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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 19 Dec 2017
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 95-94
32-18 20-26 18-32 25-18
Position#11
Record14-15
FormWLWWL
Points / game102.1
Allowed / game100.4
vs
Position#12
Record16-13
FormWLWLW
Points / game107.9
Allowed / game107.5
USANBA· Chesapeake Energy Arena
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Denver Nuggets
30 Jan 2027
OKC v DEN
upcoming
22 Oct 2026
OKC96
DEN84
09 Mar 2026
OKC129
DEN126
27 Feb 2026
OKC127
DEN121
18 May 2025
OKC125
DEN93
13 May 2025
OKC112
DEN105
07 May 2025
OKC149
DEN106
05 May 2025
OKC119
DEN121
10 Mar 2025
OKC127
DEN140
09 Mar 2025
OKC127
DEN103
31 Jan 2024
OKC105
DEN100
29 Oct 2023
OKC95
DEN128
23 Nov 2022
OKC126
DEN131
03 Nov 2022
OKC110
DEN122
09 Jan 2022
OKC95
DEN99
22 Dec 2021
OKC108
DEN94
27 Feb 2021
OKC96
DEN126
03 Aug 2020
OKC113
DEN121
21 Feb 2020
OKC113
DEN101
29 Mar 2019
OKC105
DEN115
24 Nov 2018
OKC98
DEN105
30 Mar 2018
OKC125
DEN126
18 Dec 2017
OKC95
DEN94
12 Apr 2017
OKC105
DEN111
07 Jan 2017
OKC121
DEN106
27 Dec 2015
OKC122
DEN112
01 Nov 2015
OKC117
DEN93
22 Feb 2015
OKC119
DEN94
01 Nov 2014
OKC102
DEN91
24 Mar 2014
OKC117
DEN96
18 Nov 2013
OKC115
DEN113
19 Mar 2013
OKC104
DEN114
16 Jan 2013
OKC117
DEN97
25 Apr 2012
OKC101
DEN106
19 Feb 2012
OKC124
DEN118
27 Apr 2011
OKC100
DEN97
20 Apr 2011
OKC106
DEN89
17 Apr 2011
OKC107
DEN103
08 Apr 2011
OKC104
DEN89
25 Dec 2010
OKC114
DEN106
07 Apr 2010
OKC94
DEN98
29 Jan 2010
OKC101
DEN84
04 Feb 2009
OKC113
DEN114
02 Jan 2009
OKC120
DEN122
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#26
L
108-121
108
121
-13
88avg 94
A30/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
W
111-107
111
107
+4
112avg 94
H02/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
W
90-87
90
87
+3
78avg 94
H04/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
100-94
100
94
+6
91avg 94
H06/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
L
95-100
95
100
-5
77avg 94
A08/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
102-101 OT
102
101
+1
83avg 94
A10/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
103-116
103
116
-13
88avg 94
H12/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
W
100-95
100
95
+5
93avg 94
A14/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
119-117 OT
119
117
+2
105avg 94
A16/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
L
96-111
96
111
-15
81avg 94
A17/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-31
32-28
23-28
28-34
42-33
22-21
21-25
26-28
25-18
29-25
22-30
14-14
19-28
20-19
29-33
32-14
33-20
25-29
21-25
16-26
19-34
27-23
21-9
25-26
26-34
26-18
22-40
29-24
22-27
29-19
22-23
27-26
28-23
27-24
26-30
13-17
26-23
18-27
29-30
23-31
207.3Avg total
102.4Scored
104.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)102.1100.4202.6+1.748%
Season at home (13)104.698.4203.0+6.269%
Season away (16)100.1102.1202.2-2.031%
Last 10 (10)102.4104.9207.3-2.560%
Last 5 (5)104.0108.0212.0-4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)99.0105.0204.0-6.00%
vs Similar ◀ (19)104.4103.1207.5+1.447%
vs Weaker (10)97.895.5193.3+2.350%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#9
L
77-106
77
106
-29
63avg 105
A29/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#25
W
111-110
111
110
+1
102avg 105
H01/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
115-100
115
100
+15
106avg 105
H03/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
L
105-122
105
122
-17
95avg 105
A05/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#7
L
114-123
114
123
-9
98avg 105
A07/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
103-89
103
89
+14
96avg 105
A09/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
L
116-126 OT
116
126
-10
106avg 105
A10/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
103-84
103
84
+19
104avg 105
A13/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
118-124
118
124
-6
109avg 105
A14/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#7
W
117-111 OT
117
111
+6
108avg 105
H16/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
25-22
17-28
11-30
30-39
32-29
29-24
20-18
34-29
21-30
23-21
37-20
23-39
24-25
35-29
23-29
33-33
33-34
25-30
23-26
14-25
35-23
32-22
22-19
35-22
31-37
22-31
26-24
26-18
23-22
31-20
23-24
31-30
28-38
33-29
26-27
20-33
26-25
30-28
28-18
217.4Avg total
107.9Scored
109.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)107.9107.5215.4+0.355%
Season at home (13)112.6104.0216.6+8.685%
Season away (16)104.0110.4214.4-6.431%
Last 10 (10)107.9109.5217.4-1.650%
Last 5 (5)111.4106.8218.2+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)110.7121.0231.7-10.333%
vs Similar ◀ (16)106.1108.2214.4-2.144%
vs Weaker (11)109.9102.5212.5+7.482%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +0.4+0.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +0.4+0.4
Oklahoma City ThunderDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#26
L
57-59
57
59
-2
A30/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
W
64-54
64
54
+10
H02/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H04/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H06/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A08/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A10/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
D
52-52
52
52
+0
H12/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A14/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
55-47
55
47
+8
A16/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A17/12
NBA
102.4Avg total
52.0Scored
50.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.348.2100.5+4.160%-
Last 30 at home (13)54.947.1102.0+7.877%-
Last 30 away (17)50.349.199.4+1.247%-
