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Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Apr 2016
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 118-96
31-28 25-21 33-20 29-27
Position#8
Record46-33
FormWLWWL
Points / game100.0
Allowed / game98.5
vs
Position#20
Record34-45
FormWLWLW
Points / game102.1
Allowed / game103.4
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Miami Heat v Orlando Magic
10 Mar 2027
MIA v ORL
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
MIA117
ORL121
28 Jan 2026
MIA124
ORL133
27 Jan 2025
MIA125
ORL119
23 Oct 2024
MIA97
ORL116
06 Feb 2024
MIA121
ORL95
12 Jan 2024
MIA99
ORL96
09 Apr 2023
MIA123
ORL110
27 Jan 2023
MIA110
ORL105
26 Dec 2021
MIA93
ORL83
25 Oct 2021
MIA107
ORL90
11 Mar 2021
MIA111
ORL103
04 Mar 2020
MIA116
ORL113
27 Jan 2020
MIA113
ORL92
26 Mar 2019
MIA99
ORL104
04 Dec 2018
MIA90
ORL105
05 Feb 2018
MIA109
ORL111
26 Dec 2017
MIA107
ORL89
13 Feb 2017
MIA107
ORL116
20 Dec 2016
MIA130
ORL136
10 Apr 2016
MIA118
ORL96
25 Mar 2016
MIA108
ORL97
13 Apr 2015
MIA100
ORL93
29 Dec 2014
MIA101
ORL102
01 Mar 2014
MIA112
ORL98
23 Nov 2013
MIA101
ORL99
17 Apr 2013
MIA105
ORL93
06 Mar 2013
MIA97
ORL96
18 Mar 2012
MIA91
ORL81
19 Feb 2012
MIA90
ORL78
18 Dec 2011
MIA118
ORL85
03 Mar 2011
MIA96
ORL99
29 Oct 2010
MIA96
ORL70
18 Mar 2010
MIA102
ORL108
17 Dec 2009
MIA104
ORL86
30 Mar 2009
MIA95
ORL101
24 Jan 2009
MIA103
ORL97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Orlando Magic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
113-99
113
99
+14
108avg 92
A23/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
88-112
88
112
-24
81avg 92
A24/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
108-97
108
97
+11
103avg 92
H26/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
110-99
110
99
+11
103avg 92
H28/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
L
100-102 OT
100
102
-2
98avg 92
A31/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
112-106
112
106
+6
106avg 92
A02/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
93-110
93
110
-17
74avg 92
A03/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
107-89
107
89
+18
100avg 92
H06/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
106-98
106
98
+8
93avg 92
H08/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
109-112
109
112
-3
92avg 92
A08/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-21
24-19
27-33
27-26
21-26
26-30
16-32
25-24
28-31
26-26
31-12
23-28
27-27
30-25
25-23
28-24
27-25
21-16
19-26
20-20
39-24
27-24
26-28
20-30
22-20
20-39
25-28
26-23
25-19
29-17
28-27
25-26
21-22
19-24
35-23
31-29
27-19
28-34
25-26
29-33
207.0Avg total
104.6Scored
102.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (79)100.098.5198.5+1.558%
Season at home (40)102.897.9200.8+4.968%
Season away (39)97.199.1196.2-2.149%
Last 10 (10)104.6102.4207.0+2.260%
Last 5 (5)105.4103.0208.4+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)105.8112.5218.2-6.825%
vs Similar ◀ (16)105.2101.1206.3+4.162%
vs Weaker (10)108.8101.2210.0+7.680%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#9
L
96-107
96
107
-11
77avg 93
A21/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
102-118
102
118
-16
87avg 93
A23/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
L
97-108
97
108
-11
84avg 93
A26/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
111-89
111
89
+22
114avg 93
H26/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
139-105
139
105
+34
141avg 93
H29/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
114-94
114
94
+20
108avg 93
A31/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
L
110-113
110
113
-3
110avg 93
A02/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
119-107
119
107
+12
111avg 93
H03/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
104-108
104
108
-4
98avg 93
H06/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
W
112-109
112
109
+3
104avg 93
H08/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
32-34
29-35
18-16
21-32
36-34
30-30
15-22
31-28
26-26
12-31
28-23
36-22
32-28
21-21
22-18
32-23
41-22
30-28
36-32
33-28
24-23
32-28
25-15
22-31
35-27
28-26
25-29
29-30
38-26
30-29
22-22
21-25
30-19
26-29
27-35
19-27
34-28
26-25
33-29
216.2Avg total
110.4Scored
105.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (79)102.1103.4205.5-1.343%
Season at home (40)104.5102.3206.7+2.255%
Season away (39)99.6104.6204.2-4.931%
Last 10 (10)110.4105.8216.2+4.650%
Last 5 (5)111.8106.2218.0+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)104.4109.0213.4-4.625%
vs Similar ◀ (17)105.4106.5211.9-1.147%
vs Weaker (5)115.0109.0224.0+6.060%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +6.1+6.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +1.0+1.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +6.1+6.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +1.0+1.0
Miami HeatOrlando Magic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
59-40
59
40
+19
A23/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A24/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H26/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H28/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A31/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
66-48
66
48
+18
A02/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A03/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H06/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H08/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A08/04
NBA
101.0Avg total
52.2Scored
48.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.449.6102.0+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.549.6103.1+3.953%-
Last 30 away (15)51.349.6100.9+1.753%-
Last 10 (10)52.248.8101.0+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)51.448.499.8+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)53.551.2104.8+2.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)50.150.2100.3-0.138%-
