PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Colorado State vs Fresno State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 79-57
35-23 44-34
Position#238
Record8-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game70.4
vs
Position#295
Record6-8
FormLWWLW
Points / game61.4
Allowed / game61.9
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Colorado State v Fresno State
17 Jan 2027
COLO v FRES
upcoming
11 Mar 2026
COLO67
FRES63
24 Feb 2026
COLO74
FRES70
07 Jan 2025
COLO91
FRES64
08 Mar 2023
COLO67
FRES65
07 Jan 2023
COLO79
FRES57
11 Feb 2022
COLO65
FRES50
11 Mar 2021
COLO72
FRES62
30 Dec 2020
COLO81
FRES59
28 Dec 2020
COLO75
FRES53
22 Jan 2020
COLO86
FRES68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Colorado State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Colorado StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miss. Valley St.
#366
W
88-45
88
45
+43
H26/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#109
W
87-71
87
71
+16
H01/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
L
83-88
83
88
-5
H03/12
NCAA
Colorado
#192
L
65-93
65
93
-28
A09/12
NCAA
Peru State
#581
W
115-72
115
72
+43
H11/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#32
W
62-60
62
60
+2
A19/12
NCAA
USC
#73
L
64-73
64
73
-9
A22/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
69-88
69
88
-19
A29/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
70-78
70
78
-8
H31/12
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A05/01
NCAA
1H
2H
42-20
46-25
32-27
55-44
34-37
49-51
30-38
35-55
53-47
62-25
30-30
32-30
27-31
37-42
24-49
45-39
36-33
34-45
31-40
38-40
152.0Avg total
77.2Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)74.970.4145.4+4.550%
Season at home (9)80.167.3147.4+12.867%
Season away (7)68.374.4142.7-6.129%
Last 10 (10)77.274.8152.0+2.440%
Last 5 (5)66.875.8142.6-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)65.071.2136.2-6.250%
vs Similar ◀ (19)67.468.5135.8-1.153%
vs Weaker (6)80.766.8147.5+13.867%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington
#212
L
57-62
57
62
-5
A24/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
L
59-67
59
67
-8
A25/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
W
80-66
80
66
+14
A04/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#354
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H08/12
NCAA
Pacific
#242
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A10/12
NCAA
Sacramento State
#253
L
53-59
53
59
-6
H18/12
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#311
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A21/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H29/12
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
54-67
54
67
-13
A31/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
28-27
29-35
26-31
33-36
47-41
33-25
29-30
36-26
29-38
43-38
23-24
30-35
27-27
29-21
38-25
20-28
26-33
28-34
36-32
35-35
124.6Avg total
62.5Scored
62.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)61.461.9123.3-0.443%
Season at home (6)62.759.7122.3+3.067%
Season away (8)60.563.5124.0-3.025%
Last 10 (10)62.562.1124.6+0.450%
Last 5 (5)58.458.8117.2-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)61.864.8126.7-3.033%
vs Similar ◀ (16)58.061.0119.0-3.025%
vs Weaker (7)69.958.7128.6+11.186%
This opponent (Colorado State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: +0.1+0.12nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: +0.3+0.3
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: +0.1+0.12nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: +0.3+0.3
Colorado StateFresno State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Colorado StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miss. Valley St.
#366
W
42-20
42
20
+22
H26/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#109
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H01/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H03/12
NCAA
Colorado
#192
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A09/12
NCAA
Peru State
#581
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H11/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#32
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A19/12
NCAA
USC
#73
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A22/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
24-49
24
49
-25
A29/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H31/12
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A05/01
NCAA
69.1Avg total
33.9Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.332.564.9-0.253%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.831.163.9+1.665%-
Last 30 away (13)31.834.466.2-2.638%-
Last 10 (10)33.935.269.1-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)29.636.666.2-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)26.538.064.5-11.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)30.731.562.2-0.858%-
vs Weaker (6)38.029.767.7+8.367%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington
#212
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A24/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A25/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A04/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#354
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H08/12
NCAA
Pacific
#242
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A10/12
NCAA
Sacramento State
#253
L
23-24
23
24
-1
H18/12
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#311
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A21/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H29/12
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A31/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H04/01
NCAA
61.7Avg total
30.9Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.228.657.8+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)29.128.957.9+0.243%-
Last 30 away (16)29.228.457.7+0.850%-
Last 10 (10)30.930.861.7+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)30.028.258.2+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)30.731.562.2-0.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)26.528.655.1-2.125%-
vs Weaker (7)33.425.959.3+7.6100%-
This opponent (Colorado State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Colorado State wins
0
Fresno State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/23ANevada69-80
31/12/22HSan Jose State70-78
29/12/22ANew Mexico69-88
22/12/22AUSC64-73
19/12/22ASt. Marys (CA)62-60
11/12/22HPeru State115-72
09/12/22AColorado65-93
03/12/22HNorthern Colorado83-88
01/12/22HLoyola Marymount87-71
26/11/22HMiss. Valley St.88-45
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/23HNew Mexico71-67
31/12/22AUtah State54-67
29/12/22HWyoming58-53
21/12/22ACSU Bakersfield56-48
18/12/22HSacramento State53-59
10/12/22APacific72-76
08/12/22HCS Northridge65-56
04/12/22AUC Irvine80-66
25/11/22AVanderbilt59-67
24/11/22AWashington57-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Colorado State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL50%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayLWLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %50%67%29%
Points / game74.980.168.3
Allowed / game70.467.374.4
Point differential+4.5+12.8-6.1
Avg total145.4147.4142.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%56%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fresno State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW43%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayLWLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game61.462.760.5
Allowed / game61.959.763.5
Point differential-0.4+3.0-3.0
Avg total123.3122.3124.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%17%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Mexico1514193%83.068.5+14.5
2 Utah State1513287%83.369.9+13.5
3 Nevada1714382%73.263.8+9.4
4 San Diego State1512380%75.565.5+10.1
5 UNLV1411379%76.964.5+12.4
6 Boise State1511473%70.559.7+10.7
7 Grand Canyon1510567%68.962.1+6.8
8 San Jose State1711665%67.765.7+2.0
9 Air Force169756%68.863.9+4.9
10 Colorado State168850%74.970.4+4.5
11 Fresno State146843%61.461.9-0.4
12 Wyoming1551033%71.169.7+1.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Colorado State354479
Fresno State233457
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.