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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 95-128
23-34 28-35 24-28 20-31
Position#2
Record2-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game116.0
Allowed / game104.5
vs
Position#3
Record2-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game113.5
Allowed / game105.5
USANBA· Paycom Center (Oklahoma)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Denver Nuggets
30 Jan 2027
OKC v DEN
upcoming
22 Oct 2026
OKC96
DEN84
09 Mar 2026
OKC129
DEN126
27 Feb 2026
OKC127
DEN121
18 May 2025
OKC125
DEN93
13 May 2025
OKC112
DEN105
07 May 2025
OKC149
DEN106
05 May 2025
OKC119
DEN121
10 Mar 2025
OKC127
DEN140
09 Mar 2025
OKC127
DEN103
31 Jan 2024
OKC105
DEN100
29 Oct 2023
OKC95
DEN128
23 Nov 2022
OKC126
DEN131
03 Nov 2022
OKC110
DEN122
09 Jan 2022
OKC95
DEN99
22 Dec 2021
OKC108
DEN94
27 Feb 2021
OKC96
DEN126
03 Aug 2020
OKC113
DEN121
21 Feb 2020
OKC113
DEN101
29 Mar 2019
OKC105
DEN115
24 Nov 2018
OKC98
DEN105
30 Mar 2018
OKC125
DEN126
18 Dec 2017
OKC95
DEN94
12 Apr 2017
OKC105
DEN111
07 Jan 2017
OKC121
DEN106
27 Dec 2015
OKC122
DEN112
01 Nov 2015
OKC117
DEN93
22 Feb 2015
OKC119
DEN94
01 Nov 2014
OKC102
DEN91
24 Mar 2014
OKC117
DEN96
18 Nov 2013
OKC115
DEN113
19 Mar 2013
OKC104
DEN114
16 Jan 2013
OKC117
DEN97
25 Apr 2012
OKC101
DEN106
19 Feb 2012
OKC124
DEN118
27 Apr 2011
OKC100
DEN97
20 Apr 2011
OKC106
DEN89
17 Apr 2011
OKC107
DEN103
08 Apr 2011
OKC104
DEN89
25 Dec 2010
OKC114
DEN106
07 Apr 2010
OKC94
DEN98
29 Jan 2010
OKC101
DEN84
04 Feb 2009
OKC113
DEN114
02 Jan 2009
OKC120
DEN122
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
107-106
107
106
+1
92avg 107
H30/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
117-121
117
121
-4
107avg 107
A31/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
118-128
118
128
-10
104avg 107
H02/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
125-136
125
136
-11
109avg 107
A05/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
114-98
114
98
+16
105avg 107
A07/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
115-100
115
100
+15
114avg 107
H09/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
123-118
123
118
+5
110avg 107
A13/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
95-120
95
120
-25
79avg 107
A15/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
124-104
124
104
+20
126avg 107
A26/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
108-105
108
105
+3
100avg 107
A27/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
28-30
30-24
23-26
32-36
29-29
33-25
23-31
27-27
28-42
34-29
29-30
39-36
40-33
27-33
19-34
32-25
23-27
29-24
30-22
20-24
27-25
38-24
30-27
32-29
25-34
39-24
27-31
23-24
24-33
31-38
17-25
33-35
28-20
30-27
33-22
31-26
21-16
27-33
29-30
228.2Avg total
114.6Scored
113.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)116.0104.5220.5+11.5100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)116.0104.5220.5+11.5100%
Last 10 (10)114.6113.6228.2+1.060%
Last 5 (5)113.0109.4222.4+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (22)116.0117.7233.8-1.745%
vs Weaker (8)117.9108.9226.8+9.075%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
108-103
108
103
+5
104avg 111
H19/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
119-108
119
108
+11
114avg 111
A21/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
113-111
113
111
+2
106avg 111
A23/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
104-93
104
93
+11
106avg 111
H02/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
108-111
108
111
-3
105avg 111
H05/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
109-94
109
94
+15
116avg 111
A08/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
108-95
108
95
+13
102avg 111
A10/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
94-89
94
89
+5
90avg 111
H13/06
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
119-107
119
107
+12
115avg 111
H24/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
108-104
108
104
+4
99avg 111
A27/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-27
21-26
28-26
32-24
32-20
26-35
26-27
35-26
28-34
30-39
36-16
19-22
29-20
30-22
25-21
20-30
23-26
34-25
26-24
25-36
24-24
29-24
29-20
27-26
20-21
35-30
31-22
22-22
22-24
22-27
26-20
24-18
34-20
29-34
24-26
32-27
25-18
36-38
28-23
19-25
210.5Avg total
109.0Scored
101.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)113.5105.5219.0+8.0100%
Season at home (1)119.0107.0226.0+12.0100%
Season away (1)108.0104.0212.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)109.0101.5210.5+7.590%
Last 5 (5)107.697.8205.4+9.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)113.0108.5221.5+4.569%
vs Weaker (14)109.9104.4214.3+5.471%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -0.1-0.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -0.1-0.1
Oklahoma City ThunderDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
54-56
54
56
-2
H30/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
61-65
61
65
-4
A31/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
55-69
55
69
-14
H02/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
79-69
79
69
+10
A05/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A07/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H09/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A13/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A15/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
