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Crvena zvezda vs Petrol Olimpija Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Feb 2019
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 89-61
24-19 25-10 17-18 23-14
Position#1
Record16-1
FormLWLLL
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game69.8
vs
Position#13
Record5-12
FormWLLLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game82.4
EuropeABA LeagueRound 18
Domestic2018
Meetings · Crvena zvezda v Petrol Olimpija
02 Feb 2019
CZV89
POL61
21 Sep 2018
CZV86
POL60
02 Jan 2018
CZV80
POL76
27 Feb 2017
CZV88
POL67
18 Oct 2015
CZV73
POL77
11 Oct 2014
CZV73
POL65
19 Jan 2014
CZV87
POL62
07 Oct 2012
CZV87
POL76
15 Oct 2011
CZV93
POL101
13 Mar 2011
CZV92
POL70
20 Jan 2010
CZV71
POL72
11 Oct 2008
CZV84
POL77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Petrol Olimpija winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#3
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H30/12
ABA League
Limoges
#17
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H02/01
Eurocup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
96-66
96
66
+30
A04/01
ABA League
Unicaja
#6
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A08/01
Eurocup
Igokea
#9
W
79-77
79
77
+2
A12/01
ABA League
Valencia
#1
L
76-92
76
92
-16
A16/01
Eurocup
FMP Beograd
#6
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H19/01
ABA League
Valencia
#1
L
81-82
81
82
-1
H23/01
Eurocup
Cedevita
#2
L
68-84
68
84
-16
A26/01
ABA League
Limoges
#17
L
71-72
71
72
-1
A29/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-11
23-29
17-23
23-9
25-16
15-16
18-21
25-18
22-13
30-18
17-23
27-12
13-26
24-25
18-14
19-14
20-18
21-25
18-19
20-15
23-21
14-21
20-25
19-25
18-9
22-12
16-23
23-18
17-21
27-21
14-22
23-18
20-21
13-28
12-21
23-14
16-15
19-25
25-8
11-24
155.0Avg total
79.3Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)84.669.8154.4+14.994%
Season at home (8)89.270.4159.6+18.9100%
Season away (9)80.669.2149.8+11.389%
Last 10 (10)79.375.7155.0+3.650%
Last 5 (5)75.078.4153.4-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.587.0165.5-8.50%
vs Similar (6)76.783.0159.7-6.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)84.869.9154.7+15.086%
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Primorska
#1
L
63-80
63
80
-17
A12/01
Liga Nova KBM
Mega Bemax
#7
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H13/01
ABA League
Rogaska
#16
L
79-81
79
81
-2
H14/01
Slovenian Cup
Oostende
#27
L
69-71
69
71
-2
H16/01
Champions League
Cibona
#8
L
70-87
70
87
-17
A20/01
ABA League
Sencur
#6
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H21/01
Liga Nova KBM
Neptunas
#24
L
74-82
74
82
-8
A23/01
Champions League
Rogaska
#7
L
66-87
66
87
-21
A25/01
Liga Nova KBM
Buducnost
#3
L
72-77
72
77
-5
H28/01
ABA League
Bayreuth
#35
L
71-82
71
82
-11
A30/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
10-22
20-20
18-15
15-20
20-23
26-18
30-17
23-11
25-19
14-29
17-22
22-16
19-21
19-15
9-19
16-24
18-21
17-16
19-26
15-20
16-16
29-16
22-18
20-29
22-22
20-18
12-13
18-20
12-26
12-11
24-30
23-23
15-30
19-11
15-13
18-24
25-18
12-18
16-22
153.2Avg total
73.7Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)78.882.4161.2-3.629%
Season at home (9)78.176.9155.0+1.256%
Season away (8)79.688.6168.2-9.00%
Last 10 (10)73.779.5153.2-5.820%
Last 5 (5)73.079.6152.6-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)73.481.4154.8-8.00%
vs Similar (12)83.684.8168.4-1.250%
vs Weaker (6)80.576.5157.0+4.067%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: -1.3-1.3
Crvena zvezdaPetrol Olimpija
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#3
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H30/12
ABA League
Limoges
#17
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H02/01
Eurocup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
52-31
52
31
+21
A04/01
ABA League
Unicaja
#6
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A08/01
Eurocup
Igokea
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A12/01
ABA League
Valencia
#1
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A16/01
Eurocup
FMP Beograd
#6
W
40-21
40
21
+19
H19/01
ABA League
Valencia
#1
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H23/01
Eurocup
Cedevita
#2
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A26/01
ABA League
Limoges
#17
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A29/01
Eurocup
79.6Avg total
40.5Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.136.379.4+6.873%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.033.580.5+13.5100%-
Last 30 away (17)40.138.478.5+1.753%-
Last 10 (10)40.539.179.6+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)37.838.876.6-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.542.082.5-1.550%-
