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Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 113-116
31-34 20-28 34-29 28-25
Position#22
Record23-24
FormWWWLL
Points / game117.7
Allowed / game119.8
vs
Position#17
Record25-22
FormWLWWL
Points / game120.1
Allowed / game118.4
USANBA· United Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Chicago Bulls v Miami Heat
14 Dec 2026
CHI v MIA
upcoming
29 Jan 2026
CHI113
MIA116
21 Nov 2025
CHI107
MIA143
16 Apr 2025
CHI90
MIA109
09 Apr 2025
CHI119
MIA111
04 Feb 2025
CHI133
MIA124
20 Nov 2023
CHI100
MIA118
18 Nov 2023
CHI102
MIA97
18 Mar 2023
CHI113
MIA99
02 Apr 2022
CHI109
MIA127
27 Nov 2021
CHI104
MIA107
12 Mar 2021
CHI90
MIA101
18 Mar 2020
CHI v MIA
upcoming
22 Nov 2019
CHI108
MIA116
19 Jan 2019
CHI103
MIA117
23 Nov 2018
CHI96
MIA103
15 Jan 2018
CHI119
MIA111
26 Nov 2017
CHI93
MIA100
27 Jan 2017
CHI88
MIA100
10 Dec 2016
CHI105
MIA100
11 Mar 2016
CHI96
MIA118
25 Jan 2016
CHI84
MIA89
25 Jan 2015
CHI84
MIA96
09 Mar 2014
CHI95
MIA88
05 Dec 2013
CHI107
MIA87
13 May 2013
CHI65
MIA88
10 May 2013
CHI94
MIA104
27 Mar 2013
CHI101
MIA97
21 Feb 2013
CHI67
MIA86
12 Apr 2012
CHI96
MIA86
14 Mar 2012
CHI106
MIA102
26 May 2011
CHI80
MIA83
18 May 2011
CHI75
MIA85
15 May 2011
CHI103
MIA82
24 Feb 2011
CHI93
MIA89
15 Jan 2011
CHI99
MIA96
25 Mar 2010
CHI74
MIA103
06 Feb 2010
CHI95
MIA91
26 Mar 2009
CHI106
MIA87
12 Feb 2009
CHI93
MIA95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chicago Bulls winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Chicago BullsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBulls
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
125-107
125
107
+18
124avg 113
H11/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
113-119
113
119
-6
99avg 113
A14/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
128-126
128
126
+2
128avg 113
H15/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
109-112
109
112
-3
104avg 113
A17/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
124-102
124
102
+22
127avg 113
H19/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
138-110
138
110
+28
142avg 113
H21/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
120-115
120
115
+5
114avg 113
A23/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
114-111
114
111
+3
116avg 113
H25/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
118-129
118
129
-11
118avg 113
H27/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
110-113
110
113
-3
106avg 113
A29/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-28
30-27
28-24
31-28
24-29
36-28
28-33
25-29
36-39
35-23
23-32
34-32
23-27
17-30
32-32
37-23
39-22
31-29
25-20
29-31
25-30
45-19
32-34
36-27
26-32
34-29
33-29
27-25
30-28
22-30
36-27
26-26
31-35
25-34
33-35
29-25
33-24
20-25
32-27
25-37
234.3Avg total
119.9Scored
114.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (47)117.7119.8237.5-2.149%
Season at home (25)116.2117.1233.3-0.860%
Season away (22)119.4122.8242.2-3.536%
Last 10 (10)119.9114.4234.3+5.560%
Last 5 (5)120.0115.6235.6+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)117.1119.8236.9-2.853%
vs Similar (8)113.8114.1227.9-0.438%
vs Weaker (3)112.0109.0221.0+3.033%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
112-124
112
124
-12
113avg 106
A12/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
127-121
127
121
+6
120avg 106
H14/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
114-119
114
119
-5
104avg 106
H16/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
122-120
122
120
+2
104avg 106
H18/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
112-135
112
135
-23
105avg 106
A20/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
130-117
130
117
+13
123avg 106
A21/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
110-127
110
127
-17
99avg 106
A23/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
147-116
147
116
+31
144avg 106
A25/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
111-102
111
102
+9
104avg 106
A26/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
124-133
124
133
-9
122avg 106
H29/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-32
25-22
26-39
27-31
36-28
35-26
21-38
35-29
36-25
28-29
29-29
21-36
30-37
30-28
35-30
27-25
34-36
32-34
27-34
19-31
32-25
45-39
23-25
30-28
31-38
32-26
29-39
18-24
35-34
38-18
35-37
39-27
32-21
26-27
24-29
29-25
27-34
41-25
20-40
36-34
242.3Avg total
120.9Scored
121.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (47)120.1118.4238.5+1.753%
Season at home (23)121.9118.0239.9+3.965%
Season away (24)118.4118.8237.1-0.442%
Last 10 (10)120.9121.4242.3-0.550%
Last 5 (5)124.4119.0243.4+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)120.3124.9245.1-4.629%
vs Similar (13)115.2118.9234.2-3.738%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)118.0112.3230.3+5.770%
This opponent (Chicago Bulls) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +5.8+5.8Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -7.1-7.1Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -0.9-0.9
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +5.8+5.8Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -7.1-7.1Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -0.9-0.9
Chicago BullsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Chicago BullsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
66-55
66
55
+11
H11/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
60-57
60
57
+3
A14/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
71-62
71
62
+9
H15/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A17/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
70-51
70
51
+19
H19/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
70-49
70
49
+21
H21/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
60-61
60
61
-1
A23/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H25/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
56-69
56
69
-13
H27/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A29/01
NBA
116.6Avg total
59.8Scored
56.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.657.7114.3-1.137%-
Last 30 at home (17)57.356.6113.9+0.741%-
