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Crvena zvezda vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 10 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 59-79
16-25 18-13 17-19 8-22
Position#11
Record9-8
FormWLWWW
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game78.4
Crvena zvezda
vs
Real Madrid 🏆
Position#2
Record11-6
FormWLLWW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game78.1
EuropeEuroleagueRound 18
European cup2022
Meetings · Crvena zvezda v Real Madrid
12 Jan 2027
CZV v MAD
upcoming
17 Oct 2025
CZV90
MAD75
28 Mar 2025
CZV72
MAD78
19 Dec 2023
CZV58
MAD72
10 Jan 2023
CZV59
MAD79
08 Mar 2022
CZV65
MAD62
13 Nov 2020
CZV67
MAD73
30 Mar 2018
CZV79
MAD82
22 Dec 2016
CZV82
MAD70
27 Nov 2015
CZV94
MAD88
02 Jan 2015
CZV72
MAD79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#14
W
93-77
93
77
+16
96avg 75
H10/12
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
77-73
77
73
+4
64avg 75
H13/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
67-71
67
71
-4
61avg 75
H15/12
Euroleague
Mega Basket
#6
W
92-58
92
58
+34
95avg 75
H18/12
ABA League
Olympiacos
#1
W
90-86
90
86
+4
96avg 75
A22/12
Euroleague
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
86-57
86
57
+29
94avg 75
H25/12
ABA League
Barcelona
#3
L
94-99 OT
94
99
-5
no box
H30/12
Euroleague
Split
#10
W
72-63
72
63
+9
70avg 75
A02/01
ABA League
Valencia
#13
W
77-75
77
75
+2
76avg 75
A06/01
Euroleague
MZT Skopje
#15
W
80-57
80
57
+23
77avg 75
A08/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
27-14
19-26
22-15
14-22
22-15
20-21
21-15
16-26
13-17
20-14
18-14
25-16
19-17
18-18
30-7
21-22
20-23
24-17
25-24
23-13
22-24
20-8
21-12
17-28
23-15
25-14
19-27
19-17
13-13
26-14
14-19
24-19
23-23
14-16
16-17
17-15
19-18
27-8
17-16
154.4Avg total
82.8Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)75.978.4154.4-2.553%
Season at home (8)76.875.1151.9+1.662%
Season away (9)75.281.3156.6-6.144%
Last 10 (10)82.871.6154.4+11.280%
Last 5 (5)81.870.2152.0+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)80.085.7165.7-5.733%
vs Similar (13)75.977.6153.5-1.754%
vs Weaker (14)83.768.5152.2+15.293%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Manresa
#14
W
103-89
103
89
+14
97avg 79
H11/12
ACB
Bayern
#16
W
68-64
68
64
+4
66avg 79
A13/12
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
72-81
72
81
-9
67avg 79
A15/12
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
80-67
80
67
+13
72avg 79
A18/12
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
92-73
92
73
+19
85avg 79
H22/12
Euroleague
Bilbao
#12
W
85-80
85
80
+5
no box
A27/12
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
86-92
86
92
-6
81avg 79
A29/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#1
L
78-87
78
87
-9
69avg 79
H02/01
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
98-65
98
65
+33
107avg 79
H06/01
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
W
105-85
105
85
+20
109avg 79
H08/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
23-19
34-26
23-28
21-22
21-17
12-11
14-14
21-18
14-19
20-19
17-25
16-15
22-16
12-14
30-22
25-22
20-12
25-25
22-14
21-16
21-26
17-16
26-22
28-24
15-35
26-14
17-19
26-28
18-14
13-20
21-25
22-7
29-27
27-15
20-16
25-23
25-13
26-24
29-25
165.0Avg total
86.7Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)84.878.1162.9+6.665%
Season at home (9)91.480.8172.2+10.767%
Season away (8)77.275.1152.4+2.162%
Last 10 (10)86.778.3165.0+8.470%
Last 5 (5)90.481.8172.2+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)85.880.6166.5+5.255%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)85.674.9160.6+10.779%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +0.9+0.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +0.9+0.9
Crvena zvezdaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#14
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H10/12
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H13/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H15/12
Euroleague
Mega Basket
#6
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H18/12
ABA League
Olympiacos
#1
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A22/12
Euroleague
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H25/12
ABA League
Barcelona
#3
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H30/12
Euroleague
Split
#10
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A02/01
ABA League
Valencia
#13
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A06/01
Euroleague
MZT Skopje
#15
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A08/01
ABA League
78.1Avg total
40.2Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.837.878.6+2.963%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.237.879.9+4.471%-
Last 30 away (13)38.937.976.8+1.054%-
Last 10 (10)40.237.978.1+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)40.037.077.0+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)37.042.379.3-5.30%-
vs Similar (13)39.239.578.7-0.446%-
