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CD Povoa vs Maia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 85-76
22-27 25-12 16-21 22-16
Position#1
Record18-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game66.7
CD Povoa 🏆
Portugal
vs
Maia
Portugal
Position#4
Record10-8
FormWLLWL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game74.0
PortugalProligaRound 6· Clube Desportivo Póvoa
Other2025-26
Meetings · CD Povoa v Maia
01 Mar 2026
CD P85
MAIA76
08 Dec 2025
CD P95
MAIA77
14 Jan 2024
CD P98
MAIA68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CD Povoa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Maia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
Maia
#4
W
95-77
95
77
+18
93avg 73
H08/12
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
90-69
90
69
+21
92avg 73
A13/12
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
76-70
76
70
+6
70avg 73
H20/12
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
89-66
89
66
+23
78avg 73
A03/01
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
82-72
82
72
+10
71avg 73
H10/01
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
71-69
71
69
+2
59avg 73
A25/01
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
89-59
89
59
+30
81avg 73
H01/02
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
75-68
75
68
+7
62avg 73
A07/02
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
88-78
88
78
+10
85avg 73
H15/02
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
70-75
70
75
-5
49avg 73
A21/02
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
19-21
30-16
26-20
18-15
17-17
24-15
31-22
11-11
25-16
20-25
20-18
21-16
24-21
20-18
24-11
23-23
23-16
16-14
20-19
18-11
20-27
12-19
21-12
19-16
34-18
13-19
23-6
14-15
16-20
24-9
21-24
21-18
22-33
18-7
27-20
17-25
10-21
18-18
25-11
152.8Avg total
82.5Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)85.666.7152.4+18.995%
Season at home (9)87.364.6151.9+22.8100%
Season away (10)84.168.7152.8+15.490%
Last 10 (10)82.570.3152.8+12.290%
Last 5 (5)78.669.8148.4+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.082.6154.6-10.612%
vs Similar (3)87.786.3174.0+1.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)85.666.7152.4+18.995%
This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaia
Date
Competition
Academica
#16
W
88-59
88
59
+29
94avg 72
A07/12
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
77-95
77
95
-18
60avg 72
A08/12
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
79-68
79
68
+11
74avg 72
H13/12
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
85-81
85
81
+4
79avg 72
H27/12
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
96-66
96
66
+30
96avg 72
H03/01
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
106-59
106
59
+47
98avg 72
A10/01
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
L
73-84
73
84
-11
63avg 72
A25/01
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
75-79
75
79
-4
69avg 72
H31/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
81-75
81
75
+6
71avg 72
A14/02
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
L
74-78
74
78
-4
59avg 72
A21/02
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-15
18-16
25-16
20-12
20-20
21-19
16-30
20-26
17-19
12-13
24-14
26-22
24-15
18-24
16-25
27-17
24-14
27-17
27-15
18-20
23-11
30-21
29-14
24-13
23-12
16-24
14-20
20-28
23-17
21-24
21-19
10-19
17-24
20-8
27-18
17-25
29-19
13-21
6-19
26-19
157.8Avg total
83.4Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)81.874.0155.8+7.856%
Season at home (8)84.171.9156.0+12.275%
Season away (10)79.975.7155.6+4.240%
Last 10 (10)83.474.4157.8+9.060%
Last 5 (5)81.875.0156.8+6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)76.281.0157.2-4.860%
vs Similar (13)76.975.6152.5+1.362%
vs Weaker (12)84.468.2152.6+16.275%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +5.9+5.9Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +7.5+7.5Q4: +0.7+0.7
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +5.9+5.9Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +7.5+7.5Q4: +0.7+0.7
CD PovoaMaia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maia
#4
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H08/12
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A13/12
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H20/12
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A03/01
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H10/01
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A25/01
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H01/02
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A07/02
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H15/02
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
27-46
27
46
-19
A21/02
Proliga
77.2Avg total
39.2Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.937.279.0+4.760%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.637.280.9+6.464%-
