PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Dec 2017
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 104-112
24-17 28-33 32-30 20-32
Position#12
Record19-16
FormLWLWL
Points / game107.2
Allowed / game107.0
vs
Position#13
Record20-14
FormWLWLW
Points / game107.8
Allowed / game106.9
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Minnesota Timberwolves
07 Mar 2027
DEN v MIN
upcoming
28 Dec 2026
DEN v MIN
upcoming
27 Apr 2026
DEN125
MIN113
20 Apr 2026
DEN114
MIN119
18 Apr 2026
DEN116
MIN105
01 Mar 2026
DEN108
MIN117
25 Dec 2025
DEN142
MIN138
04 Oct 2025
DEN116
MIN126
12 Jul 2025
DEN83
MIN94
01 Apr 2025
DEN139
MIN140
12 Mar 2025
DEN95
MIN115
19 May 2024
DEN90
MIN98
14 May 2024
DEN112
MIN97
06 May 2024
DEN80
MIN106
04 May 2024
DEN99
MIN106
10 Apr 2024
DEN116
MIN107
29 Mar 2024
DEN98
MIN111
25 Apr 2023
DEN112
MIN109
19 Apr 2023
DEN122
MIN113
16 Apr 2023
DEN109
MIN80
07 Feb 2023
DEN146
MIN112
18 Jan 2023
DEN122
MIN118
01 Apr 2022
DEN130
MIN136
15 Dec 2021
DEN107
MIN124
08 Oct 2021
DEN112
MIN114
05 Jan 2021
DEN123
MIN116
23 Feb 2020
DEN128
MIN116
20 Dec 2019
DEN109
MIN100
10 Apr 2019
DEN99
MIN95
12 Mar 2019
DEN133
MIN107
13 Jul 2018
DEN71
MIN83
05 Apr 2018
DEN100
MIN96
20 Dec 2017
DEN104
MIN112
09 Jul 2017
DEN71
MIN90
15 Feb 2017
DEN99
MIN112
28 Dec 2016
DEN105
MIN103
08 Jul 2016
DEN88
MIN82
11 Dec 2015
DEN111
MIN108
30 Oct 2015
DEN78
MIN95
17 Jan 2015
DEN105
MIN113
26 Dec 2014
DEN106
MIN102
03 Mar 2014
DEN128
MIN132
15 Nov 2013
DEN117
MIN113
09 Mar 2013
DEN111
MIN88
03 Jan 2013
DEN97
MIN101
11 Apr 2012
DEN113
MIN107
20 Feb 2012
DEN103
MIN101
09 Apr 2011
DEN130
MIN106
18 Dec 2010
DEN115
MIN113
11 Jan 2010
DEN105
MIN94
29 Nov 2009
DEN100
MIN106
20 Oct 2009
DEN129
MIN100
10 Dec 2008
DEN116
MIN105
16 Nov 2008
DEN90
MIN84
10 Oct 2008
DEN118
MIN95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
111-110
111
110
+1
H01/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
115-100
115
100
+15
H03/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#25
L
105-122
105
122
-17
A05/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#11
L
114-123
114
123
-9
A07/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
103-89
103
89
+14
A09/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
L
116-126 OT
116
126
-10
A10/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
103-84
103
84
+19
A13/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
118-124
118
124
-6
A14/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#11
W
117-111 OT
117
111
+6
H16/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
94-95
94
95
-1
A19/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-39
32-29
29-24
20-18
34-29
21-30
23-21
37-20
23-39
24-25
35-29
23-29
33-33
33-34
25-30
23-26
14-25
35-23
32-22
22-19
35-22
31-37
22-31
26-24
26-18
23-22
31-20
23-24
31-30
28-38
33-29
26-27
20-33
26-25
30-28
28-18
18-32
26-20
32-18
18-25
218.0Avg total
109.6Scored
108.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)107.2107.0214.1+0.254%
Season at home (14)110.7103.4214.1+7.379%
Season away (21)104.8109.3214.1-4.538%
Last 10 (10)109.6108.4218.0+1.250%
Last 5 (5)109.6108.0217.6+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)110.7121.0231.7-10.333%
vs Similar ◀ (17)105.1108.5213.5-3.435%
vs Weaker (10)110.4100.6211.0+9.890%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#11
W
120-102
120
102
+18
A30/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
107-111
107
111
-4
A02/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
112-106
112
106
+6
H04/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
L
92-95
92
95
-3
A05/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
113-107
113
107
+6
A07/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#25
W
97-92
97
92
+5
H11/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
112-118 OT
112
118
-6
H13/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
119-96
119
96
+23
H15/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
L
106-108
106
108
-2
H17/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
W
108-107
108
107
+1
H19/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-29
34-20
31-27
27-26
33-42
21-22
25-21
28-26
31-27
29-28
18-21
34-30
26-29
27-27
22-20
17-19
29-22
33-27
26-31
25-27
23-24
24-24
24-21
26-23
27-20
24-28
25-26
24-26
32-22
32-33
31-16
24-25
25-22
25-20
31-35
25-31
24-24
27-30
25-31
32-22
212.8Avg total
108.6Scored
104.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)107.8106.9214.7+0.959%
Season at home (18)107.7106.6214.2+1.161%
Season away (16)108.0107.3215.3+0.756%
Last 10 (10)108.6104.2212.8+4.460%
Last 5 (5)108.4104.2212.6+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)101.0125.0226.0-24.00%
vs Similar ◀ (23)107.3105.4212.7+1.965%
vs Weaker (6)111.7107.2218.8+4.550%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +0.7+0.7
Denver NuggetsMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#23
L
62-68
62
68
-6
H01/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
L
55-59
55
59
-4
H03/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#25
L
47-64
47
64
-17
A05/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#11
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A07/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A09/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
W
66-59
66
59
+7
A10/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A13/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
59-68
59
68
-9
A14/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#11
L
46-58
46
58
-12
H16/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A19/12
NBA
112.6Avg total
54.3Scored
58.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.255.6108.8-2.540%-
Last 30 at home (13)56.152.8108.8+3.346%-
Last 30 away (17)50.957.8108.8-6.935%-
