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Chemnitz vs Alba Berlin Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 18 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 13:00
Scheduled
Position#16
Record2-6
FormWWLLL
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game90.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.6/10
Above normal
4.9/10
Around normal
Position#8
Record5-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game86.6
GermanyBBLRound 30· Messe Chemnitz
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Chemnitz v Alba Berlin
18 Apr 2027
CHE v ABE
upcoming
23 Nov 2025
CHE85
ABE89
27 Apr 2025
CHE81
ABE103
04 Jun 2024
CHE85
ABE96
02 Jun 2024
CHE84
ABE72
24 Mar 2024
CHE79
ABE84
11 Apr 2023
CHE70
ABE76
27 Mar 2022
CHE81
ABE64
09 May 2021
CHE81
ABE91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#26
W
93-84
93
84
+9
88avg 76
H07/10
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
L
83-87
83
87
-4
77avg 76
H10/10
BBL
Trento
#27
W
88-80
88
80
+8
75avg 76
A13/10
Eurocup
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
95-67
95
67
+28
88avg 76
H21/10
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#9
L
88-98
88
98
-10
87avg 76
A26/10
BBL
JL Bourg
#24
W
96-77
96
77
+19
92avg 76
H28/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#7
W
94-78
94
78
+16
no box
H31/10
BBL
Buducnost
#10
L
84-96
84
96
-12
no box
A03/11
Eurocup
Vechta
#13
L
90-99
90
99
-9
no box
A07/11
BBL
Basket Napoli
#2
L
90-112
90
112
-22
no box
H11/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-15
26-24
18-27
18-18
25-21
25-24
12-22
21-20
19-17
18-17
18-24
33-22
20-21
26-19
24-20
25-7
17-27
25-23
15-27
31-21
25-19
21-13
29-17
21-28
18-23
25-25
24-10
27-20
22-23
22-26
22-24
18-23
24-27
26-18
14-33
26-21
22-24
19-35
28-20
21-33
177.9Avg total
90.1Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.190.0177.1-2.925%
Season at home (3)90.386.0176.3+4.367%
Season away (5)85.292.4177.6-7.20%
Last 10 (10)90.187.8177.9+2.350%
Last 5 (5)90.892.4183.2-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.583.5160.0-7.030%
vs Similar ◀ (10)84.287.1171.3-2.930%
vs Weaker (10)89.785.0174.7+4.770%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#10
L
83-98
83
98
-15
74avg 82
H03/10
BBL
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#50
W
110-86
110
86
+24
110avg 82
A07/10
Champions League
Trier
#2
L
75-95
75
95
-20
62avg 82
A10/10
BBL
Igokea
#27
W
90-79
90
79
+11
83avg 82
H13/10
Champions League
Ulm
#11
W
98-82
98
82
+16
98avg 82
H25/10
BBL
Bilbao
#7
W
103-100
103
100
+3
93avg 82
H28/10
Champions League
Bonn
#4
L
88-95
88
95
-7
72avg 82
A01/11
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#17
W
102-72
102
72
+30
no box
H06/11
BBL
Bilbao
#7
L
75-83
75
83
-8
no box
A10/11
Champions League
Oldenburg
#12
W
95-77
95
77
+18
no box
A14/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-22
28-24
19-25
25-27
21-15
31-25
34-22
24-24
24-31
23-19
15-26
13-19
18-21
20-19
23-22
29-17
23-18
22-25
23-16
30-23
24-26
19-22
31-24
29-28
26-21
19-21
20-24
23-29
26-26
30-21
27-11
19-14
18-22
21-23
14-19
22-19
23-18
28-11
31-17
13-31
178.6Avg total
91.9Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)87.286.6173.8+0.756%
Season at home (5)93.283.4176.6+9.880%
Season away (4)79.890.5170.2-10.825%
Last 10 (10)91.986.7178.6+5.260%
Last 5 (5)92.685.4178.0+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)80.287.4167.6-7.138%
vs Similar ◀ (11)88.183.0171.1+5.164%
vs Weaker (11)91.582.7174.2+8.773%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -0.4-0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -0.4-0.4
ChemnitzAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#26
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H07/10
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H10/10
BBL
Trento
#27
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A13/10
Eurocup
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H21/10
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#9
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A26/10
BBL
JL Bourg
#24
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H28/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#7
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H31/10
BBL
Buducnost
#10
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A03/11
Eurocup
Vechta
#13
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A07/11
BBL
Basket Napoli
#2
L
41-59
41
59
-18
H11/11
Eurocup
89.7Avg total
45.6Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.541.584.0+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.939.784.6+5.264%-
