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Panathinaikos vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 09 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 77-67
22-11 21-21 16-18 18-17
Position#7
Record7-9
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game80.1
Panathinaikos 🏆
vs
Bayern
Position#12
Record8-8
FormWWWLW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game81.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 17
European cup2018
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Bayern
14 Jan 2027
PAO v BAY
upcoming
30 Sep 2025
PAO87
BAY79
10 Oct 2024
PAO94
BAY79
12 Oct 2023
PAO78
BAY71
28 Mar 2023
PAO86
BAY76
22 Mar 2022
PAO80
BAY67
27 Nov 2020
PAO83
BAY76
09 Jan 2019
PAO77
BAY67
28 Nov 2014
PAO87
BAY72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#4
W
80-75
80
75
+5
no box
H10/12
Basket League
Darussafaka
#16
W
75-67
75
67
+8
101avg 105
H14/12
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
W
93-83
93
83
+10
no box
A16/12
Basket League
Real Madrid
#3
L
68-89
68
89
-21
85avg 105
A19/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
83-86
83
86
-3
108avg 105
H21/12
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#3
W
111-79
111
79
+32
no box
H23/12
Basket League
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
96-84
96
84
+12
124avg 105
H28/12
Euroleague
Promitheas
#5
W
86-69
86
69
+17
no box
A30/12
Basket League
Olympiacos
#6
L
65-79
65
79
-14
91avg 105
A04/01
Euroleague
Holargos B.C.
#8
W
86-64
86
64
+22
no box
H06/01
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
22-21
26-17
11-19
22-16
21-16
14-21
18-14
19-11
29-20
21-25
24-27
10-23
21-20
24-20
13-26
23-21
17-26
16-17
27-22
36-16
21-21
30-23
24-19
19-26
36-18
17-18
24-22
16-21
19-13
26-16
25-19
14-16
11-25
15-18
25-20
23-13
21-16
21-19
21-16
161.8Avg total
84.3Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)78.680.1158.6-1.544%
Season at home (9)85.180.7165.8+4.467%
Season away (7)70.179.3149.4-9.114%
Last 10 (10)84.377.5161.8+6.870%
Last 5 (5)88.875.0163.8+13.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.883.0156.8-9.225%
vs Similar ◀ (9)79.280.9160.1-1.733%
vs Weaker (17)88.570.2158.8+18.3100%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
88-84
88
84
+4
114avg 105
H14/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#3
W
83-81
83
81
+2
no box
H16/12
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
80-78
80
78
+2
103avg 105
A19/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
L
72-82
72
82
-10
94avg 105
H21/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#2
L
70-78
70
78
-8
no box
H23/12
German Cup
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#8
W
87-69
87
69
+18
no box
H26/12
BBL
Buducnost
#15
W
93-88
93
88
+5
118avg 105
H28/12
Euroleague
Bamberg
#5
W
80-75
80
75
+5
no box
A30/12
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
77-92
77
92
-15
103avg 105
A03/01
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#12
W
101-95 OT
101
95
+6
no box
H06/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-12
28-26
17-23
25-23
23-19
22-24
24-14
14-24
15-16
26-24
17-17
22-21
16-27
15-19
28-19
13-17
24-21
16-20
15-20
15-17
17-12
19-19
32-18
19-20
14-21
24-28
27-21
28-18
26-11
13-26
21-17
20-21
18-27
18-28
18-15
23-22
29-18
18-22
19-18
18-26
165.3Avg total
83.1Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)80.281.5161.8-1.250%
Season at home (10)81.079.4160.4+1.660%
Season away (6)79.085.0164.0-6.033%
Last 10 (10)83.182.2165.3+0.970%
Last 5 (5)87.683.8171.4+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.587.2162.7-11.70%
vs Similar ◀ (10)78.178.2156.3-0.170%
vs Weaker (13)92.175.2167.2+16.9100%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.2-1.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.2-1.2
PanathinaikosBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#4
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H10/12
Basket League
Darussafaka
#16
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H14/12
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A16/12
Basket League
Real Madrid
#3
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A19/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H21/12
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#3
W
57-37
57
37
+20
H23/12
Basket League
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H28/12
Euroleague
Promitheas
#5
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A30/12
Basket League
Olympiacos
#6
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A04/01
Euroleague
Holargos B.C.
