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Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Apr 2016
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 90-97
24-27 26-32 20-16 20-22
Position#7
Record51-36
FormLLWWW
Points / game102.9
Allowed / game100.5
vs
Position#8
Record50-37
FormWWLLL
Points / game99.9
Allowed / game98.1
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Charlotte Hornets v Miami Heat
30 Mar 2027
CHA v MIA
upcoming
24 Oct 2026
CHA115
MIA110
14 Apr 2026
CHA127
MIA126
17 Mar 2026
CHA136
MIA106
06 Mar 2026
CHA120
MIA128
27 Nov 2024
CHA94
MIA98
26 Oct 2024
CHA106
MIA114
11 Dec 2023
CHA114
MIA116
14 Nov 2023
CHA105
MIA111
25 Feb 2023
CHA108
MIA103
29 Jan 2023
CHA122
MIA117
17 Feb 2022
CHA107
MIA111
05 Feb 2022
CHA86
MIA104
02 May 2021
CHA111
MIA121
26 Mar 2021
CHA110
MIA105
13 Apr 2020
CHA v MIA
upcoming
30 Mar 2020
CHA v MIA
upcoming
06 Mar 2019
CHA84
MIA91
30 Oct 2018
CHA125
MIA113
20 Jan 2018
CHA105
MIA106
15 Dec 2017
CHA98
MIA104
05 Apr 2017
CHA99
MIA112
29 Dec 2016
CHA91
MIA82
29 Apr 2016
CHA90
MIA97
25 Apr 2016
CHA89
MIA85
23 Apr 2016
CHA96
MIA80
05 Feb 2016
CHA95
MIA98
09 Dec 2015
CHA99
MIA81
21 Jan 2015
CHA78
MIA76
05 Nov 2014
CHA96
MIA89
28 Apr 2014
CHA98
MIA109
26 Apr 2014
CHA85
MIA98
18 Jan 2014
CHA96
MIA104
16 Nov 2013
CHA81
MIA97
05 Apr 2013
CHA79
MIA89
26 Dec 2012
CHA92
MIA105
28 Dec 2011
CHA95
MIA96
04 Feb 2011
CHA97
MIA109
03 Jan 2011
CHA82
MIA96
09 Mar 2010
CHA83
MIA78
20 Jan 2010
CHA104
MIA65
03 Apr 2009
CHA92
MIA97
01 Nov 2008
CHA100
MIA87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Charlotte Hornets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Charlotte HornetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHornets
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#24
W
111-97
111
97
+14
96avg 93
A06/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
113-99
113
99
+14
109avg 93
H08/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
98-113
98
113
-15
88avg 93
A10/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
W
114-100
114
100
+14
110avg 93
A11/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
117-103
117
103
+14
118avg 93
H14/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
L
91-123
91
123
-32
75avg 93
A17/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
L
103-115
103
115
-12
79avg 93
A20/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
W
96-80
96
80
+16
83avg 93
H23/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
W
89-85
89
85
+4
72avg 93
H25/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
W
90-88
90
88
+2
78avg 93
A28/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-25
23-27
28-20
30-25
25-25
25-18
34-21
29-35
27-28
21-27
26-31
24-27
24-28
39-13
31-31
20-28
38-22
28-28
20-29
31-24
22-41
28-26
24-30
17-26
29-29
31-43
18-19
25-24
29-28
20-16
26-14
21-22
19-26
29-13
21-22
20-24
28-25
21-22
16-24
25-17
202.5Avg total
102.2Scored
100.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (87)102.9100.5203.4+2.359%
Season at home (43)104.998.3203.2+6.574%
Season away (44)100.9102.7203.6-1.843%
Last 10 (10)102.2100.3202.5+1.970%
Last 5 (5)93.898.2192.0-4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)97.0100.0197.0-3.050%
vs Similar ◀ (17)101.9101.6203.5+0.359%
vs Weaker (11)110.297.4207.5+12.891%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
106-98
106
98
+8
93avg 92
H08/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
109-112
109
112
-3
92avg 92
A08/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
118-96
118
96
+22
120avg 92
H10/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
99-93
99
93
+6
87avg 92
A12/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
L
88-98
88
98
-10
73avg 92
A14/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
123-91
123
91
+32
121avg 92
H17/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
115-103
115
103
+12
109avg 92
H20/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
80-96
80
96
-16
67avg 92
A23/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
85-89
85
89
-4
78avg 92
A25/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
88-90
88
90
-2
80avg 92
H28/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
19-24
35-23
31-29
27-19
28-34
25-26
29-33
31-28
25-21
33-20
29-27
19-17
31-33
21-19
28-24
35-13
27-25
5-25
21-35
41-22
26-28
30-24
26-17
29-29
43-31
19-18
24-25
28-29
16-20
14-26
22-21
26-19
13-29
22-21
24-20
25-28
22-21
24-16
17-25
197.7Avg total
101.1Scored
96.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (87)99.998.1198.1+1.857%
Season at home (44)103.697.6201.2+6.068%
Season away (43)96.298.7194.9-2.447%
Last 10 (10)101.196.6197.7+4.550%
Last 5 (5)98.293.8192.0+4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)105.0106.5211.5-1.550%
vs Similar ◀ (18)103.699.5203.1+4.150%
vs Weaker (10)108.8101.2210.0+7.680%
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -0.5-0.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -0.5-0.5
Charlotte HornetsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Charlotte HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#24
W
53-52
53
52
+1
A06/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H08/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
48-55
48
55
-7
A10/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
W
63-41
63
41
+22
A11/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
66-50
66
50
+16
H14/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
L
50-67
50
67
-17
A17/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
L
60-72
60
72
-12
A20/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H23/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H25/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A28/04
NBA
104.6Avg total
53.6Scored
51.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.550.6103.1+1.963%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.349.3103.6+4.973%-
Last 30 away (15)50.751.9102.5-1.253%-
