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Crvena zvezda vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 72-78
9-22 18-20 18-13 27-23
Position#10
Record18-13
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game79.7
Crvena zvezda
vs
Real Madrid 🏆
Position#8
Record17-14
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game82.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 32· Beogradska arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Crvena zvezda v Real Madrid
12 Jan 2027
CZV v MAD
upcoming
17 Oct 2025
CZV90
MAD75
28 Mar 2025
CZV72
MAD78
19 Dec 2023
CZV58
MAD72
10 Jan 2023
CZV59
MAD79
08 Mar 2022
CZV65
MAD62
13 Nov 2020
CZV67
MAD73
30 Mar 2018
CZV79
MAD82
22 Dec 2016
CZV82
MAD70
27 Nov 2015
CZV94
MAD88
02 Jan 2015
CZV72
MAD79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Partizan
#2
W
89-83 OT
89
83
+6
no box
H15/02
Korac cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
80-86
80
86
-6
69avg 81
H27/02
Euroleague
Zadar
#10
W
87-76
87
76
+11
89avg 81
H02/03
ABA League
Bayern
#7
L
82-100
82
100
-18
75avg 81
A06/03
Euroleague
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
69-74
69
74
-5
59avg 81
A09/03
ABA League
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
80-82
80
82
-2
76avg 81
H13/03
Euroleague
Mega Basket
#9
W
81-72
81
72
+9
73avg 81
H17/03
ABA League
Olympiacos
#2
W
81-73
81
73
+8
83avg 81
A20/03
Euroleague
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
98-72
98
72
+26
104avg 81
A23/03
ABA League
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
88-52
88
52
+36
91avg 81
H26/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
24-17
18-20
19-20
22-23
21-21
17-23
20-19
20-10
19-31
19-13
29-22
22-20
15-32
18-25
27-23
18-24
21-17
14-13
16-20
24-23
21-25
19-20
16-14
33-18
16-18
17-13
15-23
20-8
23-19
15-28
23-18
27-18
24-20
25-16
22-18
28-11
23-16
18-10
19-15
160.5Avg total
83.5Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)82.079.7161.7+2.358%
Season at home (15)84.877.7162.5+7.160%
Season away (16)79.481.6161.0-2.256%
Last 10 (10)83.577.0160.5+6.560%
Last 5 (5)85.670.2155.8+15.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)89.084.0173.0+5.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (12)82.884.1166.9-1.250%
vs Weaker (16)85.970.9156.8+15.088%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#1
L
79-93
79
93
-14
no box
A16/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#6
W
96-91
96
91
+5
85avg 82
H27/02
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
69-54
69
54
+15
61avg 82
A02/03
ACB
Panathinaikos
#3
L
70-85
70
85
-15
66avg 82
A06/03
Euroleague
Murcia
#10
W
80-75
80
75
+5
66avg 82
H09/03
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
80-67
80
67
+13
78avg 82
A13/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#7
W
83-78
83
78
+5
71avg 82
H16/03
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
81-70
81
70
+11
80avg 82
H20/03
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
W
107-105
107
105
+2
102avg 82
A23/03
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
96-89
96
89
+7
96avg 82
H25/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
21-21
19-25
24-29
23-25
17-18
30-24
26-24
12-9
19-9
17-22
21-14
13-24
20-16
20-23
17-22
23-28
14-15
21-16
22-16
30-17
20-16
18-21
12-13
21-20
18-20
17-13
27-25
32-10
20-24
16-19
13-17
25-21
21-27
22-30
39-27
31-16
23-25
24-22
18-26
164.8Avg total
84.1Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)84.582.2166.7+2.355%
Season at home (16)89.984.9174.8+5.075%
Season away (15)78.779.3158.1-0.633%
Last 10 (10)84.180.7164.8+3.480%
Last 5 (5)89.481.8171.2+7.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)82.183.5165.6-1.442%
vs Weaker (17)87.678.1165.6+9.5100%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.6+0.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.6+0.6
Crvena zvezdaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#2
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H15/02
Korac cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H27/02
Euroleague
Zadar
#10
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H02/03
ABA League
Bayern
#7
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A06/03
Euroleague
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A09/03
ABA League
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H13/03
Euroleague
Mega Basket
#9
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H17/03
ABA League
Olympiacos
#2
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A20/03
Euroleague
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A23/03
ABA League
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H26/03
Euroleague
82.8Avg total
43.7Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.239.282.3+4.057%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.939.283.2+4.756%-
Last 30 away (12)42.039.181.1+2.958%-
Last 10 (10)43.739.182.8+4.650%-
Last 5 (5)47.835.283.0+12.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)50.051.0101.0-1.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.440.480.8+0.033%-
