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FMP Beograd vs Mega Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Jun 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 96-70
25-16 18-18 29-17 24-19
Position#2
Record6-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game91.3
Allowed / game80.9
FMP Beograd 🏆
Serbia
vs
Mega Basket
Serbia
Position#5
Record5-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game76.1
SerbiaSuper LeagueSuperleague - Semi-finals· Belgrade
Other2023
Meetings · FMP Beograd v Mega Basket
15 Feb 2026
FBE102
MEG87
21 May 2025
FBE77
MEG73
19 Jan 2025
FBE89
MEG87
16 Oct 2023
FBE73
MEG83
07 Jun 2023
FBE96
MEG70
17 Feb 2023
FBE67
MEG86
03 Oct 2022
FBE90
MEG76
29 Jan 2022
FBE79
MEG86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Beograd winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mega Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP BeogradSerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Spartak Subotica
#6
W
98-80
98
80
+18
94avg 82
H25/04
Super League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
77-87
77
87
-10
67avg 82
A29/04
ABA League
Zlatibor
#9
W
112-81
112
81
+31
114avg 82
H03/05
Super League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
W
102-96
102
96
+6
99avg 82
H06/05
ABA League
OKK Beograd
#3
W
95-91
95
91
+4
89avg 82
H09/05
Super League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
79-97
79
97
-18
66avg 82
A13/05
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#6
L
78-82
78
82
-4
63avg 82
A17/05
Super League
Zlatibor
#9
W
97-78
97
78
+19
90avg 82
A23/05
Super League
OKK Beograd
#3
W
84-82
84
82
+2
73avg 82
A31/05
Super League
Mega Basket
#5
W
75-72
75
72
+3
66avg 82
A04/06
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
30-17
14-14
28-25
24-23
16-26
16-15
21-23
25-21
24-26
37-20
26-14
26-17
24-28
24-22
28-29
20-21
35-26
19-20
21-24
21-27
14-26
19-19
25-25
21-29
22-12
25-23
10-18
24-13
33-24
20-16
20-25
28-24
19-19
15-18
22-21
19-21
14-19
17-14
25-18
174.3Avg total
89.7Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)91.380.9172.1+10.486%
Season at home (3)101.784.0185.7+17.7100%
Season away (4)83.578.5162.0+5.075%
Last 10 (10)89.784.6174.3+5.170%
Last 5 (5)82.682.2164.8+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)84.590.8175.3-6.333%
vs Similar ◀ (8)84.989.0173.9-4.138%
vs Weaker (15)93.383.6176.9+9.760%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketSerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
70-85
70
85
-15
52avg 78
A15/04
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
77-94
77
94
-17
76avg 78
A28/04
ABA League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#7
W
83-74
83
74
+9
80avg 78
A03/05
Super League
Buducnost
#3
L
80-82
80
82
-2
76avg 78
H07/05
ABA League
KK Metalac
#8
W
88-77
88
77
+11
80avg 78
H10/05
Super League
Borac Mozzart
#4
W
92-78
92
78
+14
88avg 78
H17/05
Super League
Borac Mozzart
#4
L
82-87
82
87
-5
77avg 78
A21/05
Super League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#7
W
96-64
96
64
+32
88avg 78
H25/05
Super League
KK Metalac
#8
W
90-78
90
78
+12
90avg 78
A27/05
Super League
FMP Beograd
#2
L
72-75
72
75
-3
62avg 78
H04/06
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-26
23-17
18-19
18-23
22-14
15-35
18-28
22-17
20-15
23-19
22-16
18-24
19-15
27-14
14-26
20-27
19-16
26-19
32-20
11-22
25-26
21-18
28-20
18-14
21-23
26-17
16-24
19-23
19-8
31-20
22-23
24-13
25-28
29-14
24-9
12-27
21-19
19-14
14-17
18-25
162.4Avg total
83.0Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)86.176.1162.3+10.071%
Season at home (4)87.073.5160.5+13.575%
Season away (3)85.079.7164.7+5.367%
Last 10 (10)83.079.4162.4+3.650%
Last 5 (5)86.476.4162.8+10.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.688.3162.9-13.69%
vs Similar ◀ (10)88.182.7170.8+5.470%
vs Weaker (8)91.474.5165.9+16.9100%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -3.5-3.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -3.5-3.5
FMP BeogradMega Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spartak Subotica
#6
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H25/04
Super League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A29/04
ABA League
Zlatibor
#9
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H03/05
Super League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H06/05
ABA League
OKK Beograd
#3
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H09/05
Super League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A13/05
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#6
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A17/05
Super League
Zlatibor
#9
W
57-37
57
37
+20
A23/05
Super League
OKK Beograd
#3
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A31/05
Super League
Mega Basket
#5
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A04/06
Super League
90.8Avg total
46.5Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.742.687.3+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.741.690.4+7.179%-