vs Weaker (10)55.548.0103.5+7.580%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#9
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A21/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
57-66
57
66
-9
A23/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A26/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
68-50
68
50
+18
H26/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
73-45
73
45
+28
H29/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A31/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A02/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
67-56
67
56
+11
H03/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H06/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
L
53-55
53
55
-2
H08/04
NBA
112.4Avg total
58.9Scored
53.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.254.3109.5+0.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.651.1109.7+7.573%-
Last 30 away (15)51.857.5109.3-5.740%-
Last 10 (10)58.953.5112.4+5.460%-
Last 5 (5)57.052.8109.8+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)50.954.4105.2-3.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)54.854.8109.6-0.153%-
vs Weaker (5)63.652.2115.8+11.480%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 104.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀68%
🏀🏀🏀18%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers71.4 pts a game · 68% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers68.935.7
51.8%
49.0%71.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.26.2
36.0%
35.3%18.6
🏀 Free throws20.614.6
70.9%
75.5%14.6
They take 86.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 20% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 110.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀67%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers73.8 pts a game · 67% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers69.336.9
53.2%
49.0%73.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.07.2
36.0%
35.3%21.6
🏀 Free throws20.315.0
73.9%
75.5%15.0
They take 89.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 22% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Apr 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LWWLWLWWLW
Orlando Magic
WLWLWWWLLL
#8
League position
#20
+2.3
Net rating
+4.6
108.7
Offensive rating
111.3
106.4
Defensive rating
106.7
52.3%
Effective FG%
53.4%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
13.3%
Turnover %
12.2%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.23
36.0%
3-point %
36.0%
50.8%
Assist %
60.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.7 · 111.3Defence106.4 · 106.7Shooting52.3% · 53.4%3-point %36.0% · 36.0%Ball care13.3% · 12.2%Off. rebounds27.9% · 25.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Orlando Magic
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Miami Heat wins
2
Orlando Magic wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/16AOrlando Magic109-112
08/04/16HChicago Bulls106-98
06/04/16HDetroit Pistons107-89
03/04/16APortland Trail Blazers93-110
02/04/16ASacramento Kings112-106
31/03/16ALos Angeles Lakers100-102 OT
28/03/16HBrooklyn Nets110-99
26/03/16HOrlando Magic108-97
24/03/16ASan Antonio Spurs88-112
23/03/16ANew Orleans Pelicans113-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/16HMiami Heat112-109
06/04/16HDetroit Pistons104-108
03/04/16HMemphis Grizzlies119-107
02/04/16AMilwaukee Bucks110-113
31/03/16AIndiana Pacers114-94
29/03/16HBrooklyn Nets139-105
26/03/16HChicago Bulls111-89
26/03/16AMiami Heat97-108
23/03/16ADetroit Pistons102-118
21/03/16ABoston Celtics96-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL58%
HomeWWWWW68%
AwayLLWLL49%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games794039
Win %58%68%49%
Points / game100.0102.897.1
Allowed / game98.597.999.1
Point differential+1.5+5.0-2.1
Avg total198.5200.8196.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%38%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won74% (19)78% (9)70% (10)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Orlando Magic
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW43%
HomeWWWLW55%
AwayLLLWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games794039
Win %43%55%31%
Points / game102.1104.599.6
Allowed / game103.4102.3104.6
Point differential-1.3+2.2-4.9
Avg total205.5206.7204.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%22%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won35% (23)47% (15)12% (8)
Overtime %10%12%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors8071989%115.0104.4+10.7
2 San Antonio Spurs79651482%103.992.9+11.0
3 Cleveland Cavaliers80562470%104.298.2+6.0
4 Oklahoma City Thunder80542668%110.3103.2+7.1
5 Toronto Raptors79532667%102.698.4+4.2
6 Los Angeles Clippers80522865%104.4100.2+4.2
7 Atlanta Hawks80483260%103.099.0+4.0
8 Boston Celtics80473359%105.9102.5+3.3
9 Miami Heat79463358%100.098.5+1.5
10 Charlotte Hornets80463457%103.1100.7+2.4
11 Detroit Pistons80433754%102.0101.3+0.7
12 Indiana Pacers79423753%101.9100.6+1.3
13 Portland Trail Blazers81433853%105.1104.4+0.7
14 Memphis Grizzlies80423852%99.2100.9-1.7
15 Dallas Mavericks80413951%102.5102.8-0.4
16 Utah Jazz80404050%97.895.8+2.0
17 Chicago Bulls80404050%101.2102.9-1.7
18 Houston Rockets80394149%106.2106.7-0.5
19 Washington Wizards80394149%103.8104.6-0.8
20 Orlando Magic79344543%102.1103.4-1.3
21 Milwaukee Bucks80334741%99.2103.3-4.1
22 Denver Nuggets81334841%101.9105.0-3.0
23 Sacramento Kings80324840%106.9109.1-2.1
24 New York Knicks80324840%98.6101.2-2.6
25 New Orleans Pelicans80305038%102.5105.9-3.4
26 Minnesota Timberwolves80285235%101.9105.6-3.8
27 Phoenix Suns80225828%100.7107.6-6.9
28 Brooklyn Nets79215827%98.4105.6-7.1
29 Los Angeles Lakers80166420%97.5107.0-9.4
30 Philadelphia 76ers80107012%97.3107.4-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat31253329118
Orlando Magic2821202796
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