PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Pesaro vs Cremona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Nov 2020
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 95-83 (OT)
13-18 27-7 19-27 17-24 19-7
Position#10
Record2-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game77.6
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#9
Record2-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game85.8
ItalyLega ARound 6
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Pesaro v Cremona
28 Apr 2024
PES91
CRE86
06 Feb 2022
PES93
CRE87
01 Nov 2020
PES95
CRE83
01 Dec 2019
PES63
CRE74
16 Dec 2018
PES106
CRE122
29 Oct 2017
PES68
CRE79
02 Apr 2017
PES63
CRE73
30 Nov 2015
PES74
CRE86
04 Apr 2015
PES74
CRE89
06 Apr 2014
PES86
CRE91
14 Apr 2013
PES88
CRE81
09 Apr 2012
PES86
CRE64
03 Apr 2011
PES82
CRE59
06 Dec 2009
PES101
CRE94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cremona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#5
L
71-86
71
86
-15
H05/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Roma
#16
W
104-60
104
60
+44
H07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Roma
#16
W
89-56
89
56
+33
A10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brindisi
#4
L
70-84
70
84
-14
H12/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#5
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#5
L
85-95
85
95
-10
H27/09
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A04/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
90-72
90
72
+18
A11/10
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
57-71
57
71
-14
H17/10
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#16
W
84-69
84
69
+15
A25/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
19-27
17-9
12-24
23-7
28-20
25-13
28-20
24-16
20-9
23-19
22-12
23-20
9-24
18-28
20-12
23-28
25-22
17-15
16-13
26-18
16-22
27-29
16-26
13-21
19-15
27-19
13-26
19-23
22-15
23-17
26-17
8-16
16-15
23-22
10-18
18-14
22-18
23-17
21-20
155.5Avg total
80.3Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.677.6155.2+0.040%
Season at home (2)71.083.0154.0-12.00%
Season away (3)82.074.0156.0+8.067%
Last 10 (10)80.375.2155.5+5.150%
Last 5 (5)77.677.6155.2+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)80.392.2172.5-11.910%
vs Similar ◀ (6)72.378.5150.8-6.233%
vs Weaker (3)92.361.7154.0+30.7100%
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#8
L
77-96
77
96
-19
A01/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Reggiana
#9
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H04/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Reggiana
#9
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
56-79
56
79
-23
A09/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#8
L
63-73
63
73
-10
H13/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Trieste
#6
L
77-102
77
102
-25
A27/09
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
66-83
66
83
-17
H04/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
95-92
95
92
+3
A10/10
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
80-67
80
67
+13
H17/10
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
83-85 OT
83
85
-2
A25/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
22-25
22-23
10-23
16-6
17-21
12-18
30-24
26-18
14-19
19-11
12-30
15-19
15-25
13-13
13-22
14-11
23-23
12-25
14-14
19-29
12-22
16-30
30-21
14-23
23-22
13-15
16-23
20-10
26-26
34-23
15-33
26-18
21-15
15-16
18-18
27-20
22-12
16-22
11-22
156.7Avg total
74.3Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)80.285.8166.0-5.640%
Season at home (2)73.075.0148.0-2.050%
Season away (3)85.093.0178.0-8.033%
Last 10 (10)74.382.4156.7-8.130%
Last 5 (5)80.285.8166.0-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)73.980.8154.8-6.933%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.282.5161.7-3.350%
vs Weaker (6)85.080.2165.2+4.867%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -6.1-6.1
PesaroCremona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#5
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H05/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Roma
#16
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Roma
#16
W
44-25
44
25
+19
A10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brindisi
#4
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H12/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#5
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#5
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H27/09
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A04/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A11/10
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
24-31
24
31
-7
H17/10
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#16
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A25/10
Lega A
77.2Avg total
39.6Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.743.383.0-3.623%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.442.879.2-6.414%-
Last 30 away (16)42.643.886.4-1.231%-
