PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 110-89
28-21 35-23 26-28 21-17
Position#4
Record1-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game104.3
Allowed / game104.7
vs
Position#3
Record4-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game116.2
Allowed / game102.0
USANBA· Target Center (Minneapolis)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Denver Nuggets
27 Jan 2027
MIN v DEN
upcoming
31 Dec 2026
MIN v DEN
upcoming
30 Apr 2026
MIN110
DEN98
25 Apr 2026
MIN112
DEN96
23 Apr 2026
MIN113
DEN96
15 Nov 2025
MIN112
DEN123
27 Oct 2025
MIN114
DEN127
25 Jan 2025
MIN133
DEN104
01 Nov 2024
MIN119
DEN116
16 May 2024
MIN115
DEN70
12 May 2024
MIN107
DEN115
10 May 2024
MIN90
DEN117
19 Mar 2024
MIN112
DEN115
01 Nov 2023
MIN110
DEN89
23 Apr 2023
MIN114
DEN108
21 Apr 2023
MIN111
DEN120
05 Feb 2023
MIN128
DEN98
02 Jan 2023
MIN124
DEN111
01 Feb 2022
MIN130
DEN115
30 Oct 2021
MIN91
DEN93
13 May 2021
MIN103
DEN114
03 Jan 2021
MIN109
DEN124
20 Jan 2020
MIN100
DEN107
10 Nov 2019
MIN98
DEN100
02 Feb 2019
MIN106
DEN107
21 Nov 2018
MIN101
DEN103
11 Apr 2018
MIN112
DEN106
27 Dec 2017
MIN128
DEN125
22 Jan 2017
MIN111
DEN108
03 Nov 2016
MIN99
DEN102
06 Jan 2016
MIN74
DEN78
15 Dec 2015
MIN100
DEN112
04 Mar 2015
MIN85
DEN100
05 Jan 2015
MIN101
DEN110
12 Feb 2014
MIN117
DEN90
27 Nov 2013
MIN110
DEN117
12 Dec 2012
MIN108
DEN105
21 Nov 2012
MIN94
DEN101
26 Apr 2012
MIN102
DEN131
25 Mar 2012
MIN117
DEN100
05 Feb 2011
MIN100
DEN113
29 Dec 2010
MIN113
DEN119
10 Mar 2010
MIN102
DEN110
25 Nov 2009
MIN111
DEN124
05 Apr 2009
MIN87
DEN110
29 Nov 2008
MIN97
DEN106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
102-108 OT
102
108
-6
97avg 108
A12/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
120-95
120
95
+25
121avg 108
H15/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
80-109
80
109
-29
64avg 108
A17/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
113-122
113
122
-9
106avg 108
A20/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
111-120
111
120
-9
100avg 108
H22/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
114-108 OT
114
108
+6
105avg 108
H24/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
109-112
109
112
-3
103avg 108
A26/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
L
94-97
94
97
-3
81avg 108
A25/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
106-90
106
90
+16
107avg 108
H29/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
L
113-127
113
127
-14
101avg 108
A30/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-22
32-27
26-30
12-19
24-23
33-24
38-31
25-17
23-26
21-29
14-32
22-22
22-31
27-33
40-23
24-35
28-28
27-33
33-33
23-26
23-22
25-30
32-22
16-22
29-22
18-26
30-29
32-35
25-25
26-28
23-20
20-24
26-31
29-22
25-20
26-17
42-35
37-25
19-38
15-29
215.0Avg total
106.2Scored
108.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)104.3104.7209.0-0.333%
Season at home (1)106.090.0196.0+16.0100%
Season away (2)103.5112.0215.5-8.50%
Last 10 (10)106.2108.8215.0-2.630%
Last 5 (5)107.2106.8214.0+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)104.8112.5217.3-7.717%
vs Similar ◀ (20)114.6114.1228.7+0.555%
vs Weaker (4)116.0111.2227.2+4.850%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
113-111
113
111
+2
106avg 111
A23/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
104-93
104
93
+11
106avg 111
H02/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
108-111
108
111
-3
105avg 111
H05/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
109-94
109
94
+15
116avg 111
A08/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
108-95
108
95
+13
102avg 111
A10/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
94-89
94
89
+5
90avg 111
H13/06
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
119-107
119
107
+12
115avg 111
H24/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
108-104
108
104
+4
99avg 111
A27/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
128-95
128
95
+33
135avg 111
A29/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
110-102
110
102
+8
110avg 111
H31/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-34
30-39
36-16
19-22
29-20
30-22
25-21
20-30
23-26
34-25
26-24
25-36
24-24
29-24
29-20
27-26
20-21
35-30
31-22
22-22
22-24
22-27
26-20
24-18
34-20
29-34
24-26
32-27
25-18
36-38
28-23
19-25
34-23
35-28
28-24
31-20
31-21
27-24
22-24
30-33
210.2Avg total
110.1Scored
100.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)116.2102.0218.2+14.2100%
Season at home (2)114.5104.5219.0+10.0100%
Season away (2)118.099.5217.5+18.5100%
Last 10 (10)110.1100.1210.2+10.090%
Last 5 (5)111.899.4211.2+12.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)115.5107.5223.0+7.973%
vs Weaker (15)109.9104.3214.1+5.673%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -1.0-1.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -1.0-1.0
Minnesota TimberwolvesDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
60-49
60
49
+11
A12/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H15/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A17/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
49-64
49
64
-15
A20/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
55-61
55
61
-6
H22/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H24/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A26/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A25/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
