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Cremona vs Virtus Roma Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 13 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 11:00
Scheduled
Position#9
Record4-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game80.9
vs
Position#16
Record2-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game87.7
ItalyLega ARound 11
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Cremona v Virtus Roma
26 Jan 2020
CRE103
VRO92
29 Mar 2015
CRE71
VRO74
24 Nov 2013
CRE68
VRO78
04 Nov 2012
CRE67
VRO75
04 Mar 2012
CRE87
VRO71
20 Mar 2011
CRE83
VRO70
31 Jan 2010
CRE75
VRO79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cremona win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Roma win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
56-79
56
79
-23
A09/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#8
L
63-73
63
73
-10
H13/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Trieste
#6
L
77-102
77
102
-25
A27/09
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
66-83
66
83
-17
H04/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
95-92
95
92
+3
A10/10
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
80-67
80
67
+13
H17/10
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
83-85 OT
83
85
-2
A25/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
83-95 OT
83
95
-12
A01/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
W
85-56
85
56
+29
A06/12
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
101-67
101
67
+34
H09/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
15-25
13-13
13-22
14-11
23-23
12-25
14-14
19-29
12-22
16-30
30-21
14-23
23-22
13-15
16-23
20-10
26-26
34-23
15-33
26-18
21-15
15-16
18-18
27-20
22-12
16-22
11-22
18-13
7-27
27-19
24-17
18-18
22-11
18-14
27-13
27-14
24-22
21-18
29-13
158.8Avg total
78.9Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)83.880.9164.6+2.950%
Season at home (3)82.372.3154.7+10.067%
Season away (5)84.686.0170.6-1.440%
Last 10 (10)78.979.9158.8-1.040%
Last 5 (5)86.474.0160.4+12.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)73.281.1154.3-7.927%
vs Similar (13)81.882.1163.8-0.354%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)83.573.3156.8+10.283%
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#4
L
62-98
62
98
-36
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H27/09
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
67-92
67
92
-25
A04/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
72-92
72
92
-20
H11/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
71-93
71
93
-22
A18/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
69-84
69
84
-15
H25/10
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
70-64
70
64
+6
A31/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
71-89
71
89
-18
H08/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
88-98
88
98
-10
A15/11
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
85-101
85
101
-16
A22/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
20-20
12-32
17-27
20-20
24-12
20-28
17-16
15-22
14-25
20-27
18-18
10-21
13-23
21-18
28-30
16-25
14-28
17-24
24-16
14-18
18-22
17-23
20-21
18-29
16-12
20-10
16-13
15-28
28-24
10-14
18-23
17-20
16-28
28-23
27-27
21-23
15-23
27-28
22-27
162.3Avg total
73.6Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)74.987.7162.6-12.822%
Season at home (4)73.285.2158.5-12.025%
Season away (5)76.289.6165.8-13.420%
Last 10 (10)73.688.7162.3-15.120%
Last 5 (5)76.687.2163.8-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)74.490.9165.3-16.415%
vs Similar (2)81.076.5157.5+4.550%
vs Weaker (1)92.083.0175.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -6.6-6.6Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.1-1.1
CremonaVirtus Roma
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A09/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#8
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H13/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Trieste
#6
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A27/09
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H04/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A10/10
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H17/10
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
49-32
49
32
+17
A25/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A01/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A06/12
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H09/12
Lega A
77.3Avg total
39.3Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.539.581.0+2.060%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.439.683.0+3.964%-
Last 30 away (16)39.939.479.3+0.456%-
Last 10 (10)39.338.077.3+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)42.434.076.4+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.338.178.4+2.264%-
vs Similar (13)41.942.284.1-0.254%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)43.036.379.3+6.767%-
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H27/09
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A04/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
23-44
23
44
-21
H11/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
30-53
30
53
-23
A18/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H25/10
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A31/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H08/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A15/11
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A22/11
Lega A
77.9Avg total
33.7Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.947.184.0-10.220%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.445.381.6-8.929%-
Last 30 away (16)37.348.786.0-11.412%-
Last 10 (10)33.744.277.9-10.510%-
Last 5 (5)35.645.481.0-9.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)35.948.284.1-12.311%-
vs Similar (2)46.535.582.0+11.0100%-
vs Weaker (1)44.040.084.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.023.1
52.5%
51.2%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.7
36.0%
35.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.113.7
75.7%
75.8%13.7
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Roma: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.620.9
52.8%
51.2%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.4
31.5%
35.9%22.2
🏀 Free throws17.011.2
65.9%
75.8%11.2
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Dec 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cremona
WWLLWWLLLL
Virtus Roma
LLLWLLLLWL
#9
League position
#16
+6.6
Net rating
-16.4
113.6
Offensive rating
100.3
107.0
Defensive rating
116.7
53.0%
Effective FG%
50.7%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
15.6%
Turnover %
16.6%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
21.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.0%
3-point %
31.5%
51.9%
Assist %
56.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence113.6 · 100.3Defence107.0 · 116.7Shooting53.0% · 50.7%3-point %36.0% · 31.5%Ball care15.6% · 16.6%Off. rebounds31.6% · 21.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Cremona   ■ Virtus Roma
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Cremona wins
8
Virtus Roma wins
DateGameScore
26/01/20Cremona v Virtus Roma103-92
06/10/19Virtus Roma v Cremona97-94
29/03/15Cremona v Virtus Roma71-74
07/12/14Virtus Roma v Cremona63-50
09/03/14Virtus Roma v Cremona85-80
24/11/13Cremona v Virtus Roma68-78
03/03/13Virtus Roma v Cremona79-71
04/11/12Cremona v Virtus Roma67-75
04/03/12Cremona v Virtus Roma87-71
13/11/11Virtus Roma v Cremona85-78
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/20HCantu101-67
06/12/20AReggiana85-56
01/11/20APesaro83-95 OT
25/10/20ATrento83-85 OT
17/10/20HVarese80-67
10/10/20AVirtus Bologna95-92
04/10/20HVenezia66-83
27/09/20ATrieste77-102
13/09/20HFortitudo Bologna63-73
09/09/20AVirtus Bologna56-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/20ACantu85-101
15/11/20AVarese88-98
08/11/20HVenezia71-89
31/10/20ABrescia70-64
25/10/20HPesaro69-84
18/10/20AOlimpia Milano71-93
11/10/20HSassari72-92
04/10/20ABrindisi67-92
27/09/20HFortitudo Bologna81-76
14/09/20ABrindisi62-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cremona
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %50%67%40%
Points / game83.882.384.6
Allowed / game80.972.386.0
Point differential+2.9+10.0-1.4
Avg total164.6154.7170.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%67%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %25%0%40%
Virtus Roma
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL22%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %22%25%20%
Points / game74.973.276.2
Allowed / game87.785.289.6
Point differential-12.8-12.0-13.4
Avg total162.6158.5165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano10100100%89.368.6+20.7
2 Brindisi109190%87.476.8+10.6
3 Virtus Bologna95456%83.278.9+4.3
4 Sassari95456%88.085.3+2.7
5 Venezia95456%78.277.9+0.3
6 Cremona84450%83.880.9+2.9
7 Pesaro105550%80.378.1+2.2
8 Trento105550%78.778.5+0.2
9 Reggiana84450%76.478.1-1.8
10 Treviso84450%83.890.6-6.9
11 Trieste52340%76.078.0-2.0
12 Varese104640%80.787.4-6.7
13 Cantu93633%77.284.4-7.2
14 Brescia103730%76.880.4-3.6
15 Virtus Roma92722%74.987.7-12.8
16 Fortitudo Bologna102820%80.486.8-6.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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