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Cremona vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Oct 2020
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 80-67
26-18 21-15 15-16 18-18
Position#9
Record1-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game92.3
Cremona 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#12
Record2-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game87.3
ItalyLega ARound 4
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Cremona v Varese
08 Dec 2025
CRE79
VAR87
08 Dec 2024
CRE78
VAR60
28 Jan 2024
CRE82
VAR83
17 Oct 2021
CRE94
VAR78
06 Sep 2021
CRE80
VAR70
17 Oct 2020
CRE80
VAR67
21 Dec 2019
CRE93
VAR72
14 Feb 2019
CRE82
VAR73
18 Nov 2018
CRE79
VAR82
07 Jan 2018
CRE80
VAR72
02 Jan 2017
CRE85
VAR71
16 Apr 2016
CRE70
VAR79
30 Nov 2014
CRE64
VAR53
29 Dec 2013
CRE75
VAR94
21 Apr 2013
CRE88
VAR92
08 Jan 2012
CRE69
VAR61
21 Nov 2010
CRE103
VAR79
16 Jan 2010
CRE78
VAR71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cremona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
74-77
74
77
-3
A09/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
66-87
66
87
-21
H29/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#8
L
77-96
77
96
-19
A01/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Reggiana
#9
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H04/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Reggiana
#9
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
56-79
56
79
-23
A09/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#8
L
63-73
63
73
-10
H13/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Trieste
#6
L
77-102
77
102
-25
A27/09
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
66-83
66
83
-17
H04/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
95-92
95
92
+3
A10/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
23-19
22-17
13-18
22-17
10-21
24-24
10-25
23-25
22-25
22-23
10-23
16-6
17-21
12-18
30-24
26-18
14-19
19-11
12-30
15-19
15-25
13-13
13-22
14-11
23-23
12-25
14-14
19-29
12-22
16-30
30-21
14-23
23-22
13-15
16-23
20-10
26-26
34-23
15-33
155.6Avg total
72.0Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.392.3171.7-13.033%
Season at home (1)66.083.0149.0-17.00%
Season away (2)86.097.0183.0-11.050%
Last 10 (10)72.083.6155.6-11.620%
Last 5 (5)71.485.8157.2-14.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)73.980.8154.8-6.933%
vs Similar (13)79.882.1161.9-2.262%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)86.082.8168.8+3.260%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A26/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
77-110
77
110
-33
H29/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#10
L
88-89
88
89
-1
A01/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cantu
#15
W
84-77
84
77
+7
H04/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cantu
#15
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
77-91
77
91
-14
A10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#10
W
102-100
102
100
+2
H13/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#11
W
94-89 OT
94
89
+5
H27/09
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
88-83
88
83
+5
A04/10
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
80-90
80
90
-10
H11/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
28-20
13-20
15-15
16-32
25-27
19-33
17-18
31-22
20-25
22-19
15-23
24-22
14-16
24-20
22-19
18-22
17-19
19-21
18-19
20-19
21-23
18-25
18-24
33-29
17-24
32-30
20-17
17-23
16-20
26-16
22-22
29-22
14-23
19-22
26-16
29-23
15-21
20-14
16-32
172.7Avg total
83.8Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)87.387.3174.7+0.067%
Season at home (2)87.089.5176.5-2.550%
Season away (1)88.083.0171.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.888.9172.7-5.140%
Last 5 (5)88.290.6178.8-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)79.691.9171.5-12.212%
vs Similar (9)83.787.1170.8-3.444%
vs Weaker (13)85.574.4159.9+11.269%
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -7.0-7.0Q4: -1.6-1.6
CremonaVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A09/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H29/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#8
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A01/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Reggiana
#9
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H04/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Reggiana
#9
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A09/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#8
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H13/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Trieste
#6
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A27/09
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H04/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A10/10
Lega A
77.4Avg total
