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Circus Brussels vs Leiden Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 May 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 80-50
22-14 18-13 21-12 19-11
Position#5
Record24-11
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game75.9
vs
Position#12
Record17-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game80.0
EuropeBNXT League· Piscine de Neder-Over-Hembeek
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Circus Brussels winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leiden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Circus BrusselsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrussels
Date
Competition
Limburg
#4
W
73-72
73
72
+1
64avg 71
H23/03
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
74-87
74
87
-13
61avg 71
H28/03
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
83-79
83
79
+4
75avg 71
A02/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
97-72
97
72
+25
88avg 71
H06/04
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
L
61-67
61
67
-6
54avg 71
A12/04
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
W
84-77
84
77
+7
75avg 71
H18/04
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
76-70
76
70
+6
72avg 71
A20/04
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
77-68
77
68
+9
62avg 71
H27/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
W
86-83
86
83
+3
74avg 71
A30/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
85-77
85
77
+8
76avg 71
A04/05
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
19-13
14-22
21-20
21-28
25-23
16-16
12-20
16-16
17-19
18-21
32-23
21-12
29-19
18-21
29-20
15-17
20-14
13-17
13-19
21-14
21-19
15-19
27-25
22-28
28-13
13-15
13-14
16-22
15-24
19-6
27-16
15-22
23-19
17-21
31-21
19-25
22-18
27-23
17-11
154.8Avg total
79.6Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)78.575.9154.4+2.669%
Season at home (17)77.274.7151.9+2.565%
Season away (18)79.777.0156.7+2.772%
Last 10 (10)79.675.2154.8+4.480%
Last 5 (5)81.675.0156.6+6.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)80.075.3155.3+4.7100%
vs Similar (14)78.081.6159.6-3.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)78.569.8148.3+8.885%
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Leuven Bears
#7
L
63-98
63
98
-35
52avg 70
A29/03
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
85-81
85
81
+4
82avg 70
H05/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
71-68
71
68
+3
66avg 70
H09/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
W
77-71
77
71
+6
73avg 70
A12/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
94-74
94
74
+20
93avg 70
A18/04
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
79-81
79
81
-2
72avg 70
H20/04
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
71-74
71
74
-3
59avg 70
A25/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
83-88
83
88
-5
70avg 70
H30/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
82-99
82
99
-17
81avg 70
H03/05
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
68-70
68
70
-2
55avg 70
A07/05
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7-25
18-22
15-25
23-26
21-24
21-21
11-19
32-17
18-14
21-20
9-20
23-14
25-20
20-22
14-17
18-12
34-14
25-25
14-24
21-11
20-17
25-18
12-26
22-20
21-16
18-25
17-15
15-18
25-29
17-29
23-10
18-20
20-33
18-25
20-21
24-20
17-17
24-21
16-16
11-16
157.7Avg total
77.3Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)77.180.0157.1-2.849%
Season at home (18)78.079.9157.9-1.944%
Season away (17)76.280.1156.3-3.853%
Last 10 (10)77.380.4157.7-3.140%
Last 5 (5)76.682.4159.0-5.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)74.982.4157.3-7.533%
vs Similar (7)79.379.3158.6+0.057%
vs Weaker (7)80.775.1155.9+5.671%
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +3.3+3.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +3.3+3.3
Circus BrusselsLeiden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Circus BrusselsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Limburg
#4
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H23/03
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H28/03
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A02/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H06/04
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A12/04
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H18/04
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A20/04
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H27/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A30/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A04/05
BNXT League
78.6Avg total
40.4Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.739.778.4-0.933%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.738.578.2+1.140%-
Last 30 away (15)37.840.878.6-3.027%-
Last 10 (10)40.438.278.6+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.440.881.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.039.080.0+2.067%-