Last 10 (10)54.358.3112.6-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)52.855.4108.2-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)51.760.3112.0-8.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)52.757.2109.9-4.529%-
vs Weaker (10)54.451.5105.9+2.960%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#11
W
62-49
62
49
+13
A30/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
54-64
54
64
-10
A02/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
60-55
60
55
+5
H04/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
L
53-56
53
56
-3
A05/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
62-49
62
49
+13
A07/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#25
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H11/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H13/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
64-55
64
55
+9
H15/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H17/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H19/12
NBA
107.4Avg total
55.4Scored
52.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.952.9108.8+3.060%-
Last 30 at home (17)56.151.6107.6+4.571%-
Last 30 away (13)55.654.6110.2+1.046%-
Last 10 (10)55.452.0107.4+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)52.649.4102.0+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)50.051.0101.0-1.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)55.352.5107.7+2.857%-
vs Weaker (6)59.254.8114.0+4.383%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 109.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.428.6
50.7%
51.0%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.712.4
37.9%
36.1%37.2
🏀 Free throws20.215.2
75.2%
76.5%15.2
They take 89.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 108.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.8 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.033.4
53.0%
51.0%66.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.47.8
34.8%
36.1%23.4
🏀 Free throws22.618.4
81.4%
76.5%18.4
They take 85.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 26% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWLWLWLLWW
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLWLWWLWLW
#12
League position
#13
+1.2
Net rating
+4.6
110.6
Offensive rating
112.7
109.4
Defensive rating
108.2
53.0%
Effective FG%
52.8%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
13.2%
Turnover %
12.1%
26.0%
Off. rebound %
24.4%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.26
37.9%
3-point %
34.8%
58.5%
Assist %
56.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.6 · 112.7Defence109.4 · 108.2Shooting53.0% · 52.8%3-point %37.9% · 34.8%Ball care13.2% · 12.1%Off. rebounds26.0% · 24.4%Free throws0.23 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/17AOklahoma City Thunder94-95
16/12/17HNew Orleans Pelicans117-111 OT
14/12/17ABoston Celtics118-124
13/12/17ADetroit Pistons103-84
10/12/17AIndiana Pacers116-126 OT
09/12/17AOrlando Magic103-89
07/12/17ANew Orleans Pelicans114-123
05/12/17ADallas Mavericks105-122
03/12/17HLos Angeles Lakers115-100
01/12/17HChicago Bulls111-110
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/17HPortland Trail Blazers108-107
17/12/17HPhoenix Suns106-108
15/12/17HSacramento Kings119-96
13/12/17HPhiladelphia 76ers112-118 OT
11/12/17HDallas Mavericks97-92
07/12/17ALos Angeles Clippers113-107
05/12/17AMemphis Grizzlies92-95
04/12/17HLos Angeles Clippers112-106
02/12/17AOklahoma City Thunder107-111
30/11/17ANew Orleans Pelicans120-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL54%
HomeWWWWW79%
AwayWLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351421
Win %54%79%38%
Points / game107.2110.7104.8
Allowed / game107.0103.4109.3
Point differential+0.2+7.3-4.5
Avg total214.1214.1214.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%43%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %6%7%5%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW59%
HomeWLWLW61%
AwayLWLLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341816
Win %59%61%56%
Points / game107.8107.7108.0
Allowed / game106.9106.6107.3
Point differential+0.9+1.1+0.7
Avg total214.7214.2215.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%28%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)57% (7)50% (4)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston Rockets3428682%114.1103.7+10.4
2 Boston Celtics3830879%103.797.9+5.8
3 Golden State Warriors3426876%116.5106.3+10.2
4 Toronto Raptors34241071%111.2102.8+8.4
5 San Antonio Spurs36241267%102.498.4+4.0
6 Cleveland Cavaliers37241365%109.6107.3+2.4
7 Minnesota Timberwolves34201459%107.8106.9+0.9
8 Portland Trail Blazers35201557%104.2100.9+3.3
9 Washington Wizards35201557%105.8103.2+2.6
10 Indiana Pacers35201557%107.7105.9+1.8
11 Denver Nuggets35191654%107.2107.0+0.2
12 Oklahoma City Thunder34181653%101.799.0+2.7
13 Detroit Pistons36191753%102.8102.4+0.4
14 Milwaukee Bucks33171652%104.3105.5-1.2
15 Miami Heat37191851%99.8102.3-2.6
16 Utah Jazz35171849%103.0101.0+2.0
17 Philadelphia 76ers35161946%108.5109.1-0.6
18 New York Knicks35161946%103.4105.1-1.7
19 New Orleans Pelicans35161946%109.7112.0-2.3
20 Brooklyn Nets34142041%107.6109.7-2.2
21 Los Angeles Clippers34132138%103.6106.2-2.6
22 Los Angeles Lakers35132237%105.8108.7-2.9
23 Orlando Magic38142437%104.6108.2-3.5
24 Charlotte Hornets36132336%104.0105.9-1.9
25 Chicago Bulls36132336%99.5106.3-6.8
26 Memphis Grizzlies35122334%98.1100.3-2.3
27 Dallas Mavericks38132534%100.2101.9-1.7
28 Phoenix Suns36122433%106.2113.6-7.3
29 Sacramento Kings37122532%95.5104.4-8.8
30 Atlanta Hawks3692725%102.1107.1-5.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets24283220104
Minnesota Timberwolves17333032112
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.