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Indiana Pacers vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Dec 2017
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 126-116 (OT)
22-35 37-31 31-22 24-26 12-2
Position#8
Record15-11
FormLLWWW
Points / game108.3
Allowed / game107.2
vs
Position#12
Record14-11
FormWWLLW
Points / game107.0
Allowed / game106.9
USANBA· Bankers Life Fieldhouse
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Indiana Pacers v Denver Nuggets
07 Nov 2026
IND102
DEN114
03 Dec 2025
IND120
DEN135
24 Feb 2025
IND116
DEN125
23 Jan 2024
IND109
DEN114
09 Nov 2022
IND119
DEN122
30 Mar 2022
IND118
DEN125
04 Mar 2021
IND103
DEN113
02 Jan 2020
IND116
DEN124
24 Mar 2019
IND124
DEN88
10 Dec 2017
IND126
DEN116
24 Mar 2017
IND117
DEN125
30 Jan 2016
IND109
DEN105
14 Nov 2014
IND87
DEN108
10 Feb 2014
IND119
DEN80
07 Dec 2012
IND89
DEN92
11 Feb 2012
IND109
DEN113
09 Nov 2010
IND144
DEN113
03 Nov 2009
IND93
DEN111
01 Mar 2009
IND100
DEN94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana Pacers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPacers
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#16
W
120-95
120
95
+25
125avg 98
A19/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
105-97
105
97
+8
97avg 98
A21/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
107-104
107
104
+3
95avg 98
H25/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
98-108
98
108
-10
91avg 98
H26/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
121-109
121
109
+12
120avg 98
H28/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
97-118
97
118
-21
83avg 98
A30/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
115-120
115
120
-5
97avg 98
A02/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
115-97
115
97
+18
114avg 98
H05/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#25
W
98-96
98
96
+2
86avg 98
H07/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
106-102
106
102
+4
97avg 98
H09/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-27
29-28
32-13
30-27
34-31
16-24
28-17
27-25
29-25
21-35
31-20
26-24
32-27
22-18
16-37
28-26
33-25
24-25
28-34
36-25
27-22
22-32
22-35
26-29
32-27
26-38
31-29
26-26
31-19
35-21
29-25
20-32
20-30
19-25
30-28
29-13
32-33
25-30
32-23
17-16
212.8Avg total
108.2Scored
104.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)108.3107.2215.5+1.258%
Season at home (13)107.2105.6212.8+1.569%
Season away (13)109.5108.7218.2+0.846%
Last 10 (10)108.2104.6212.8+3.670%
Last 5 (5)106.2106.6212.8-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)106.1113.9220.0-7.812%
vs Similar ◀ (13)107.8108.1215.8-0.346%
vs Weaker (9)111.3102.3213.7+9.089%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
L
109-127
109
127
-18
96avg 106
A20/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
114-98
114
98
+16
106avg 106
A21/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
95-125
95
125
-30
80avg 106
A23/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
104-92
104
92
+12
102avg 106
H25/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
77-106
77
106
-29
63avg 106
A29/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#25
W
111-110
111
110
+1
102avg 106
H01/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
115-100
115
100
+15
106avg 106
H03/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
L
105-122
105
122
-17
95avg 106
A05/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#7
L
114-123
114
123
-9
98avg 106
A07/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
103-89
103
89
+14
96avg 106
A09/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-32
22-38
36-29
25-28
22-22
25-25
34-23
33-28
17-36
23-39
27-26
28-24
27-18
34-27
15-29
28-18
24-26
25-22
17-28
11-30
30-39
32-29
29-24
20-18
34-29
21-30
23-21
37-20
23-39
24-25
35-29
23-29
33-33
33-34
25-30
23-26
14-25
35-23
32-22
22-19
213.9Avg total
104.7Scored
109.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)107.0106.9213.9+0.056%
Season at home (12)112.2103.4215.7+8.883%
Season away (13)102.1110.2212.2-8.131%
Last 10 (10)104.7109.2213.9-4.550%
Last 5 (5)109.6108.8218.4+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)109.0118.2227.2-9.225%
vs Similar ◀ (15)105.3106.0211.3-0.747%
vs Weaker (11)109.9102.5212.5+7.482%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +1.0+1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +1.0+1.0
Indiana PacersDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#16
W
58-55
58
55
+3
A19/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A21/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
50-60
50
60
-10
H25/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H26/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H28/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A30/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
58-65
58
65
-7
A02/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
66-40
66
40
+26
H05/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#25
L
39-55
39
55
-16
H07/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H09/12
NBA
108.0Avg total
53.8Scored
54.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.355.1111.4+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.553.7110.1+2.853%-
Last 30 away (15)56.156.6112.7-0.540%-
Last 10 (10)53.854.2108.0-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)53.855.4109.2-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)56.459.8116.1-3.412%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)56.357.4113.7-1.146%-
