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Utah Jazz vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 116-147
34-35 18-38 37-35 27-39
Position#26
Record15-30
FormLLLWL
Points / game119.1
Allowed / game127.4
vs
Position#17
Record23-21
FormLWLWL
Points / game119.6
Allowed / game118.5
USANBA· Delta Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Utah Jazz v Miami Heat
10 Nov 2026
UTA v MIA
upcoming
24 Jan 2026
UTA116
MIA147
09 Jan 2025
UTA92
MIA97
30 Dec 2023
UTA117
MIA109
31 Dec 2022
UTA123
MIA126
13 Nov 2021
UTA105
MIA111
13 Feb 2021
UTA112
MIA94
25 Jul 2020
UTA101
MIA99
12 Feb 2020
UTA116
MIA101
12 Dec 2018
UTA111
MIA84
10 Nov 2017
UTA74
MIA84
01 Dec 2016
UTA110
MIA111
09 Jan 2016
UTA98
MIA83
12 Dec 2014
UTA95
MIA100
08 Feb 2014
UTA94
MIA89
14 Jan 2013
UTA104
MIA97
02 Mar 2012
UTA99
MIA98
08 Dec 2010
UTA98
MIA111
11 Jan 2010
UTA118
MIA89
03 Dec 2008
UTA89
MIA93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah Jazz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah JazzUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJazz
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
125-129 OT
125
129
-4
120avg 108
A08/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
116-114
116
114
+2
110avg 108
H09/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
95-150
95
150
-55
77avg 108
H11/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
123-112
123
112
+11
127avg 108
A13/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
126-128
126
128
-2
122avg 108
A15/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
122-144
122
144
-22
114avg 108
A16/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
120-138
120
138
-18
116avg 108
A17/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
110-123
110
123
-13
102avg 108
A19/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
127-122
127
122
+5
127avg 108
H21/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
109-126
109
126
-17
106avg 108
H23/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-31
31-27
33-33
28-23
34-29
24-26
30-34
28-25
14-45
24-32
26-38
31-35
34-22
20-40
36-24
33-26
39-36
23-35
32-23
32-34
24-35
26-35
29-42
43-32
29-42
30-29
35-35
26-32
26-34
31-27
23-35
30-27
29-34
30-24
25-38
43-26
31-31
22-34
39-32
17-29
245.9Avg total
117.3Scored
128.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)119.1127.4246.5-8.333%
Season at home (23)123.7129.2253.0-5.543%
Season away (22)114.2125.5239.7-11.223%
Last 10 (10)117.3128.6245.9-11.330%
Last 5 (5)117.6130.6248.2-13.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)116.3128.1244.4-11.924%
vs Similar (9)125.9127.7253.6-1.856%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
125-106
125
106
+19
114avg 106
H04/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
94-122
94
122
-28
82avg 106
A07/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
99-123
99
123
-24
84avg 106
A11/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
112-124
112
124
-12
113avg 106
A12/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
127-121
127
121
+6
120avg 106
H14/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
114-119
114
119
-5
104avg 106
H16/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
122-120
122
120
+2
104avg 106
H18/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
112-135
112
135
-23
105avg 106
A20/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
130-117
130
117
+13
123avg 106
A21/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
110-127
110
127
-17
99avg 106
A23/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
43-39
27-23
23-15
32-29
29-27
25-34
23-32
17-29
18-36
27-25
27-38
27-24
34-32
25-22
26-39
27-31
36-28
35-26
21-38
35-29
36-25
28-29
29-29
21-36
30-37
30-28
35-30
27-25
34-36
32-34
27-34
19-31
32-25
45-39
23-25
30-28
31-38
32-26
29-39
18-24
235.9Avg total
114.5Scored
121.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)119.6118.5238.1+1.152%
Season at home (22)121.8117.3239.1+4.568%
Season away (22)117.4119.6237.0-2.236%
Last 10 (10)114.5121.4235.9-6.940%
Last 5 (5)117.6123.6241.2-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)120.3124.9245.1-4.629%
vs Similar (13)115.4117.2232.6-1.846%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)117.6111.4229.0+6.270%
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -3.3-3.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -3.3-3.3
Utah JazzMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Utah JazzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
53-58
53
58
-5
A08/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
58-55
58
55
+3
H09/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
38-77
38
77
-39
H11/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A13/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
62-71
62
71
-9
A15/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
50-70
50
70
-20
A16/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
59-71
59
71
-12
A17/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
57-61
57
61
-4
A19/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
59-58
59
58
+1
H21/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
53-65
53
65
-12
H23/01
NBA
119.1Avg total
54.3Scored
64.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.764.8122.5-7.127%-
Last 30 at home (15)59.765.0124.7-5.340%-
Last 30 away (15)55.764.5120.2-8.913%-
Last 10 (10)54.364.8119.1-10.520%-
Last 5 (5)55.665.0120.6-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)56.864.7121.5-8.029%-
vs Similar (9)59.964.9124.8-5.022%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H04/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
54-61
54
61
-7
A07/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
45-61
45
61
-16
A11/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
59-54
59
54
+5
A12/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
