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Colorado State vs Fresno State Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 17 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#134
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game71.2
vs
Position#141
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game83.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Colorado State v Fresno State
17 Jan 2027
COLO v FRES
upcoming
11 Mar 2026
COLO67
FRES63
24 Feb 2026
COLO74
FRES70
07 Jan 2025
COLO91
FRES64
08 Mar 2023
COLO67
FRES65
07 Jan 2023
COLO79
FRES57
11 Feb 2022
COLO65
FRES50
11 Mar 2021
COLO72
FRES62
30 Dec 2020
COLO81
FRES59
28 Dec 2020
COLO75
FRES53
22 Jan 2020
COLO86
FRES68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Colorado State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Fresno State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Colorado StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#275
W
74-70
74
70
+4
H25/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
85-73
85
73
+12
A28/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
82-74
82
74
+8
A05/03
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
67-78
67
78
-11
H07/03
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
67-63
67
63
+4
H12/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
62-71
62
71
-9
A13/03
NCAA
Montana State
#290
W
84-74
84
74
+10
H03/11
NCAA
Idaho
#190
W
78-67
78
67
+11
H07/11
NCAA
Portland State
#207
W
87-71
87
71
+16
H12/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#117
L
58-73
58
73
-15
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-39
42-31
42-37
43-36
40-25
42-49
28-36
39-42
27-32
40-31
27-39
35-32
44-38
40-36
36-33
42-34
42-26
45-45
24-44
34-29
145.8Avg total
74.4Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.871.2148.0+5.575%
Season at home (4)76.871.2148.0+5.575%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.471.4145.8+3.070%
Last 5 (5)73.871.2145.0+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)70.075.3145.3-5.343%
vs Similar (10)69.071.7140.7-2.740%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)78.769.2147.9+9.492%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#50
L
78-80
78
80
-2
H22/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A25/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
53-69
53
69
-16
H01/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
82-68
82
68
+14
H04/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
60-85
60
85
-25
A08/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
63-67
63
67
-4
A12/03
NCAA
Fresno Pacific
#355
W
88-79
88
79
+9
H03/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#166
L
65-81
65
81
-16
A08/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
W
95-92 OT
95
92
+3
H11/11
NCAA
UC Riverside
#109
W
89-80
89
80
+9
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
44-32
34-48
39-32
31-42
23-28
30-41
45-34
37-34
29-44
31-41
32-27
31-40
41-38
47-41
36-32
29-49
39-38
39-40
50-28
39-52
151.8Avg total
74.3Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.283.0167.2+1.275%
Season at home (3)90.783.7174.3+7.0100%
Season away (1)65.081.0146.0-16.00%
Last 10 (10)74.377.5151.8-3.240%
Last 5 (5)80.079.8159.8+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)68.876.1144.9-7.322%
vs Similar (5)81.485.2166.6-3.840%
vs Weaker (6)78.562.8141.3+15.783%
This opponent (Colorado State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -0.7-0.71st half: +4.5+4.52nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: -8.0-8.0
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -0.7-0.71st half: +4.5+4.52nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: -8.0-8.0
Colorado StateFresno State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Colorado StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#275
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H25/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A28/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
40-25
40
25
+15
A05/03
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H07/03
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H12/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A13/03
NCAA
Montana State
#290
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H03/11
NCAA
Idaho
#190
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H07/11
NCAA
Portland State
#207
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H12/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#117
L
24-44
24
44
-20
H14/11
NCAA
69.1Avg total
34.2Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.933.468.3+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.132.468.6+3.761%-
Last 30 away (12)33.134.867.8-1.750%-
Last 10 (10)34.234.969.1-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)34.636.070.6-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)31.734.366.0-2.657%-
vs Similar (10)32.333.165.4-0.830%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)36.833.770.5+3.275%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#50
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H22/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A25/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H01/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H04/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A08/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A12/03
NCAA
Fresno Pacific
#355
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H03/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#166
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A08/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H11/11
NCAA
UC Riverside
#109
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H14/11
NCAA
71.1Avg total
37.8Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.834.268.9+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.132.468.4+3.762%-
Last 30 away (14)33.336.269.5-2.943%-
Last 10 (10)37.833.371.1+4.580%-
Last 5 (5)39.632.672.2+7.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)31.132.463.5-1.339%-
vs Similar (5)40.841.081.8-0.260%-
vs Weaker (6)39.733.272.8+6.583%-
This opponent (Colorado State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Colorado State wins
1
Fresno State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HLoyola Chicago58-73
12/11/26HPortland State87-71
07/11/26HIdaho78-67
03/11/26HMontana State84-74
13/03/26ASan Diego State62-71
12/03/26HFresno State67-63
07/03/26HBoise State67-78
05/03/26ANew Mexico82-74
28/02/26ASan Jose State85-73
25/02/26HFresno State74-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HUC Riverside89-80
11/11/26HGeorgia State95-92 OT
08/11/26AUC San Diego65-81
03/11/26HFresno Pacific88-79
12/03/26AColorado State63-67
08/03/26AGrand Canyon60-85
04/03/26HSan Jose State82-68
01/03/26HBoise State53-69
25/02/26AColorado State70-74
22/02/26HNew Mexico78-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Colorado State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWWWL75%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %75%75%-
Points / game76.876.8-
Allowed / game71.271.2-
Point differential+5.5+5.5-
Avg total148.0148.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Fresno State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game84.290.765.0
Allowed / game83.083.781.0
Point differential+1.2+7.0-16.0
Avg total167.2174.3146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %25%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State440100%105.570.5+35.0
2 Grand Canyon440100%97.270.8+26.5
3 San Diego State330100%89.073.0+16.0
4 UNLV330100%84.374.7+9.7
5 Boise State43175%104.578.8+25.8
6 New Mexico43175%93.271.0+22.2
7 Wyoming43175%81.859.8+22.0
8 Air Force43175%93.583.8+9.8
9 Colorado State43175%76.871.2+5.5
10 Fresno State43175%84.283.0+1.2
11 Nevada42250%79.073.2+5.8
12 San Jose State31233%83.081.7+1.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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