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Chemnitz vs Tortona Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 10 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 61-77
12-19 14-19 15-20 20-19
Position#41
Record1-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game89.0
vs
Tortona 🏆
Position#5
Record4-0
FormLWLWL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game73.8
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 5· Messe Chemnitz
European cup2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tortona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#6
L
73-78
73
78
-5
63avg 79
A13/10
German Cup
Benfica
#30
W
103-75
103
75
+28
112avg 79
H16/10
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#6
W
81-78
81
78
+3
72avg 79
A20/10
BBL
Rostock
#12
W
68-60
68
60
+8
60avg 79
A27/10
BBL
Manresa
#9
L
59-105
59
105
-46
48avg 79
A30/10
Champions League
Gottingen
#17
W
96-88
96
88
+8
90avg 79
H03/11
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
W
87-78
87
78
+9
85avg 79
H10/11
BBL
Manresa
#9
L
78-89
78
89
-11
73avg 79
H12/11
Champions League
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
74-82
74
82
-8
60avg 79
A16/11
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
W
81-77
81
77
+4
86avg 79
H30/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-19
25-23
15-15
23-21
32-17
25-16
22-21
24-21
21-21
16-20
25-19
19-18
16-17
19-20
12-12
21-11
11-26
20-18
12-21
16-40
23-25
26-16
27-22
20-25
22-20
24-19
20-23
21-16
22-9
17-31
28-29
11-20
22-14
17-28
19-23
16-17
9-18
14-14
23-20
35-25
161.0Avg total
80.0Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.289.0169.2-8.825%
Season at home (2)90.582.0172.5+8.550%
Season away (2)70.096.0166.0-26.00%
Last 10 (10)80.081.0161.0-1.060%
Last 5 (5)83.282.8166.0+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)74.985.1160.0-10.225%
vs Similar (15)84.982.3167.3+2.660%
vs Weaker (6)89.082.8171.8+6.267%
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Manresa
#9
W
102-85
102
85
+17
95avg 74
H15/10
Champions League
Trapani
#3
W
84-78
84
78
+6
77avg 74
A26/10
Lega A
Benfica
#30
W
72-58
72
58
+14
70avg 74
A29/10
Champions League
Sassari
#10
W
71-68
71
68
+3
64avg 74
H03/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
81-85
81
85
-4
66avg 74
A06/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
82-86
82
86
-4
68avg 74
A09/11
Lega A
Benfica
#30
W
77-71
77
71
+6
70avg 74
H13/11
Champions League
Brescia
#2
L
78-85
78
85
-7
68avg 74
H17/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
98-94
98
94
+4
95avg 74
A01/12
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
90-95
90
95
-5
85avg 74
H07/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-16
25-22
25-21
22-26
16-19
27-25
21-15
20-19
21-16
20-16
16-14
15-12
18-23
17-11
11-10
25-24
18-12
22-32
18-25
23-16
20-31
22-18
20-18
20-19
15-19
20-26
22-16
20-10
23-29
22-20
21-15
12-21
31-17
27-20
19-29
21-28
32-22
14-24
26-22
18-27
164.0Avg total
83.5Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.573.8158.2+10.8100%
Season at home (3)88.779.0167.7+9.7100%
Season away (1)72.058.0130.0+14.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.580.5164.0+3.060%
Last 5 (5)85.086.2171.2-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)79.683.7163.4-4.136%
vs Similar (11)85.080.2165.2+4.855%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)84.678.4163.0+6.275%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -0.6-0.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -0.6-0.6
ChemnitzTortona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#6
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A13/10
German Cup
Benfica
#30
W
57-33
57
33
+24
H16/10
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#6
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A20/10
BBL
Rostock
#12
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A27/10
BBL
Manresa
#9
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A30/10
Champions League
Gottingen
#17
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H03/11
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H10/11
BBL
Manresa
#9
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H12/11
Champions League
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A16/11
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
23-32
23
32
-9
H30/11
BBL
78.2Avg total
39.1Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.240.181.4+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.938.480.3+3.457%-
Last 30 away (16)40.741.682.3-0.938%-
Last 10 (10)39.139.178.2+0.030%-
Last 5 (5)39.238.878.0+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)34.641.175.8-6.50%-
vs Similar (15)43.340.383.5+3.060%-
vs Weaker (6)46.038.284.2+7.883%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#9
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H15/10
Champions League
Trapani
#3
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A26/10
Lega A
Benfica
#30
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A29/10
Champions League
