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Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Apr 2016
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 96-80
29-28 20-16 26-14 21-22
Position#7
Record55-37
FormLWWLL
Points / game102.9
Allowed / game100.1
vs
Position#9
Record54-38
FormWWLWW
Points / game100.1
Allowed / game98.2
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Charlotte Hornets v Miami Heat
30 Mar 2027
CHA v MIA
upcoming
24 Oct 2026
CHA115
MIA110
14 Apr 2026
CHA127
MIA126
17 Mar 2026
CHA136
MIA106
06 Mar 2026
CHA120
MIA128
27 Nov 2024
CHA94
MIA98
26 Oct 2024
CHA106
MIA114
08 Oct 2024
CHA111
MIA108
11 Dec 2023
CHA114
MIA116
14 Nov 2023
CHA105
MIA111
25 Feb 2023
CHA108
MIA103
29 Jan 2023
CHA122
MIA117
17 Feb 2022
CHA107
MIA111
05 Feb 2022
CHA86
MIA104
02 May 2021
CHA111
MIA121
26 Mar 2021
CHA110
MIA105
13 Apr 2020
CHA v MIA
upcoming
30 Mar 2020
CHA v MIA
upcoming
09 Oct 2019
CHA94
MIA108
06 Mar 2019
CHA84
MIA91
30 Oct 2018
CHA125
MIA113
02 Oct 2018
CHA122
MIA113
20 Jan 2018
CHA105
MIA106
15 Dec 2017
CHA98
MIA104
05 Apr 2017
CHA99
MIA112
29 Dec 2016
CHA91
MIA82
20 Oct 2016
CHA96
MIA88
29 Apr 2016
CHA90
MIA97
25 Apr 2016
CHA89
MIA85
23 Apr 2016
CHA96
MIA80
05 Feb 2016
CHA95
MIA98
09 Dec 2015
CHA99
MIA81
21 Jan 2015
CHA78
MIA76
05 Nov 2014
CHA96
MIA89
28 Apr 2014
CHA98
MIA109
26 Apr 2014
CHA85
MIA98
18 Jan 2014
CHA96
MIA104
16 Nov 2013
CHA81
MIA97
05 Apr 2013
CHA79
MIA89
26 Dec 2012
CHA92
MIA105
23 Oct 2012
CHA92
MIA98
28 Dec 2011
CHA95
MIA96
04 Feb 2011
CHA97
MIA109
03 Jan 2011
CHA82
MIA96
09 Mar 2010
CHA83
MIA78
20 Jan 2010
CHA104
MIA65
03 Apr 2009
CHA92
MIA97
01 Nov 2008
CHA100
MIA87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Charlotte Hornets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Charlotte HornetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
100-91
100
91
+9
H01/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
103-112
103
112
-9
A03/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
90-96
90
96
-6
A05/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
111-97
111
97
+14
A06/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
113-99
113
99
+14
H08/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#16
L
98-113
98
113
-15
A10/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
114-100
114
100
+14
A11/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
117-103
117
103
+14
H14/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#9
L
91-123
91
123
-32
A17/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#9
L
103-115
103
115
-12
A20/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
34-25
22-16
19-25
19-29
23-29
29-28
32-26
16-26
26-30
17-19
31-21
30-25
23-27
28-20
30-25
25-25
25-18
34-21
29-35
27-28
21-27
26-31
24-27
24-28
39-13
31-31
20-28
38-22
28-28
20-29
31-24
22-41
28-26
24-30
17-26
29-29
31-43
18-19
25-24
208.9Avg total
104.0Scored
104.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (92)102.9100.1202.9+2.860%
Season at home (44)105.098.5203.6+6.575%
Season away (48)100.9101.5202.4-0.646%
Last 10 (10)104.0104.9208.9-0.950%
Last 5 (5)104.6110.8215.4-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)91.088.0179.0+3.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (16)103.9105.5209.4-1.650%
vs Weaker (13)108.698.0206.6+10.685%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
112-106
112
106
+6
A02/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
93-110
93
110
-17
A03/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#15
W
107-89
107
89
+18
H06/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
106-98
106
98
+8
H08/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
109-112
109
112
-3
A08/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
118-96
118
96
+22
H10/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#15
W
99-93
99
93
+6
A12/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
88-98
88
98
-10
A14/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
123-91
123
91
+32
H17/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
115-103
115
103
+12
H20/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-24
27-24
26-28
20-30
22-20
20-39
25-28
26-23
25-19
29-17
28-27
25-26
21-22
19-24
35-23
31-29
27-19
28-34
25-26
29-33
31-28
25-21
33-20
29-27
19-17
31-33
21-19
28-24
35-13
27-25
5-25
21-35
41-22
26-28
30-24
26-17
29-29
43-31
19-18
24-25
206.6Avg total
107.0Scored
99.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (92)100.198.2198.3+1.959%
Season at home (47)103.297.8201.0+5.468%
Season away (45)96.998.6195.5-1.749%
Last 10 (10)107.099.6206.6+7.470%
Last 5 (5)108.696.2204.8+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)100.0115.0215.0-15.00%
vs Similar ◀ (19)108.5100.5209.0+7.968%
vs Weaker (9)108.4100.7209.1+7.878%
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +7.6+7.6Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -1.0-1.0
Charlotte HornetsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Charlotte HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
59-50
59
50
+9
H01/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
42-58
42
58
-16
A03/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A05/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
53-52
53
52
+1
A06/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H08/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#16
L
48-55
48
55
-7
A10/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
63-41
63
41
+22
A11/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
66-50
66
50
+16
H14/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#9
L
50-67
50
67
-17
A17/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#9
L
60-72
60
72
-12
A20/04
NBA
107.7Avg total
53.3Scored
54.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.951.6104.6+1.360%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.250.5105.7+4.669%-
Last 30 away (17)51.252.5103.7-1.253%-
Last 10 (10)53.354.4107.7-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)57.457.0114.4+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.051.087.0-15.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)54.155.3109.4-1.250%-
