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Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Mar 2016
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 96-118
31-23 27-31 23-30 15-34
Position#13
Record36-35
FormLLWWL
Points / game101.6
Allowed / game102.9
vs
Position#9
Record41-31
FormWWWWL
Points / game97.9
Allowed / game97.1
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Chicago Bulls v Miami Heat
14 Dec 2026
CHI v MIA
upcoming
29 Jan 2026
CHI113
MIA116
21 Nov 2025
CHI107
MIA143
16 Apr 2025
CHI90
MIA109
09 Apr 2025
CHI119
MIA111
04 Feb 2025
CHI133
MIA124
20 Nov 2023
CHI100
MIA118
18 Nov 2023
CHI102
MIA97
18 Mar 2023
CHI113
MIA99
02 Apr 2022
CHI109
MIA127
27 Nov 2021
CHI104
MIA107
12 Mar 2021
CHI90
MIA101
18 Mar 2020
CHI v MIA
upcoming
22 Nov 2019
CHI108
MIA116
19 Jan 2019
CHI103
MIA117
23 Nov 2018
CHI96
MIA103
15 Jan 2018
CHI119
MIA111
26 Nov 2017
CHI93
MIA100
27 Jan 2017
CHI88
MIA100
10 Dec 2016
CHI105
MIA100
11 Mar 2016
CHI96
MIA118
25 Jan 2016
CHI84
MIA89
25 Jan 2015
CHI84
MIA96
09 Mar 2014
CHI95
MIA88
05 Dec 2013
CHI107
MIA87
18 Jul 2013
CHI62
MIA68
13 May 2013
CHI65
MIA88
10 May 2013
CHI94
MIA104
27 Mar 2013
CHI101
MIA97
21 Feb 2013
CHI67
MIA86
12 Apr 2012
CHI96
MIA86
14 Mar 2012
CHI106
MIA102
26 May 2011
CHI80
MIA83
18 May 2011
CHI75
MIA85
15 May 2011
CHI103
MIA82
24 Feb 2011
CHI93
MIA89
15 Jan 2011
CHI99
MIA96
25 Mar 2010
CHI74
MIA103
06 Feb 2010
CHI95
MIA91
26 Mar 2009
CHI106
MIA87
12 Feb 2009
CHI93
MIA95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chicago Bulls winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Chicago BullsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
116-106
116
106
+10
H20/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
126-115
126
115
+11
H22/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#16
W
109-104
109
104
+5
H25/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
88-103
88
103
-15
A27/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
95-103
95
103
-8
H28/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#9
L
111-129
111
129
-18
A02/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
89-102
89
102
-13
A03/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#18
W
108-100
108
100
+8
H06/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#24
W
100-90
100
90
+10
H08/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
101-109
101
109
-8
A11/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-35
28-23
37-23
27-25
31-30
31-28
35-23
29-34
28-31
29-24
32-24
20-25
21-26
23-25
23-28
21-24
21-21
20-30
32-28
22-24
30-36
32-29
20-30
29-34
23-33
27-27
17-24
22-18
29-23
26-20
28-32
25-25
25-16
22-24
26-29
27-21
27-27
20-27
27-30
27-25
210.4Avg total
104.3Scored
106.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (71)101.6102.9204.5-1.351%
Season at home (37)101.6100.3201.9+1.365%
Season away (34)101.5105.7207.2-4.235%
Last 10 (10)104.3106.1210.4-1.850%
Last 5 (5)101.8106.0207.8-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)97.6107.9205.5-10.325%
vs Similar ◀ (15)100.2103.7203.9-3.533%
vs Weaker (3)118.3105.7224.0+12.7100%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#16
W
114-94
114
94
+20
H21/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
101-93 OT
101
93
+8
H23/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
112-118
112
118
-6
H25/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
89-101
89
101
-12
A27/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
98-81
98
81
+17
A29/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
129-111
129
111
+18
H02/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
108-92
108
92
+16
H04/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
112-102
112
102
+10
A05/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
103-98
103
98
+5
H06/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#24
L
108-114
108
114
-6
A10/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-19
29-25
23-24
32-26
15-25
26-19
29-25
18-19
30-21
25-30
28-29
29-38
26-18
23-28
21-26
19-29
23-19
21-20
25-26
29-16
36-30
29-32
30-20
34-29
29-21
28-22
27-25
24-24
40-29
19-20
25-28
28-25
30-25
17-24
22-20
34-29
22-29
32-28
31-23
23-34
207.8Avg total
107.4Scored
100.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (72)97.997.1195.0+0.857%
Season at home (37)100.397.1197.4+3.262%
Season away (35)95.397.1192.4-1.751%
Last 10 (10)107.4100.4207.8+7.070%
Last 5 (5)112.0103.4215.4+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)97.5111.8209.2-14.20%
vs Similar ◀ (15)97.999.3197.3-1.453%
vs Weaker (11)100.797.0197.7+3.773%
This opponent (Chicago Bulls) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.1+0.1
Chicago BullsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Chicago BullsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H20/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H22/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#16
W
57-55
57
55
+2
H25/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A27/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H28/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#9
L
62-65
62
65
-3
A02/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
50-60
50
60
-10
A03/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#18
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H06/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#24
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H08/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A11/03
NBA
105.2Avg total
51.7Scored
53.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.252.6102.8-2.347%-
Last 30 at home (12)49.651.2100.8-1.750%-
Last 30 away (18)50.753.4104.1-2.844%-
Last 10 (10)51.753.5105.2-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)52.252.4104.6-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)46.554.1100.6-7.617%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)52.251.2103.4+1.067%-
vs Weaker (3)55.353.3108.7+2.067%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#16
W
59-44
59
44
+15