37.0Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.841.182.9+0.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.140.984.1+2.267%-
Last 30 away (15)40.541.381.8-0.947%-
Last 10 (10)37.040.477.4-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)36.242.078.2-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.238.078.2+2.267%-
vs Similar (13)42.444.086.4-1.654%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)44.041.285.2+2.840%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A26/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
41-59
41
59
-18
H29/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#10
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A01/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cantu
#15
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H04/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cantu
#15
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#10
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H13/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#11
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H27/09
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A04/10
Lega A
Cantu
#15
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H11/10
Lega A
88.0Avg total
42.4Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.941.683.5+0.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.140.683.7+2.553%-
Last 30 away (15)40.842.683.4-1.827%-
Last 10 (10)42.445.688.0-3.220%-
Last 5 (5)42.245.487.6-3.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)39.946.886.6-6.912%-
vs Similar (9)40.742.082.7-1.333%-
vs Weaker (13)44.138.282.2+5.962%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.022.8
50.7%
51.2%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.88.3
36.4%
35.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws17.513.2
75.4%
75.8%13.2
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.915.6
54.0%
51.2%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.812.5
39.3%
35.9%37.5
🏀 Free throws19.115.6
81.7%
75.8%15.6
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cremona
WLLLLLWLLL
Varese
LWWWLLWLLL
#9
League position
#12
-6.6
Net rating
+2.6
112.8
Offensive rating
119.7
119.4
Defensive rating
117.1
52.0%
Effective FG%
56.6%
58.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
16.2%
Turnover %
16.1%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.4%
3-point %
39.3%
53.1%
Assist %
59.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence112.8 · 119.7Defence119.4 · 117.1Shooting52.0% · 56.6%3-point %36.4% · 39.3%Ball care16.2% · 16.1%Off. rebounds32.3% · 27.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Cremona   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Cremona wins
6
Varese wins
DateGameScore
21/12/19Cremona v Varese93-72
17/03/19Varese v Cremona83-64
14/02/19Cremona v Varese82-73
18/11/18Cremona v Varese79-82
06/05/18Varese v Cremona89-79
07/01/18Cremona v Varese80-72
30/04/17Varese v Cremona78-75
02/01/17Cremona v Varese85-71
16/04/16Cremona v Varese70-79
23/12/15Varese v Cremona87-82 OT
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/20AVirtus Bologna95-92
04/10/20HVenezia66-83
27/09/20ATrieste77-102
13/09/20HFortitudo Bologna63-73
09/09/20AVirtus Bologna56-79
07/09/20AReggiana71-78
04/09/20HReggiana75-69
01/09/20AFortitudo Bologna77-96
29/08/20HVirtus Bologna66-87
09/02/20AOlimpia Milano74-77
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/20HCantu80-90
04/10/20AFortitudo Bologna88-83
27/09/20HBrescia94-89 OT
13/09/20HBrescia102-100
10/09/20AOlimpia Milano77-91
07/09/20ACantu72-81
04/09/20HCantu84-77
01/09/20ABrescia88-89
29/08/20HOlimpia Milano77-110
26/01/20AFortitudo Bologna76-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cremona
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game79.366.086.0
Allowed / game92.383.097.0
Point differential-13.0-17.0-11.0
Avg total171.7149.0183.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWL50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game87.387.088.0
Allowed / game87.389.583.0
Point differential+0.0-2.5+5.0
Avg total174.7176.5171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %33%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano330100%92.766.7+26.0
2 Sassari32167%86.377.0+9.3
3 Brindisi32167%79.772.7+7.0
4 Virtus Bologna32167%85.780.0+5.7
5 Venezia32167%76.774.3+2.3
6 Trieste32167%80.378.7+1.7
7 Cantu32167%78.778.7+0.0
8 Varese32167%87.387.3+0.0
9 Fortitudo Bologna31233%84.079.7+4.3
10 Brescia31233%87.787.3+0.3
11 Pesaro31233%82.382.7-0.3
12 Reggiana31233%78.082.7-4.7
13 Cremona31233%79.392.3-13.0
14 Virtus Roma31233%73.386.7-13.3
15 Treviso31233%78.392.7-14.3
16 Trento3030%77.088.0-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cremona2621151880
Varese1815161867
← all games of the day
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