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Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 08 Apr 2016
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 112-109
19-27 34-28 26-25 33-29
Position#20
Record33-45
FormWWLWL
Points / game101.9
Allowed / game103.3
vs
Position#8
Record46-32
FormLWLWW
Points / game99.9
Allowed / game98.3
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Orlando Magic v Miami Heat
05 Apr 2027
ORL v MIA
upcoming
12 Feb 2027
ORL v MIA
upcoming
05 Dec 2025
ORL106
MIA105
22 Oct 2025
ORL125
MIA121
26 Dec 2024
ORL88
MIA89
21 Dec 2024
ORL121
MIA114
21 Jan 2024
ORL105
MIA87
20 Dec 2023
ORL106
MIA115
11 Mar 2023
ORL126
MIA114
11 Feb 2023
ORL103
MIA107
10 Apr 2022
ORL125
MIA111
17 Dec 2021
ORL105
MIA115
14 Mar 2021
ORL97
MIA102
23 Dec 2020
ORL113
MIA107
01 Feb 2020
ORL89
MIA102
03 Jan 2020
ORL105
MIA85
23 Dec 2018
ORL91
MIA115
17 Oct 2018
ORL104
MIA101
30 Dec 2017
ORL111
MIA117
18 Oct 2017
ORL116
MIA109
03 Mar 2017
ORL110
MIA99
26 Oct 2016
ORL96
MIA108
08 Apr 2016
ORL112
MIA109
26 Dec 2015
ORL101
MIA108
25 Feb 2015
ORL90
MIA93
22 Nov 2014
ORL92
MIA99
04 Jan 2014
ORL94
MIA110
20 Nov 2013
ORL92
MIA120
25 Mar 2013
ORL94
MIA108
31 Dec 2012
ORL110
MIA112
13 Mar 2012
ORL104
MIA98
08 Feb 2012
ORL102
MIA89
21 Dec 2011
ORL104
MIA100
03 Feb 2011
ORL100
MIA104
24 Nov 2010
ORL104
MIA95
28 Feb 2010
ORL96
MIA80
25 Nov 2009
ORL98
MIA99
22 Feb 2009
ORL122
MIA99
02 Jan 2009
ORL86
MIA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orlando Magic winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
100-105
100
105
-5
90avg 93
A20/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
L
96-107
96
107
-11
77avg 93
A21/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
102-118
102
118
-16
87avg 93
A23/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
L
97-108
97
108
-11
84avg 93
A26/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
111-89
111
89
+22
114avg 93
H26/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
139-105
139
105
+34
141avg 93
H29/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
114-94
114
94
+20
108avg 93
A31/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
L
110-113
110
113
-3
110avg 93
A02/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
119-107
119
107
+12
111avg 93
H03/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
104-108
104
108
-4
98avg 93
H06/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-30
30-23
27-27
18-25
17-22
32-34
29-35
18-16
21-32
36-34
30-30
15-22
31-28
26-26
12-31
28-23
36-22
32-28
21-21
22-18
32-23
41-22
30-28
36-32
33-28
24-23
32-28
25-15
22-31
35-27
28-26
25-29
29-30
38-26
30-29
22-22
21-25
30-19
26-29
27-35
214.6Avg total
109.2Scored
105.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (78)101.9103.3205.3-1.442%
Season at home (39)104.3102.1206.4+2.254%
Season away (39)99.6104.6204.2-4.931%
Last 10 (10)109.2105.4214.6+3.840%
Last 5 (5)117.2105.4222.6+11.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)103.1108.8211.9-5.722%
vs Similar ◀ (16)105.0106.4211.4-1.444%
vs Weaker (5)115.0109.0224.0+6.060%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
122-101
122
101
+21
121avg 92
H19/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
113-99
113
99
+14
108avg 92
A23/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
88-112
88
112
-24
81avg 92
A24/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
108-97
108
97
+11
103avg 92
H26/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
110-99
110
99
+11
103avg 92
H28/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
L
100-102 OT
100
102
-2
98avg 92
A31/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
112-106
112
106
+6
106avg 92
A02/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
93-110
93
110
-17
74avg 92
A03/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
107-89
107
89
+18
100avg 92
H06/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
106-98
106
98
+8
93avg 92
H08/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-19
34-25
33-26
24-31
35-21
24-19
27-33
27-26
21-26
26-30
16-32
25-24
28-31
26-26
31-12
23-28
27-27
30-25
25-23
28-24
27-25
21-16
19-26
20-20
39-24
27-24
26-28
20-30
22-20
20-39
25-28
26-23
25-19
29-17
28-27
25-26
21-22
19-24
35-23
31-29
207.2Avg total
105.9Scored
101.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (78)99.998.3198.2+1.559%
Season at home (40)102.897.9200.8+4.968%
Season away (38)96.798.8195.5-2.150%
Last 10 (10)105.9101.3207.2+4.670%
Last 5 (5)103.6101.0204.6+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)105.8112.5218.2-6.825%
vs Similar ◀ (16)104.8101.3206.1+3.462%
vs Weaker (10)108.8101.2210.0+7.680%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +6.2+6.2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -1.2-1.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +6.2+6.2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -1.2-1.2
Orlando MagicMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A20/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A21/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
57-66
57
66
-9
A23/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A26/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
68-50
68
50
+18
H26/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
73-45
73
45
+28
H29/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A31/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A02/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
67-56
67
56
+11
H03/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H06/04
NBA
112.4Avg total
59.1Scored
53.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.954.3109.2+0.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.051.1109.1+6.973%-
Last 30 away (15)51.857.5109.3-5.740%-
Last 10 (10)59.153.3112.4+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)61.050.8111.8+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)50.154.4104.6-4.344%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)54.954.8109.7+0.156%-
