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Varese vs Cremona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 85-87 (OT)
16-6 14-16 23-18 15-28 17-19
Position#12
Record7-17
FormLLLLW
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game96.7
vs
Cremona 🏆
Italy
Position#13
Record7-17
FormLWLLW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game82.6
ItalyLega ARound 25· Palasport Lino Oldrini
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Varese v Cremona
26 Apr 2026
VAR84
CRE75
06 Apr 2025
VAR85
CRE87
03 Dec 2023
VAR68
CRE75
06 Mar 2022
VAR90
CRE78
12 Sep 2021
VAR86
CRE78
07 Feb 2021
VAR110
CRE105
13 Apr 2020
VAR v CRE
upcoming
17 Mar 2019
VAR83
CRE64
06 May 2018
VAR89
CRE79
30 Apr 2017
VAR78
CRE75
23 Dec 2015
VAR87
CRE82
22 Mar 2015
VAR86
CRE82
27 Apr 2014
VAR78
CRE70
30 Dec 2012
VAR94
CRE84
29 Apr 2012
VAR78
CRE66
06 Mar 2011
VAR76
CRE71
08 May 2010
VAR98
CRE78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cremona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Treviso
#11
W
92-89
92
89
+3
88avg 81
H12/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
96-111
96
111
-15
88avg 81
A19/01
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
77-118
77
118
-41
64avg 81
H25/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
92-119
92
119
-27
84avg 81
A02/02
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
79-92
79
92
-13
71avg 81
H09/02
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
93-106 OT
93
106
-13
88avg 81
A02/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
82-89 OT
82
89
-7
64avg 81
A09/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
63-78
63
78
-15
49avg 81
H16/03
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
86-88
86
88
-2
74avg 81
A23/03
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
95-82
95
82
+13
84avg 81
H30/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
31-25
17-29
19-17
28-28
31-17
14-36
23-30
19-30
21-28
18-35
19-25
22-28
27-35
18-32
25-24
25-25
13-27
19-22
22-18
32-23
23-26
14-18
20-22
14-18
19-23
20-13
22-21
14-20
15-13
16-20
18-25
19-19
23-26
23-22
21-21
23-21
23-17
29-20
20-24
182.7Avg total
85.5Scored
97.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)87.696.7184.3-9.129%
Season at home (12)88.993.9182.8-5.050%
Season away (12)86.299.5185.8-13.28%
Last 10 (10)85.597.2182.7-11.720%
Last 5 (5)83.888.6172.4-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)86.797.7184.4-10.921%
vs Similar ◀ (11)93.990.3184.2+3.655%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Venezia
#8
L
78-86
78
86
-8
62avg 70
H12/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
63-81
63
81
-18
50avg 70
A20/01
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
88-85 OT
88
85
+3
80avg 70
H26/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
51-78
51
78
-27
38avg 70
A01/02
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
85-80
85
80
+5
77avg 70
H09/02
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
87-99
87
99
-12
79avg 70
A02/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
94-85
94
85
+9
92avg 70
H08/03
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
70-87
70
87
-17
58avg 70
A16/03
Lega A
Sassari
#10
L
89-93
89
93
-4
82avg 70
A23/03
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
94-77
94
77
+17
93avg 70
H30/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
9-25
22-16
21-24
13-23
19-18
23-20
8-20
26-23
14-18
21-15
13-18
18-20
12-12
11-22
10-24
21-25
27-19
11-18
26-18
19-22
24-18
19-29
25-30
26-20
23-24
19-24
26-17
9-23
20-16
25-26
16-22
22-23
20-17
23-28
24-25
29-19
26-22
22-15
17-21
165.0Avg total
79.9Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)78.182.6160.7-4.529%
Season at home (12)80.280.4160.6-0.242%
Season away (12)76.084.8160.8-8.817%
Last 10 (10)79.985.1165.0-5.240%
Last 5 (5)86.888.2175.0-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)76.183.9160.0-7.818%
vs Similar ◀ (10)83.282.0165.2+1.250%
vs Weaker (3)73.073.3146.3-0.333%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -5.9-5.9Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -3.3-3.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -5.9-5.9Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -3.3-3.3
VareseCremona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#11
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H12/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
59-45
59
45
+14
A19/01
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
40-58
40
58
-18
H25/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
49-63
49
63
-14
A02/02
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H09/02
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A02/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A09/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H16/03
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A23/03
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H30/03
