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Cremona vs Trieste Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 21 May 2019
Tip-off: 18:30
Postponed
Position#3
Record21-10
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game78.5
vs
Position#10
Record16-15
FormWLLLL
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game84.2
ItalyLega ALega A - Quarter-finals
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Cremona v Trieste
15 Nov 2025
CRE113
TRI94
28 Apr 2025
CRE81
TRI101
12 Jan 2022
CRE75
TRI80
17 Jan 2021
CRE80
TRI101
24 Nov 2019
CRE88
TRI78
21 May 2019
CRE v TRI
upcoming
19 May 2019
CRE82
TRI75
09 Dec 2018
CRE87
TRI78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cremona win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Trieste win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Varese
#7
L
64-83
64
83
-19
89avg 117
A17/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
76-72
76
72
+4
65avg 117
H24/03
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
80-97
80
97
-17
65avg 117
A31/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
97-64
97
64
+33
282avg 117
H07/04
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
89-86
89
86
+3
80avg 117
A14/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
93-86
93
86
+7
298avg 117
H20/04
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
94-88
94
88
+6
93avg 117
A28/04
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
80-65
80
65
+15
76avg 117
H05/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
81-82
81
82
-1
65avg 117
A12/05
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
82-75
82
75
+7
63avg 117
H19/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-23
22-19
16-18
13-23
16-24
16-12
15-15
29-21
24-35
13-26
19-22
24-14
33-18
20-12
25-20
19-14
30-25
26-14
16-21
17-26
16-25
27-26
26-18
24-17
23-32
23-16
17-20
31-20
18-15
19-21
23-22
20-7
27-31
16-24
16-13
22-14
25-24
21-20
16-19
20-12
163.4Avg total
83.6Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)83.478.5162.0+4.968%
Season at home (16)87.179.8166.9+7.375%
Season away (15)79.577.2156.7+2.360%
Last 10 (10)83.679.8163.4+3.870%
Last 5 (5)86.079.2165.2+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)74.572.7147.2+1.862%
vs Weaker (16)90.181.6171.7+8.475%
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Trento
#6
L
75-82
75
82
-7
no box
A17/03
Lega A
Cantu
#8
W
88-66
88
66
+22
84avg 121
A24/03
Lega A
Cremona
#3
W
97-80
97
80
+17
94avg 121
H31/03
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
97-96 OT
97
96
+1
no box
A09/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
104-88
104
88
+16
no box
H14/04
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
104-85
104
85
+19
386avg 121
H20/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
77-85
77
85
-8
69avg 121
A28/04
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
65-86
65
86
-21
48avg 121
H05/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
88-93
88
93
-5
81avg 121
A12/05
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
75-82
75
82
-7
69avg 121
A19/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
14-14
27-21
9-21
24-22
24-16
23-13
17-15
35-24
26-13
22-19
14-24
19-26
19-24
25-13
24-24
26-16
34-22
26-20
18-30
30-27
31-28
21-8
22-22
16-18
21-19
16-26
24-22
13-23
28-24
5-22
19-17
22-14
21-39
22-14
23-26
24-25
20-21
19-16
12-20
171.3Avg total
87.0Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)87.484.2171.5+3.252%
Season at home (15)93.484.5177.9+8.967%
Season away (16)81.883.9165.6-2.138%
Last 10 (10)87.084.3171.3+2.750%
Last 5 (5)81.886.2168.0-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)84.485.5169.9-1.131%
vs Weaker (14)90.782.1172.8+8.679%
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: -3.9-3.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: -3.9-3.9
CremonaTrieste
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#7
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A17/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H24/03
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
37-61
37
61
-24
A31/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H07/04
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A14/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H20/04
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A28/04
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H05/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A12/05
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H19/05
Lega A
87.0Avg total
42.8Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.741.685.2+2.166%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.940.484.4+3.569%-
Last 30 away (13)43.343.086.3+0.362%-
Last 10 (10)42.844.287.0-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)43.046.889.8-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.840.379.1-1.658%-
vs Weaker (16)47.342.689.9+4.769%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A17/03
Lega A
Cantu
#8
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A24/03
Lega A
Cremona
#3
W
61-37
61
37
+24
H31/03
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A09/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
60-38
60
38
+22
H14/04
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
61-55
61
55
+6
H20/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A28/04
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H05/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A12/05
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A19/05
Lega A
91.3Avg total
47.2Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.342.086.3+2.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.642.491.1+6.257%-
Last 30 away (16)40.441.782.1-1.231%-
Last 10 (10)47.244.191.3+3.140%-
Last 5 (5)45.247.692.8-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)43.144.087.1-0.925%-
vs Weaker (14)45.639.885.4+5.964%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.322.0
50.8%
51.0%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.5
31.7%
35.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.813.1
69.7%
72.3%13.1
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.623.7
57.0%
51.0%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.5
36.3%
35.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws17.113.9
81.3%
72.3%13.9
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 May 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cremona
WLWWWWWLWL
Trieste
LLLLWWWWWL
#3
League position
#10
+3.9
Net rating
+7.9
108.0
Offensive rating
111.7
104.1
Defensive rating
103.9
49.6%
Effective FG%
56.1%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
15.4%
Turnover %
18.5%
33.4%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.26
31.7%
3-point %
36.3%
52.1%
Assist %
57.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.0 · 111.7Defence104.1 · 103.9Shooting49.6% · 56.1%3-point %31.7% · 36.3%Ball care15.4% · 18.5%Off. rebounds33.4% · 26.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Cremona   ■ Trieste
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Cremona wins
1
Trieste wins
DateGameScore
19/05/19Cremona v Trieste82-75
31/03/19Trieste v Cremona97-80
09/12/18Cremona v Trieste87-78
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/19HTrieste82-75
12/05/19AReggiana81-82
05/05/19HVenezia80-65
28/04/19ATorino94-88
20/04/19HBrindisi93-86
14/04/19ABrescia89-86
07/04/19HPesaro97-64
31/03/19ATrieste80-97
24/03/19HOlimpia Milano76-72
17/03/19AVarese64-83
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/19ACremona75-82
12/05/19AOlimpia Milano88-93
05/05/19HSassari65-86
28/04/19ABrindisi77-85
20/04/19HVenezia104-85
14/04/19HReggiana104-88
09/04/19AAvellino97-96 OT
31/03/19HCremona97-80
24/03/19ACantu88-66
17/03/19ATrento75-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cremona
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW68%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayLLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %68%75%60%
Points / game83.487.179.5
Allowed / game78.579.877.2
Point differential+4.9+7.3+2.3
Avg total162.0166.9156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%38%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)25% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Trieste
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL52%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayWWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %52%67%38%
Points / game87.493.481.8
Allowed / game84.284.583.9
Point differential+3.2+8.9-2.1
Avg total171.5177.9165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%53%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %6%7%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano3224875%86.279.2+7.0
2 Venezia31211068%80.974.6+6.3
3 Cremona31211068%83.478.5+4.9
4 Sassari32201262%87.181.4+5.7
5 Brindisi32181456%82.080.2+1.8
6 Trento31171455%78.779.9-1.2
7 Varese30161453%79.576.1+3.4
8 Cantu30161453%84.285.7-1.5
9 Avellino32171553%81.781.4+0.2
10 Trieste31161552%87.484.2+3.2
11 Virtus Bologna30151550%79.680.3-0.8
12 Brescia30141647%80.381.4-1.2
13 Torino3092130%83.187.0-4.0
14 Reggiana3092130%78.883.1-4.3
15 Pesaro3072323%79.491.8-12.4
16 Pistoia3062420%75.183.7-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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