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Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Jan 2017
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 88-100
24-33 29-20 14-24 21-23
Position#15
Record23-24
FormLLWWL
Points / game101.5
Allowed / game101.5
vs
Position#13
Record16-30
FormWWWWW
Points / game99.2
Allowed / game102.5
USANBA· United Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Chicago Bulls v Miami Heat
14 Dec 2026
CHI v MIA
upcoming
29 Jan 2026
CHI113
MIA116
21 Nov 2025
CHI107
MIA143
16 Apr 2025
CHI90
MIA109
09 Apr 2025
CHI119
MIA111
04 Feb 2025
CHI133
MIA124
20 Nov 2023
CHI100
MIA118
18 Nov 2023
CHI102
MIA97
18 Mar 2023
CHI113
MIA99
02 Apr 2022
CHI109
MIA127
27 Nov 2021
CHI104
MIA107
12 Mar 2021
CHI90
MIA101
18 Mar 2020
CHI v MIA
upcoming
22 Nov 2019
CHI108
MIA116
19 Jan 2019
CHI103
MIA117
23 Nov 2018
CHI96
MIA103
15 Jan 2018
CHI119
MIA111
26 Nov 2017
CHI93
MIA100
27 Jan 2017
CHI88
MIA100
10 Dec 2016
CHI105
MIA100
11 Mar 2016
CHI96
MIA118
25 Jan 2016
CHI84
MIA89
25 Jan 2015
CHI84
MIA96
09 Mar 2014
CHI95
MIA88
05 Dec 2013
CHI107
MIA87
13 May 2013
CHI65
MIA88
10 May 2013
CHI94
MIA104
27 Mar 2013
CHI101
MIA97
21 Feb 2013
CHI67
MIA86
12 Apr 2012
CHI96
MIA86
14 Mar 2012
CHI106
MIA102
26 May 2011
CHI80
MIA83
18 May 2011
CHI75
MIA85
15 May 2011
CHI103
MIA82
24 Feb 2011
CHI93
MIA89
15 Jan 2011
CHI99
MIA96
25 Mar 2010
CHI74
MIA103
06 Feb 2010
CHI95
MIA91
26 Mar 2009
CHI106
MIA87
12 Feb 2009
CHI93
MIA95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chicago Bulls winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Chicago BullsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBulls
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
94-109
94
109
-15
80avg 93
H10/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
99-101
99
101
-2
86avg 93
A11/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
L
89-104
89
104
-15
74avg 93
A13/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
107-99
107
99
+8
96avg 93
H14/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
108-104
108
104
+4
101avg 93
A16/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
98-99
98
99
-1
91avg 93
H18/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
93-102
93
102
-9
83avg 93
A21/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
102-99
102
99
+3
95avg 93
H22/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
100-92
100
92
+8
88avg 93
A25/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
114-119
114
119
-5
96avg 93
H26/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
26-35
21-28
27-20
36-26
25-23
16-32
22-20
22-24
29-30
14-22
24-28
21-22
34-23
22-26
30-28
14-19
38-27
26-31
30-27
28-24
19-30
27-22
24-23
13-35
23-30
21-22
36-15
24-21
31-31
20-21
27-26
20-22
32-27
26-24
22-19
29-22
30-29
24-27
31-41
203.2Avg total
100.4Scored
102.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (47)101.5101.5203.0-0.149%
Season at home (24)103.0101.4204.4+1.658%
Season away (23)99.9101.7201.6-1.839%
Last 10 (10)100.4102.8203.2-2.440%
Last 5 (5)101.4102.2203.6-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)103.0102.2205.2+0.875%
vs Similar ◀ (24)99.2103.8203.0-4.633%
vs Weaker (2)100.595.5196.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
107-102
107
102
+5
105avg 92
A05/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
L
100-127
100
127
-27
79avg 92
A07/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
86-98
86
98
-12
73avg 92
A08/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
95-107
95
107
-12
86avg 92
A11/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
108-116
108
116
-8
101avg 92
A14/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
109-103
109
103
+6
100avg 92
H18/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
99-95
99
95
+4
90avg 92
H20/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
109-97
109
97
+12
100avg 92
H22/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
105-102
105
102
+3
92avg 92
H24/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
109-106
109
106
+3
100avg 92
A26/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-25
34-34
23-22
20-21
23-32
33-26
23-32
21-37
19-20
20-32
27-28
20-18
29-27
25-26
14-26
27-28
30-42
18-23
26-26
34-25
27-32
26-21
26-26
30-24
29-22
15-31
26-20
29-22
25-22
28-21
29-28
27-26
28-30
18-18
31-25
28-29
34-30
21-36
16-23
38-17
208.0Avg total
102.7Scored
105.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)99.2102.5201.7-3.435%
Season at home (22)102.0102.3204.3-0.441%
Season away (24)96.6102.8199.3-6.229%
Last 10 (10)102.7105.3208.0-2.660%
Last 5 (5)106.2100.6206.8+5.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)103.0104.0207.0-1.067%
vs Similar ◀ (20)98.5102.8201.2-4.330%
vs Weaker (7)107.7113.0220.7-5.343%
This opponent (Chicago Bulls) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +2.7+2.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +2.7+2.7
Chicago BullsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Chicago BullsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
46-61
46
61
-15
H10/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
61-49
61
49
+12
A11/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
L
51-54
51
54
-3
A13/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H14/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A16/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H18/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
36-65
36
65
-29
A21/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H22/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A25/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H26/01
NBA
104.0Avg total
51.4Scored
52.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.952.5103.4-1.647%-
Last 30 at home (18)52.851.6104.4+1.256%-
Last 30 away (12)48.253.8102.0-5.733%-
Last 10 (10)51.452.6104.0-1.260%-
