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Mega Basket vs FMP Beograd Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jun 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 72-75
21-19 19-14 14-17 18-25
Position#5
Record5-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game76.3
vs
Position#2
Record5-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game94.0
Allowed / game82.3
SerbiaSuper LeagueSuperleague - Semi-finals· Hala sportova Ranko
Other2023
Meetings · Mega Basket v FMP Beograd
28 Mar 2026
MEG79
FBE84
18 May 2025
MEG81
FBE86
29 Sep 2024
MEG83
FBE80
14 Jan 2024
MEG86
FBE72
04 Jun 2023
MEG72
FBE75
08 Jan 2023
MEG77
FBE72
24 Oct 2021
MEG82
FBE89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mega Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
FMP Beograd winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mega BasketSerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#3
L
76-85
76
85
-9
70avg 78
H08/04
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
70-85
70
85
-15
52avg 78
A15/04
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
77-94
77
94
-17
76avg 78
A28/04
ABA League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#7
W
83-74
83
74
+9
80avg 78
A03/05
Super League
Buducnost
#3
L
80-82
80
82
-2
76avg 78
H07/05
ABA League
KK Metalac
#8
W
88-77
88
77
+11
80avg 78
H10/05
Super League
Borac Mozzart
#4
W
92-78
92
78
+14
88avg 78
H17/05
Super League
Borac Mozzart
#4
L
82-87
82
87
-5
77avg 78
A21/05
Super League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#7
W
96-64
96
64
+32
88avg 78
H25/05
Super League
KK Metalac
#8
W
90-78
90
78
+12
90avg 78
A27/05
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
14-30
26-14
12-17
11-26
23-17
18-19
18-23
22-14
15-35
18-28
22-17
20-15
23-19
22-16
18-24
19-15
27-14
14-26
20-27
19-16
26-19
32-20
11-22
25-26
21-18
28-20
18-14
21-23
26-17
16-24
19-23
19-8
31-20
22-23
24-13
25-28
29-14
24-9
12-27
163.8Avg total
83.4Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)88.576.3164.8+12.283%
Season at home (3)92.073.0165.0+19.0100%
Season away (3)85.079.7164.7+5.367%
Last 10 (10)83.480.4163.8+3.050%
Last 5 (5)89.676.8166.4+12.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.688.3162.9-13.69%
vs Similar ◀ (9)89.983.6173.4+6.378%
vs Weaker (9)90.376.7167.0+13.789%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradSerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#14
W
101-76
101
76
+25
90avg 82
H15/04
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#6
W
98-80
98
80
+18
94avg 82
H25/04
Super League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
77-87
77
87
-10
67avg 82
A29/04
ABA League
Zlatibor
#9
W
112-81
112
81
+31
114avg 82
H03/05
Super League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
W
102-96
102
96
+6
99avg 82
H06/05
ABA League
OKK Beograd
#3
W
95-91
95
91
+4
89avg 82
H09/05
Super League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
79-97
79
97
-18
66avg 82
A13/05
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#6
L
78-82
78
82
-4
63avg 82
A17/05
Super League
Zlatibor
#9
W
97-78
97
78
+19
90avg 82
A23/05
Super League
OKK Beograd
#3
W
84-82
84
82
+2
73avg 82
A31/05
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
22-17
29-12
25-29
26-24
30-17
14-14
28-25
24-23
16-26
16-15
21-23
25-21
24-26
37-20
26-14
26-17
24-28
24-22
28-29
20-21
35-26
19-20
21-24
21-27
14-26
19-19
25-25
21-29
22-12
25-23
10-18
24-13
33-24
20-16
20-25
28-24
19-19
15-18
22-21
177.3Avg total
92.3Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)94.082.3176.3+11.783%
Season at home (3)101.784.0185.7+17.7100%
Season away (3)86.380.7167.0+5.767%
Last 10 (10)92.385.0177.3+7.370%
Last 5 (5)86.686.0172.6+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)84.590.8175.3-6.333%
vs Similar ◀ (7)86.391.4177.7-5.129%
vs Weaker (16)93.083.2176.2+9.862%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -0.7-0.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -0.7-0.7
Mega BasketFMP Beograd
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#3
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H08/04
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A15/04
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A28/04
ABA League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#7
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A03/05
Super League
Buducnost
#3
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H07/05
ABA League
KK Metalac
#8
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H10/05
Super League
Borac Mozzart
#4
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H17/05
Super League
Borac Mozzart
#4
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A21/05
Super League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#7
