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Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Apr 2016
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 98-88
13-35 25-27 25-5 35-21
Position#9
Record47-34
FormWWWLL
Points / game105.8
Allowed / game102.7
vs
Position#8
Record48-33
FormWWLWW
Points / game100.2
Allowed / game98.4
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Miami Heat
02 Apr 2027
BOS v MIA
upcoming
25 Dec 2026
BOS v MIA
upcoming
06 Feb 2026
BOS98
MIA96
19 Dec 2025
BOS129
MIA116
02 Apr 2025
BOS103
MIA124
02 Dec 2024
BOS108
MIA89
01 May 2024
BOS118
MIA84
24 Apr 2024
BOS101
MIA111
21 Apr 2024
BOS114
MIA94
27 Oct 2023
BOS119
MIA111
29 May 2023
BOS84
MIA103
25 May 2023
BOS110
MIA97
19 May 2023
BOS105
MIA111
17 May 2023
BOS116
MIA123
02 Dec 2022
BOS116
MIA120
30 Nov 2022
BOS134
MIA121
27 May 2022
BOS103
MIA111
23 May 2022
BOS102
MIA82
21 May 2022
BOS103
MIA109
30 Mar 2022
BOS98
MIA106
31 Jan 2022
BOS122
MIA92
11 May 2021
BOS121
MIA129
09 May 2021
BOS124
MIA130
25 Sep 2020
BOS121
MIA108
17 Sep 2020
BOS101
MIA106
15 Sep 2020
BOS114
MIA117
04 Dec 2019
BOS112
MIA93
01 Apr 2019
BOS110
MIA105
21 Jan 2019
BOS107
MIA99
20 Dec 2017
BOS89
MIA90
26 Mar 2017
BOS112
MIA108
30 Dec 2016
BOS117
MIA114
13 Apr 2016
BOS98
MIA88
27 Feb 2016
BOS101
MIA89
25 Mar 2015
BOS86
MIA93
01 Feb 2015
BOS75
MIA83
19 Mar 2014
BOS101
MIA96
18 Mar 2013
BOS103
MIA105
27 Jan 2013
BOS100
MIA98
07 Jun 2012
BOS79
MIA98
03 Jun 2012
BOS93
MIA91
01 Jun 2012
BOS101
MIA91
24 Apr 2012
BOS78
MIA66
01 Apr 2012
BOS91
MIA72
09 May 2011
BOS90
MIA98
07 May 2011
BOS97
MIA81
13 Feb 2011
BOS85
MIA82
26 Oct 2010
BOS88
MIA80
27 Apr 2010
BOS96
MIA86
20 Apr 2010
BOS106
MIA77
17 Apr 2010
BOS85
MIA76
03 Feb 2010
BOS107
MIA102
10 Apr 2009
BOS105
MIA98
18 Mar 2009
BOS112
MIA108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
91-79
91
79
+12
87avg 96
H23/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
102-99
102
99
+3
90avg 96
A27/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
90-114
90
114
-24
72avg 96
A29/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
109-116
109
116
-7
97avg 96
A01/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
109-106
109
106
+3
102avg 96
A02/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
107-100
107
100
+7
104avg 96
A04/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
104-97
104
97
+7
93avg 96
H06/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
124-109
124
109
+15
125avg 96
H08/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
107-118
107
118
-11
95avg 96
A09/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
100-114
100
114
-14
84avg 96
H11/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
21-21
23-16
22-17
35-22
23-19
23-34
21-24
24-30
26-37
20-25
20-22
31-30
27-24
25-27
26-35
21-23
24-20
37-36
27-27
31-26
26-22
20-27
30-25
23-17
30-28
23-28
28-24
30-35
35-23
36-22
23-29
32-34
39-33
20-26
16-25
28-24
13-39
31-31
28-20
209.5Avg total
104.3Scored
105.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (81)105.8102.7208.5+3.158%
Season at home (40)106.2100.8207.1+5.568%
Season away (41)105.4104.5209.9+0.949%
Last 10 (10)104.3105.2209.5-0.960%
Last 5 (5)108.4107.6216.0+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)109.0118.0227.0-9.050%
vs Similar ◀ (15)102.7106.4209.1-3.740%
vs Weaker (13)113.8105.3219.1+8.585%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#20
W
108-97
108
97
+11
103avg 92
H26/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
110-99
110
99
+11
103avg 92
H28/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
L
100-102 OT
100
102
-2
98avg 92
A31/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
112-106
112
106
+6
106avg 92
A02/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
93-110
93
110
-17
74avg 92
A03/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
107-89
107
89
+18
100avg 92
H06/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
106-98
106
98
+8
93avg 92
H08/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
109-112
109
112
-3
92avg 92
A08/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
118-96
118
96
+22
120avg 92
H10/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
99-93
99
93
+6
87avg 92
A12/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-31
26-26
31-12
23-28
27-27
30-25
25-23
28-24
27-25
21-16
19-26
20-20
39-24
27-24
26-28
20-30
22-20
20-39
25-28
26-23
25-19
29-17
28-27
25-26
21-22
19-24
35-23
31-29
27-19
28-34
25-26
29-33
31-28
25-21
33-20
29-27
19-17
31-33
21-19
28-24
206.4Avg total
106.2Scored
100.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (81)100.298.4198.6+1.859%
Season at home (41)103.297.9201.1+5.468%
Season away (40)97.199.0196.1-1.950%
Last 10 (10)106.2100.2206.4+6.070%
Last 5 (5)107.897.6205.4+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)105.8112.5218.2-6.825%
vs Similar ◀ (16)106.8101.4208.2+5.462%
vs Weaker (10)108.8101.2210.0+7.680%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.5-0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.5-0.5
Boston CelticsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#5
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H23/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
58-41
58
41
+17
A27/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
50-67
50
67
-17
A29/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
58-54
58
54
+4
A01/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A02/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
57-48
57
48
+9
A04/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H06/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
65-58
65
58
+7
H08/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A09/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
41-63
41
63
-22
H11/04
NBA
107.6Avg total
54.4Scored
53.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.753.0106.8+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.754.0108.7+0.747%-
