney
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#5
W
110-101
110
101
+9
106avg 82
H02/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
91-86
91
86
+5
88avg 82
A04/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
88-90
88
90
-2
78avg 82
H09/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
91-87
91
87
+4
80avg 82
H12/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
88-77
88
77
+11
73avg 82
H19/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
103-92
103
92
+11
103avg 82
A22/01
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
96-105
96
105
-9
82avg 82
H24/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
97-104
97
104
-7
97avg 82
H02/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
75-95
75
95
-20
62avg 82
A07/02
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
88-95
88
95
-7
82avg 82
H13/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-30
19-30
25-25
38-16
28-29
17-19
24-23
22-15
16-32
25-25
23-13
24-20
17-19
22-19
25-24
27-25
16-15
22-19
18-21
32-22
26-22
36-23
17-23
24-24
23-34
32-18
18-26
23-27
21-32
27-24
26-29
23-19
24-29
15-21
22-15
14-30
22-23
19-28
30-18
17-26
185.9Avg total
92.7Scored
93.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)92.793.2185.9-0.550%
Last 5 (5)91.898.2190.0-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)87.897.0184.8-9.20%
vs Similar (9)91.790.9182.6+0.844%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)90.785.1175.8+5.671%
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns TaipansAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTaipans
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#5
L
102-113
102
113
-11
89avg 79
H14/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
111-80
111
80
+31
107avg 79
A17/01
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
75-99
75
99
-24
62avg 79
H19/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
100-94
100
94
+6
91avg 79
H23/01
NBL
Perth
#3
W
125-116 OT
125
116
+9
116avg 79
A25/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
92-99
92
99
-7
77avg 79
A01/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
100-88
100
88
+12
99avg 79
H06/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
83-90
83
90
-7
75avg 79
A08/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
77-114
77
114
-37
no box
A20/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
83-82
83
82
+1
74avg 79
H26/09
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-33
31-25
19-24
24-31
31-24
31-21
20-20
29-15
12-38
25-22
21-22
17-17
31-17
23-20
17-27
29-30
22-18
34-29
17-35
27-18
28-26
21-28
15-25
28-20
32-26
16-22
25-23
27-17
20-26
21-23
19-16
23-25
15-23
20-36
26-29
16-26
21-17
24-24
16-15
22-26
192.3Avg total
94.8Scored
97.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)80.098.0178.0-18.050%
Season at home (1)83.082.0165.0+1.0100%
Season away (1)77.0114.0191.0-37.00%
Last 10 (10)94.897.5192.3-2.750%
Last 5 (5)87.094.6181.6-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)87.898.9186.7-11.126%
vs Similar (11)88.989.5178.4-0.536%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +1.7+1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +1.7+1.7
SydneyCairns Taipans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#5
L
47-60
47
60
-13
H02/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A04/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
41-57
41
57
-16
H09/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H12/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H19/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
62-45
62
45
+17
A22/01
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H24/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
48-56
48
56
-8
H02/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A07/02
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H13/02
NBL
94.6Avg total
45.5Scored
49.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.746.991.6-2.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.148.593.5-3.433%-
Last 30 away (15)44.345.489.7-1.140%-
Last 10 (10)45.549.194.6-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)49.050.899.8-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)44.850.094.8-5.20%-
vs Similar (9)45.449.695.0-4.133%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)44.344.889.1-0.547%-
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns TaipansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#5
W
59-58
59
58
+1
H14/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
62-45
62
45
+17
A17/01
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
37-60
37
60
-23
H19/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H23/01
NBL
Perth
#3
W
56-47
56
47
+9
A25/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A01/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H06/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A08/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
35-59
35
59
-24
A20/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H26/09
NBL
98.4Avg total
48.6Scored
49.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.549.295.7-2.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.646.992.5-1.353%-
Last 30 away (15)47.351.598.9-4.233%-
Last 10 (10)48.649.898.4-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)43.650.293.8-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)45.550.395.8-4.742%-
vs Similar (11)48.147.595.5+0.645%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 92.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.722.2
52.0%
54.6%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.7
34.3%
33.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws27.221.6
79.4%
74.8%21.6
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cairns Taipanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cairns Taipans: 97.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.023.5
54.7%
54.6%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.210.6
34.0%
33.3%31.8
🏀 Free throws24.018.3
76.2%
74.8%18.3
They take 74.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sydney
LLLLWWWLWW
Cairns Taipans
WLLWLWWLWL
#1
League position
#9
-0.4
Net rating
+0.5
114.5
Offensive rating
117.2
114.9
Defensive rating
116.7
51.8%
Effective FG%
53.1%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
13.8%
Turnover %
12.4%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.3%
3-point %
34.0%
56.3%
Assist %
55.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.5 · 117.2Defence114.9 · 116.7Shooting51.8% · 53.1%3-point %34.3% · 34.0%Ball care13.8% · 12.4%Off. rebounds28.0% · 28.9%Free throws0.40 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Sydney   ■ Cairns Taipans
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Sydney wins
3
Cairns Taipans wins
DateGameScore
12/01/25Sydney v Cairns Taipans91-87
29/11/24Cairns Taipans v Sydney75-81
13/10/24Sydney v Cairns Taipans99-73
29/12/23Sydney v Cairns Taipans101-82
07/12/23Cairns Taipans v Sydney83-86
28/10/23Cairns Taipans v Sydney87-80
19/02/23Sydney v Cairns Taipans79-64
17/02/23Cairns Taipans v Sydney93-82
15/02/23Sydney v Cairns Taipans95-87
28/11/22Cairns Taipans v Sydney94-88 OT
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/25HAdelaide88-95
07/02/25AIllawarra Hawks75-95
02/02/25HPerth97-104
24/01/25HAdelaide96-105
22/01/25ASouth East Melbourne103-92
19/01/25HTasmania JackJumpers88-77
12/01/25HCairns Taipans91-87
09/01/25HMelbourne United88-90
04/01/25ABrisbane Bullets91-86
02/01/25HSouth East Melbourne110-101
Cairns Taipanslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/25HBrisbane Bullets83-82
20/09/25ASouth East Melbourne77-114
08/02/25ATasmania JackJumpers83-90
06/02/25HBrisbane Bullets100-88
01/02/25ANew Zealand Breakers92-99
25/01/25APerth125-116 OT
23/01/25HIllawarra Hawks100-94
19/01/25HAdelaide75-99
17/01/25ABrisbane Bullets111-80
14/01/25HSouth East Melbourne102-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sydney
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Cairns Taipans
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game80.083.077.0
Allowed / game98.082.0114.0
Point differential-18.0+1.0-37.0
Avg total178.0165.0191.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United330100%101.783.0+18.7
2 Tasmania JackJumpers32167%83.382.0+1.3
3 South East Melbourne21150%98.590.0+8.5
4 Brisbane Bullets21150%93.089.0+4.0
5 Perth21150%80.576.5+4.0
6 Cairns Taipans21150%80.098.0-18.0
7 Illawarra Hawks1010%86.091.0-5.0
8 New Zealand Breakers3030%85.0102.3-17.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sydney1827131674
Cairns Taipans2218211677
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