H21/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H23/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H25/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A27/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A29/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
65-62
65
62
+3
H02/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H04/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
59-49
59
49
+10
A05/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H06/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#24
L
54-57
54
57
-3
A10/03
NBA
101.4Avg total
53.0Scored
48.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.349.198.5+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (11)49.247.596.7+1.645%-
Last 30 away (19)49.450.199.5-0.647%-
Last 10 (10)53.048.4101.4+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)56.452.0108.4+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)49.551.2100.8-1.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)49.248.697.8+0.653%-
vs Weaker (11)49.549.198.5+0.445%-
This opponent (Chicago Bulls) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chicago Bullstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chicago Bulls: 104.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.6 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.431.3
47.1%
49.0%62.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.08.7
41.4%
35.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.515.6
80.0%
75.5%15.6
They take 87.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 24% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 107.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀68%
🏀🏀🏀13%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers72.8 pts a game · 68% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers72.736.4
50.1%
49.0%72.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.54.6
34.1%
35.3%13.8
🏀 Free throws27.220.8
76.5%
75.5%20.8
They take 86.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 13.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 16% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Mar 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chicago Bulls
LWWLLLLWWW
Miami Heat
LWWWWWLLWW
#13
League position
#9
-1.8
Net rating
+7.0
103.7
Offensive rating
107.8
105.5
Defensive rating
100.8
50.7%
Effective FG%
50.2%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
46.2%
14.0%
Turnover %
13.7%
21.7%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.32
41.4%
3-point %
34.1%
67.5%
Assist %
53.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence103.7 · 107.8Defence105.5 · 100.8Shooting50.7% · 50.2%3-point %41.4% · 34.1%Ball care14.0% · 13.7%Off. rebounds21.7% · 29.6%Free throws0.22 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Chicago Bulls   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Chicago Bulls wins
6
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/16ASan Antonio Spurs101-109
08/03/16HMilwaukee Bucks100-90
06/03/16HHouston Rockets108-100
03/03/16AOrlando Magic89-102
02/03/16AMiami Heat111-129
28/02/16HPortland Trail Blazers95-103
27/02/16AAtlanta Hawks88-103
25/02/16HWashington Wizards109-104
22/02/16HLos Angeles Lakers126-115
20/02/16HToronto Raptors116-106
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/16AMilwaukee Bucks108-114
06/03/16HPhiladelphia 76ers103-98
05/03/16APhiladelphia 76ers112-102
04/03/16HPhoenix Suns108-92
02/03/16HChicago Bulls129-111
29/02/16ANew York Knicks98-81
27/02/16ABoston Celtics89-101
25/02/16HGolden State Warriors112-118
23/02/16HIndiana Pacers101-93 OT
21/02/16HWashington Wizards114-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chicago Bulls
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL51%
HomeWWLWW65%
AwayLLLLL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games713734
Win %51%65%35%
Points / game101.6101.6101.5
Allowed / game102.9100.3105.7
Point differential-1.3+1.3-4.2
Avg total204.5201.9207.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%22%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (22)71% (14)50% (8)
Overtime %8%8%9%
Miami Heat
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL57%
HomeWLWWW62%
AwayWLWWL51%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games723735
Win %57%62%51%
Points / game97.9100.395.3
Allowed / game97.197.197.1
Point differential+0.8+3.2-1.7
Avg total195.0197.4192.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%30%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won76% (21)80% (10)73% (11)
Overtime %7%8%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors70601086%114.0104.3+9.7
2 San Antonio Spurs71571480%103.892.7+11.1
3 Oklahoma City Thunder69482170%109.7102.7+7.0
4 Toronto Raptors70482269%101.997.4+4.6
5 Cleveland Cavaliers71472466%102.897.9+4.9
6 Los Angeles Clippers69442564%104.3100.6+3.7
7 Memphis Grizzlies70432761%98.198.1+0.0
8 Boston Celtics71432861%105.6101.2+4.4
9 Charlotte Hornets72432960%102.599.4+3.0
10 Miami Heat72413157%97.997.1+0.8
11 Atlanta Hawks72403256%101.398.7+2.6
12 Indiana Pacers71393255%102.2100.2+2.0
13 Portland Trail Blazers72373551%103.8102.8+1.0
14 Chicago Bulls71363551%101.6102.9-1.3
15 Detroit Pistons73363749%101.8100.2+1.6
16 Houston Rockets73363749%105.9106.9-1.0
17 Washington Wizards69333648%103.2104.6-1.3
18 Dallas Mavericks72333946%101.1102.5-1.4
19 Orlando Magic70323846%100.8102.2-1.4
20 Utah Jazz71323945%97.697.4+0.3
21 Sacramento Kings69303943%106.5108.5-2.0
22 Denver Nuggets72314143%101.7103.5-1.8
23 New York Knicks71304142%99.2101.2-2.0
24 Milwaukee Bucks71294241%99.5103.4-3.9
25 New Orleans Pelicans70274339%102.8105.9-3.1
26 Minnesota Timberwolves72225031%100.8105.7-4.9
27 Phoenix Suns71215030%100.6107.1-6.4
28 Brooklyn Nets70205029%97.7103.8-6.1
29 Los Angeles Lakers73165722%97.8106.8-9.0
30 Philadelphia 76ers72116115%96.5106.8-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chicago Bulls3127231596
Miami Heat23313034118
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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