vs Weaker (14)43.135.378.4+7.893%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#14
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H11/12
ACB
Bayern
#16
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A13/12
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A15/12
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A18/12
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H22/12
Euroleague
Bilbao
#12
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A27/12
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
43-59
43
59
-16
A29/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#1
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H02/01
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H06/01
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H08/01
ACB
82.5Avg total
43.6Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.237.981.0+5.373%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.837.183.9+9.694%-
Last 30 away (14)39.138.777.8+0.450%-
Last 10 (10)43.638.982.5+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)46.042.688.6+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)42.539.982.5+2.673%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)43.536.780.2+6.874%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.519.6
60.3%
53.5%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.9
34.8%
36.2%26.7
🏀 Free throws18.514.1
76.2%
78.5%14.1
They take 58.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.920.0
52.8%
53.5%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.8
39.0%
36.2%29.4
🏀 Free throws22.416.3
72.8%
78.5%16.3
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crvena zvezda
WWWLWWWLWW
Real Madrid
WWLLWWWLWW
#11
League position
#2
+17.1
Net rating
+11.1
114.0
Offensive rating
116.4
96.9
Defensive rating
105.2
56.7%
Effective FG%
55.1%
47.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
19.0%
Turnover %
16.9%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.36
34.8%
3-point %
39.0%
69.8%
Assist %
65.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.0 · 116.4Defence96.9 · 105.2Shooting56.7% · 55.1%3-point %34.8% · 39.0%Ball care19.0% · 16.9%Off. rebounds31.8% · 33.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Crvena zvezda   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Crvena zvezda wins
5
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
21/10/22Real Madrid v Crvena zvezda72-56
08/03/22Crvena zvezda v Real Madrid65-62
18/11/21Real Madrid v Crvena zvezda79-67
18/01/21Real Madrid v Crvena zvezda77-79
13/11/20Crvena zvezda v Real Madrid67-73
30/03/18Crvena zvezda v Real Madrid79-82
01/12/17Real Madrid v Crvena zvezda83-87
10/03/17Real Madrid v Crvena zvezda98-68
22/12/16Crvena zvezda v Real Madrid82-70
27/11/15Crvena zvezda v Real Madrid94-88
Crvena zvezdalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/23AMZT Skopje80-57
06/01/23AValencia77-75
02/01/23ASplit72-63
30/12/22HBarcelona94-99 OT
25/12/22HBorac Mozzart86-57
22/12/22AOlympiacos90-86
18/12/22HMega Basket92-58
15/12/22HOlimpia Milano67-71
13/12/22HZalgiris Kaunas77-73
10/12/22HMornar Bar93-77
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/23HGran Canaria105-85
06/01/23HMaccabi Tel Aviv98-65
02/01/23HBarcelona78-87
29/12/22ABaskonia86-92
27/12/22ABilbao85-80
22/12/22HLyon-Villeurbanne92-73
18/12/22ATenerife80-67
15/12/22AZalgiris Kaunas72-81
13/12/22ABayern68-64
11/12/22HManresa103-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW53%
HomeWWWLL62%
AwayLWWWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %53%62%44%
Points / game75.976.875.2
Allowed / game78.475.181.3
Point differential-2.5+1.6-6.1
Avg total154.4151.9156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)50% (6)100% (4)
Overtime %12%12%11%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW65%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayWWWLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %65%67%62%
Points / game84.891.477.2
Allowed / game78.180.875.1
Point differential+6.6+10.7+2.1
Avg total162.9172.2152.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%44%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos1711665%86.677.2+9.5
2 Real Madrid1711665%84.878.1+6.6
3 Baskonia1711665%85.980.7+5.2
4 Barcelona1711665%80.377.4+2.9
5 Monaco1711665%82.582.1+0.4
6 Fenerbahce1710759%82.878.5+4.2
7 Anadolu Efes179853%82.377.5+4.8
8 Zalgiris Kaunas179853%77.077.6-0.6
9 Maccabi Tel Aviv179853%80.581.6-1.1
10 Crvena zvezda179853%75.978.4-2.5
11 Partizan178947%84.584.9-0.5
12 Virtus Bologna178947%77.280.7-3.5
13 Valencia1771041%80.984.4-3.5
14 Bayern1761135%75.178.2-3.1
15 Panathinaikos1761135%78.383.0-4.7
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne1761135%74.179.6-5.6
17 Olimpia Milano1761135%70.576.2-5.7
18 Alba Berlin1751229%81.484.4-3.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crvena zvezda161817859
Real Madrid2513192279
← all games of the day
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