55-53
55
53
+2
H29/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
79-60
79
60
+19
A30/10
NBA
108.7Avg total
54.5Scored
54.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.456.4114.7+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (11)55.654.8110.5+0.855%-
Last 30 away (19)59.957.3117.2+2.753%-
Last 10 (10)54.554.2108.7+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)56.053.2109.2+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)47.754.0101.7-6.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)60.056.6116.7+3.465%-
vs Weaker (4)66.258.5124.8+7.875%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
58-73
58
73
-15
A23/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
59-42
59
42
+17
H02/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H05/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A08/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A10/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H13/06
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
63-54
63
54
+9
H24/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
61-56
61
56
+5
A27/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
69-51
69
51
+18
A29/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H31/10
NBA
109.9Avg total
57.7Scored
52.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.253.6110.8+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.350.7107.0+5.767%-
Last 30 away (15)58.056.5114.5+1.560%-
Last 10 (10)57.752.2109.9+5.580%-
Last 5 (5)59.051.4110.4+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)58.156.9114.9+1.240%-
vs Weaker (15)56.350.3106.6+5.987%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 106.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.326.9
51.4%
54.4%53.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.212.1
36.4%
36.3%36.3
🏀 Free throws20.716.1
77.8%
78.2%16.1
They take 85.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 110.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.532.4
59.4%
54.4%64.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.3
35.8%
36.3%30.9
🏀 Free throws19.514.4
73.8%
78.2%14.4
They take 83.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWLLWLLLWL
Denver Nuggets
WWWWWWWLWW
#4
League position
#3
-2.6
Net rating
+10.4
106.2
Offensive rating
115.0
108.8
Defensive rating
104.6
52.7%
Effective FG%
57.4%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
13.7%
Turnover %
12.3%
20.4%
Off. rebound %
23.0%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.23
36.4%
3-point %
35.8%
63.1%
Assist %
64.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence106.2 · 115.0Defence108.8 · 104.6Shooting52.7% · 57.4%3-point %36.4% · 35.8%Ball care13.7% · 12.3%Off. rebounds20.4% · 23.0%Free throws0.24 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)30% · 90%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/23AAtlanta Hawks113-127
29/10/23HMiami Heat106-90
25/10/23AToronto Raptors94-97
26/04/23ADenver Nuggets109-112
24/04/23HDenver Nuggets114-108 OT
22/04/23HDenver Nuggets111-120
20/04/23ADenver Nuggets113-122
17/04/23ADenver Nuggets80-109
15/04/23HOklahoma City Thunder120-95
12/04/23ALos Angeles Lakers102-108 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/23HUtah Jazz110-102
29/10/23AOklahoma City Thunder128-95
27/10/23AMemphis Grizzlies108-104
24/10/23HLos Angeles Lakers119-107
13/06/23HMiami Heat94-89
10/06/23AMiami Heat108-95
08/06/23AMiami Heat109-94
05/06/23HMiami Heat108-111
02/06/23HMiami Heat104-93
23/05/23ALos Angeles Lakers113-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game104.3106.0103.5
Allowed / game104.790.0112.0
Point differential-0.3+16.0-8.5
Avg total209.0196.0215.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game116.2114.5118.0
Allowed / game102.0104.599.5
Point differential+14.2+10.0+18.5
Avg total218.2219.0217.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics440100%127.0106.5+20.5
2 Denver Nuggets440100%116.2102.0+14.2
3 Dallas Mavericks330100%125.3116.3+9.0
4 Los Angeles Clippers43175%120.5104.0+16.5
5 Golden State Warriors43175%115.5104.8+10.8
6 New Orleans Pelicans43175%104.8106.8-2.0
7 Philadelphia 76ers32167%119.0107.7+11.3
8 Sacramento Kings32167%125.3121.0+4.3
9 Atlanta Hawks53260%122.8117.2+5.6
10 Oklahoma City Thunder53260%111.4111.8-0.4
11 Phoenix Suns42250%110.8105.8+5.0
12 Orlando Magic42250%105.8101.8+4.0
13 Brooklyn Nets42250%118.8116.2+2.5
14 Los Angeles Lakers42250%110.0112.2-2.2
15 Indiana Pacers42250%119.2125.0-5.8
16 Milwaukee Bucks42250%115.2122.0-6.8
17 Chicago Bulls42250%105.5112.5-7.0
18 San Antonio Spurs42250%110.8121.2-10.5
19 Detroit Pistons52340%108.8107.6+1.2
20 Toronto Raptors52340%105.6104.4+1.2
21 New York Knicks52340%103.0102.0+1.0
22 Cleveland Cavaliers52340%103.6108.8-5.2
23 Portland Trail Blazers52340%103.0108.6-5.6
24 Minnesota Timberwolves31233%104.3104.7-0.3
25 Charlotte Hornets31233%112.0118.0-6.0
26 Utah Jazz41325%110.0121.0-11.0
27 Washington Wizards41325%115.2126.2-11.0
28 Miami Heat51420%104.6111.6-7.0
29 Memphis Grizzlies4040%106.0114.2-8.2
30 Houston Rockets3030%101.0116.0-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves28352621110
Denver Nuggets2123281789
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.