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Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Apr 2016
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 115-103
29-29 43-31 19-18 24-25
Position#8
Record49-34
FormLWWLW
Points / game100.3
Allowed / game98.3
vs
Position#7
Record48-35
FormWLWWL
Points / game103.3
Allowed / game101.0
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Miami Heat v Charlotte Hornets
02 Feb 2027
MIA v CHA
upcoming
27 Dec 2026
MIA v CHA
upcoming
07 Nov 2025
MIA126
CHA108
28 Oct 2025
MIA144
CHA117
23 Mar 2025
MIA122
CHA105
10 Mar 2025
MIA102
CHA105
14 Jan 2024
MIA104
CHA87
13 Dec 2023
MIA115
CHA104
12 Nov 2022
MIA132
CHA115
10 Nov 2022
MIA117
CHA112
05 Apr 2022
MIA144
CHA115
29 Oct 2021
MIA114
CHA99
01 Feb 2021
MIA121
CHA129
11 Mar 2020
MIA98
CHA109
25 Nov 2019
MIA117
CHA100
17 Mar 2019
MIA93
CHA75
20 Oct 2018
MIA112
CHA113
27 Jan 2018
MIA95
CHA91
01 Dec 2017
MIA105
CHA100
08 Mar 2017
MIA108
CHA101
28 Oct 2016
MIA91
CHA97
01 May 2016
MIA106
CHA73
27 Apr 2016
MIA88
CHA90
20 Apr 2016
MIA115
CHA103
17 Apr 2016
MIA123
CHA91
17 Mar 2016
MIA106
CHA109
28 Oct 2015
MIA104
CHA94
07 Apr 2015
MIA105
CHA100
23 Nov 2014
MIA94
CHA93
23 Apr 2014
MIA101
CHA97
20 Apr 2014
MIA99
CHA88
03 Mar 2014
MIA124
CHA107
01 Dec 2013
MIA99
CHA98
24 Mar 2013
MIA109
CHA77
04 Feb 2013
MIA99
CHA94
13 Apr 2012
MIA105
CHA82
01 Jan 2012
MIA129
CHA90
08 Apr 2011
MIA112
CHA103
19 Nov 2010
MIA95
CHA87
20 Mar 2010
MIA77
CHA71
02 Jan 2010
MIA97
CHA107
08 Feb 2009
MIA96
CHA92
08 Dec 2008
MIA100
CHA96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Charlotte Hornets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
L
100-102 OT
100
102
-2
98avg 92
A31/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
112-106
112
106
+6
106avg 92
A02/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
93-110
93
110
-17
74avg 92
A03/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
107-89
107
89
+18
100avg 92
H06/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
106-98
106
98
+8
93avg 92
H08/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
109-112
109
112
-3
92avg 92
A08/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
118-96
118
96
+22
120avg 92
H10/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
99-93
99
93
+6
87avg 92
A12/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
L
88-98
88
98
-10
73avg 92
A14/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
123-91
123
91
+32
121avg 92
H17/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-25
21-16
19-26
20-20
39-24
27-24
26-28
20-30
22-20
20-39
25-28
26-23
25-19
29-17
28-27
25-26
21-22
19-24
35-23
31-29
27-19
28-34
25-26
29-33
31-28
25-21
33-20
29-27
19-17
31-33
21-19
28-24
35-13
27-25
5-25
21-35
41-22
26-28
30-24
26-17
205.0Avg total
105.5Scored
99.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (83)100.398.3198.6+2.059%
Season at home (42)103.797.7201.4+6.069%
Season away (41)96.999.0195.8-2.149%
Last 10 (10)105.599.5205.0+6.060%
Last 5 (5)107.498.0205.4+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)107.3110.3217.7-3.033%
vs Similar ◀ (17)107.5100.6208.1+6.865%
vs Weaker (10)108.8101.2210.0+7.680%
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHornets
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
100-85
100
85
+15
104avg 94
A29/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
100-91
100
91
+9
97avg 94
H01/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
103-112
103
112
-9
97avg 94
A03/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
90-96
90
96
-6
74avg 94
A05/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
W
111-97
111
97
+14
96avg 94
A06/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
113-99
113
99
+14
109avg 94
H08/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
98-113
98
113
-15
88avg 94
A10/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
W
114-100
114
100
+14
110avg 94
A11/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
117-103
117
103
+14
118avg 94
H14/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
L
91-123
91
123
-32
75avg 94
A17/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
29-17
25-26
23-23
25-25
34-25
22-16
19-25
19-29
23-29
29-28
32-26
16-26
26-30
17-19
31-21
30-25
23-27
28-20
30-25
25-25
25-18
34-21
29-35
27-28
21-27
26-31
24-27
24-28
39-13
31-31
20-28
38-22
28-28
20-29
31-24
22-41
28-26
24-30
17-26
205.6Avg total
103.7Scored
101.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (83)103.3101.0204.2+2.358%
Season at home (41)105.599.1204.6+6.473%
Season away (42)101.1102.8203.9-1.743%
Last 10 (10)103.7101.9205.6+1.860%
Last 5 (5)106.6107.6214.2-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)99.0104.7203.7-5.733%
vs Similar ◀ (14)103.6103.9207.4-0.357%
vs Weaker (13)108.897.1205.8+11.792%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +7.8+7.8Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -0.4-0.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +7.8+7.8Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -0.4-0.4
Miami HeatCharlotte Hornets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A31/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
66-48
66
48
+18
A02/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A03/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H06/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H08/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A08/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H10/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A12/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
W
62-38
62
38
+24
A14/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
67-50
67
50
+17
H17/04
NBA
101.0Avg total
54.0Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.049.4103.4+4.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.549.5105.1+6.067%-
Last 30 away (15)52.549.3101.7+3.253%-
Last 10 (10)54.047.0101.0+7.070%-