Last 30 away (13)55.759.1114.8-3.431%-
Last 10 (10)59.856.8116.6+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)58.257.2115.4+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)56.858.5115.3-1.732%-
vs Similar (8)58.157.1115.2+1.050%-
vs Weaker (3)51.354.0105.3-2.733%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
59-54
59
54
+5
A12/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
71-54
71
54
+17
H14/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
64-54
64
54
+10
H16/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
60-65
60
65
-5
H18/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
66-70
66
70
-4
A20/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
77-64
77
64
+13
A21/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A23/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
73-52
73
52
+21
A25/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
58-48
58
48
+10
A26/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
68-59
68
59
+9
H29/01
NBA
124.3Avg total
65.9Scored
58.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.257.8117.9+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)59.757.3117.1+2.453%-
Last 30 away (15)60.658.2118.8+2.453%-
Last 10 (10)65.958.4124.3+7.570%-
Last 5 (5)67.857.4125.2+10.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)60.760.3121.0+0.443%-
vs Similar (13)60.656.6117.2+4.054%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)59.257.5116.7+1.760%-
This opponent (Chicago Bulls) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chicago Bullstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chicago Bulls: 119.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers50.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.927.8
58.0%
54.8%55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.716.8
40.3%
35.8%50.4
🏀 Free throws17.413.9
79.9%
78.1%13.9
They take 89.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 120.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.228.0
51.7%
54.8%56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.015.1
36.8%
35.8%45.3
🏀 Free throws25.119.6
78.1%
78.1%19.6
They take 95.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chicago Bulls
LLWWWWLWLW
Miami Heat
LWWLWLWLWL
#22
League position
#17
+5.5
Net rating
-0.5
119.7
Offensive rating
115.7
114.2
Defensive rating
116.2
59.2%
Effective FG%
53.2%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
11.2%
Turnover %
12.8%
21.0%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.26
40.3%
3-point %
36.8%
71.3%
Assist %
67.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence119.7 · 115.7Defence114.2 · 116.2Shooting59.2% · 53.2%3-point %40.3% · 36.8%Ball care11.2% · 12.8%Off. rebounds21.0% · 29.9%Free throws0.19 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Chicago Bulls   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Chicago Bulls wins
5
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/26AIndiana Pacers110-113
27/01/26HLos Angeles Lakers118-129
25/01/26HBoston Celtics114-111
23/01/26AMinnesota Timberwolves120-115
21/01/26HLos Angeles Clippers138-110
19/01/26HBrooklyn Nets124-102
17/01/26ABrooklyn Nets109-112
15/01/26HUtah Jazz128-126
14/01/26AHouston Rockets113-119
11/01/26HDallas Mavericks125-107
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/26HOrlando Magic124-133
26/01/26APhoenix Suns111-102
25/01/26AUtah Jazz147-116
23/01/26APortland Trail Blazers110-127
21/01/26ASacramento Kings130-117
20/01/26AGolden State Warriors112-135
18/01/26HOklahoma City Thunder122-120
16/01/26HBoston Celtics114-119
14/01/26HPhoenix Suns127-121
12/01/26AOklahoma City Thunder112-124

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chicago Bulls
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL49%
HomeWWWWL60%
AwayLLLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games472522
Win %49%60%36%
Points / game117.7116.2119.4
Allowed / game119.8117.1122.8
Point differential-2.1-0.8-3.5
Avg total237.5233.3242.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%28%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (18)86% (7)55% (11)
Overtime %2%0%5%
Miami Heat
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL53%
HomeWWLWL65%
AwayLWLWW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games472324
Win %53%65%42%
Points / game120.1121.9118.4
Allowed / game118.4118.0118.8
Point differential+1.7+3.9-0.4
Avg total238.5239.9237.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%30%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)75% (8)33% (3)
Overtime %2%4%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder4637980%120.3108.0+12.4
2 Detroit Pistons45341176%117.2110.0+7.2
3 San Antonio Spurs45301567%117.0112.0+5.0
4 Denver Nuggets47311666%120.4116.0+4.3
5 Houston Rockets45281762%116.3110.5+5.8
6 Los Angeles Lakers45281762%115.8116.2-0.4
7 Boston Celtics47291862%116.4110.1+6.3
8 Phoenix Suns46281861%114.5111.0+3.5
9 Minnesota Timberwolves48291960%119.0114.1+4.8
10 Toronto Raptors48291960%113.8112.0+1.9
11 New York Knicks45271860%117.2112.7+4.5
12 Cleveland Cavaliers49292059%119.2116.1+3.1
13 Philadelphia 76ers47262155%116.5115.8+0.7
14 Golden State Warriors49272255%116.5113.6+2.9
15 Miami Heat47252253%120.1118.4+1.7
16 Orlando Magic44232152%115.3115.4-0.1
17 Atlanta Hawks49242549%117.7118.4-0.7
18 Chicago Bulls47232449%117.7119.8-2.1
19 Portland Trail Blazers48232548%115.5117.4-1.9
20 Los Angeles Clippers46222448%112.7112.8-0.1
21 Charlotte Hornets48202842%116.2114.6+1.6
22 Dallas Mavericks47192840%114.1116.6-2.5
23 Memphis Grizzlies45182740%114.8116.3-1.6
24 Milwaukee Bucks46182839%111.8115.8-4.0
25 Utah Jazz48153331%118.8127.8-9.0
26 Brooklyn Nets45123327%107.8114.9-7.1
27 Washington Wizards46123426%112.2122.3-10.1
28 Indiana Pacers48123625%110.3118.3-8.0
29 New Orleans Pelicans49123724%114.4121.2-6.8
30 Sacramento Kings49123724%110.5120.6-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chicago Bulls31203428113
Miami Heat34282925116
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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