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Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Apr 2017
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 99-112
23-27 28-25 22-34 26-26
Position#20
Record36-42
FormLWWWL
Points / game105.6
Allowed / game104.6
vs
Position#13
Record37-40
FormLWWLL
Points / game102.8
Allowed / game102.0
USANBA· Spectrum Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Charlotte Hornets v Miami Heat
30 Mar 2027
CHA v MIA
upcoming
24 Oct 2026
CHA115
MIA110
14 Apr 2026
CHA127
MIA126
17 Mar 2026
CHA136
MIA106
06 Mar 2026
CHA120
MIA128
27 Nov 2024
CHA94
MIA98
26 Oct 2024
CHA106
MIA114
11 Dec 2023
CHA114
MIA116
14 Nov 2023
CHA105
MIA111
25 Feb 2023
CHA108
MIA103
29 Jan 2023
CHA122
MIA117
17 Feb 2022
CHA107
MIA111
05 Feb 2022
CHA86
MIA104
02 May 2021
CHA111
MIA121
26 Mar 2021
CHA110
MIA105
13 Apr 2020
CHA v MIA
upcoming
30 Mar 2020
CHA v MIA
upcoming
06 Mar 2019
CHA84
MIA91
30 Oct 2018
CHA125
MIA113
20 Jan 2018
CHA105
MIA106
15 Dec 2017
CHA98
MIA104
05 Apr 2017
CHA99
MIA112
29 Dec 2016
CHA91
MIA82
29 Apr 2016
CHA90
MIA97
25 Apr 2016
CHA89
MIA85
23 Apr 2016
CHA96
MIA80
05 Feb 2016
CHA95
MIA98
09 Dec 2015
CHA99
MIA81
21 Jan 2015
CHA78
MIA76
05 Nov 2014
CHA96
MIA89
28 Apr 2014
CHA98
MIA109
26 Apr 2014
CHA85
MIA98
18 Jan 2014
CHA96
MIA104
16 Nov 2013
CHA81
MIA97
05 Apr 2013
CHA79
MIA89
26 Dec 2012
CHA92
MIA105
28 Dec 2011
CHA95
MIA96
04 Feb 2011
CHA97
MIA109
03 Jan 2011
CHA82
MIA96
09 Mar 2010
CHA83
MIA78
20 Jan 2010
CHA104
MIA65
03 Apr 2009
CHA92
MIA97
01 Nov 2008
CHA100
MIA87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Charlotte Hornets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Charlotte HornetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHornets
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#9
W
98-93
98
93
+5
88avg 94
H18/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
105-90
105
90
+15
98avg 94
H20/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
109-102
109
102
+7
100avg 94
A22/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
105-112
105
112
-7
89avg 94
H24/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
120-106
120
106
+14
116avg 94
H26/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
108-118
108
118
-10
98avg 94
H28/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
110-106
110
106
+4
98avg 94
A29/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
W
122-114
122
114
+8
116avg 94
H31/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
113-101
113
101
+12
105avg 94
A02/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
111-118
111
118
-7
104avg 94
A04/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
20-20
25-21
34-32
19-19
32-23
32-26
22-22
21-27
27-27
29-28
32-20
31-33
22-26
32-31
20-22
38-18
31-29
29-33
22-26
24-35
26-37
26-22
32-24
22-19
28-28
16-27
44-32
24-32
32-24
30-38
36-20
31-22
28-32
25-16
29-31
24-22
39-29
18-36
30-31
216.1Avg total
110.1Scored
106.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (78)105.6104.6210.2+0.946%
Season at home (39)106.6102.7209.3+3.956%
Season away (39)104.5106.5211.1-2.036%
Last 10 (10)110.1106.0216.1+4.170%
Last 5 (5)112.8111.4224.2+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)103.0116.5219.5-13.50%
vs Similar ◀ (20)105.2107.2212.4-1.935%
vs Weaker (8)108.9101.2210.1+7.675%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
120-112
120
112
+8
114avg 92
H15/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
123-105
123
105
+18
122avg 92
H18/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
104-115
104
115
-11
88avg 92
H19/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
112-97
112
97
+15
96avg 92
H21/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
84-101
84
101
-17
68avg 92
H23/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
108-112
108
112
-4
92avg 92
A26/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
97-96
97
96
+1
88avg 92
A28/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
105-88
105
88
+17
93avg 92
A29/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
L
94-98
94
98
-4
79avg 92
H01/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
L
113-116
113
116
-3
106avg 92
H02/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-21
26-31
31-27
35-33
27-23
37-26
26-32
33-24
29-28
22-24
28-33
25-30
23-26
36-20
25-17
28-34
33-23
14-22
21-30
16-26
27-22
31-31
17-32
33-27
24-24
31-26
23-19
19-27
24-22
25-19
28-27
28-20
29-33
26-26
20-18
19-21
30-37
28-31
29-25
26-23
210.0Avg total
106.0Scored
104.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (77)102.8102.0204.8+0.848%
Season at home (39)105.9102.1208.0+3.954%
Season away (38)99.6101.9201.4-2.342%
Last 10 (10)106.0104.0210.0+2.050%
Last 5 (5)103.4102.0205.4+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)117.0109.0226.0+8.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (19)107.8100.9208.7+6.968%
vs Weaker (10)108.8102.1210.9+6.760%
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -0.3-0.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -0.3-0.3
Charlotte HornetsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Charlotte HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#9
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H18/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H20/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A22/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
53-59
53
59
-6
H24/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
69-47
69
47
+22
H26/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
50-72
50
72
-22
H28/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A29/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
D
56-56
56
56
+0
H31/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
59-54
59
54
+5
A02/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
63-51
63
51
+12
A04/04
NBA
106.0Avg total
53.8Scored
52.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.151.5104.7+1.643%-
