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Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Dec 2017
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 124-118
30-31 38-28 29-33 27-26
Position#4
Record27-6
FormWWLWL
Points / game103.6
Allowed / game97.0
vs
Position#12
Record18-14
FormLLWLW
Points / game106.9
Allowed / game106.7
USANBA· TD Garden
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Denver Nuggets
09 Feb 2027
BOS v DEN
upcoming
07 Jan 2026
BOS110
DEN114
02 Mar 2025
BOS110
DEN103
06 Oct 2024
BOS130
DEN104
19 Jan 2024
BOS100
DEN102
11 Nov 2022
BOS131
DEN112
11 Feb 2022
BOS108
DEN102
16 Feb 2021
BOS112
DEN99
06 Dec 2019
BOS108
DEN95
18 Mar 2019
BOS105
DEN114
13 Dec 2017
BOS124
DEN118
06 Nov 2016
BOS107
DEN123
27 Jan 2016
BOS111
DEN103
04 Feb 2015
BOS104
DEN100
06 Dec 2013
BOS106
DEN98
10 Feb 2013
BOS118
DEN114
08 Dec 2010
BOS105
DEN89
24 Mar 2010
BOS113
DEN99
14 Nov 2008
BOS85
DEN94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#26
W
118-103
118
103
+15
H25/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
W
108-98
108
98
+10
A26/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
108-118
108
118
-10
H28/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
108-97
108
97
+11
H01/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
116-111
116
111
+5
H02/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#17
W
111-100
111
100
+11
H05/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#25
W
97-90
97
90
+7
H07/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
L
102-105
102
105
-3
A09/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
91-81
91
81
+10
A10/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
L
85-108
85
108
-23
A12/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
40-26
33-21
26-22
19-34
27-32
18-22
37-16
26-28
23-31
34-29
29-26
22-32
28-22
26-22
22-27
32-26
31-22
29-32
29-25
27-32
34-26
28-23
26-32
23-19
24-26
23-31
23-16
27-17
31-26
24-30
27-21
20-28
29-21
15-16
29-22
18-22
29-28
13-28
21-22
22-30
205.5Avg total
104.4Scored
101.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)103.697.0200.6+6.682%
Season at home (16)105.096.2201.2+8.888%
Season away (17)102.397.8200.1+4.576%
Last 10 (10)104.4101.1205.5+3.370%
Last 5 (5)97.296.8194.0+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)100.796.7197.4+4.072%
vs Weaker (12)107.498.4205.8+9.092%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#1
L
95-125
95
125
-30
A23/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
104-92
104
92
+12
H25/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#6
L
77-106
77
106
-29
A29/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
111-110
111
110
+1
H01/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
115-100
115
100
+15
H03/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#25
L
105-122
105
122
-17
A05/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#11
L
114-123
114
123
-9
A07/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
103-89
103
89
+14
A09/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
L
116-126 OT
116
126
-10
A10/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
103-84
103
84
+19
A13/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-36
23-39
27-26
28-24
27-18
34-27
15-29
28-18
24-26
25-22
17-28
11-30
30-39
32-29
29-24
20-18
34-29
21-30
23-21
37-20
23-39
24-25
35-29
23-29
33-33
33-34
25-30
23-26
14-25
35-23
32-22
22-19
35-22
31-37
22-31
26-24
26-18
23-22
31-20
23-24
212.0Avg total
104.3Scored
107.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)106.9106.7213.6+0.256%
Season at home (13)110.2102.8213.1+7.477%
Season away (19)104.7109.3214.0-4.642%
Last 10 (10)104.3107.7212.0-3.450%
Last 5 (5)108.2108.8217.0-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)110.7121.0231.7-10.333%
vs Similar ◀ (17)103.8108.0211.8-4.235%
vs Weaker (10)110.4100.6211.0+9.890%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +0.9+0.9
Boston CelticsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#26
W
73-47
73
47
+26
H25/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A26/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H28/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H01/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
60-54
60
54
+6
H02/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#17
W
62-49
62
49
+13
H05/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#25
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H07/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A09/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A10/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A12/12
NBA
105.3Avg total
53.9Scored
51.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.249.699.8+0.743%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.350.1104.4+4.257%-
Last 30 away (16)46.749.195.8-2.431%-
Last 10 (10)53.951.4105.3+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)50.051.0101.0-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)47.850.097.8-2.233%-
vs Weaker (12)53.948.9102.8+5.058%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#1
L
40-75
40
75
-35
A23/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
61-45
61
45
+16
