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Tofas vs Tortona Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 31 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 80-88
16-21 31-22 13-25 20-20
Position#34
Record1-0
FormLWWLL
Points / game104.0
Allowed / game102.0
vs
Tortona 🏆
Position#8
Record1-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game74.0
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 2· Tofas Spor Salonu
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tortona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Bursaspor
#5
W
92-77
92
77
+15
no box
A12/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#9
W
92-79
92
79
+13
no box
H20/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#3
L
78-93
78
93
-15
no box
A27/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#3
L
87-98
87
98
-11
no box
H31/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Samsunspor
#16
W
104-91
104
91
+13
103avg 76
H30/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
L
54-69
54
69
-15
48avg 76
A08/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
W
97-93
97
93
+4
90avg 76
A13/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Igokea
#49
W
104-102 OT
104
102
+2
98avg 76
A18/10
Champions League
Manisa
#6
L
77-89
77
89
-12
69avg 76
H22/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#7
L
100-107 OT
100
107
-7
no box
A28/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
24-23
24-20
25-14
30-14
21-23
22-17
19-25
20-28
15-19
20-20
23-26
13-26
25-23
22-21
27-28
23-25
14-24
31-21
36-21
17-15
10-13
6-22
21-19
33-27
26-21
15-24
23-21
28-16
15-19
18-22
30-34
20-22
22-18
14-26
21-23
24-23
28-12
23-34
18-24
178.3Avg total
88.5Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)104.0102.0206.0+2.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)104.0102.0206.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)88.589.8178.3-1.350%
Last 5 (5)86.492.0178.4-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.384.3162.7-6.033%
vs Similar ◀ (16)84.888.2173.0-3.425%
vs Weaker (8)89.283.2172.5+6.088%
This opponent (Tortona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
61-84
61
84
-23
46avg 71
A28/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
78-108
78
108
-30
64avg 71
A30/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
82-89
82
89
-7
74avg 71
H02/06
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
63-86
63
86
-23
55avg 71
A23/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#4
L
60-76
60
76
-16
45avg 71
A01/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
69-68
69
68
+1
56avg 71
H08/10
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
80-78
80
78
+2
72avg 71
A15/10
Lega A
Murcia
#2
W
78-74
78
74
+4
70avg 71
H18/10
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
75-79
75
79
-4
70avg 71
H22/10
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
94-74
94
74
+20
97avg 71
A28/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-23
11-21
17-19
20-21
20-23
20-32
18-25
20-28
26-21
29-18
15-27
12-23
8-23
19-22
18-20
18-21
12-17
12-18
15-21
21-20
16-17
21-20
18-13
14-18
24-23
17-17
20-18
19-20
22-25
19-17
14-16
23-16
19-22
12-19
24-13
20-25
22-20
27-12
31-19
14-23
155.6Avg total
74.0Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)78.074.0152.0+4.0100%
Season at home (1)78.074.0152.0+4.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.081.6155.6-7.640%
Last 5 (5)79.274.6153.8+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.586.5162.0-11.012%
vs Similar ◀ (14)79.879.9159.7-0.164%
vs Weaker (6)76.074.8150.8+1.267%
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -3.4-3.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -3.4-3.4
TofasTortona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bursaspor
#5
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A12/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#9
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H20/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#3
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A27/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#3
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H31/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Samsunspor
#16
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H30/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A08/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
W
59-48
59
48
+11
A13/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Igokea
#49
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A18/10
Champions League
Manisa
#6
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H22/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#7
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A28/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
83.8Avg total
42.7Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.841.081.8-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.841.082.8+0.853%-
Last 30 away (15)39.940.980.8-1.133%-
Last 10 (10)42.741.183.8+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)44.637.281.8+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.240.578.7-2.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)43.742.686.3+1.150%-
vs Weaker (8)37.138.075.1-0.938%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
24-44
24
44
-20
A28/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A30/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H02/06
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A23/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#4
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A01/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H08/10
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A15/10
Lega A
Murcia
#2
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H18/10
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H22/10
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
49-32
49
32
+17
A28/10
Lega A
77.9Avg total
36.9Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.940.980.9-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.040.083.0+3.050%-
Last 30 away (16)37.241.879.0-4.538%-
Last 10 (10)36.941.077.9-4.130%-
Last 5 (5)39.838.478.2+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.144.984.0-5.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.239.480.6+1.950%-
vs Weaker (6)40.539.580.0+1.050%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.2
54.3%
51.4%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.8
37.0%
34.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws21.014.1
67.1%
74.5%14.1
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.718.8
47.4%
51.4%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.3
29.6%
34.9%21.9
🏀 Free throws17.913.5
75.4%
74.5%13.5
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
LLWWLWLLWW
Tortona
WLWWWLLLLL
#34
League position
#8
-2.0
Net rating
-10.8
109.7
Offensive rating
98.2
111.7
Defensive rating
108.9
54.8%
Effective FG%
46.2%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
19.0%
Turnover %
15.7%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
24.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.0%
3-point %
29.6%
63.1%
Assist %
62.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.7 · 98.2Defence111.7 · 108.9Shooting54.8% · 46.2%3-point %37.0% · 29.6%Ball care19.0% · 15.7%Off. rebounds30.5% · 24.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Tofas   ■ Tortona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tofas wins
0
Tortona wins
No previous meetings.