61-55
61
55
+6
A26/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A27/10
NBA
114.5Avg total
56.8Scored
57.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.658.0117.5+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (13)60.859.2119.9+1.646%-
Last 30 away (17)58.657.1115.7+1.653%-
Last 10 (10)56.857.7114.5-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)52.853.2106.0-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (22)58.959.1118.0-0.341%-
vs Weaker (8)61.554.8116.2+6.875%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H19/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
58-55
58
55
+3
A21/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
58-73
58
73
-15
A23/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
59-42
59
42
+17
H02/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H05/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A08/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A10/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H13/06
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
63-54
63
54
+9
H24/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
61-56
61
56
+5
A27/10
NBA
109.0Avg total
55.6Scored
53.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.354.0110.3+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)55.551.4106.9+4.162%-
Last 30 away (14)57.256.9114.1+0.357%-
Last 10 (10)55.653.4109.0+2.270%-
Last 5 (5)55.252.0107.2+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)56.456.8113.2-0.438%-
vs Weaker (14)56.150.7106.9+5.486%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 114.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.728.5
52.1%
54.4%57.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.611.9
34.4%
36.3%35.7
🏀 Free throws26.621.9
82.3%
78.2%21.9
They take 89.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 109.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.629.6
56.3%
54.4%59.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.211.4
36.5%
36.3%34.2
🏀 Free throws20.215.6
77.2%
78.2%15.6
They take 83.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
WWLWWWLLLW
Denver Nuggets
WWWWWLWWWW
#2
League position
#3
+1.0
Net rating
+7.8
112.7
Offensive rating
113.7
111.7
Defensive rating
105.9
51.9%
Effective FG%
55.7%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
11.7%
Turnover %
11.8%
23.7%
Off. rebound %
21.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.24
34.4%
3-point %
36.5%
59.2%
Assist %
64.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence112.7 · 113.7Defence111.7 · 105.9Shooting51.9% · 55.7%3-point %34.4% · 36.5%Ball care11.7% · 11.8%Off. rebounds23.7% · 21.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/23ACleveland Cavaliers108-105
26/10/23AChicago Bulls124-104
15/04/23AMinnesota Timberwolves95-120
13/04/23ANew Orleans Pelicans123-118
09/04/23HMemphis Grizzlies115-100
07/04/23AUtah Jazz114-98
05/04/23AGolden State Warriors125-136
02/04/23HPhoenix Suns118-128
31/03/23AIndiana Pacers117-121
30/03/23HDetroit Pistons107-106
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/23AMemphis Grizzlies108-104
24/10/23HLos Angeles Lakers119-107
13/06/23HMiami Heat94-89
10/06/23AMiami Heat108-95
08/06/23AMiami Heat109-94
05/06/23HMiami Heat108-111
02/06/23HMiami Heat104-93
23/05/23ALos Angeles Lakers113-111
21/05/23ALos Angeles Lakers119-108
19/05/23HLos Angeles Lakers108-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
Home--
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %100%-100%
Points / game116.0-116.0
Allowed / game104.5-104.5
Point differential+11.5-+11.5
Avg total220.5-220.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%-50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game113.5119.0108.0
Allowed / game105.5107.0104.0
Point differential+8.0+12.0+4.0
Avg total219.0226.0212.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana Pacers220100%134.0116.5+17.5
2 Orlando Magic220100%109.091.5+17.5
3 Oklahoma City Thunder220100%116.0104.5+11.5
4 Denver Nuggets220100%113.5105.5+8.0
5 New Orleans Pelicans220100%103.595.5+8.0
6 Boston Celtics220100%113.5107.5+6.0
7 Dallas Mavericks220100%125.5119.5+6.0
8 Milwaukee Bucks110100%118.0117.0+1.0
9 Detroit Pistons32167%110.3101.3+9.0
10 Phoenix Suns32167%109.7102.7+7.0
11 Minnesota Timberwolves21150%100.093.5+6.5
12 Los Angeles Clippers21150%120.5115.5+5.0
13 Sacramento Kings21150%122.0118.0+4.0
14 Philadelphia 76ers21150%115.5112.5+3.0
15 Golden State Warriors21150%113.0111.0+2.0
16 San Antonio Spurs21150%122.5124.0-1.5
17 Charlotte Hornets21150%107.5110.5-3.0
18 Los Angeles Lakers21150%103.5107.0-3.5
19 Washington Wizards21150%116.5124.5-8.0
20 Toronto Raptors31233%102.3104.0-1.7
21 New York Knicks31233%105.7108.0-2.3
22 Cleveland Cavaliers31233%110.7115.3-4.7
23 Miami Heat31233%101.3109.0-7.7
24 Chicago Bulls31233%103.3115.0-11.7
25 Utah Jazz31233%112.7124.7-12.0
26 Brooklyn Nets2020%116.5119.5-3.0
27 Atlanta Hawks2020%115.0121.0-6.0
28 Memphis Grizzlies3030%104.7110.7-6.0
29 Portland Trail Blazers2020%104.0112.5-8.5
30 Houston Rockets2020%104.0121.0-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder2328242095
Denver Nuggets34352831128
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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