Last 30 away (15)52.752.1104.8+0.753%-
Last 10 (10)54.453.2107.6+1.270%-
Last 5 (5)57.456.2113.6+1.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)50.054.5104.5-4.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)50.454.2104.6-3.827%-
vs Weaker (13)58.251.5109.6+6.777%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#20
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H26/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H28/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A31/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
66-48
66
48
+18
A02/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A03/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H06/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H08/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A08/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H10/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A12/04
NBA
101.3Avg total
52.2Scored
49.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.849.8102.6+3.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)53.649.6103.2+4.156%-
Last 30 away (14)51.850.1101.9+1.750%-
Last 10 (10)52.249.1101.3+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)51.046.897.8+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)53.551.2104.8+2.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)50.950.6101.4+0.338%-
vs Weaker (10)55.548.0103.5+7.580%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 104.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.829.1
47.1%
49.0%58.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.3
33.9%
35.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws27.921.2
76.0%
75.5%21.2
They take 86.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 106.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀67%
🏀🏀🏀18%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers70.8 pts a game · 67% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.235.4
52.7%
49.0%70.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.96.5
36.3%
35.3%19.5
🏀 Free throws21.915.9
72.6%
75.5%15.9
They take 85.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 21% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Apr 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
LLWWWWLLWW
Miami Heat
WWLWWLWLWW
#9
League position
#8
-0.9
Net rating
+6.2
103.2
Offensive rating
110.0
104.1
Defensive rating
103.8
48.1%
Effective FG%
53.1%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
13.3%
Turnover %
13.2%
24.0%
Off. rebound %
26.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.9%
3-point %
36.3%
62.0%
Assist %
50.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence103.2 · 110.0Defence104.1 · 103.8Shooting48.1% · 53.1%3-point %33.9% · 36.3%Ball care13.3% · 13.2%Off. rebounds24.0% · 26.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Boston Celtics wins
5
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/16HCharlotte Hornets100-114
09/04/16AAtlanta Hawks107-118
08/04/16HMilwaukee Bucks124-109
06/04/16HNew Orleans Pelicans104-97
04/04/16ALos Angeles Lakers107-100
02/04/16AGolden State Warriors109-106
01/04/16APortland Trail Blazers109-116
29/03/16ALos Angeles Clippers90-114
27/03/16APhoenix Suns102-99
23/03/16HToronto Raptors91-79
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/16ADetroit Pistons99-93
10/04/16HOrlando Magic118-96
08/04/16AOrlando Magic109-112
08/04/16HChicago Bulls106-98
06/04/16HDetroit Pistons107-89
03/04/16APortland Trail Blazers93-110
02/04/16ASacramento Kings112-106
31/03/16ALos Angeles Lakers100-102 OT
28/03/16HBrooklyn Nets110-99
26/03/16HOrlando Magic108-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL58%
HomeWWWWL68%
AwayLLWWL49%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games814041
Win %58%68%49%
Points / game105.8106.2105.4
Allowed / game102.7100.8104.5
Point differential+3.1+5.5+0.9
Avg total208.5207.1209.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%35%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (25)55% (11)36% (14)
Overtime %4%5%2%
Miami Heat
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW59%
HomeWWWWW68%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games814140
Win %59%68%50%
Points / game100.2103.297.1
Allowed / game98.497.999.0
Point differential+1.8+5.4-1.9
Avg total198.6201.1196.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%39%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won74% (19)78% (9)70% (10)
Overtime %7%7%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors8172989%114.8104.1+10.6
2 San Antonio Spurs81661581%103.692.9+10.7
3 Cleveland Cavaliers81572470%104.398.2+6.1
4 Toronto Raptors81552668%102.798.2+4.5
5 Oklahoma City Thunder82552767%110.2102.9+7.3
6 Los Angeles Clippers81532865%104.5100.0+4.4
7 Atlanta Hawks81483359%102.999.1+3.8
8 Miami Heat81483359%100.298.4+1.8
9 Boston Celtics81473458%105.8102.7+3.1
10 Charlotte Hornets81473458%103.2100.7+2.6
11 Indiana Pacers81443754%102.2100.6+1.7
12 Portland Trail Blazers81433853%105.1104.4+0.7
13 Detroit Pistons81433853%101.8101.2+0.6
14 Dallas Mavericks81423952%102.4102.7-0.2
15 Memphis Grizzlies81423952%99.0101.0-2.0
16 Chicago Bulls81414051%101.5103.1-1.6
17 Utah Jazz81404149%97.795.8+1.9
18 Houston Rockets81404149%106.4106.7-0.2
19 Washington Wizards81404149%104.0104.7-0.6
20 Orlando Magic81354643%102.0103.5-1.5
21 Sacramento Kings81334841%106.9109.0-2.1
22 Denver Nuggets81334841%101.9105.0-3.0
23 Milwaukee Bucks81334841%99.1103.3-4.2
24 New York Knicks82325039%98.4101.1-2.7
25 New Orleans Pelicans81305137%102.6106.0-3.4
26 Minnesota Timberwolves81285335%101.9105.9-4.0
27 Phoenix Suns81225927%100.7107.6-6.9
28 Brooklyn Nets81216026%98.7106.0-7.4
29 Los Angeles Lakers81166520%97.3107.0-9.7
30 Philadelphia 76ers81107112%97.3107.6-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics1325253598
Miami Heat352752188
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