vs Weaker (5)63.652.2115.8+11.480%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
65-44
65
44
+21
H19/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
59-40
59
40
+19
A23/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A24/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H26/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H28/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A31/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
66-48
66
48
+18
A02/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A03/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H06/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H08/04
NBA
101.1Avg total
53.2Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.449.8102.2+2.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.549.6103.1+3.953%-
Last 30 away (15)51.350.1101.3+1.247%-
Last 10 (10)53.247.9101.1+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)50.046.096.0+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)53.551.2104.8+2.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)50.150.6100.8-0.531%-
vs Weaker (10)55.548.0103.5+7.580%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 109.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀66%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers72.6 pts a game · 66% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers68.336.3
53.1%
49.0%72.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.17.5
35.5%
35.3%22.5
🏀 Free throws19.314.1
73.1%
75.5%14.1
They take 89.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 24% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 105.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀67%
🏀🏀🏀18%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers71.0 pts a game · 67% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.635.5
52.5%
49.0%71.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.96.5
38.5%
35.3%19.5
🏀 Free throws20.815.4
74.0%
75.5%15.4
They take 84.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 16.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 20% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Apr 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Orlando Magic
LWLWWWLLLL
Miami Heat
WWLWLWWLWW
#20
League position
#8
+3.8
Net rating
+4.8
110.3
Offensive rating
110.7
106.5
Defensive rating
105.9
53.2%
Effective FG%
53.6%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
12.4%
Turnover %
13.3%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
26.7%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.25
35.5%
3-point %
38.5%
60.0%
Assist %
53.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.3 · 110.7Defence106.5 · 105.9Shooting53.2% · 53.6%3-point %35.5% · 38.5%Ball care12.4% · 13.3%Off. rebounds25.8% · 26.7%Free throws0.22 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Orlando Magic   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Orlando Magic wins
9
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/16HDetroit Pistons104-108
03/04/16HMemphis Grizzlies119-107
02/04/16AMilwaukee Bucks110-113
31/03/16AIndiana Pacers114-94
29/03/16HBrooklyn Nets139-105
26/03/16HChicago Bulls111-89
26/03/16AMiami Heat97-108
23/03/16ADetroit Pistons102-118
21/03/16ABoston Celtics96-107
20/03/16AToronto Raptors100-105
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/16HChicago Bulls106-98
06/04/16HDetroit Pistons107-89
03/04/16APortland Trail Blazers93-110
02/04/16ASacramento Kings112-106
31/03/16ALos Angeles Lakers100-102 OT
28/03/16HBrooklyn Nets110-99
26/03/16HOrlando Magic108-97
24/03/16ASan Antonio Spurs88-112
23/03/16ANew Orleans Pelicans113-99
19/03/16HCleveland Cavaliers122-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orlando Magic
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL42%
HomeLWWWL54%
AwayLLLWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games783939
Win %42%54%31%
Points / game101.9104.399.6
Allowed / game103.3102.1104.6
Point differential-1.4+2.2-4.9
Avg total205.3206.4204.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%23%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won32% (22)43% (14)12% (8)
Overtime %10%13%8%
Miami Heat
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW59%
HomeWWWWW68%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games784038
Win %59%68%50%
Points / game99.9102.896.7
Allowed / game98.397.998.8
Point differential+1.5+5.0-2.1
Avg total198.2200.8195.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%38%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (18)78% (9)78% (9)
Overtime %8%8%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors7970989%115.2104.4+10.8
2 San Antonio Spurs78651383%103.992.8+11.2
3 Cleveland Cavaliers79562371%104.298.1+6.1
4 Oklahoma City Thunder79542568%110.3103.1+7.2
5 Toronto Raptors78522667%102.598.4+4.1
6 Los Angeles Clippers78502864%104.5100.4+4.2
7 Atlanta Hawks79473259%102.898.9+3.9
8 Boston Celtics78463259%105.6102.3+3.4
9 Miami Heat78463259%99.998.3+1.5
10 Charlotte Hornets78453358%103.0100.5+2.5
11 Indiana Pacers78423654%101.9100.5+1.4
12 Memphis Grizzlies78423654%99.3100.9-1.6
13 Portland Trail Blazers80433754%105.1104.4+0.8
14 Detroit Pistons79423753%101.8101.3+0.5
15 Dallas Mavericks78403851%102.6103.0-0.4
16 Utah Jazz78393950%97.795.8+1.9
17 Chicago Bulls79394049%101.2102.9-1.8
18 Washington Wizards78384049%103.8104.6-0.8
19 Houston Rockets79384148%105.8106.6-0.8
20 Orlando Magic78334542%101.9103.3-1.4
21 Milwaukee Bucks78324641%98.9102.9-4.0
22 Denver Nuggets79324741%102.2105.1-3.0
23 Sacramento Kings79314839%106.8109.0-2.2
24 New York Knicks79314839%98.4101.2-2.7
25 New Orleans Pelicans78294937%102.4105.7-3.3
26 Minnesota Timberwolves79275234%101.8105.6-3.8
27 Brooklyn Nets78215727%98.4105.5-7.0
28 Phoenix Suns79215827%100.4107.7-7.2
29 Los Angeles Lakers78166221%97.3106.6-9.3
30 Philadelphia 76ers78106813%97.1107.3-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Orlando Magic19342633112
Miami Heat27282529109
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