PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Pesaro vs Tortona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 96-92
20-29 28-16 16-27 32-20
Position#16
Record2-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game85.2
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#9
Record3-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game77.0
ItalyLega ARound 7· Vitrifrigo Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Pesaro v Tortona
12 Nov 2023
PES96
TOR92
07 May 2023
PES82
TOR78
17 Oct 2021
PES81
TOR90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tortona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
68-94
68
94
-26
56avg 72
A13/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
57-86
57
86
-29
44avg 72
A15/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
88-83
88
83
+5
83avg 72
H18/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
80-94
80
94
-14
72avg 72
H20/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
79-81
79
81
-2
78avg 72
A01/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
64-76
64
76
-12
49avg 72
H08/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
81-68
81
68
+13
74avg 72
A14/10
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
103-107 OT
103
107
-4
no box
H22/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
90-82
90
82
+8
89avg 72
A29/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
77-97
77
97
-20
73avg 72
H04/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
17-28
23-24
12-16
15-27
11-17
18-30
13-12
22-24
14-18
25-24
27-17
17-34
23-21
14-16
26-23
20-26
21-21
22-15
16-19
19-23
9-18
17-19
19-16
24-15
18-15
18-18
21-20
14-34
16-13
31-20
25-19
27-17
15-28
23-19
25-18
25-19
12-28
18-24
22-26
165.5Avg total
78.7Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.385.2167.5-2.833%
Season at home (3)81.393.3174.7-12.00%
Season away (3)83.377.0160.3+6.367%
Last 10 (10)78.786.8165.5-8.130%
Last 5 (5)83.086.0169.0-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)76.289.8166.1-13.624%
vs Similar (12)84.683.8168.3+0.850%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
82-89
82
89
-7
74avg 71
H02/06
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
63-86
63
86
-23
55avg 71
A23/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#4
L
60-76
60
76
-16
45avg 71
A01/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
69-68
69
68
+1
56avg 71
H08/10
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
80-78
80
78
+2
72avg 71
A15/10
Lega A
Murcia
#2
W
78-74
78
74
+4
70avg 71
H18/10
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
75-79
75
79
-4
70avg 71
H22/10
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
94-74
94
74
+20
97avg 71
A28/10
Lega A
Tofas
#34
W
88-80
88
80
+8
88avg 71
A31/10
Champions League
Brescia
#3
L
59-87
59
87
-28
45avg 71
H05/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
29-18
15-27
12-23
8-23
19-22
18-20
18-21
12-17
12-18
15-21
21-20
16-17
21-20
18-13
14-18
24-23
17-17
20-18
19-20
22-25
19-17
14-16
23-16
19-22
12-19
24-13
20-25
22-20
27-12
31-19
14-23
21-16
22-31
25-13
20-20
11-18
20-24
14-23
14-22
153.9Avg total
74.8Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)72.877.0149.8-4.250%
Season at home (3)67.778.0145.7-10.333%
Season away (3)78.076.0154.0+2.067%
Last 10 (10)74.879.1153.9-4.350%
Last 5 (5)78.878.8157.6+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)73.786.6160.2-12.911%
vs Similar (14)78.779.1157.9-0.464%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)73.874.0147.8-0.260%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -3.3-3.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -3.3-3.3
PesaroTortona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A13/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A15/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H18/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H20/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A01/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H08/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A14/10
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H22/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A29/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H04/11
Lega A
80.7Avg total
35.5Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.343.381.6-5.133%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.540.778.1-3.247%-
Last 30 away (15)39.146.085.1-6.920%-
Last 10 (10)35.545.280.7-9.710%-
Last 5 (5)35.842.077.8-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)36.546.582.9-10.06%-
vs Similar (12)40.339.679.9+0.867%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H02/06
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A23/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#4
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A01/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H08/10
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A15/10
Lega A
Murcia
#2
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H18/10
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H22/10
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
49-32
49
32
+17
A28/10
Lega A
Tofas
#34
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A31/10
Champions League
Brescia
#3
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H05/11
Lega A
77.9Avg total
37.9Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.240.880.0-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.439.180.5+2.250%-
Last 30 away (16)37.242.279.5-5.031%-
Last 10 (10)37.940.077.9-2.130%-
Last 5 (5)39.040.879.8-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.244.682.8-6.322%-
vs Similar (14)40.438.979.3+1.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)40.039.679.6+0.440%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.0
50.9%
53.1%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.98.3
36.2%
35.7%24.9
🏀 Free throws17.213.0
75.6%
76.3%13.0
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.220.1
50.0%
53.1%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.56.6
28.1%
35.7%19.8
🏀 Free throws18.514.0
75.7%
76.3%14.0
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LWLWLLLWLL
Tortona
LWWLWWWLLL
#16
League position
#9
-10.1
Net rating
-5.8
105.2
Offensive rating
100.3
115.3
Defensive rating
106.1
52.2%
Effective FG%
47.1%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
16.7%
Turnover %
16.5%
21.4%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.2%
3-point %
28.1%
58.2%
Assist %
63.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.2 · 100.3Defence115.3 · 106.1Shooting52.2% · 47.1%3-point %36.2% · 28.1%Ball care16.7% · 16.5%Off. rebounds21.4% · 26.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Pesaro   ■ Tortona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pesaro wins
2
Tortona wins
DateGameScore
07/05/23Pesaro v Tortona82-78
15/10/22Tortona v Pesaro81-73
02/04/22Tortona v Pesaro70-86
17/10/21Pesaro v Tortona81-90
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/23HBasket Napoli77-97
29/10/23AOlimpia Milano90-82
22/10/23HScafati103-107 OT
14/10/23ABrindisi81-68
08/10/23HVenezia64-76
01/10/23ABrescia79-81
20/05/23HOlimpia Milano80-94
18/05/23HOlimpia Milano88-83
15/05/23AOlimpia Milano57-86
13/05/23AOlimpia Milano68-94
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/23HBrescia59-87
31/10/23ATofas88-80
28/10/23ASassari94-74
22/10/23HOlimpia Milano75-79
18/10/23HMurcia78-74
15/10/23AVarese80-78
08/10/23HBrindisi69-68
01/10/23AVenezia60-76
23/09/23ABrescia63-86
02/06/23HVirtus Bologna82-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL33%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%0%67%
Points / game82.381.383.3
Allowed / game85.293.377.0
Point differential-2.8-12.0+6.3
Avg total167.5174.7160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %17%33%0%
Tortona
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game72.867.778.0
Allowed / game77.078.076.0
Point differential-4.2-10.3+2.0
Avg total149.8145.7154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna76186%89.777.9+11.9
2 Venezia76186%81.674.4+7.1
3 Brescia65183%85.573.7+11.8
4 Basket Napoli75271%88.381.4+6.9
5 Trento75271%84.383.0+1.3
6 Reggiana64267%85.581.8+3.7
7 Olimpia Milano74357%78.474.9+3.6
8 Scafati74357%90.089.0+1.0
9 Cremona63350%92.089.0+3.0
10 Tortona63350%72.877.0-4.2
11 Pistoia62433%77.879.8-2.0
12 Pesaro62433%82.385.2-2.8
13 Varese72529%86.191.4-5.3
14 Sassari72529%77.687.1-9.6
15 Treviso7070%78.789.3-10.6
16 Brindisi7070%67.181.6-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro2028163296
Tortona2916272092
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.