vs Weaker (16)44.137.281.2+6.975%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A16/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H27/02
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
31-18
31
18
+13
A02/03
ACB
Panathinaikos
#3
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A06/03
Euroleague
Murcia
#10
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H09/03
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A13/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H16/03
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H20/03
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A23/03
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H25/03
Euroleague
79.7Avg total
41.8Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.538.579.9+3.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.039.983.9+4.157%-
Last 30 away (16)39.237.276.5+2.050%-
Last 10 (10)41.837.979.7+3.940%-
Last 5 (5)48.239.287.4+9.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.339.477.8-1.133%-
vs Weaker (17)43.638.381.9+5.365%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.7
53.7%
54.5%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.3
37.2%
36.2%30.9
🏀 Free throws18.814.4
76.6%
78.0%14.4
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.9
54.1%
54.5%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.4
30.8%
36.2%25.2
🏀 Free throws24.719.7
79.8%
78.0%19.7
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crvena zvezda
WWWWLLLWLW
Real Madrid
WWWWWWLWWL
#10
League position
#8
+9.5
Net rating
+7.2
114.0
Offensive rating
111.5
104.5
Defensive rating
104.3
54.6%
Effective FG%
50.7%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
16.0%
Turnover %
17.1%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
33.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.39
37.2%
3-point %
30.8%
75.9%
Assist %
60.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence114.0 · 111.5Defence104.5 · 104.3Shooting54.6% · 50.7%3-point %37.2% · 30.8%Ball care16.0% · 17.1%Off. rebounds29.1% · 33.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Crvena zvezda   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Crvena zvezda wins
8
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
24/10/24Real Madrid v Crvena zvezda95-72
29/03/24Real Madrid v Crvena zvezda101-94
19/12/23Crvena zvezda v Real Madrid58-72
10/01/23Crvena zvezda v Real Madrid59-79
21/10/22Real Madrid v Crvena zvezda72-56
08/03/22Crvena zvezda v Real Madrid65-62
18/11/21Real Madrid v Crvena zvezda79-67
18/01/21Real Madrid v Crvena zvezda77-79
13/11/20Crvena zvezda v Real Madrid67-73
30/03/18Crvena zvezda v Real Madrid79-82
Crvena zvezdalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/25HVirtus Bologna88-52
23/03/25ABorac Mozzart98-72
20/03/25AOlympiacos81-73
17/03/25HMega Basket81-72
13/03/25HOlimpia Milano80-82
09/03/25ACedevita Olimpija69-74
06/03/25ABayern82-100
02/03/25HZadar87-76
27/02/25HZalgiris Kaunas80-86
15/02/25HPartizan89-83 OT
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/25HOlimpia Milano96-89
23/03/25AUnicaja107-105
20/03/25HLyon-Villeurbanne81-70
16/03/25HBaskonia83-78
13/03/25AVirtus Bologna80-67
09/03/25HMurcia80-75
06/03/25APanathinaikos70-85
02/03/25AGran Canaria69-54
27/02/25HBarcelona96-91
16/02/25AUnicaja79-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW58%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayLWWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %58%60%56%
Points / game82.084.879.4
Allowed / game79.777.781.6
Point differential+2.3+7.1-2.2
Avg total161.7162.5161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%33%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)0% (4)67% (6)
Overtime %6%13%0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW55%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %55%75%33%
Points / game84.589.978.7
Allowed / game82.284.979.3
Point differential+2.3+5.0-0.6
Avg total166.7174.8158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%38%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)100% (4)0% (4)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos32221069%86.181.2+4.9
2 Fenerbahce32221069%83.381.2+2.0
3 Panathinaikos31201165%87.482.9+4.5
4 Monaco32201262%86.882.9+3.8
5 Bayern32191359%87.487.6-0.1
6 Crvena zvezda31181358%82.079.7+2.3
7 Anadolu Efes32181456%86.482.0+4.5
8 Barcelona32181456%88.284.6+3.6
9 Real Madrid31171455%84.582.2+2.3
10 Paris31171455%85.985.3+0.6
11 Partizan32161650%82.080.1+1.9
12 Olimpia Milano32161650%85.186.5-1.4
13 Zalgiris Kaunas32141844%77.779.1-1.5
14 Baskonia32131941%81.583.0-1.6
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne32131941%81.284.6-3.4
16 Maccabi Tel Aviv32102231%85.589.5-4.0
17 Virtus Bologna3172423%77.784.5-6.9
18 Alba Berlin3152616%79.291.1-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crvena zvezda918182772
Real Madrid2220132378
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