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Caserta vs Sassari Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 20 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:30
Scheduled
Position#13
Record2-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Position#11
Record3-3
FormLWWLL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game76.0
ItalySerie A2Round 22· PalaMaggiò
Other2026-27
Meetings · Caserta v Sassari
20 Jan 2027
KAS v SAS
upcoming
07 May 2017
KAS77
SAS70
13 Dec 2015
KAS70
SAS86
26 Apr 2015
KAS94
SAS87
29 Dec 2013
KAS57
SAS82
06 Jan 2013
KAS88
SAS81
06 May 2012
KAS69
SAS95
30 Jan 2011
KAS90
SAS94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caserta win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Sassari win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CasertaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torino
#12
W
83-76
83
76
+7
H09/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
67-83
67
83
-16
A15/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
86-82
86
82
+4
H23/04
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A30/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
77-70
77
70
+7
H07/05
Lega A
Sebastiani Rieti
#8
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A27/09
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
81-83
81
83
-2
H04/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A11/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#20
W
96-89
96
89
+7
H18/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#14
W
77-70
77
70
+7
H25/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
21-24
9-25
29-13
14-31
19-20
16-15
18-17
28-26
15-20
18-17
25-19
19-8
15-26
17-23
24-22
18-19
19-23
21-11
19-17
18-27
19-17
21-19
15-18
24-26
14-16
21-26
22-15
24-23
15-23
21-16
17-21
21-27
16-25
35-20
24-17
26-17
15-18
16-22
20-13
158.8Avg total
79.2Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)80.881.2162.0-0.440%
Season at home (3)84.780.7165.3+4.067%
Season away (2)75.082.0157.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)79.279.6158.8-0.450%
Last 5 (5)80.881.2162.0-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)77.081.4158.4-4.423%
vs Similar ◀ (15)77.780.3158.0-2.540%
vs Weaker (2)86.579.5166.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Sassari) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#8
L
90-91
90
91
-1
A12/04
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
79-98
79
98
-19
H19/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
73-80
73
80
-7
H03/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
71-92
71
92
-21
A10/05
Lega A
Urania Milano
#19
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A27/09
Serie A2
Montecatini
#18
L
72-81
72
81
-9
H04/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#14
W
87-74
87
74
+13
A10/10
Serie A2
Cento
#17
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H17/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
L
67-84
67
84
-17
H21/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#15
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A25/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
22-27
25-12
23-28
18-33
16-19
26-27
19-19
13-14
24-16
15-30
21-20
16-27
15-30
24-15
16-20
18-19
20-12
19-15
13-22
16-28
15-19
20-15
21-19
25-27
25-21
19-15
18-11
24-20
23-12
13-22
20-16
20-22
16-28
14-16
17-18
15-15
10-21
16-21
20-22
156.7Avg total
75.0Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)72.876.0148.8-3.250%
Season at home (3)73.078.3151.3-5.333%
Season away (3)72.773.7146.3-1.067%
Last 10 (10)75.081.7156.7-6.730%
Last 5 (5)73.477.6151.0-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)82.890.3173.1-7.524%
vs Similar ◀ (11)82.984.3167.2-1.436%
vs Weaker (2)76.075.5151.5+0.550%
This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -0.7-0.7
CasertaSassari
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torino
#12
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H09/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A15/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H23/04
Lega A
Avellino
#3
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A30/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H07/05
Lega A
Sebastiani Rieti
#8
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A27/09
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H04/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A11/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#20
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H18/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#14
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H25/10
Serie A2
81.4Avg total
38.4Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.740.978.6-3.223%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.040.279.2-1.231%-
Last 30 away (14)36.241.677.9-5.414%-
Last 10 (10)38.443.081.4-4.620%-