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/23APetkim Spor100-107 OT
22/10/23HManisa77-89
18/10/23AIgokea104-102 OT
13/10/23AMerkezefendi97-93
08/10/23ABesiktas54-69
30/09/23HSamsunspor104-91
31/05/23HFenerbahce87-98
27/05/23AFenerbahce78-93
20/05/23HBahcesehir Kol.92-79
12/05/23ABursaspor92-77
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/23ASassari94-74
22/10/23HOlimpia Milano75-79
18/10/23HMurcia78-74
15/10/23AVarese80-78
08/10/23HBrindisi69-68
01/10/23AVenezia60-76
23/09/23ABrescia63-86
02/06/23HVirtus Bologna82-89
30/05/23AVirtus Bologna78-108
28/05/23AVirtus Bologna61-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Champions League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game104.0-104.0
Allowed / game102.0-102.0
Point differential+2.0-+2.0
Avg total206.0-206.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %100%-100%
Tortona
Champions League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game78.078.0-
Allowed / game74.074.0-
Point differential+4.0+4.0-
Avg total152.0152.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Promitheas110100%115.066.0+49.0
2 Benfica330100%97.364.7+32.7
3 Breogan110100%68.048.0+20.0
4 Bonn110100%91.073.0+18.0
5 Karsiyaka110100%94.077.0+17.0
6 PAOK110100%88.077.0+11.0
7 Unicaja220100%85.076.0+9.0
8 Darussafaka220100%86.079.5+6.5
9 AEK Athens220100%83.579.0+4.5
10 Dijon110100%87.083.0+4.0
11 Strasbourg440100%82.278.2+4.0
12 Tortona110100%78.074.0+4.0
13 Tofas110100%104.0102.0+2.0
14 Cholet54180%80.279.4+0.8
15 Obradoiro CAB32167%80.768.0+12.7
16 Brindisi32167%74.772.3+2.3
17 Norrkoping32167%77.776.3+1.3
18 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
19 Le Mans21150%85.075.5+9.5
20 Tenerife21150%89.581.5+8.0
21 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
22 Szczecin21150%85.583.5+2.0
23 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
24 Ludwigsburg21150%80.581.0-0.5
25 Den Bosch21150%79.581.0-1.5
26 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
27 Varese21150%80.583.5-3.0
28 Peristeri21150%77.583.0-5.5
29 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
30 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
31 Igokea1010%102.0104.0-2.0
32 Oldenburg1010%83.085.0-2.0
33 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
34 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
35 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
36 Murcia1010%74.078.0-4.0
37 Rytas1010%83.087.0-4.0
38 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
39 VEF Riga2020%74.079.0-5.0
40 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
41 Sassari2020%82.088.0-6.0
42 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
43 Galatasaray1010%77.088.0-11.0
44 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
45 Szombathely2020%74.087.0-13.0
46 Oostende1010%77.094.0-17.0
47 Bursaspor2020%60.579.5-19.0
48 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
49 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
50 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
51 Opava1010%66.0115.0-49.0
52 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tofas1631132080
Tortona2122252088
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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