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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Dec 2017
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 128-125 (OT)
35-23 36-35 17-24 26-32 14-11
Position#13
Record23-14
FormLWWWW
Points / game108.5
Allowed / game106.7
vs
Position#12
Record22-17
FormLLWWW
Points / game106.7
Allowed / game105.3
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Denver Nuggets
27 Jan 2027
MIN v DEN
upcoming
31 Dec 2026
MIN v DEN
upcoming
30 Apr 2026
MIN110
DEN98
25 Apr 2026
MIN112
DEN96
23 Apr 2026
MIN113
DEN96
15 Nov 2025
MIN112
DEN123
27 Oct 2025
MIN114
DEN127
25 Jan 2025
MIN133
DEN104
01 Nov 2024
MIN119
DEN116
17 Oct 2024
MIN126
DEN132
16 May 2024
MIN115
DEN70
12 May 2024
MIN107
DEN115
10 May 2024
MIN90
DEN117
19 Mar 2024
MIN112
DEN115
01 Nov 2023
MIN110
DEN89
23 Apr 2023
MIN114
DEN108
21 Apr 2023
MIN111
DEN120
05 Feb 2023
MIN128
DEN98
02 Jan 2023
MIN124
DEN111
08 Jul 2022
MIN85
DEN78
01 Feb 2022
MIN130
DEN115
30 Oct 2021
MIN91
DEN93
13 May 2021
MIN103
DEN114
03 Jan 2021
MIN109
DEN124
20 Jan 2020
MIN100
DEN107
10 Nov 2019
MIN98
DEN100
02 Feb 2019
MIN106
DEN107
21 Nov 2018
MIN101
DEN103
06 Jul 2018
MIN69
DEN70
11 Apr 2018
MIN112
DEN106
27 Dec 2017
MIN128
DEN125
22 Jan 2017
MIN111
DEN108
03 Nov 2016
MIN99
DEN102
12 Oct 2016
MIN105
DEN88
06 Jan 2016
MIN74
DEN78
15 Dec 2015
MIN100
DEN112
04 Mar 2015
MIN85
DEN100
05 Jan 2015
MIN101
DEN110
12 Feb 2014
MIN117
DEN90
27 Nov 2013
MIN110
DEN117
12 Dec 2012
MIN108
DEN105
21 Nov 2012
MIN94
DEN101
26 Apr 2012
MIN102
DEN131
25 Mar 2012
MIN117
DEN100
05 Feb 2011
MIN100
DEN113
29 Dec 2010
MIN113
DEN119
12 Oct 2010
MIN122
DEN108
10 Mar 2010
MIN102
DEN110
25 Nov 2009
MIN111
DEN124
05 Apr 2009
MIN87
DEN110
29 Nov 2008
MIN97
DEN106
19 Oct 2008
MIN111
DEN107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
L
92-95
92
95
-3
A05/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
113-107
113
107
+6
A07/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#25
W
97-92
97
92
+5
H11/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
112-118 OT
112
118
-6
H13/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
119-96
119
96
+23
H15/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
L
106-108
106
108
-2
H17/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
W
108-107
108
107
+1
H19/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
W
112-104
112
104
+8
A21/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
115-106
115
106
+9
A24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
121-104
121
104
+17
A26/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-29
27-27
22-20
17-19
29-22
33-27
26-31
25-27
23-24
24-24
24-21
26-23
27-20
24-28
25-26
24-26
32-22
32-33
31-16
24-25
25-22
25-20
31-35
25-31
24-24
27-30
25-31
32-22
17-24
33-28
30-32
32-20
33-24
31-19
22-37
29-26
29-20
24-32
30-28
38-24
213.2Avg total
109.5Scored
103.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)108.5106.7215.2+1.862%
Season at home (18)107.7106.6214.2+1.161%
Season away (19)109.3106.9216.2+2.463%
Last 10 (10)109.5103.7213.2+5.870%
Last 5 (5)112.4105.8218.2+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)101.0125.0226.0-24.00%
vs Similar ◀ (22)108.1104.2212.3+3.968%
vs Weaker (7)112.1107.0219.1+5.157%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#26
W
103-89
103
89
+14
A09/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
L
116-126 OT
116
126
-10
A10/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
103-84
103
84
+19
A13/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
118-124
118
124
-6
A14/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#11
W
117-111 OT
117
111
+6
H16/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
94-95
94
95
-1
A19/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#13
L
104-112
104
112
-8
H21/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
W
102-85
102
85
+17
A23/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
96-81
96
81
+15
A24/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#6
W
107-83
107
83
+24
H27/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-25
35-23
32-22
22-19
35-22
31-37
22-31
26-24
26-18
23-22
31-20
23-24
31-30
28-38
33-29
26-27
20-33
26-25
30-28
28-18
18-32
26-20
32-18
18-25
24-17
28-33
32-30
20-32
28-22
24-19
28-25
22-19
22-20
31-21
20-21
23-19
28-20
22-14
26-25
31-24
205.0Avg total
106.0Scored
99.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)106.7105.3211.9+1.456%
Season at home (16)110.1102.7212.8+7.475%
Season away (23)104.3107.0211.3-2.743%
Last 10 (10)106.099.0205.0+7.060%
Last 5 (5)100.691.2191.8+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)107.0111.0218.0-4.050%
vs Similar ◀ (17)106.2105.8212.1+0.447%
vs Weaker (9)112.0103.0215.0+9.089%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +0.8+0.8
Minnesota TimberwolvesDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