H25/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#6
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A29/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
L
62-68
62
68
-6
H01/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
L
55-59
55
59
-4
H03/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#25
L
47-64
47
64
-17
A05/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#11
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A07/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A09/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
W
66-59
66
59
+7
A10/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A13/12
NBA
111.7Avg total
54.4Scored
57.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.855.3109.0-1.543%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.552.1107.6+3.546%-
Last 30 away (17)52.457.7110.1-5.341%-
Last 10 (10)54.457.3111.7-2.950%-
Last 5 (5)55.455.6111.0-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)51.760.3112.0-8.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)53.856.6110.4-2.835%-
vs Weaker (10)54.451.5105.9+2.960%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 104.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.326.9
54.6%
51.0%53.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.412.3
38.0%
36.1%36.9
🏀 Free throws18.313.7
74.9%
76.5%13.7
They take 81.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 104.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.327.2
51.0%
51.0%54.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.511.3
34.8%
36.1%33.9
🏀 Free throws21.516.0
74.4%
76.5%16.0
They take 85.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Dec 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
LWLWWWWLWW
Denver Nuggets
WLWLLWWLWL
#4
League position
#12
+3.5
Net rating
-3.5
110.3
Offensive rating
106.6
106.9
Defensive rating
110.1
55.5%
Effective FG%
51.5%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
13.8%
Turnover %
14.9%
20.1%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.25
38.0%
3-point %
34.8%
59.9%
Assist %
57.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.3 · 106.6Defence106.9 · 110.1Shooting55.5% · 51.5%3-point %38.0% · 34.8%Ball care13.8% · 14.9%Off. rebounds20.1% · 26.6%Free throws0.22 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Boston Celtics wins
4
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/17AChicago Bulls85-108
10/12/17ADetroit Pistons91-81
09/12/17ASan Antonio Spurs102-105
07/12/17HDallas Mavericks97-90
05/12/17HMilwaukee Bucks111-100
02/12/17HPhoenix Suns116-111
01/12/17HPhiladelphia 76ers108-97
28/11/17HDetroit Pistons108-118
26/11/17AIndiana Pacers108-98
25/11/17HOrlando Magic118-103
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/17ADetroit Pistons103-84
10/12/17AIndiana Pacers116-126 OT
09/12/17AOrlando Magic103-89
07/12/17ANew Orleans Pelicans114-123
05/12/17ADallas Mavericks105-122
03/12/17HLos Angeles Lakers115-100
01/12/17HChicago Bulls111-110
29/11/17AUtah Jazz77-106
25/11/17HMemphis Grizzlies104-92
23/11/17AHouston Rockets95-125

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL82%
HomeLWWWW88%
AwayLWLWL76%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %82%88%76%
Points / game103.6105.0102.3
Allowed / game97.096.297.8
Point differential+6.6+8.8+4.5
Avg total200.6201.2200.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%56%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW56%
HomeWWWWW77%
AwayLLWLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321319
Win %56%77%42%
Points / game106.9110.2104.7
Allowed / game106.7102.8109.3
Point differential+0.2+7.4-4.6
Avg total213.6213.1214.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%46%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %3%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston Rockets2924583%113.6103.0+10.6
2 Boston Celtics3327682%103.697.0+6.6
3 Golden State Warriors3224875%116.6106.3+10.3
4 Toronto Raptors30201067%110.3103.2+7.2
5 San Antonio Spurs33221167%102.197.9+4.2
6 Cleveland Cavaliers33211264%109.2107.2+2.0
7 Indiana Pacers31181358%107.9106.4+1.5
8 Minnesota Timberwolves31181358%107.5107.2+0.3
9 Washington Wizards32181456%105.9103.4+2.5
10 Denver Nuggets32181456%106.9106.7+0.2
11 Milwaukee Bucks29161355%103.3104.2-0.9
12 Portland Trail Blazers31171455%104.8101.6+3.2
13 Utah Jazz30161453%104.0100.0+4.0
14 Oklahoma City Thunder30151550%101.498.9+2.5
15 Detroit Pistons32161650%102.7102.4+0.3
16 Philadelphia 76ers32161650%108.5108.8-0.4
17 Miami Heat32161650%100.2103.2-2.9
18 New Orleans Pelicans32151747%109.6111.8-2.2
19 Brooklyn Nets30141647%109.0109.6-0.6
20 New York Knicks32141844%103.3105.3-2.0
21 Los Angeles Clippers31131842%105.0106.8-1.9
22 Orlando Magic35142140%105.3108.3-3.0
23 Charlotte Hornets31121939%104.5106.0-1.5
24 Los Angeles Lakers32122038%104.8107.9-3.1
25 Dallas Mavericks34122235%100.4102.1-1.7
26 Memphis Grizzlies33112233%98.3100.5-2.2
27 Phoenix Suns33102330%106.4114.4-8.0
28 Sacramento Kings33102330%95.2104.2-9.1
29 Chicago Bulls3292328%98.0106.6-8.6
30 Atlanta Hawks3282425%102.7107.7-5.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics30382927124
Denver Nuggets31283326118
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