vs Similar (14)38.042.280.2-4.221%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)39.037.176.1+1.938%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leuven Bears
#7
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A29/03
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H05/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H09/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A12/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
59-39
59
39
+20
A18/04
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H20/04
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A25/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
42-58
42
58
-16
H30/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
38-58
38
58
-20
H03/05
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A07/05
BNXT League
85.2Avg total
41.5Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.539.179.6+1.360%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.540.681.1-0.158%-
Last 30 away (18)40.438.278.6+2.361%-
Last 10 (10)41.543.785.2-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)41.046.087.0-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)37.742.279.9-4.547%-
vs Similar (7)39.939.179.0+0.757%-
vs Weaker (7)43.634.478.0+9.186%-
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Circus Brusselstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Circus Brussels: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.819.7
49.5%
52.6%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.58.4
37.3%
34.1%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.814.2
68.3%
71.9%14.2
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.921.3
53.4%
52.6%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.26.9
31.1%
34.1%20.7
🏀 Free throws18.013.0
72.2%
71.9%13.0
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Circus Brussels
WWWWWLWWLW
Leiden
LLLLLWWWWL
#5
League position
#12
+6.0
Net rating
-4.8
107.5
Offensive rating
104.0
101.5
Defensive rating
108.8
51.8%
Effective FG%
51.0%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
15.0%
Turnover %
17.4%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.29
37.3%
3-point %
31.1%
48.4%
Assist %
64.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 104.0Defence101.5 · 108.8Shooting51.8% · 51.0%3-point %37.3% · 31.1%Ball care15.0% · 17.4%Off. rebounds26.2% · 26.8%Free throws0.33 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Circus Brussels   ■ Leiden
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Circus Brussels wins
0
Leiden wins
DateGameScore
21/12/24Leiden v Circus Brussels66-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/25AQSTA Utd85-77
30/04/25ABelfius Mons86-83
27/04/25HDonar Groningen77-68
20/04/25AOostende76-70
18/04/25HKortrijk84-77
12/04/25ABAL Weert61-67
06/04/25HDen Helder97-72
02/04/25ASpirou Charleroi83-79
28/03/25HMechelen74-87
23/03/25HLimburg73-72
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/05/25AMechelen68-70
03/05/25HAntwerp Giants82-99
30/04/25HLWD Basket83-88
25/04/25ALimburg71-74
20/04/25HDonar Groningen79-81
18/04/25AFeyenoord94-74
12/04/25ABelfius Mons77-71
09/04/25HQSTA Utd71-68
05/04/25HBAL Weert85-81
29/03/25ALeuven Bears63-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Circus Brussels
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW69%
HomeWLWWW65%
AwayWLWWW72%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %69%65%72%
Points / game78.577.279.7
Allowed / game75.974.777.0
Point differential+2.6+2.5+2.7
Avg total154.4151.9156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%24%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won92% (13)100% (5)88% (8)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leiden
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL49%
HomeWWLLL44%
AwayLWWLL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %49%44%53%
Points / game77.178.076.2
Allowed / game80.079.980.1
Point differential-2.8-1.9-3.8
Avg total157.1157.9156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%22%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)43% (7)71% (7)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kortrijk35251071%93.277.9+15.3
2 Oostende35251071%86.275.4+10.8
3 Mechelen35251071%81.275.1+6.1
4 Limburg35251071%81.375.4+5.9
5 Circus Brussels35241169%78.575.9+2.6
6 Antwerp Giants35221363%84.081.0+3.0
7 Leuven Bears35211460%79.873.9+5.9
8 Den Bosch36211558%83.479.9+3.5
9 Spirou Charleroi35191654%79.975.2+4.7
10 Belfius Mons35191654%79.978.6+1.2
11 LWD Basket35191654%82.183.1-1.1
12 Leiden35171849%77.180.0-2.8
13 Okapi Aalst35161946%80.080.1-0.1
14 Zwolle35122334%81.985.4-3.6
15 Donar Groningen35122334%77.683.6-6.0
16 Den Helder35122334%73.183.1-10.0
17 Feyenoord3592626%77.987.1-9.1
18 BAL Weert3562917%70.584.7-14.2
19 QSTA Utd3543111%76.288.4-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Circus Brussels2218211980
Leiden1413121150
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