Last 10 (10)52.050.4102.4+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)49.650.4100.0-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.051.095.0-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)54.649.4103.9+5.268%-
vs Weaker (10)48.845.894.6+3.050%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#9
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A29/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#25
L
62-68
62
68
-6
H01/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
L
55-59
55
59
-4
H03/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
L
47-64
47
64
-17
A05/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#7
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A07/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A09/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
W
66-59
66
59
+7
A10/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A13/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
59-68
59
68
-9
A14/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#7
L
46-58
46
58
-12
H16/12
NBA
112.7Avg total
54.8Scored
57.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.656.0109.6-2.540%-
Last 30 at home (13)56.152.8108.8+3.346%-
Last 30 away (17)51.658.5110.2-6.935%-
Last 10 (10)54.857.9112.7-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)53.854.6108.4-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)51.760.3112.0-8.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)53.857.6111.4-3.831%-
vs Weaker (11)53.752.6106.4+1.155%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 102.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.128.5
45.2%
51.0%57.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.8
35.9%
36.1%29.4
🏀 Free throws24.116.0
66.4%
76.5%16.0
They take 90.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 107.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.928.2
50.4%
51.0%56.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.411.9
36.7%
36.1%35.7
🏀 Free throws20.615.8
76.7%
76.5%15.8
They take 88.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
LWWLWLWWWL
Denver Nuggets
WLWLWLLWWL
#11
League position
#12
-2.5
Net rating
-1.6
103.5
Offensive rating
109.1
106.1
Defensive rating
110.7
47.8%
Effective FG%
52.2%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
15.0%
Turnover %
13.8%
32.7%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.23
35.9%
3-point %
36.7%
54.3%
Assist %
57.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.5 · 109.1Defence106.1 · 110.7Shooting47.8% · 52.2%3-point %35.9% · 36.7%Ball care15.0% · 13.8%Off. rebounds32.7% · 26.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/17ANew York Knicks96-111
16/12/17APhiladelphia 76ers119-117 OT
14/12/17AIndiana Pacers100-95
12/12/17HCharlotte Hornets103-116
10/12/17AMemphis Grizzlies102-101 OT
08/12/17ABrooklyn Nets95-100
06/12/17HUtah Jazz100-94
04/12/17HSan Antonio Spurs90-87
02/12/17HMinnesota Timberwolves111-107
30/11/17AOrlando Magic108-121
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/17HNew Orleans Pelicans117-111 OT
14/12/17ABoston Celtics118-124
13/12/17ADetroit Pistons103-84
10/12/17AIndiana Pacers116-126 OT
09/12/17AOrlando Magic103-89
07/12/17ANew Orleans Pelicans114-123
05/12/17ADallas Mavericks105-122
03/12/17HLos Angeles Lakers115-100
01/12/17HChicago Bulls111-110
29/11/17AUtah Jazz77-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL48%
HomeLWWWL69%
AwayLWWWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291316
Win %48%69%31%
Points / game102.1104.6100.1
Allowed / game100.498.4102.1
Point differential+1.7+6.2-2.0
Avg total202.6203.0202.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%38%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)50% (4)43% (7)
Overtime %7%0%12%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW55%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayLWLWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291316
Win %55%85%31%
Points / game107.9112.6104.0
Allowed / game107.5104.0110.4
Point differential+0.3+8.6-6.4
Avg total215.4216.6214.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%46%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %7%8%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston Rockets2824486%115.1104.2+10.9
2 Golden State Warriors2923679%116.8105.7+11.1
3 Boston Celtics3326779%103.898.5+5.3
4 Cleveland Cavaliers3123874%111.1107.1+4.0
5 Toronto Raptors2820871%110.9102.5+8.5
6 San Antonio Spurs30201067%101.298.4+2.9
7 Minnesota Timberwolves30171357%107.6106.4+1.2
8 Detroit Pistons30171357%103.0102.0+1.0
9 Portland Trail Blazers29161355%102.7100.5+2.1
10 Denver Nuggets29161355%107.9107.5+0.3
11 Indiana Pacers31171455%108.3106.9+1.3
12 Milwaukee Bucks28151354%104.5105.0-0.5
13 Washington Wizards30161453%105.2103.0+2.2
14 New York Knicks30161453%104.3103.9+0.5
15 Philadelphia 76ers28141450%108.9109.3-0.4
16 New Orleans Pelicans30151550%110.8111.7-0.9
17 Miami Heat30151550%100.2102.2-2.0
18 Oklahoma City Thunder29141548%102.1100.4+1.7
19 Utah Jazz30141647%103.0100.2+2.8
20 Los Angeles Clippers28111739%103.8105.9-2.1
21 Brooklyn Nets29111838%107.1110.9-3.8
22 Los Angeles Lakers27101737%106.3109.3-3.0
23 Charlotte Hornets30111937%104.2105.7-1.5
24 Orlando Magic31112035%106.1110.2-4.2
25 Phoenix Suns31102132%106.7114.2-7.5
26 Sacramento Kings2992031%96.1105.6-9.5
27 Memphis Grizzlies3092130%97.0101.2-4.2
28 Chicago Bulls2882029%98.2105.9-7.7
29 Dallas Mavericks3082227%99.7103.1-3.4
30 Atlanta Hawks3072323%103.4108.5-5.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder3220182595
Denver Nuggets1826321894
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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