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Colorado State vs Fresno State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 67-63
27-32 40-31
Position#90
Record20-11
FormWWWWL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game71.4
vs
Position#275
Record13-18
FormLLLWL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game73.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Colorado State v Fresno State
17 Jan 2027
COLO v FRES
upcoming
11 Mar 2026
COLO67
FRES63
24 Feb 2026
COLO74
FRES70
07 Jan 2025
COLO91
FRES64
08 Mar 2023
COLO67
FRES65
07 Jan 2023
COLO79
FRES57
11 Feb 2022
COLO65
FRES50
11 Mar 2021
COLO72
FRES62
30 Dec 2020
COLO81
FRES59
28 Dec 2020
COLO75
FRES53
22 Jan 2020
COLO86
FRES68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Colorado State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Colorado StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#148
L
57-68
57
68
-11
A01/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
65-57
65
57
+8
H08/02
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
91-74
91
74
+17
A11/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
79-68
79
68
+11
H14/02
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
91-86
91
86
+5
A19/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H21/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
74-70
74
70
+4
H25/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
85-73
85
73
+12
A28/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
82-74
82
74
+8
A05/03
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
67-78
67
78
-11
H07/03
NCAA
1H
2H
23-27
34-41
30-29
35-28
47-39
44-35
37-40
42-28
47-39
44-47
38-25
45-49
32-39
42-31
42-37
43-36
40-25
42-49
28-36
39-42
149.6Avg total
77.4Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)76.871.4148.2+5.465%
Season at home (18)78.769.0147.7+9.767%
Season away (13)74.274.7148.9-0.562%
Last 10 (10)77.472.2149.6+5.280%
Last 5 (5)78.273.8152.0+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)70.877.4148.2-6.640%
vs Similar (10)68.171.1139.2-3.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)81.771.2152.9+10.586%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#192
W
98-96
98
96
+2
H04/02
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
59-69
59
69
-10
A08/02
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
78-91
78
91
-13
A11/02
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
93-63
93
63
+30
H14/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
82-92
82
92
-10
A18/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
78-80
78
80
-2
H22/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A25/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
53-69
53
69
-16
H01/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
82-68
82
68
+14
H04/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
60-85
60
85
-25
A08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
49-50
49-46
28-28
31-41
35-47
43-44
45-33
48-30
40-42
42-50
44-32
34-48
39-32
31-42
23-28
30-41
45-34
37-34
29-44
31-41
154.0Avg total
75.3Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)73.273.0146.2+0.242%
Season at home (19)75.169.8144.9+5.358%
Season away (12)70.178.1148.2-8.017%
Last 10 (10)75.378.7154.0-3.430%
Last 5 (5)68.675.2143.8-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)67.775.6143.3-7.922%
vs Similar (6)81.779.0160.7+2.750%
vs Weaker (6)78.562.8141.3+15.783%
This opponent (Colorado State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +2.8+2.81st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: +2.4+2.42nd half: -4.1-4.1
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +2.8+2.81st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: +2.4+2.42nd half: -4.1-4.1
Colorado StateFresno State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Colorado StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#148
L
23-27
23
27
-4
A01/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H08/02
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A11/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H14/02
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A19/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H21/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H25/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A28/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
40-25
40
25
+15
A05/03
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H07/03
NCAA
70.0Avg total
36.4Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.033.069.0+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.132.970.1+4.259%-
Last 30 away (13)34.633.067.6+1.662%-
Last 10 (10)36.433.670.0+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)36.032.468.4+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.432.665.0-0.260%-
vs Similar (10)32.732.965.6-0.230%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)38.033.671.6+4.479%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#192
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H04/02
NCAA
Nevada
#86
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A08/02
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A11/02
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H14/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A18/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H22/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A25/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H01/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H04/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A08/03
NCAA
74.7Avg total
37.7Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.734.468.1-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.132.466.4+1.750%-
Last 30 away (12)33.237.370.5-4.233%-
Last 10 (10)37.737.074.7+0.740%-
Last 5 (5)36.034.070.0+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)30.134.164.2-4.122%-
vs Similar (6)38.736.375.0+2.367%-
vs Weaker (6)39.733.272.8+6.583%-
This opponent (Colorado State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Colorado State wins
1
Fresno State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26HBoise State67-78
05/03/26ANew Mexico82-74
28/02/26ASan Jose State85-73
25/02/26HFresno State74-70
21/02/26HSan Diego State83-74
19/02/26AUNLV91-86
14/02/26HWyoming79-68
11/02/26AAir Force91-74
08/02/26HSan Jose State65-57
01/02/26AWyoming57-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/26AGrand Canyon60-85
04/03/26HSan Jose State82-68
01/03/26HBoise State53-69
25/02/26AColorado State70-74
22/02/26HNew Mexico78-80
18/02/26AWyoming82-92
14/02/26HAir Force93-63
11/02/26AUtah State78-91
08/02/26ANevada59-69
04/02/26HUNLV98-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Colorado State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL65%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayLWWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311813
Win %65%67%62%
Points / game76.878.774.2
Allowed / game71.469.074.7
Point differential+5.4+9.7-0.5
Avg total148.2147.7148.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%39%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)40% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fresno State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL42%
HomeWWLLW58%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311912
Win %42%58%17%
Points / game73.275.170.1
Allowed / game73.069.878.1
Point differential+0.2+5.3-8.0
Avg total146.2144.9148.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%32%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)44% (9)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State3125681%83.071.1+11.9
2 New Mexico3122971%80.770.8+9.9
3 San Diego State30201067%79.471.5+7.9
4 Nevada32211166%76.071.1+4.9
5 Grand Canyon31201165%75.568.2+7.3
6 Colorado State31201165%76.871.4+5.4
7 Boise State31201165%78.373.1+5.2
8 Wyoming32181456%77.173.0+4.1
9 UNLV32171553%80.078.5+1.5
10 Fresno State31131842%73.273.0+0.2
11 San Jose State3182326%71.578.2-6.7
12 Air Force323299%61.579.9-18.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Colorado State274067
Fresno State323163
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