Lega A
91.4Avg total
44.7Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.446.994.3+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.846.694.4+1.257%-
Last 30 away (16)47.147.294.2-0.144%-
Last 10 (10)44.746.791.4-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)41.041.282.2-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)45.848.394.1-2.442%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)50.144.594.6+5.564%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#8
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H12/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A20/01
Lega A
Scafati
#15
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H26/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A01/02
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H09/02
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A02/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H08/03
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A16/03
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A23/03
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
55-41
55
41
+14
H30/03
Lega A
81.1Avg total
40.3Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.640.680.2-1.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.140.080.1+0.167%-
Last 30 away (15)39.141.180.2-2.140%-
Last 10 (10)40.340.881.1-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)43.640.884.4+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)38.040.978.9-2.947%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)43.341.584.8+1.860%-
vs Weaker (3)36.335.371.7+1.067%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.117.7
51.9%
52.9%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.311.9
36.8%
35.8%35.7
🏀 Free throws18.313.4
73.2%
76.8%13.4
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.116.8
49.3%
52.9%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.211.1
38.0%
35.8%33.3
🏀 Free throws16.612.0
72.3%
76.8%12.0
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WLLLLLLLLW
Cremona
WLLWLWLWLL
#12
League position
#13
-15.2
Net rating
-7.7
107.9
Offensive rating
106.3
123.1
Defensive rating
114.0
53.5%
Effective FG%
52.8%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
15.9%
Turnover %
14.7%
21.8%
Off. rebound %
21.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.8%
3-point %
38.0%
60.8%
Assist %
59.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 106.3Defence123.1 · 114.0Shooting53.5% · 52.8%3-point %36.8% · 38.0%Ball care15.9% · 14.7%Off. rebounds21.8% · 21.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Varese   ■ Cremona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Varese wins
6
Cremona wins
DateGameScore
08/12/24Cremona v Varese78-60
28/01/24Cremona v Varese82-83
03/12/23Varese v Cremona68-75
06/03/22Varese v Cremona90-78
17/10/21Cremona v Varese94-78
12/09/21Varese v Cremona86-78
06/09/21Cremona v Varese80-70
07/02/21Varese v Cremona110-105 OT
17/10/20Cremona v Varese80-67
21/12/19Cremona v Varese93-72
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/25HScafati95-82
23/03/25ATreviso86-88
16/03/25HReggiana63-78
09/03/25ATortona82-89 OT
02/03/25ATrapani93-106 OT
09/02/25HTrento79-92
02/02/25AOlimpia Milano92-119
25/01/25HBrescia77-118
19/01/25APistoia96-111
12/01/25HTreviso92-89
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/25HTreviso94-77
23/03/25ASassari89-93
16/03/25AVenezia70-87
08/03/25HBasket Napoli94-85
02/03/25ABrescia87-99
09/02/25HTrapani85-80
01/02/25AReggiana51-78
26/01/25HScafati88-85 OT
20/01/25AVirtus Bologna63-81
12/01/25HVenezia78-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW29%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %29%50%8%
Points / game87.688.986.2
Allowed / game96.793.999.5
Point differential-9.1-5.0-13.2
Avg total184.3182.8185.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Cremona
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW29%
HomeLWWWW42%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %29%42%17%
Points / game78.180.276.0
Allowed / game82.680.484.8
Point differential-4.5-0.2-8.8
Avg total160.7160.6160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)40% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %12%17%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani2518772%94.184.6+9.5
2 Virtus Bologna2417771%84.077.3+6.6
3 Brescia2417771%90.585.6+4.8
4 Trento2517868%87.181.7+5.4
5 Olimpia Milano2416867%88.684.6+4.0
6 Trieste2516964%87.484.4+3.0
7 Venezia24141058%81.578.6+3.0
8 Reggiana24141058%79.877.5+2.3
9 Tortona25141156%86.685.3+1.2
10 Sassari25111444%81.383.3-2.0
11 Treviso2491538%84.287.7-3.4
12 Basket Napoli2581732%83.287.6-4.4
13 Cremona2471729%78.182.6-4.5
14 Varese2471729%87.696.7-9.1
15 Scafati2561924%85.892.8-7.0
16 Pistoia2552020%79.688.9-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Varese161423151785
Cremona61618281987
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