Last 10 (10)53.651.0104.6+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)51.253.8105.0-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.054.593.5-15.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)52.852.7105.5+0.159%-
vs Weaker (11)54.546.6101.1+7.882%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H08/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A08/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H10/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A12/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
W
62-38
62
38
+24
A14/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
67-50
67
50
+17
H17/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H20/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A23/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A25/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H28/04
NBA
102.4Avg total
53.2Scored
49.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.849.9103.7+3.957%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.950.9107.9+6.064%-
Last 30 away (16)51.149.0100.1+2.150%-
Last 10 (10)53.249.2102.4+4.050%-
Last 5 (5)53.851.2105.0+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)56.050.0106.0+6.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)52.750.9103.6+1.744%-
vs Weaker (10)55.548.0103.5+7.580%-
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Charlotte Hornetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Charlotte Hornets: 102.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.627.2
47.2%
49.0%54.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.89.1
36.7%
35.3%27.3
🏀 Free throws25.020.5
82.0%
75.5%20.5
They take 82.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 101.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀64%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.8 pts a game · 64% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.432.4
51.1%
49.0%64.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.86.8
34.3%
35.3%20.4
🏀 Free throws21.515.9
74.0%
75.5%15.9
They take 83.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 24% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Apr 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Charlotte Hornets
WWWLLWWLWW
Miami Heat
LLLWWLWWLW
#7
League position
#8
+2.0
Net rating
+4.8
107.2
Offensive rating
108.0
105.2
Defensive rating
103.2
49.6%
Effective FG%
51.2%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
46.1%
10.5%
Turnover %
12.3%
19.2%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.7%
3-point %
34.3%
52.3%
Assist %
47.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.2 · 108.0Defence105.2 · 103.2Shooting49.6% · 51.2%3-point %36.7% · 34.3%Ball care10.5% · 12.3%Off. rebounds19.2% · 26.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Charlotte Hornets   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Charlotte Hornets wins
5
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/16AMiami Heat90-88
25/04/16HMiami Heat89-85
23/04/16HMiami Heat96-80
20/04/16AMiami Heat103-115
17/04/16AMiami Heat91-123
14/04/16HOrlando Magic117-103
11/04/16ABoston Celtics114-100
10/04/16AWashington Wizards98-113
08/04/16HBrooklyn Nets113-99
06/04/16ANew York Knicks111-97
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/16HCharlotte Hornets88-90
25/04/16ACharlotte Hornets85-89
23/04/16ACharlotte Hornets80-96
20/04/16HCharlotte Hornets115-103
17/04/16HCharlotte Hornets123-91
14/04/16ABoston Celtics88-98
12/04/16ADetroit Pistons99-93
10/04/16HOrlando Magic118-96
08/04/16AOrlando Magic109-112
08/04/16HChicago Bulls106-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW59%
HomeWWWWW74%
AwayLWLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games874344
Win %59%74%43%
Points / game102.9104.9100.9
Allowed / game100.598.3102.7
Point differential+2.3+6.5-1.8
Avg total203.4203.2203.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (25)64% (14)64% (11)
Overtime %6%7%5%
Miami Heat
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL57%
HomeWWWWL68%
AwayLWLLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games874443
Win %57%68%47%
Points / game99.9103.696.2
Allowed / game98.197.698.7
Point differential+1.8+6.0-2.4
Avg total198.1201.2194.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%41%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (21)70% (10)64% (11)
Overtime %7%7%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors87771089%114.6103.4+11.2
2 San Antonio Spurs86711583%103.592.3+11.2
3 Cleveland Cavaliers86612571%104.398.2+6.1
4 Oklahoma City Thunder87592868%110.3102.4+7.9
5 Toronto Raptors88592967%102.098.0+4.0
6 Los Angeles Clippers87553263%104.1100.0+4.1
7 Atlanta Hawks88523659%102.798.9+3.8
8 Charlotte Hornets87513659%102.9100.5+2.3
9 Miami Heat87503757%99.998.1+1.8
10 Boston Celtics88503857%104.9102.4+2.5
11 Indiana Pacers88484055%101.799.9+1.8
12 Portland Trail Blazers87474054%104.6103.9+0.7
13 Chicago Bulls82424051%101.6103.1-1.5
14 Detroit Pistons86444251%101.6101.5+0.2
15 Washington Wizards82414150%104.1104.6-0.5
16 Dallas Mavericks87434449%101.8103.1-1.3
17 Memphis Grizzlies86424449%98.3101.4-3.2
18 Utah Jazz82404249%97.795.9+1.8
19 Houston Rockets87424548%105.7106.6-0.9
20 Orlando Magic82354743%102.1103.7-1.6
21 Sacramento Kings82334940%106.6109.1-2.5
22 Denver Nuggets82334940%101.9105.0-3.1
23 Milwaukee Bucks82334940%99.0103.2-4.2
24 New York Knicks82325039%98.4101.1-2.7
25 New Orleans Pelicans82305237%102.7106.5-3.8
26 Minnesota Timberwolves82295335%102.4106.0-3.5
27 Phoenix Suns82235928%100.9107.5-6.7
28 Brooklyn Nets82216126%98.6106.0-7.4
29 Los Angeles Lakers82176521%97.3106.9-9.6
30 Philadelphia 76ers82107212%97.4107.6-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Charlotte Hornets2426202090
Miami Heat2732162297
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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