Last 5 (5)49.854.2104.0-4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)51.548.299.8+3.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (24)51.053.5104.5-2.546%-
vs Weaker (2)49.049.098.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
64-59
64
59
+5
A05/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
L
56-58
56
58
-2
A07/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A08/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
54-53
54
53
+1
A11/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
48-65
48
65
-17
A14/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H18/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H20/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H22/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H24/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
55-66
55
66
-11
A26/01
NBA
106.2Avg total
51.2Scored
55.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.854.0104.8-3.140%-
Last 30 at home (14)50.854.1104.9-3.343%-
Last 30 away (16)50.953.9104.8-3.038%-
Last 10 (10)51.255.0106.2-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)50.252.6102.8-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)51.051.3102.3-0.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)48.752.8101.5-4.140%-
vs Weaker (7)56.958.4115.3-1.643%-
This opponent (Chicago Bulls) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chicago Bullstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chicago Bulls: 100.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.8 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.730.4
47.0%
50.2%60.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.96.6
31.6%
35.7%19.8
🏀 Free throws25.219.8
78.6%
77.0%19.8
They take 85.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 24% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 102.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.927.9
50.8%
50.2%55.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.110.0
35.6%
35.7%30.0
🏀 Free throws23.916.9
70.7%
77.0%16.9
They take 83.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chicago Bulls
LWWLLWWLLL
Miami Heat
WWWWWLLLLW
#15
League position
#13
-2.5
Net rating
-2.6
103.2
Offensive rating
104.3
105.7
Defensive rating
106.9
47.1%
Effective FG%
51.7%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
13.2%
Turnover %
12.6%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
18.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.6%
3-point %
35.6%
51.4%
Assist %
55.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.2 · 104.3Defence105.7 · 106.9Shooting47.1% · 51.7%3-point %31.6% · 35.6%Ball care13.2% · 12.6%Off. rebounds25.9% · 18.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Chicago Bulls   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Chicago Bulls wins
5
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/17HAtlanta Hawks114-119
25/01/17AOrlando Magic100-92
22/01/17HSacramento Kings102-99
21/01/17AAtlanta Hawks93-102
18/01/17HDallas Mavericks98-99
16/01/17AMemphis Grizzlies108-104
14/01/17HNew Orleans Pelicans107-99
13/01/17ANew York Knicks89-104
11/01/17AWashington Wizards99-101
10/01/17HOklahoma City Thunder94-109
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/17ABrooklyn Nets109-106
24/01/17HGolden State Warriors105-102
22/01/17HMilwaukee Bucks109-97
20/01/17HDallas Mavericks99-95
18/01/17HHouston Rockets109-103
14/01/17AMilwaukee Bucks108-116
11/01/17AGolden State Warriors95-107
08/01/17ALos Angeles Clippers86-98
07/01/17ALos Angeles Lakers100-127
05/01/17ASacramento Kings107-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chicago Bulls
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL49%
HomeLWLWL58%
AwayLLWLW39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games472423
Win %49%58%39%
Points / game101.5103.099.9
Allowed / game101.5101.4101.7
Point differential-0.1+1.6-1.8
Avg total203.0204.4201.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)60% (10)50% (4)
Overtime %2%4%0%
Miami Heat
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW35%
HomeLWWWW41%
AwayLLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462224
Win %35%41%29%
Points / game99.2102.096.6
Allowed / game102.5102.3102.8
Point differential-3.4-0.4-6.2
Avg total201.7204.3199.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%18%4%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (14)33% (6)50% (8)
Overtime %4%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors4639785%117.5104.8+12.7
2 San Antonio Spurs4536980%107.798.8+8.9
3 Houston Rockets49341569%114.3108.1+6.3
4 Cleveland Cavaliers45311469%110.0105.4+4.6
5 Los Angeles Clippers47301764%108.0103.0+5.0
6 Utah Jazz48301862%99.495.4+4.0
7 Toronto Raptors47291862%109.6104.4+5.1
8 Boston Celtics46281861%108.0105.6+2.4
9 Oklahoma City Thunder47281960%106.3105.2+1.2
10 Atlanta Hawks46271959%103.3103.0+0.3
11 Memphis Grizzlies47272057%99.799.4+0.3
12 Washington Wizards45252056%106.6105.7+0.8
13 Indiana Pacers46242252%105.6106.8-1.1
14 Charlotte Hornets47232449%105.2103.5+1.7
15 Chicago Bulls47232449%101.5101.5-0.1
16 Milwaukee Bucks46212546%104.6104.5+0.2
17 Detroit Pistons46212546%100.6101.3-0.8
18 Denver Nuggets45202544%110.1111.1-1.0
19 New York Knicks48212744%105.5108.1-2.6
20 Portland Trail Blazers47202743%107.4110.2-2.7
21 Sacramento Kings46182839%103.0105.8-2.8
22 New Orleans Pelicans46182839%103.3106.2-2.9
23 Philadelphia 76ers44172739%99.9105.0-5.1
24 Orlando Magic48183038%99.7105.4-5.7
25 Minnesota Timberwolves46172937%103.5104.6-1.1
26 Dallas Mavericks46163035%96.7100.1-3.4
27 Miami Heat46163035%99.2102.5-3.4
28 Phoenix Suns46153133%106.5111.8-5.3
29 Los Angeles Lakers50163432%103.6110.0-6.4
30 Brooklyn Nets4693720%106.0114.9-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chicago Bulls2429142188
Miami Heat33202423100
← all games of the day
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