Sassari
#10
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H03/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A06/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A09/11
Lega A
Benfica
#30
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H13/11
Champions League
Brescia
#2
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H17/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
58-37
58
37
+21
A01/12
Lega A
Treviso
#11
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H07/12
Lega A
85.8Avg total
44.0Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.940.982.8+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.338.580.8+3.862%-
Last 30 away (14)41.543.685.1-2.136%-
Last 10 (10)44.041.885.8+2.240%-
Last 5 (5)45.245.290.4+0.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)41.840.181.9+1.745%-
vs Similar (11)42.040.182.1+1.955%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)42.043.085.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.418.0
55.6%
52.1%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.3
35.1%
35.0%27.9
🏀 Free throws20.715.1
72.9%
74.0%15.1
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.4
52.4%
52.1%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.49.9
33.7%
35.0%29.7
🏀 Free throws19.114.2
74.3%
74.0%14.2
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
WLLWWLWWWL
Tortona
LWLWLLWWWW
#41
League position
#5
-1.9
Net rating
+4.0
106.0
Offensive rating
110.9
107.9
Defensive rating
106.9
54.2%
Effective FG%
51.6%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
21.8%
Turnover %
17.4%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.1%
3-point %
33.7%
59.3%
Assist %
63.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.0 · 110.9Defence107.9 · 106.9Shooting54.2% · 51.6%3-point %35.1% · 33.7%Ball care21.8% · 17.4%Off. rebounds31.7% · 32.8%Free throws0.35 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Tortona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Chemnitz wins
1
Tortona wins
DateGameScore
02/10/24Tortona v Chemnitz87-81
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/24HWurzburg81-77
16/11/24ABasketball Braunschweig74-82
12/11/24HManresa78-89
10/11/24HOldenburg87-78
03/11/24HGottingen96-88
30/10/24AManresa59-105
27/10/24ARostock68-60
20/10/24AAlba Berlin81-78
16/10/24HBenfica103-75
13/10/24AHeidelberg73-78
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24HTreviso90-95
01/12/24AOlimpia Milano98-94
17/11/24HBrescia78-85
13/11/24HBenfica77-71
09/11/24AReggiana82-86
06/11/24AVirtus Bologna81-85
03/11/24HSassari71-68
29/10/24ABenfica72-58
26/10/24ATrapani84-78
15/10/24HManresa102-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
Champions League 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game80.290.570.0
Allowed / game89.082.096.0
Point differential-8.8+8.5-26.0
Avg total169.2172.5166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tortona
Champions League 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game84.588.772.0
Allowed / game73.879.058.0
Point differential+10.8+9.7+14.0
Avg total158.2167.7130.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja550100%98.673.0+25.6
2 Tenerife440100%81.260.2+21.0
3 Nymburk770100%86.473.0+13.4
4 Tortona440100%84.573.8+10.8
5 Bonn65183%84.779.3+5.3
6 Rytas54180%88.878.2+10.6
7 Murcia54180%85.075.8+9.2
8 Manresa43175%92.875.8+17.0
9 Karsiyaka43175%81.574.8+6.8
10 Petkim Spor86275%79.679.8-0.1
11 Wurzburg53260%85.681.2+4.4
12 Galatasaray53260%83.681.4+2.2
13 Reggiana53260%75.874.8+1.0
14 Hapoel Holon53260%79.078.2+0.8
15 AEK Athens53260%79.679.6+0.0
16 Manisa53260%86.687.8-1.2
17 CSM Oradea21150%85.070.0+15.0
18 Levice21150%93.585.5+8.0
19 MoraBanc Andorra21150%91.086.0+5.0
20 Rilski Sportist21150%79.576.5+3.0
21 Norrkoping21150%77.075.5+1.5
22 Juventus21150%80.080.5-0.5
23 Sassari21150%74.075.5-1.5
24 Trepca21150%80.081.5-1.5
25 Fribourg Olympic21150%82.585.0-2.5
26 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%75.078.0-3.0
27 Szombathely42250%79.282.8-3.5
28 PAOK21150%75.079.5-4.5
29 Peristeri52340%74.674.8-0.2
30 Nanterre52340%82.683.0-0.4
31 Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan52340%79.680.2-0.6
32 Oostende52340%78.479.0-0.6
33 Igokea52340%82.086.8-4.8
34 Benfica62433%74.786.2-11.5
35 VEF Riga41325%74.077.5-3.5
36 Saint Quentin41325%69.076.2-7.2
37 Chemnitz41325%80.289.0-8.8
38 Promitheas51420%78.685.6-7.0
39 FMP Beograd51420%72.280.0-7.8
40 Vechta51420%81.491.4-10.0
41 Keravnos1010%79.082.0-3.0
42 Spartak Subotica1010%84.087.0-3.0
43 Sabah Baku1010%71.075.0-4.0
44 Cholet1010%70.076.0-6.0
45 BC Nokia1010%64.071.0-7.0
46 Slask Wroclaw4040%71.282.2-11.0
47 Szczecin5050%64.281.8-17.6
48 Antwerp Giants1010%73.091.0-18.0
49 Den Bosch1010%72.092.0-20.0
50 Kolossos Rhodes4040%59.880.2-20.5
51 Kutaisi1010%87.0111.0-24.0
52 Caledonia Gladiators1010%59.090.0-31.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chemnitz1214152061
Tortona1919201977
← all games of the day
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