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Crvena zvezda vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 90-75
20-25 23-14 24-14 23-22
Position#9
Record2-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game87.2
vs
Position#2
Record3-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game77.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 5· Beogradska arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Crvena zvezda v Real Madrid
12 Jan 2027
CZV v MAD
upcoming
17 Oct 2025
CZV90
MAD75
28 Mar 2025
CZV72
MAD78
19 Dec 2023
CZV58
MAD72
10 Jan 2023
CZV59
MAD79
08 Mar 2022
CZV65
MAD62
13 Nov 2020
CZV67
MAD73
30 Mar 2018
CZV79
MAD82
22 Dec 2016
CZV82
MAD70
27 Nov 2015
CZV94
MAD88
02 Jan 2015
CZV72
MAD79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#3
L
78-81
78
81
-3
72avg 81
A01/06
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#3
L
81-93
81
93
-12
61avg 81
H14/06
Super League
Spartak Subotica
#3
L
77-93
77
93
-16
51avg 81
A16/06
Super League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
67-89
67
89
-22
no box
H24/09
VTB Super Cup
Dubai
#4
W
82-80
82
80
+2
no box
A25/09
VTB Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
82-92
82
92
-10
75avg 81
H30/09
Euroleague
Bayern
#14
L
88-97
88
97
-9
82avg 81
A02/10
Euroleague
Zadar
#9
L
79-85
79
85
-6
67avg 81
H06/10
ABA League
Fenerbahce
#4
W
86-81
86
81
+5
84avg 81
A10/10
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
88-79
88
79
+9
82avg 81
H14/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
19-21
16-20
18-18
20-20
21-31
17-23
23-19
12-24
23-22
22-26
20-21
19-30
20-17
16-17
12-25
22-19
22-22
15-20
23-19
20-22
21-23
22-24
19-23
28-24
27-26
16-27
17-20
21-27
16-16
16-19
26-23
25-17
18-13
13-18
30-33
23-27
22-12
12-19
31-21
167.8Avg total
80.8Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.087.2173.2-1.250%
Season at home (2)85.085.5170.5-0.550%
Season away (2)87.089.0176.0-2.050%
Last 10 (10)80.887.0167.8-6.230%
Last 5 (5)84.686.8171.4-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)76.888.0164.8-11.220%
vs Similar (13)86.088.7174.7-2.731%
vs Weaker (12)88.476.7165.1+11.875%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Valencia
#2
W
102-96 OT
102
96
+6
89avg 81
H22/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
81-70
81
70
+11
80avg 81
A25/06
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
72-71
72
71
+1
61avg 81
H27/09
Supercopa ACB
Valencia
#1
L
94-98
94
98
-4
86avg 81
H28/09
Supercopa ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
68-74
68
74
-6
57avg 81
A30/09
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
W
89-77
89
77
+12
83avg 81
H02/10
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#15
W
81-71
81
71
+10
77avg 81
H05/10
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
85-72
85
72
+13
88avg 81
H09/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
L
100-105
100
105
-5
93avg 81
A12/10
ACB
Partizan
#15
W
93-86
93
86
+7
94avg 81
H15/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
26-20
21-23
20-21
23-19
16-21
21-9
21-21
18-17
17-28
20-15
17-11
27-24
17-27
25-18
25-29
19-14
16-24
15-17
18-19
19-29
28-24
17-16
25-8
22-18
22-15
27-23
10-15
27-19
21-18
18-16
19-19
34-18
24-31
23-28
19-28
24-12
28-21
23-23
18-30
168.5Avg total
86.5Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.877.2161.0+6.575%
Season at home (3)89.078.3167.3+10.7100%
Season away (1)68.074.0142.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)86.582.0168.5+4.570%
Last 5 (5)89.682.2171.8+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)94.098.0192.0-4.00%
vs Similar (12)85.881.9167.8+3.958%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)86.678.8165.4+7.888%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.9-0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.9-0.9
Crvena zvezdaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#3
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A01/06
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#3
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H14/06
Super League
Spartak Subotica
#3
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A16/06
Super League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H24/09
VTB Super Cup
Dubai
#4
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A25/09
VTB Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H30/09
Euroleague
Bayern
#14
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A02/10
Euroleague
Zadar
#9
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H06/10
ABA League
Fenerbahce
#4
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A10/10