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H25/05
Super League
KK Metalac
#8
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A27/05
Super League
83.8Avg total
44.0Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.842.484.3-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.441.383.7+1.167%-
Last 30 away (15)41.343.584.8-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)44.039.883.8+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)48.437.886.2+10.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.846.684.5-8.89%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)43.142.885.9+0.367%-
vs Weaker (9)45.237.482.7+7.878%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#14
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H15/04
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#6
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H25/04
Super League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A29/04
ABA League
Zlatibor
#9
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H03/05
Super League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H06/05
ABA League
OKK Beograd
#3
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H09/05
Super League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A13/05
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#6
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A17/05
Super League
Zlatibor
#9
W
57-37
57
37
+20
A23/05
Super League
OKK Beograd
#3
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A31/05
Super League
91.7Avg total
47.9Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.042.887.8+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.241.990.1+6.373%-
Last 30 away (15)41.743.785.5-2.033%-
Last 10 (10)47.943.891.7+4.180%-
Last 5 (5)47.444.291.6+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)43.744.788.3-1.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)43.947.691.4-3.743%-
vs Weaker (16)45.740.686.2+5.156%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.822.0
55.3%
54.2%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.97.8
30.1%
34.3%23.4
🏀 Free throws19.715.0
76.1%
72.9%15.0
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 91.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.823.3
55.7%
54.2%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.69.1
37.0%
34.3%27.3
🏀 Free throws23.617.4
73.7%
72.9%17.4
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jun 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mega Basket
WWLWWLWLLL
FMP Beograd
WWLLWWWLWW
#5
League position
#2
+3.7
Net rating
+9.3
108.9
Offensive rating
115.7
105.2
Defensive rating
106.5
51.3%
Effective FG%
55.6%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
16.8%
Turnover %
15.4%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.36
30.1%
3-point %
37.0%
67.1%
Assist %
57.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.9 · 115.7Defence105.2 · 106.5Shooting51.3% · 55.6%3-point %30.1% · 37.0%Ball care16.8% · 15.4%Off. rebounds31.7% · 28.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Mega Basket   ■ FMP Beograd
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Mega Basket wins
2
FMP Beograd wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/05/23AKK Metalac90-78
25/05/23HVojvodina Novi Sad96-64
21/05/23ABorac Mozzart82-87
17/05/23HBorac Mozzart92-78
10/05/23HKK Metalac88-77
07/05/23HBuducnost80-82
03/05/23AVojvodina Novi Sad83-74
28/04/23ABuducnost77-94
15/04/23ACedevita Olimpija70-85
08/04/23HBuducnost76-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/05/23AOKK Beograd84-82
23/05/23AZlatibor97-78
17/05/23ASpartak Subotica78-82
13/05/23ACedevita Olimpija79-97
09/05/23HOKK Beograd95-91
06/05/23HCedevita Olimpija102-96
03/05/23HZlatibor112-81
29/04/23ACedevita Olimpija77-87
25/04/23HSpartak Subotica98-80
15/04/23HMornar Bar101-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mega Basket
Super League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game88.592.085.0
Allowed / game76.373.079.7
Point differential+12.2+19.0+5.3
Avg total164.8165.0164.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
FMP Beograd
Super League 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game94.0101.786.3
Allowed / game82.384.080.7
Point differential+11.7+17.7+5.7
Avg total176.3185.7167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mega Basket65183%88.576.3+12.2
2 FMP Beograd65183%94.082.3+11.7
3 OKK Beograd64267%91.779.0+12.7
4 Borac Mozzart64267%85.281.0+4.2
5 Spartak Subotica63350%83.786.7-3.0
6 Vojvodina Novi Sad63350%80.083.0-3.0
7 KK Metalac6060%78.792.0-13.3
8 Zlatibor6060%77.298.5-21.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mega Basket2119141872
FMP Beograd1914172575
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