vs Similar (6)39.241.380.5-2.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)44.434.478.8+10.077%-
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Primorska
#1
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A12/01
Liga Nova KBM
Mega Bemax
#7
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H13/01
ABA League
Rogaska
#16
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H14/01
Slovenian Cup
Oostende
#27
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H16/01
Champions League
Cibona
#8
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A20/01
ABA League
Sencur
#6
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H21/01
Liga Nova KBM
Neptunas
#24
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A23/01
Champions League
Rogaska
#7
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A25/01
Liga Nova KBM
Buducnost
#3
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H28/01
ABA League
Bayreuth
#35
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A30/01
Champions League
79.5Avg total
36.7Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.340.980.3-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.536.674.1+0.950%-
Last 30 away (16)40.944.785.6-3.831%-
Last 10 (10)36.742.879.5-6.130%-
Last 5 (5)36.845.682.4-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)38.642.581.1-3.942%-
vs Similar (12)39.941.781.6-1.825%-
vs Weaker (6)39.736.376.0+3.367%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.119.2
56.3%
51.6%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.1
36.0%
33.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws17.412.6
72.4%
72.5%12.6
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Petrol Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Petrol Olimpija: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.717.8
47.2%
51.6%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.2
35.3%
33.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws22.517.1
76.0%
72.5%17.1
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Feb 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crvena zvezda
LLLWLWLWWW
Petrol Olimpija
LLLLWLLLWL
#1
League position
#13
+4.8
Net rating
-8.1
111.4
Offensive rating
102.8
106.6
Defensive rating
110.9
55.3%
Effective FG%
49.4%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
17.1%
Turnover %
18.1%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.37
36.0%
3-point %
35.3%
61.8%
Assist %
55.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence111.4 · 102.8Defence106.6 · 110.9Shooting55.3% · 49.4%3-point %36.0% · 35.3%Ball care17.1% · 18.1%Off. rebounds29.6% · 28.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Crvena zvezda   ■ Petrol Olimpija
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/19ALimoges71-72
26/01/19ACedevita68-84
23/01/19HValencia81-82
19/01/19HFMP Beograd79-62
16/01/19AValencia76-92
12/01/19AIgokea79-77
08/01/19AUnicaja74-79
04/01/19AKK Krka Novo mesto96-66
02/01/19HLimoges83-71
30/12/18HBuducnost86-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/19ABayreuth71-82
28/01/19HBuducnost72-77
25/01/19ARogaska66-87
23/01/19ANeptunas74-82
21/01/19HSencur82-70
20/01/19ACibona70-87
16/01/19HOostende69-71
14/01/19HRogaska79-81
13/01/19HMega Bemax91-78
12/01/19AKK Primorska63-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda
ABA League 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL94%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %94%100%89%
Points / game84.689.280.6
Allowed / game69.870.469.2
Point differential+14.9+18.9+11.3
Avg total154.4159.6149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+76%100%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Petrol Olimpija
ABA League 2018
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL29%
HomeWWLWL56%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %29%56%0%
Points / game78.878.179.6
Allowed / game82.476.988.6
Point differential-3.6+1.2-9.0
Avg total161.2155.0168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)50% (4)0% (4)
Overtime %18%11%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda1716194%84.669.8+14.9
2 Cedevita1712571%88.081.0+7.0
3 Buducnost1712571%80.674.6+6.1
4 Partizan1812667%83.177.6+5.6
5 Mega Bemax179853%83.585.0-1.5
6 Mornar Bar1771041%84.386.5-2.2
7 FMP Beograd1771041%80.583.2-2.6
8 Cibona1871139%76.882.3-5.5
9 Igokea1761135%83.387.6-4.4
10 Petrol Olimpija1751229%78.882.4-3.6
11 Zadar1751229%81.886.0-4.2
12 KK Krka Novo mesto1751229%72.381.8-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crvena zvezda2425172389
Petrol Olimpija1910181461
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