Last 5 (5)58.048.0106.0+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)55.750.3106.0+5.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)52.850.1102.9+2.847%-
vs Weaker (10)55.548.0103.5+7.580%-
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A29/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
59-50
59
50
+9
H01/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
42-58
42
58
-16
A03/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A05/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
W
53-52
53
52
+1
A06/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H08/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
48-55
48
55
-7
A10/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
W
63-41
63
41
+22
A11/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
66-50
66
50
+16
H14/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
L
50-67
50
67
-17
A17/04
NBA
103.3Avg total
52.5Scored
50.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.751.0103.6+1.760%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.250.5105.7+4.669%-
Last 30 away (17)50.851.3102.1-0.553%-
Last 10 (10)52.550.8103.3+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)55.451.2106.6+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.357.3100.7-14.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)53.153.1106.3+0.057%-
vs Weaker (13)54.347.2101.5+7.277%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 105.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀67%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers70.4 pts a game · 67% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.535.2
52.1%
49.0%70.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.56.6
35.7%
35.3%19.8
🏀 Free throws20.715.3
73.9%
75.5%15.3
They take 86.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 22% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Charlotte Hornetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Charlotte Hornets: 103.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.426.4
49.4%
49.0%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.710.3
35.9%
35.3%30.9
🏀 Free throws24.320.0
82.3%
75.5%20.0
They take 82.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Apr 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WLWWLWWLWL
Charlotte Hornets
LWWLWWLLWW
#8
League position
#7
+6.3
Net rating
+1.9
110.8
Offensive rating
107.7
104.5
Defensive rating
105.8
52.4%
Effective FG%
51.0%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
12.5%
Turnover %
12.1%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
20.2%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.7%
3-point %
35.9%
49.0%
Assist %
61.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.8 · 107.7Defence104.5 · 105.8Shooting52.4% · 51.0%3-point %35.7% · 35.9%Ball care12.5% · 12.1%Off. rebounds28.8% · 20.2%Free throws0.24 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Charlotte Hornets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Miami Heat wins
4
Charlotte Hornets wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/04/16HCharlotte Hornets123-91
14/04/16ABoston Celtics88-98
12/04/16ADetroit Pistons99-93
10/04/16HOrlando Magic118-96
08/04/16AOrlando Magic109-112
08/04/16HChicago Bulls106-98
06/04/16HDetroit Pistons107-89
03/04/16APortland Trail Blazers93-110
02/04/16ASacramento Kings112-106
31/03/16ALos Angeles Lakers100-102 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/04/16AMiami Heat91-123
14/04/16HOrlando Magic117-103
11/04/16ABoston Celtics114-100
10/04/16AWashington Wizards98-113
08/04/16HBrooklyn Nets113-99
06/04/16ANew York Knicks111-97
05/04/16AToronto Raptors90-96
03/04/16ACleveland Cavaliers103-112
01/04/16HPhiladelphia 76ers100-91
29/03/16APhiladelphia 76ers100-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW59%
HomeWWWWW69%
AwayWLLWL49%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games834241
Win %59%69%49%
Points / game100.3103.796.9
Allowed / game98.397.799.0
Point differential+2.0+6.0-2.1
Avg total198.6201.4195.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won74% (19)78% (9)70% (10)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Charlotte Hornets
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL58%
HomeLWWWW73%
AwayLWLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games834142
Win %58%73%43%
Points / game103.3105.5101.1
Allowed / game101.099.1102.8
Point differential+2.3+6.4-1.7
Avg total204.2204.6203.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%39%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won61% (23)62% (13)60% (10)
Overtime %6%7%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors8475989%114.8103.8+10.9
2 San Antonio Spurs84691582%103.592.4+11.1
3 Cleveland Cavaliers83582570%104.398.4+6.0
4 Toronto Raptors84572768%102.598.1+4.4
5 Oklahoma City Thunder84562867%109.9102.3+7.5
6 Los Angeles Clippers83542965%104.6100.2+4.5
7 Atlanta Hawks84503460%102.798.9+3.7
8 Miami Heat83493459%100.398.3+2.0
9 Charlotte Hornets83483558%103.3101.0+2.3
10 Boston Celtics84483657%105.3102.3+2.9
11 Indiana Pacers84463855%102.0100.3+1.7
12 Portland Trail Blazers83443953%105.0104.4+0.6
13 Detroit Pistons83443953%102.0101.4+0.5
14 Chicago Bulls82424051%101.6103.1-1.5
15 Dallas Mavericks84434151%101.7102.4-0.7
16 Washington Wizards82414150%104.1104.6-0.5
17 Memphis Grizzlies84424250%98.4101.3-2.9
18 Houston Rockets84414349%106.2106.4-0.2
19 Utah Jazz82404249%97.795.9+1.8
20 Orlando Magic82354743%102.1103.7-1.6
21 Sacramento Kings82334940%106.6109.1-2.5
22 Denver Nuggets82334940%101.9105.0-3.1
23 Milwaukee Bucks82334940%99.0103.2-4.2
24 New York Knicks82325039%98.4101.1-2.7
25 New Orleans Pelicans82305237%102.7106.5-3.8
26 Minnesota Timberwolves82295335%102.4106.0-3.5
27 Phoenix Suns82235928%100.9107.5-6.7
28 Brooklyn Nets82216126%98.6106.0-7.4
29 Los Angeles Lakers82176521%97.3106.9-9.6
30 Philadelphia 76ers82107212%97.4107.6-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat29431924115
Charlotte Hornets29311825103
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