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Crvena zvezda vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 19 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 58-72
20-20 14-25 11-16 13-11
Position#16
Record5-9
FormLLWWW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game80.3
vs
Position#1
Record13-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game75.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 15· Beogradska arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Crvena zvezda v Real Madrid
12 Jan 2027
CZV v MAD
upcoming
17 Oct 2025
CZV90
MAD75
28 Mar 2025
CZV72
MAD78
19 Dec 2023
CZV58
MAD72
10 Jan 2023
CZV59
MAD79
08 Mar 2022
CZV65
MAD62
13 Nov 2020
CZV67
MAD73
30 Mar 2018
CZV79
MAD82
22 Dec 2016
CZV82
MAD70
27 Nov 2015
CZV94
MAD88
02 Jan 2015
CZV72
MAD79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#13
W
95-75
95
75
+20
101avg 81
H20/11
ABA League
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
71-93
71
93
-22
62avg 81
H24/11
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
90-67
90
67
+23
92avg 81
A27/11
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
97-83
97
83
+14
94avg 81
H01/12
Euroleague
Cibona
#12
W
84-56
84
56
+28
81avg 81
H03/12
ABA League
Valencia
#14
L
81-85
81
85
-4
85avg 81
A06/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#9
L
85-87
85
87
-2
79avg 81
A08/12
Euroleague
Mega Basket
#4
W
98-88
98
88
+10
94avg 81
A11/12
ABA League
Alba Berlin
#18
W
85-71
85
71
+14
77avg 81
H14/12
Euroleague
Studentski Centar
#9
W
91-77
91
77
+14
87avg 81
A17/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-17
23-22
26-21
17-15
19-20
20-18
17-25
15-30
26-13
15-12
21-17
28-25
22-21
21-28
29-21
25-13
21-16
25-13
15-14
23-13
19-25
21-31
25-16
16-13
18-26
25-26
19-15
23-20
22-27
26-13
20-30
30-18
25-22
26-20
20-11
14-18
21-21
25-20
17-24
28-12
165.9Avg total
87.7Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)82.480.3162.6+2.136%
Season at home (7)83.475.1158.6+8.371%
Season away (7)81.385.4166.7-4.10%
Last 10 (10)87.778.2165.9+9.570%
Last 5 (5)88.081.6169.6+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)85.072.0157.0+13.050%
vs Similar (15)80.983.4164.3-2.527%
vs Weaker (13)89.572.3161.8+17.2100%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#18
W
99-75
99
75
+24
109avg 75
H23/11
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
85-76
85
76
+9
80avg 75
H26/11
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
99-70
99
70
+29
99avg 75
A28/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
99-100 OT
99
100
-1
91avg 75
A30/11
Euroleague
Breogan
#16
W
91-58
91
58
+33
97avg 75
H03/12
ACB
Olympiacos
#4
W
77-71
77
71
+6
79avg 75
A05/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
W
90-78
90
78
+12
92avg 75
A07/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
W
97-71
97
71
+26
94avg 75
H10/12
ACB
Bayern
#15
W
88-73
88
73
+15
80avg 75
H14/12
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
85-74
85
74
+11
69avg 75
A16/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
17-16
23-18
32-24
20-16
23-17
26-26
16-17
36-21
16-20
22-15
25-14
29-16
15-21
23-22
20-28
17-19
24-9
27-12
23-18
23-19
14-17
24-21
16-14
24-23
22-22
26-10
18-23
31-14
23-23
20-16
23-18
19-23
23-14
21-20
25-16
15-19
24-15
23-14
23-26
165.6Avg total
91.0Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)89.175.6164.6+13.593%
Season at home (7)89.172.7161.9+16.4100%
Season away (7)89.078.4167.4+10.686%
Last 10 (10)91.074.6165.6+16.490%
Last 5 (5)87.473.4160.8+14.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)86.782.7169.3+4.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)90.376.0166.3+14.396%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +5.4+5.4Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +6.1+6.1Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +2.3+2.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +5.4+5.4Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +6.1+6.1Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +2.3+2.3
Crvena zvezdaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#13
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H20/11
ABA League
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H24/11
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A27/11
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H01/12
Euroleague
Cibona
#12
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H03/12
ABA League
Valencia
#14
L
40-56
40
56
-16
A06/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#9
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A08/12
Euroleague
Mega Basket
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A11/12
ABA League
Alba Berlin
#18
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H14/12
Euroleague
Studentski Centar
#9
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A17/12
ABA League
86.0Avg total