Last 30 away (16)40.443.083.4-2.638%-
Last 10 (10)45.644.189.7+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)44.846.691.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.343.084.3-1.740%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)43.741.585.2+2.250%-
vs Weaker (10)42.639.982.5+2.760%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#10
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H03/10
BBL
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#50
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A07/10
Champions League
Trier
#2
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A10/10
BBL
Igokea
#27
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H13/10
Champions League
Ulm
#11
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H25/10
BBL
Bilbao
#7
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H28/10
Champions League
Bonn
#4
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A01/11
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#17
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H06/11
BBL
Bilbao
#7
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A10/11
Champions League
Oldenburg
#12
W
51-29
51
29
+22
A14/11
BBL
88.5Avg total
45.5Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.542.484.9+0.240%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.641.485.0+2.353%-
Last 30 away (13)41.143.784.8-2.623%-
Last 10 (10)45.543.088.5+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)46.842.289.0+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.046.286.2-6.212%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)42.339.782.0+2.545%-
vs Weaker (11)44.642.286.8+2.555%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.321.8
55.5%
55.6%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.09.5
31.7%
33.7%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.314.9
77.2%
73.4%14.9
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 89.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.520.0
56.3%
55.6%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.311.5
35.6%
33.7%34.5
🏀 Free throws18.514.6
78.9%
73.4%14.6
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
LLLWWLWWLW
Alba Berlin
WLWLWWWLWL
#16
League position
#8
+4.0
Net rating
-0.4
94.5
Offensive rating
98.6
90.5
Defensive rating
99.0
52.0%
Effective FG%
54.9%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
16.6%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
31.7%
3-point %
35.6%
60.4%
Assist %
66.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence94.5 · 98.6Defence90.5 · 99.0Shooting52.0% · 54.9%3-point %31.7% · 35.6%Ball care16.6% · 15.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Chemnitz wins
6
Alba Berlin wins
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HBasket Napoli90-112
07/11/26AVechta90-99
03/11/26ABuducnost84-96
31/10/26HLudwigsburg94-78
28/10/26HJL Bourg96-77
26/10/26AWurzburg88-98
21/10/26HSlask Wroclaw95-67
13/10/26ATrento88-80
10/10/26HBayern83-87
07/10/26HNeptunas93-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AOldenburg95-77
10/11/26ABilbao75-83
06/11/26HPhoenix Hagen102-72
01/11/26ABonn88-95
28/10/26HBilbao103-100
25/10/26HUlm98-82
13/10/26HIgokea90-79
10/10/26ATrier75-95
07/10/26ASlavia Prague ERA NBK110-86
03/10/26HBamberg83-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL25%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %25%67%0%
Points / game87.190.385.2
Allowed / game90.086.092.4
Point differential-2.9+4.3-7.2
Avg total177.1176.3177.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %25%33%20%
Alba Berlin
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW56%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%80%25%
Points / game87.293.279.8
Allowed / game86.683.490.5
Point differential+0.7+9.8-10.8
Avg total173.8176.6170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern87188%96.070.1+25.9
2 Trier76186%98.486.1+12.3
3 Syntainics MBC86275%86.680.1+6.5
4 Bonn96367%87.781.2+6.4
5 Frankfurt64267%87.383.3+4.0
6 Rostock85362%89.882.4+7.4
7 Ludwigsburg95456%86.185.2+0.9
8 Alba Berlin95456%87.286.6+0.7
9 Wurzburg84450%81.883.2-1.5
10 Bamberg94544%85.185.7-0.6
11 Ulm94544%84.185.4-1.3
12 Oldenburg94544%74.783.4-8.8
13 Vechta83538%86.290.8-4.5
14 Basketball Braunschweig83538%86.096.5-10.5
15 Hamburg93633%83.390.8-7.4
16 Chemnitz82625%87.190.0-2.9
17 Phoenix Hagen92722%83.492.0-8.6
18 Jena92722%77.989.6-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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