vs Weaker (13)52.847.2100.0+5.777%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
66-48
66
48
+18
A02/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A03/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#15
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H06/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H08/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A08/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H10/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#15
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A12/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
62-38
62
38
+24
A14/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
67-50
67
50
+17
H17/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H20/04
NBA
105.3Avg total
56.4Scored
48.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.749.7104.3+5.063%-
Last 30 at home (16)56.650.2106.8+6.469%-
Last 30 away (14)52.549.1101.6+3.457%-
Last 10 (10)56.448.9105.3+7.570%-
Last 5 (5)61.449.4110.8+12.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)51.053.5104.5-2.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)55.250.1105.3+5.258%-
vs Weaker (9)54.348.0102.3+6.378%-
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Charlotte Hornetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Charlotte Hornets: 104.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.527.0
49.5%
49.0%54.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.7
34.9%
35.3%29.1
🏀 Free throws25.820.9
81.0%
75.5%20.9
They take 82.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 107.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀65%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers69.8 pts a game · 65% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.634.9
52.4%
49.0%69.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.47.2
39.1%
35.3%21.6
🏀 Free throws20.315.6
76.8%
75.5%15.6
They take 85.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 22% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Apr 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Charlotte Hornets
LLWWLWWLLW
Miami Heat
WWLWWLWWLW
#7
League position
#9
-0.9
Net rating
+7.9
108.9
Offensive rating
113.5
109.9
Defensive rating
105.7
50.5%
Effective FG%
53.8%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.0%
11.4%
Turnover %
11.7%
21.5%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.24
34.9%
3-point %
39.1%
56.4%
Assist %
47.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.9 · 113.5Defence109.9 · 105.7Shooting50.5% · 53.8%3-point %34.9% · 39.1%Ball care11.4% · 11.7%Off. rebounds21.5% · 27.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Charlotte Hornets   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Charlotte Hornets wins
6
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/16AMiami Heat103-115
17/04/16AMiami Heat91-123
14/04/16HOrlando Magic117-103
11/04/16ABoston Celtics114-100
10/04/16AWashington Wizards98-113
08/04/16HBrooklyn Nets113-99
06/04/16ANew York Knicks111-97
05/04/16AToronto Raptors90-96
03/04/16ACleveland Cavaliers103-112
01/04/16HPhiladelphia 76ers100-91
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/16HCharlotte Hornets115-103
17/04/16HCharlotte Hornets123-91
14/04/16ABoston Celtics88-98
12/04/16ADetroit Pistons99-93
10/04/16HOrlando Magic118-96
08/04/16AOrlando Magic109-112
08/04/16HChicago Bulls106-98
06/04/16HDetroit Pistons107-89
03/04/16APortland Trail Blazers93-110
02/04/16ASacramento Kings112-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL60%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayWLWLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games924448
Win %60%75%46%
Points / game102.9105.0100.9
Allowed / game100.198.5101.5
Point differential+2.8+6.5-0.6
Avg total202.9203.6202.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%39%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (25)64% (14)64% (11)
Overtime %5%7%4%
Miami Heat
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW59%
HomeWWWWW68%
AwayWLLWL49%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games924745
Win %59%68%49%
Points / game100.1103.296.9
Allowed / game98.297.898.6
Point differential+1.9+5.4-1.7
Avg total198.3201.0195.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%38%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won68% (25)75% (12)62% (13)
Overtime %8%6%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors92781485%113.7103.8+9.9
2 San Antonio Spurs91721979%102.792.5+10.2
3 Oklahoma City Thunder90612968%109.8102.0+7.8
4 Toronto Raptors93633068%101.797.3+4.4
5 Cleveland Cavaliers92613166%103.698.4+5.2
6 Los Angeles Clippers90583264%104.1100.1+4.1
7 Charlotte Hornets92553760%102.9100.1+2.8
8 Boston Celtics90533759%105.0101.8+3.2
9 Atlanta Hawks92543859%101.998.7+3.3
10 Miami Heat92543859%100.198.2+1.9
11 Indiana Pacers93524156%101.899.9+1.8
12 Portland Trail Blazers91474452%104.7104.2+0.4
13 Memphis Grizzlies91474452%97.699.9-2.3
14 Chicago Bulls90464451%101.6103.3-1.7
15 Detroit Pistons93474651%101.8101.0+0.8
16 Washington Wizards88444450%104.4104.6-0.2
17 Houston Rockets93454848%106.2106.5-0.3
18 Utah Jazz89434648%97.796.0+1.7
19 Dallas Mavericks92434947%100.8102.6-1.8
20 Orlando Magic89404945%102.0103.3-1.4
21 Sacramento Kings88385043%106.2108.3-2.0
22 Denver Nuggets89375242%101.7104.3-2.6
23 New York Knicks87355240%98.3100.8-2.5
24 Milwaukee Bucks88355340%99.2103.3-4.1
25 New Orleans Pelicans89335637%102.8106.6-3.8
26 Minnesota Timberwolves89315835%101.8105.9-4.1
27 Phoenix Suns88276131%101.0107.0-6.0
28 Brooklyn Nets87236426%98.6105.6-6.9
29 Los Angeles Lakers89197021%97.2106.7-9.5
30 Philadelphia 76ers89127713%97.3107.4-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Charlotte Hornets2920262196
Miami Heat2816142280
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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