Last 5 (5)38.443.882.2-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)37.340.577.8-3.223%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)37.940.978.7-3.020%-
vs Weaker (2)39.043.582.5-4.550%-
This opponent (Sassari) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#8
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A12/04
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H19/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H03/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
31-57
31
57
-26
A10/05
Lega A
Urania Milano
#19
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A27/09
Serie A2
Montecatini
#18
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H04/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#14
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A10/10
Serie A2
Cento
#17
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H17/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H21/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#15
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A25/10
Serie A2
80.5Avg total
37.1Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.743.182.8-3.440%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.743.184.8-1.443%-
Last 30 away (16)37.943.181.0-5.238%-
Last 10 (10)37.143.480.5-6.340%-
Last 5 (5)37.842.680.4-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)38.944.683.5-5.729%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.041.582.5-0.555%-
vs Weaker (2)39.039.578.5-0.550%-
This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Casertatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caserta: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.217.6
54.7%
51.7%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.3
33.9%
34.8%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.513.9
71.3%
70.9%13.9
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 69.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.316.7
47.3%
51.7%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.5
34.6%
34.8%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.114.0
69.7%
70.9%14.0
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Caserta
WWLLLWLWLW
Sassari
LLWWLWLLLL
#13
League position
#11
-1.8
Net rating
-9.2
103.9
Offensive rating
92.1
105.6
Defensive rating
101.3
52.9%
Effective FG%
49.0%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
15.9%
Turnover %
13.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.35
33.9%
3-point %
34.6%
46.1%
Assist %
54.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence103.9 · 92.1Defence105.6 · 101.3Shooting52.9% · 49.0%3-point %33.9% · 34.6%Ball care15.9% · 13.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Caserta   ■ Sassari
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Caserta wins
6
Sassari wins
DateGameScore
07/05/17Caserta v Sassari77-70
08/01/17Sassari v Caserta95-77
03/04/16Sassari v Caserta87-75
13/12/15Caserta v Sassari70-86
26/04/15Caserta v Sassari94-87
29/12/14Sassari v Caserta95-84
27/04/14Sassari v Caserta92-95
29/12/13Caserta v Sassari57-82
28/04/13Sassari v Caserta87-74
06/01/13Caserta v Sassari88-81
Casertalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HMestre77-70
18/10/26HJuVi Cremona96-89
11/10/26APesaro77-83
04/10/26HFortitudo Bologna81-83
27/09/26ASebastiani Rieti73-81
07/05/17HSassari77-70
30/04/17AAvellino75-79
23/04/17HBrindisi86-82
15/04/17APesaro67-83
09/04/17HTorino83-76
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26ARuvo Di Puglia61-79
21/10/26HRimini67-84
17/10/26HCento80-70
10/10/26AMestre87-74
04/10/26HMontecatini72-81
27/09/26AUrania Milano70-68
10/05/26ABrescia71-92
03/05/26HVirtus Bologna73-80
19/04/26HVenezia79-98
12/04/26AVarese90-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caserta
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW40%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game80.884.775.0
Allowed / game81.280.782.0
Point differential-0.4+4.0-7.0
Avg total162.0165.3157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sassari
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game72.873.072.7
Allowed / game76.078.373.7
Point differential-3.2-5.3-1.0
Avg total148.8151.3146.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertas Livorno660100%81.767.0+14.7
2 Avellino Basket65183%81.073.5+7.5
3 Pesaro65183%83.276.5+6.7
4 Basket Torino54180%75.073.4+1.6
5 Rimini75271%82.671.0+11.6
6 Brindisi64267%78.873.8+5.0
7 Fortitudo Bologna64267%81.377.3+4.0
8 Sebastiani Rieti64267%75.376.5-1.2
9 Pistoia63350%78.269.8+8.3
10 Forli63350%83.379.5+3.8
11 Sassari63350%72.876.0-3.2
12 Cividale73443%70.774.4-3.7
13 Caserta52340%80.881.2-0.4
14 Mestre62433%73.578.5-5.0
15 Ruvo Di Puglia62433%79.284.3-5.2
16 Vigevano62433%77.285.3-8.2
17 Cento72529%73.683.6-10.0
18 Montecatini61517%72.084.2-12.2
19 Urania Milano71614%75.781.7-6.0
20 JuVi Cremona6060%74.881.5-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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