71-54
71
54
+17
H14/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
64-54
64
54
+10
H16/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
60-65
60
65
-5
H18/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
66-70
66
70
-4
A20/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
77-64
77
64
+13
A21/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A23/01
NBA
123.8Avg total
62.9Scored
60.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.957.9117.8+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.556.4114.9+2.153%-
Last 30 away (15)61.359.5120.7+1.853%-
Last 10 (10)62.960.9123.8+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)66.063.4129.4+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)60.760.3121.0+0.443%-
vs Similar (13)60.257.0117.2+3.254%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)58.957.5116.4+1.460%-
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Utah Jazztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utah Jazz: 117.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.232.8
57.3%
54.8%65.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.511.4
33.0%
35.8%34.2
🏀 Free throws22.017.5
79.5%
78.1%17.5
They take 91.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 114.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.927.7
50.5%
54.8%55.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.514.2
35.1%
35.8%42.6
🏀 Free throws22.016.5
75.0%
78.1%16.5
They take 95.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Utah Jazz
LWLLLLWLWL
Miami Heat
LWLWLWLLLW
#26
League position
#17
-10.7
Net rating
-6.5
111.6
Offensive rating
107.3
122.3
Defensive rating
113.7
54.4%
Effective FG%
51.4%
59.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
14.3%
Turnover %
13.5%
24.8%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.23
33.0%
3-point %
35.1%
69.0%
Assist %
67.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.6 · 107.3Defence122.3 · 113.7Shooting54.4% · 51.4%3-point %33.0% · 35.1%Ball care14.3% · 13.5%Off. rebounds24.8% · 27.3%Free throws0.24 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Utah Jazz   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Utah Jazz wins
7
Miami Heat wins
DateGameScore
10/01/25Utah Jazz v Miami Heat92-97
05/01/25Miami Heat v Utah Jazz100-136
02/03/24Miami Heat v Utah Jazz126-120
30/12/23Utah Jazz v Miami Heat117-109
13/03/23Miami Heat v Utah Jazz119-115
01/01/23Utah Jazz v Miami Heat123-126
13/11/21Utah Jazz v Miami Heat105-111
06/11/21Miami Heat v Utah Jazz118-115
27/02/21Miami Heat v Utah Jazz124-116
14/02/21Utah Jazz v Miami Heat112-94
Utah Jazzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/26HSan Antonio Spurs109-126
21/01/26HMinnesota Timberwolves127-122
19/01/26ASan Antonio Spurs110-123
17/01/26ADallas Mavericks120-138
16/01/26ADallas Mavericks122-144
15/01/26AChicago Bulls126-128
13/01/26ACleveland Cavaliers123-112
11/01/26HCharlotte Hornets95-150
09/01/26HDallas Mavericks116-114
08/01/26AOklahoma City Thunder125-129 OT
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/26APortland Trail Blazers110-127
21/01/26ASacramento Kings130-117
20/01/26AGolden State Warriors112-135
18/01/26HOklahoma City Thunder122-120
16/01/26HBoston Celtics114-119
14/01/26HPhoenix Suns127-121
12/01/26AOklahoma City Thunder112-124
11/01/26AIndiana Pacers99-123
07/01/26AMinnesota Timberwolves94-122
04/01/26HNew Orleans Pelicans125-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah Jazz
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL33%
HomeLWLWL43%
AwayWLLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452322
Win %33%43%23%
Points / game119.1123.7114.2
Allowed / game127.4129.2125.5
Point differential-8.3-5.5-11.2
Avg total246.5253.0239.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%9%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)62% (8)40% (5)
Overtime %11%17%5%
Miami Heat
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL52%
HomeLWWLW68%
AwayLLLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442222
Win %52%68%36%
Points / game119.6121.8117.4
Allowed / game118.5117.3119.6
Point differential+1.1+4.5-2.2
Avg total238.1239.1237.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%32%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)75% (8)33% (3)
Overtime %2%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder4436882%121.2108.4+12.8
2 Detroit Pistons43321174%116.9110.0+7.0
3 San Antonio Spurs43291467%117.7112.5+5.2
4 Denver Nuggets46311567%120.7116.2+4.5
5 Houston Rockets43271663%116.9110.8+6.1
6 Los Angeles Lakers43271663%115.9115.9+0.1
7 Boston Celtics45281762%116.9110.3+6.6
8 Phoenix Suns44271761%115.0111.2+3.8
9 Toronto Raptors46281861%114.5112.1+2.5
10 Minnesota Timberwolves45271860%120.0115.1+4.9
11 New York Knicks43251858%117.5113.8+3.7
12 Cleveland Cavaliers47272057%119.1116.9+2.3
13 Philadelphia 76ers44242055%116.6115.5+1.2
14 Golden State Warriors46252154%116.8114.2+2.7
15 Orlando Magic42222052%115.3115.2+0.0
16 Miami Heat44232152%119.6118.5+1.1
17 Chicago Bulls45232251%117.9119.7-1.8
18 Portland Trail Blazers46232350%116.1117.8-1.7
19 Atlanta Hawks47222547%117.4118.7-1.3
20 Los Angeles Clippers44202445%112.3113.5-1.2
21 Memphis Grizzlies43182542%115.5116.6-1.1
22 Dallas Mavericks46192741%114.3116.5-2.3
23 Milwaukee Bucks44182641%111.9115.5-3.6
24 Charlotte Hornets46182839%116.0115.5+0.5
25 Utah Jazz45153033%119.1127.4-8.3
26 Brooklyn Nets43123128%108.3114.8-6.5
27 Sacramento Kings46123426%110.9120.8-9.9
28 Indiana Pacers46113524%110.1118.2-8.1
29 New Orleans Pelicans47113623%115.1122.1-7.0
30 Washington Wizards44103423%112.2123.1-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Utah Jazz34183727116
Miami Heat35383539147
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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