vs Weaker (9)56.247.8104.0+8.478%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
L
48-70
48
70
-22
A20/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A21/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
40-75
40
75
-35
A23/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
61-45
61
45
+16
H25/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A29/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#25
L
62-68
62
68
-6
H01/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
L
55-59
55
59
-4
H03/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
L
47-64
47
64
-17
A05/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#7
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A07/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A09/12
NBA
111.5Avg total
52.4Scored
59.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.355.4108.6-2.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.252.1108.4+4.157%-
Last 30 away (16)50.758.2108.9-7.531%-
Last 10 (10)52.459.1111.5-6.730%-
Last 5 (5)55.861.2117.0-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)51.260.0111.2-8.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)53.556.1109.6-2.740%-
vs Weaker (11)53.752.6106.4+1.155%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Indiana Pacerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indiana Pacers: 108.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.231.1
52.5%
51.0%62.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.110.5
38.7%
36.1%31.5
🏀 Free throws18.214.5
79.7%
76.5%14.5
They take 86.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 104.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.826.6
49.4%
51.0%53.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.611.4
36.1%
36.1%34.2
🏀 Free throws24.017.3
72.1%
76.5%17.3
They take 85.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Dec 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Indiana Pacers
WWWLLWLWWW
Denver Nuggets
WLLWWLWLWL
#8
League position
#12
+3.6
Net rating
-4.6
109.4
Offensive rating
106.9
105.7
Defensive rating
111.5
54.3%
Effective FG%
51.2%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
13.5%
Turnover %
14.4%
22.2%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.28
38.7%
3-point %
36.1%
55.5%
Assist %
54.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.4 · 106.9Defence105.7 · 111.5Shooting54.3% · 51.2%3-point %38.7% · 36.1%Ball care13.5% · 14.4%Off. rebounds22.2% · 27.4%Free throws0.21 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Indiana Pacers   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Indiana Pacers wins
8
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/17HCleveland Cavaliers106-102
07/12/17HChicago Bulls98-96
05/12/17HNew York Knicks115-97
02/12/17AToronto Raptors115-120
30/11/17AHouston Rockets97-118
28/11/17HOrlando Magic121-109
26/11/17HBoston Celtics98-108
25/11/17HToronto Raptors107-104
21/11/17AOrlando Magic105-97
19/11/17AMiami Heat120-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/17AOrlando Magic103-89
07/12/17ANew Orleans Pelicans114-123
05/12/17ADallas Mavericks105-122
03/12/17HLos Angeles Lakers115-100
01/12/17HChicago Bulls111-110
29/11/17AUtah Jazz77-106
25/11/17HMemphis Grizzlies104-92
23/11/17AHouston Rockets95-125
21/11/17ASacramento Kings114-98
20/11/17ALos Angeles Lakers109-127

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana Pacers
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW58%
HomeLWWWW69%
AwayWWWLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %58%69%46%
Points / game108.3107.2109.5
Allowed / game107.2105.6108.7
Point differential+1.2+1.5+0.8
Avg total215.5212.8218.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%23%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)80% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW56%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLLLLW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %56%83%31%
Points / game107.0112.2102.1
Allowed / game106.9103.4110.2
Point differential+0.0+8.8-8.1
Avg total213.9215.7212.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston Rockets2420483%114.4103.2+11.2
2 Boston Celtics2823582%103.996.9+7.0
3 Golden State Warriors2721678%117.2106.1+11.1
4 Toronto Raptors2417771%111.3103.5+7.8
5 San Antonio Spurs2719870%101.597.6+3.9
6 Cleveland Cavaliers2719870%110.5107.2+3.3
7 Milwaukee Bucks25151060%103.9103.8+0.1
8 Indiana Pacers26151158%108.3107.2+1.2
9 Minnesota Timberwolves26151158%107.5106.8+0.7
10 Denver Nuggets25141156%107.0106.9+0.0
11 Washington Wizards26141254%106.4104.0+2.4
12 Detroit Pistons26141254%103.2102.2+0.9
13 Portland Trail Blazers25131252%103.3101.2+2.1
14 Philadelphia 76ers25131252%107.6107.9-0.3
15 New Orleans Pelicans26131350%109.4110.5-1.0
16 Utah Jazz27131448%103.199.9+3.1
17 Oklahoma City Thunder25121348%101.899.0+2.8
18 New York Knicks25121348%103.7103.6+0.1
19 Miami Heat25121348%100.2103.6-3.4
20 Brooklyn Nets25101540%108.6111.1-2.6
21 Los Angeles Lakers25101540%106.0108.7-2.7
22 Orlando Magic28111739%107.0110.8-3.8
23 Los Angeles Clippers2491538%105.3107.9-2.6
24 Charlotte Hornets2591636%104.6106.8-2.2
25 Phoenix Suns2891932%107.1115.0-7.9
26 Memphis Grizzlies2681831%98.2101.6-3.4
27 Sacramento Kings2681831%96.1105.5-9.4
28 Dallas Mavericks2671927%100.4103.7-3.3
29 Atlanta Hawks2561924%103.4108.7-5.3
30 Chicago Bulls2552020%96.9106.8-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Indiana Pacers2237312412126
Denver Nuggets353122262116
← all games of the day
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