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H14/10
Euroleague
85.9Avg total
42.4Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.641.284.9+2.463%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.140.183.2+2.960%-
Last 30 away (15)44.242.386.5+1.967%-
Last 10 (10)42.443.585.9-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)44.241.485.6+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)38.244.883.0-6.620%-
vs Similar (13)44.542.386.8+2.269%-
vs Weaker (12)44.938.683.5+6.375%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#2
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H22/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A25/06
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H27/09
Supercopa ACB
Valencia
#1
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H28/09
Supercopa ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A30/09
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H02/10
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#15
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H05/10
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H09/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A12/10
ACB
Partizan
#15
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H15/10
Euroleague
87.4Avg total
45.0Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.740.082.7+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.839.983.7+3.867%-
Last 30 away (12)41.140.181.2+1.042%-
Last 10 (10)45.042.487.4+2.650%-
Last 5 (5)49.841.090.8+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.051.095.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (12)42.842.885.5+0.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)43.136.980.0+6.169%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.520.8
55.5%
60.4%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.8
32.9%
35.9%23.4
🏀 Free throws23.317.1
73.4%
78.2%17.1
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.321.6
57.9%
60.4%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.0
33.0%
35.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.216.1
75.9%
78.2%16.1
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crvena zvezda
WWLLLWLLLL
Real Madrid
WLWWWLLWWW
#9
League position
#2
-6.8
Net rating
+7.5
108.8
Offensive rating
116.3
115.6
Defensive rating
108.8
53.1%
Effective FG%
54.3%
58.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
17.2%
Turnover %
14.8%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.9%
3-point %
33.0%
64.3%
Assist %
58.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.8 · 116.3Defence115.6 · 108.8Shooting53.1% · 54.3%3-point %32.9% · 33.0%Ball care17.2% · 14.8%Off. rebounds27.8% · 31.0%Free throws0.38 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Crvena zvezda   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Crvena zvezda wins
8
Real Madrid wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/25HZalgiris Kaunas88-79
10/10/25AFenerbahce86-81
06/10/25HZadar79-85
02/10/25ABayern88-97
30/09/25HOlimpia Milano82-92
25/09/25ADubai82-80
24/09/25HCSKA Moscow67-89
16/06/25ASpartak Subotica77-93
14/06/25HSpartak Subotica81-93
01/06/25ABuducnost78-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/25HPartizan93-86
12/10/25ABaskonia100-105
09/10/25HLyon-Villeurbanne85-72
05/10/25HGran Canaria81-71
02/10/25HOlympiacos89-77
30/09/25AVirtus Bologna68-74
28/09/25HValencia94-98
27/09/25HTenerife72-71
25/06/25AValencia81-70
22/06/25HValencia102-96 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game86.085.087.0
Allowed / game87.285.589.0
Point differential-1.2-0.5-2.0
Avg total173.2170.5176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game83.889.068.0
Allowed / game77.278.374.0
Point differential+6.5+10.7-6.0
Avg total161.0167.3142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid43175%83.877.2+6.5
2 Paris43175%93.289.0+4.2
3 Hapoel Tel-Aviv43175%95.091.0+4.0
4 Panathinaikos43175%90.087.8+2.2
5 Zalgiris Kaunas53260%85.682.4+3.2
6 Barcelona53260%93.691.0+2.6
7 Olympiacos53260%87.685.6+2.0
8 Dubai53260%82.682.4+0.2
9 Monaco42250%85.581.5+4.0
10 Anadolu Efes42250%83.884.0-0.2
11 Valencia42250%94.594.8-0.2
12 Crvena zvezda42250%86.087.2-1.2
13 Virtus Bologna42250%81.083.5-2.5
14 Partizan42250%83.886.8-3.0
15 Olimpia Milano52340%78.277.2+1.0
16 Fenerbahce52340%83.082.6+0.4
17 Bayern52340%76.682.8-6.2
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne41325%84.087.8-3.8
19 Maccabi Tel Aviv51420%88.092.6-4.6
20 Baskonia4040%90.598.8-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crvena zvezda2023242390
Real Madrid2514142275
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