Last 30 away (16)40.337.177.4+3.256%-
Last 10 (10)39.238.077.2+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)38.240.879.0-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.540.978.4-3.438%-
vs Similar (3)45.748.394.0-2.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)43.133.876.9+9.374%-
This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Academica
#16
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A07/12
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A08/12
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H13/12
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H27/12
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H03/01
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
53-32
53
32
+21
A10/01
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A25/01
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H31/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A14/02
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A21/02
Proliga
77.4Avg total
42.1Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.536.574.9+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.235.974.1+2.357%-
Last 30 away (16)38.736.975.6+1.856%-
Last 10 (10)42.135.377.4+6.890%-
Last 5 (5)43.036.279.2+6.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)36.641.478.0-4.840%-
vs Similar (13)36.437.573.9-1.246%-
vs Weaker (12)41.533.274.8+8.275%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.723.1
51.7%
50.0%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.9
33.6%
30.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws21.512.9
60.0%
67.4%12.9
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Maiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maia: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.320.8
45.9%
50.0%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.98.4
36.7%
30.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws22.916.2
70.7%
67.4%16.2
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CD Povoa
LWWWWWWWWW
Maia
LWLLWWWWLW
#1
League position
#4
+15.0
Net rating
+10.6
95.7
Offensive rating
96.1
80.7
Defensive rating
85.4
51.2%
Effective FG%
49.0%
43.5%
Opp. effective FG%
44.1%
16.6%
Turnover %
19.8%
35.5%
Off. rebound %
42.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.6%
3-point %
36.7%
52.6%
Assist %
53.1%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence95.7 · 96.1Defence80.7 · 85.4Shooting51.2% · 49.0%3-point %33.6% · 36.7%Ball care16.6% · 19.8%Off. rebounds35.5% · 42.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ CD Povoa   ■ Maia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
CD Povoa wins
0
Maia wins
DateGameScore
08/12/25CD Povoa v Maia95-77
11/10/25Maia v CD Povoa69-91
14/01/24CD Povoa v Maia98-68
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26ACAB Madeira70-75
15/02/26HGinasio88-78
07/02/26AIlliabum75-68
01/02/26HImortal B89-59
25/01/26AGinasio Olhanense71-69
10/01/26HLusitania82-72
03/01/26AAcademica89-66
20/12/25HIlliabum76-70
13/12/25AGinasio90-69
08/12/25HMaia95-77
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26APortimonense74-78
14/02/26ACAB Madeira81-75
31/01/26HIlliabum75-79
25/01/26AImortal B73-84
10/01/26ASangalhos106-59
03/01/26HGinasio96-66
27/12/25HLusitania85-81
13/12/25HSampaense79-68
08/12/25ACD Povoa77-95
07/12/25AAcademica88-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CD Povoa
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL95%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL90%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %95%100%90%
Points / game85.687.384.1
Allowed / game66.764.668.7
Point differential+18.9+22.8+15.4
Avg total152.4151.9152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+79%89%70%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Maia
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL56%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %56%75%40%
Points / game81.884.179.9
Allowed / game74.071.975.7
Point differential+7.8+12.2+4.2
Avg total155.8156.0155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%50%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CD Povoa1918195%85.666.7+18.9
2 CAB Madeira1916384%84.172.6+11.5
3 Illiabum2014670%78.669.8+8.8
4 Portimonense2014670%80.674.8+5.8
5 Imortal B1912763%79.579.6-0.1
6 Lusitania1911858%80.775.7+5.0
7 Maia1810856%81.874.0+7.8
8 Galomar2011955%84.580.5+4.1
9 Ginasio189950%76.279.2-3.0
10 Ginasio Olhanense1991047%79.176.4+2.7
11 Sampaense1991047%70.176.4-6.3
12 Benfica Lisboa B2071335%70.572.8-2.2
13 Santo Andre2071335%74.879.0-4.2
14 CB Queluz1931616%69.984.2-14.3
15 Sangalhos2031715%70.386.0-15.7
16 Academica191185%63.681.8-18.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CD Povoa2225162285
Maia2712211676
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