Last 30 away (16)41.243.584.7-2.331%-
Last 10 (10)46.544.390.8+2.270%-
Last 5 (5)43.042.885.8+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)43.744.788.3-1.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)42.546.689.1-4.138%-
vs Weaker (15)46.040.386.3+5.760%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A15/04
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A28/04
ABA League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#7
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A03/05
Super League
Buducnost
#3
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H07/05
ABA League
KK Metalac
#8
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H10/05
Super League
Borac Mozzart
#4
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H17/05
Super League
Borac Mozzart
#4
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A21/05
Super League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#7
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H25/05
Super League
KK Metalac
#8
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A27/05
Super League
FMP Beograd
#2
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H04/06
Super League
81.9Avg total
44.2Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.942.284.1-0.353%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.240.883.1+1.469%-
Last 30 away (14)41.543.885.3-2.336%-
Last 10 (10)44.237.781.9+6.580%-
Last 5 (5)47.437.484.8+10.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.846.684.5-8.89%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.841.884.6+1.070%-
vs Weaker (8)46.137.183.2+9.088%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.422.5
54.3%
54.2%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.7
36.0%
34.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws23.417.4
74.4%
72.9%17.4
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.421.6
54.8%
54.2%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.8
30.2%
34.3%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.515.4
75.1%
72.9%15.4
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jun 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Beograd
WWWLLWWWLW
Mega Basket
LWWLWWLWLL
#2
League position
#5
+6.0
Net rating
+4.5
112.7
Offensive rating
108.1
106.7
Defensive rating
103.6
54.2%
Effective FG%
51.1%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
17.1%
Turnover %
17.5%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.0%
3-point %
30.2%
60.6%
Assist %
66.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.7 · 108.1Defence106.7 · 103.6Shooting54.2% · 51.1%3-point %36.0% · 30.2%Ball care17.1% · 17.5%Off. rebounds30.4% · 31.7%Free throws0.36 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ FMP Beograd   ■ Mega Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
FMP Beograd wins
3
Mega Basket wins
DateGameScore
04/06/23Mega Basket v FMP Beograd72-75
17/02/23FMP Beograd v Mega Basket67-86
08/01/23Mega Basket v FMP Beograd77-72
03/10/22FMP Beograd v Mega Basket90-76
29/01/22FMP Beograd v Mega Basket79-86
24/10/21Mega Basket v FMP Beograd82-89
FMP Beogradlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/06/23AMega Basket75-72
31/05/23AOKK Beograd84-82
23/05/23AZlatibor97-78
17/05/23ASpartak Subotica78-82
13/05/23ACedevita Olimpija79-97
09/05/23HOKK Beograd95-91
06/05/23HCedevita Olimpija102-96
03/05/23HZlatibor112-81
29/04/23ACedevita Olimpija77-87
25/04/23HSpartak Subotica98-80
Mega Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/06/23HFMP Beograd72-75
27/05/23AKK Metalac90-78
25/05/23HVojvodina Novi Sad96-64
21/05/23ABorac Mozzart82-87
17/05/23HBorac Mozzart92-78
10/05/23HKK Metalac88-77
07/05/23HBuducnost80-82
03/05/23AVojvodina Novi Sad83-74
28/04/23ABuducnost77-94
15/04/23ACedevita Olimpija70-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Beograd
Super League 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW86%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%100%75%
Points / game91.3101.783.5
Allowed / game80.984.078.5
Point differential+10.4+17.7+5.0
Avg total172.1185.7162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%67%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mega Basket
Super League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL71%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game86.187.085.0
Allowed / game76.173.579.7
Point differential+10.0+13.5+5.3
Avg total162.3160.5164.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FMP Beograd76186%91.380.9+10.4
2 Mega Basket75271%86.176.1+10.0
3 OKK Beograd64267%91.779.0+12.7
4 Borac Mozzart64267%85.281.0+4.2
5 Spartak Subotica63350%83.786.7-3.0
6 Vojvodina Novi Sad63350%80.083.0-3.0
7 KK Metalac6060%78.792.0-13.3
8 Zlatibor6060%77.298.5-21.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FMP Beograd2518292496
Mega Basket1618171970
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