44.9Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.639.181.8+3.560%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.535.379.8+9.277%-
Last 30 away (17)41.242.183.3-0.847%-
Last 10 (10)44.941.186.0+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)45.646.291.8-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)44.535.580.0+9.050%-
vs Similar (15)38.843.181.9-4.327%-
vs Weaker (13)46.835.281.9+11.6100%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#18
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H23/11
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H26/11
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A28/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A30/11
Euroleague
Breogan
#16
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H03/12
ACB
Olympiacos
#4
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A05/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A07/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H10/12
ACB
Bayern
#15
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H14/12
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A16/12
ACB
80.3Avg total
44.2Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.036.581.6+8.587%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.334.981.3+11.487%-
Last 30 away (15)43.738.181.9+5.687%-
Last 10 (10)44.236.180.3+8.1100%-
Last 5 (5)43.637.881.4+5.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)45.740.085.7+5.7100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)45.136.081.1+9.185%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.921.8
62.5%
53.4%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.6
34.0%
36.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.914.7
77.8%
77.4%14.7
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 90.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.521.9
58.4%
53.4%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.310.3
39.2%
36.6%30.9
🏀 Free throws18.915.9
84.1%
77.4%15.9
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crvena zvezda
WWWLLWWWLW
Real Madrid
WWWWWWLWWW
#16
League position
#1
+13.4
Net rating
+22.4
118.3
Offensive rating
120.5
104.8
Defensive rating
98.2
57.4%
Effective FG%
58.5%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
45.1%
17.7%
Turnover %
17.1%
35.2%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.0%
3-point %
39.2%
70.7%
Assist %
68.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence118.3 · 120.5Defence104.8 · 98.2Shooting57.4% · 58.5%3-point %34.0% · 39.2%Ball care17.7% · 17.1%Off. rebounds35.2% · 31.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Crvena zvezda   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Crvena zvezda wins
6
Real Madrid wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23AStudentski Centar91-77
14/12/23HAlba Berlin85-71
11/12/23AMega Basket98-88
08/12/23ABaskonia85-87
06/12/23AValencia81-85
03/12/23HCibona84-56
01/12/23HAnadolu Efes97-83
27/11/23AKK Krka Novo mesto90-67
24/11/23HOlimpia Milano71-93
20/11/23HMornar Bar95-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23AObradoiro CAB85-74
14/12/23HBayern88-73
10/12/23HGran Canaria97-71
07/12/23APanathinaikos90-78
05/12/23AOlympiacos77-71
03/12/23HBreogan91-58
30/11/23AFenerbahce99-100 OT
28/11/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv99-70
26/11/23HMoraBanc Andorra85-76
23/11/23HAlba Berlin99-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW36%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %36%71%0%
Points / game82.483.481.3
Allowed / game80.375.185.4
Point differential+2.1+8.3-4.1
Avg total162.6158.6166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%57%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (6)-0% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW93%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %93%100%86%
Points / game89.189.189.0
Allowed / game75.672.778.4
Point differential+13.5+16.4+10.6
Avg total164.6161.9167.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%86%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1413193%89.175.6+13.5
2 Barcelona1410471%84.078.5+5.5
3 Virtus Bologna1410471%84.681.8+2.8
4 Partizan148657%87.685.4+2.1
5 Monaco148657%79.378.9+0.4
6 Baskonia148657%82.982.9+0.1
7 Valencia148657%74.274.1+0.1
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv148657%86.587.5-1.0
9 Olympiacos147750%76.474.9+1.6
10 Panathinaikos147750%81.980.6+1.4
11 Fenerbahce147750%81.181.2-0.1
12 Anadolu Efes147750%81.987.0-5.1
13 Bayern146843%78.781.4-2.6
14 Crvena zvezda145936%82.480.3+2.1
15 Olimpia Milano145936%79.779.1+0.6
16 Zalgiris Kaunas145936%79.181.2-2.1
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne1421214%80.289.0-8.8
18 Alba Berlin1421214%76.386.5-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crvena zvezda2014111358
Real Madrid2025161172
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