Last 10 (10)39.637.677.2+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)35.835.471.2+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)40.045.986.0-5.919%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)35.842.077.8-6.20%-
vs Weaker (3)45.028.073.0+17.0100%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#8
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A01/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Reggiana
#9
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H04/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Reggiana
#9
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A09/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#8
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H13/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Trieste
#6
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A27/09
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H04/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A10/10
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H17/10
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
49-32
49
32
+17
A25/10
Lega A
78.4Avg total
39.5Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.840.282.0+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.639.682.3+3.064%-
Last 30 away (16)41.040.881.8+0.250%-
Last 10 (10)39.538.978.4+0.660%-
Last 5 (5)42.039.481.4+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.238.078.2+2.267%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.942.784.6-0.850%-
vs Weaker (6)44.539.884.3+4.750%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.118.7
49.1%
51.2%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.5
32.9%
35.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.712.3
69.5%
75.8%12.3
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.422.9
50.4%
51.2%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.6
36.6%
35.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws17.312.7
73.4%
75.8%12.7
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Nov 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
WLWLLWLWWL
Cremona
LWWLLLLLWL
#10
League position
#9
-9.6
Net rating
-2.3
105.2
Offensive rating
113.0
114.8
Defensive rating
115.2
49.2%
Effective FG%
52.0%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
16.3%
Turnover %
16.0%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
33.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.9%
3-point %
36.6%
49.3%
Assist %
53.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.2 · 113.0Defence114.8 · 115.2Shooting49.2% · 52.0%3-point %32.9% · 36.6%Ball care16.3% · 16.0%Off. rebounds30.5% · 33.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Pesaro   ■ Cremona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pesaro wins
9
Cremona wins
DateGameScore
01/12/19Pesaro v Cremona63-74
07/04/19Cremona v Pesaro97-64
16/12/18Pesaro v Cremona106-122
04/03/18Cremona v Pesaro92-79
29/10/17Pesaro v Cremona68-79
02/04/17Pesaro v Cremona63-73
04/12/16Cremona v Pesaro71-73
20/03/16Cremona v Pesaro77-72
30/11/15Pesaro v Cremona74-86
04/04/15Pesaro v Cremona74-89
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/20AVirtus Roma84-69
17/10/20HTrento57-71
11/10/20AVenezia90-72
04/10/20ACantu72-81
27/09/20HSassari85-95
14/09/20ASassari81-78
12/09/20HBrindisi70-84
10/09/20AVirtus Roma89-56
07/09/20HVirtus Roma104-60
05/09/20HSassari71-86
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/20ATrento83-85 OT
17/10/20HVarese80-67
10/10/20AVirtus Bologna95-92
04/10/20HVenezia66-83
27/09/20ATrieste77-102
13/09/20HFortitudo Bologna63-73
09/09/20AVirtus Bologna56-79
07/09/20AReggiana71-78
04/09/20HReggiana75-69
01/09/20AFortitudo Bologna77-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW40%
HomeLL0%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%0%67%
Points / game77.671.082.0
Allowed / game77.683.074.0
Point differential+0.0-12.0+8.0
Avg total155.2154.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%0%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cremona
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL40%
HomeLW50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game80.273.085.0
Allowed / game85.875.093.0
Point differential-5.6-2.0-8.0
Avg total166.0148.0178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %20%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano660100%89.269.5+19.7
2 Brindisi54180%83.475.4+8.0
3 Virtus Bologna64267%82.076.3+5.7
4 Venezia64267%78.777.5+1.2
5 Sassari53260%88.083.2+4.8
6 Reggiana53260%78.876.4+2.4
7 Cantu42250%75.877.8-2.0
8 Pesaro52340%77.677.6+0.0
9 Trieste52340%76.078.0-2.0
10 Varese52340%80.485.4-5.0
11 Cremona52340%80.285.8-5.6
12 Brescia62433%78.279.7-1.5
13 Trento62433%77.081.0-4.0
14 Virtus Roma62433%71.783.5-11.8
15 Treviso41325%79.594.2-14.8
16 Fortitudo Bologna51420%81.882.0-0.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Pesaro132719171995
Cremona1872724783
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.