Last 30 at home (14)53.349.9103.1+3.443%-
Last 30 away (16)53.053.0106.0+0.044%-
Last 10 (10)53.852.2106.0+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)55.656.0111.6-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)55.063.5118.5-8.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)52.051.9103.9+0.235%-
vs Weaker (8)55.447.8103.1+7.662%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H15/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
64-49
64
49
+15
H18/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H19/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H21/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H23/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
58-53
58
53
+5
A26/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A28/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A29/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
L
55-59
55
59
-4
H01/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
L
58-68
58
68
-10
H02/04
NBA
106.5Avg total
55.0Scored
51.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.252.0109.2+5.263%-
Last 30 at home (17)58.152.1110.2+6.065%-
Last 30 away (13)56.051.8107.8+4.262%-
Last 10 (10)55.051.5106.5+3.570%-
Last 5 (5)55.054.2109.2+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)58.045.0103.0+13.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)58.152.3110.4+5.868%-
vs Weaker (10)55.452.1107.5+3.350%-
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Charlotte Hornetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Charlotte Hornets: 110.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.827.5
52.1%
50.2%55.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.911.7
37.9%
35.7%35.1
🏀 Free throws24.720.0
81.0%
77.0%20.0
They take 83.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 106.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.630.7
52.4%
50.2%61.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.5
34.4%
35.7%28.5
🏀 Free throws21.916.1
73.5%
77.0%16.1
They take 86.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Apr 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Charlotte Hornets
LWWWLWLWWW
Miami Heat
LLWWLLWLWW
#20
League position
#13
+4.3
Net rating
+2.1
115.3
Offensive rating
108.9
111.0
Defensive rating
106.9
53.8%
Effective FG%
52.1%
56.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
9.3%
Turnover %
13.3%
19.7%
Off. rebound %
26.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.25
37.9%
3-point %
34.4%
60.5%
Assist %
51.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.3 · 108.9Defence111.0 · 106.9Shooting53.8% · 52.1%3-point %37.9% · 34.4%Ball care9.3% · 13.3%Off. rebounds19.7% · 26.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Charlotte Hornets   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Charlotte Hornets wins
5
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/17AWashington Wizards111-118
02/04/17AOklahoma City Thunder113-101
31/03/17HDenver Nuggets122-114
29/03/17AToronto Raptors110-106
28/03/17HMilwaukee Bucks108-118
26/03/17HPhoenix Suns120-106
24/03/17HCleveland Cavaliers105-112
22/03/17AOrlando Magic109-102
20/03/17HAtlanta Hawks105-90
18/03/17HWashington Wizards98-93
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/17HDenver Nuggets113-116
01/04/17HNew York Knicks94-98
29/03/17ANew York Knicks105-88
28/03/17ADetroit Pistons97-96
26/03/17ABoston Celtics108-112
23/03/17HToronto Raptors84-101
21/03/17HPhoenix Suns112-97
19/03/17HPortland Trail Blazers104-115
18/03/17HMinnesota Timberwolves123-105
15/03/17HNew Orleans Pelicans120-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL46%
HomeWLWLW56%
AwayLWWWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games783939
Win %46%56%36%
Points / game105.6106.6104.5
Allowed / game104.6102.7106.5
Point differential+0.9+3.9-2.0
Avg total210.2209.3211.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%33%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (22)45% (11)27% (11)
Overtime %8%5%10%
Miami Heat
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL48%
HomeLWLLL54%
AwayWLLWW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games773938
Win %48%54%42%
Points / game102.8105.999.6
Allowed / game102.0102.1101.9
Point differential+0.8+3.9-2.3
Avg total204.8208.0201.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%33%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (20)25% (8)50% (12)
Overtime %3%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors78641482%116.1104.3+11.7
2 San Antonio Spurs77601778%105.998.2+7.8
3 Houston Rockets77522568%115.4109.0+6.4
4 Cleveland Cavaliers77502765%110.5106.9+3.5
5 Boston Celtics77502765%107.8105.1+2.8
6 Utah Jazz78483062%100.696.5+4.1
7 Toronto Raptors78473160%107.1103.1+4.0
8 Los Angeles Clippers78473160%108.5104.9+3.6
9 Washington Wizards78473160%109.4107.5+1.9
10 Oklahoma City Thunder77443357%106.9105.8+1.1
11 Memphis Grizzlies78423654%100.7100.1+0.6
12 Milwaukee Bucks78403851%104.3104.3+0.0
13 Atlanta Hawks77393851%102.7104.0-1.3
14 Chicago Bulls78384049%102.5103.3-0.8
15 Portland Trail Blazers78384049%108.3109.1-0.8
16 Indiana Pacers78384049%104.7105.6-1.0
17 Miami Heat77374048%102.8102.0+0.8
18 Denver Nuggets77374048%111.8111.7+0.1
19 Charlotte Hornets78364246%105.6104.6+0.9
20 Detroit Pistons77354245%101.0102.3-1.3
21 New Orleans Pelicans78334542%104.5106.1-1.6
22 Dallas Mavericks77324542%97.9100.4-2.5
23 Minnesota Timberwolves77314640%105.5106.4-0.9
24 Sacramento Kings78314740%102.4106.4-4.0
25 New York Knicks78304838%104.5108.0-3.5
26 Philadelphia 76ers78285036%102.6108.2-5.6
27 Orlando Magic78275135%100.9107.2-6.3
28 Los Angeles Lakers77225529%104.7112.2-7.4
29 Phoenix Suns78225628%107.3113.3-5.9
30 Brooklyn Nets78195924%106.2112.5-6.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Charlotte Hornets2328222699
Miami Heat27253426112
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