#8
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H06/01
Basket League
79.8Avg total
42.1Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.537.178.6+4.463%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.535.879.2+7.771%-
Last 30 away (13)39.038.877.8+0.254%-
Last 10 (10)42.137.779.8+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)43.237.080.2+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.841.578.2-4.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)37.342.479.8-5.133%-
vs Weaker (17)44.933.278.1+11.688%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H14/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#3
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H16/12
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A19/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H21/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#2
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H23/12
German Cup
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#8
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H26/12
BBL
Buducnost
#15
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H28/12
Euroleague
Bamberg
#5
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A30/12
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A03/01
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#12
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H06/01
BBL
81.9Avg total
39.9Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.540.281.7+1.460%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.839.180.9+2.761%-
Last 30 away (12)41.141.882.8-0.758%-
Last 10 (10)39.942.081.9-2.160%-
Last 5 (5)39.242.481.6-3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.748.887.5-10.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)38.038.176.1-0.160%-
vs Weaker (13)44.238.382.5+5.885%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.420.3
50.2%
52.7%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.86.3
30.3%
37.0%18.9
🏀 Free throws19.213.6
70.8%
76.7%13.6
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.420.9
51.7%
52.7%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.47.4
36.3%
37.0%22.2
🏀 Free throws16.813.5
80.4%
76.7%13.5
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WLWWWLLWWW
Bayern
WLWWWLLWWW
#7
League position
#12
-8.0
Net rating
-5.4
102.4
Offensive rating
110.0
110.4
Defensive rating
115.4
48.6%
Effective FG%
52.6%
56.0%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
14.5%
Turnover %
14.8%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
26.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.3%
3-point %
36.3%
57.5%
Assist %
59.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence102.4 · 110.0Defence110.4 · 115.4Shooting48.6% · 52.6%3-point %30.3% · 36.3%Ball care14.5% · 14.8%Off. rebounds26.3% · 26.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Panathinaikos wins
2
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
16/10/18Bayern v Panathinaikos80-79
28/11/14Panathinaikos v Bayern87-72
23/10/14Bayern v Panathinaikos81-75
Panathinaikoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/19HHolargos B.C.86-64
04/01/19AOlympiacos65-79
30/12/18APromitheas86-69
28/12/18HCSKA Moscow96-84
23/12/18HAEK Athens111-79
21/12/18HOlimpia Milano83-86
19/12/18AReal Madrid68-89
16/12/18APAOK93-83
14/12/18HDarussafaka75-67
10/12/18HPeristeri80-75
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/19HBayreuth101-95 OT
03/01/19AAnadolu Efes77-92
30/12/18ABamberg80-75
28/12/18HBuducnost93-88
26/12/18Hs.Oliver Wurzburg87-69
23/12/18HAlba Berlin70-78
21/12/18HReal Madrid72-82
19/12/18AOlimpia Milano80-78
16/12/18HAlba Berlin83-81
14/12/18HZalgiris Kaunas88-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL44%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %44%67%14%
Points / game78.685.170.1
Allowed / game80.180.779.3
Point differential-1.5+4.4-9.1
Avg total158.6165.8149.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %6%11%0%
Bayern
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayLWLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16106
Win %50%60%33%
Points / game80.281.079.0
Allowed / game81.579.485.0
Point differential-1.2+1.6-6.0
Avg total161.8160.4164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%10%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce1715288%84.075.9+8.1
2 Real Madrid1714382%86.975.6+11.3
3 CSKA Moscow1713476%87.781.6+6.1
4 Anadolu Efes1711665%86.180.6+5.4
5 Olympiacos1711665%81.176.9+4.2
6 Barcelona169756%77.576.1+1.4
7 Olimpia Milano168850%87.586.2+1.3
8 Bayern168850%80.281.5-1.2
9 Panathinaikos167944%78.680.1-1.5
10 Baskonia1771041%81.582.2-0.6
11 Khimki M.1771041%79.380.0-0.7
12 Zalgiris Kaunas1771041%79.980.8-0.9
13 Gran Canaria1761135%79.787.8-8.1
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv1651131%78.180.8-2.7
15 Buducnost1631319%73.985.9-12.1
16 Darussafaka1721512%74.685.5-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos2221161877
Bayern1121181767
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