L
53-56
53
56
-3
A05/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
62-49
62
49
+13
A07/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#25
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H11/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H13/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
64-55
64
55
+9
H15/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H17/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H19/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A21/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
64-43
64
43
+21
A24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
53-52
53
52
+1
A26/12
NBA
104.4Avg total
54.5Scored
49.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.852.6108.4+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.451.6108.0+4.873%-
Last 30 away (15)55.353.5108.8+1.747%-
Last 10 (10)54.549.9104.4+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)53.648.6102.2+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)50.051.0101.0-1.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)54.852.5107.3+2.455%-
vs Weaker (7)59.953.1113.0+6.786%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#26
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A09/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
W
66-59
66
59
+7
A10/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A13/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
59-68
59
68
-9
A14/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#11
L
46-58
46
58
-12
H16/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A19/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#13
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H21/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A23/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A24/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#6
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H27/12
NBA
101.1Avg total
52.0Scored
49.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.654.5108.1-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (13)56.552.3108.8+4.254%-
Last 30 away (17)51.456.1107.5-4.741%-
Last 10 (10)52.049.1101.1+2.970%-
Last 5 (5)50.243.693.8+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)52.055.5107.5-3.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)52.854.8107.6-1.941%-
vs Weaker (9)55.853.4109.2+2.356%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 109.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀64%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers69.6 pts a game · 64% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.134.8
54.3%
51.0%69.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.4
33.2%
36.1%22.2
🏀 Free throws21.717.7
81.6%
76.5%17.7
They take 86.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 26% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 106.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.130.0
54.4%
51.0%60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.510.8
35.4%
36.1%32.4
🏀 Free throws17.413.6
78.2%
76.5%13.6
They take 85.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWWWLWLWWL
Denver Nuggets
WWWLLWLWLW
#13
League position
#12
+6.0
Net rating
+7.2
112.5
Offensive rating
109.4
106.6
Defensive rating
102.2
53.1%
Effective FG%
54.0%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
11.7%
Turnover %
15.7%
23.6%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.20
33.2%
3-point %
35.4%
54.3%
Assist %
58.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.5 · 109.4Defence106.6 · 102.2Shooting53.1% · 54.0%3-point %33.2% · 35.4%Ball care11.7% · 15.7%Off. rebounds23.6% · 27.9%Free throws0.25 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/17ALos Angeles Lakers121-104
24/12/17APhoenix Suns115-106
21/12/17ADenver Nuggets112-104
19/12/17HPortland Trail Blazers108-107
17/12/17HPhoenix Suns106-108
15/12/17HSacramento Kings119-96
13/12/17HPhiladelphia 76ers112-118 OT
11/12/17HDallas Mavericks97-92
07/12/17ALos Angeles Clippers113-107
05/12/17AMemphis Grizzlies92-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/17HUtah Jazz107-83
24/12/17AGolden State Warriors96-81
23/12/17APortland Trail Blazers102-85
21/12/17HMinnesota Timberwolves104-112
19/12/17AOklahoma City Thunder94-95
16/12/17HNew Orleans Pelicans117-111 OT
14/12/17ABoston Celtics118-124
13/12/17ADetroit Pistons103-84
10/12/17AIndiana Pacers116-126 OT
09/12/17AOrlando Magic103-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW62%
HomeWLWLW61%
AwayLWWWW63%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371819
Win %62%61%63%
Points / game108.5107.7109.3
Allowed / game106.7106.6106.9
Point differential+1.8+1.1+2.4
Avg total215.2214.2216.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%28%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)57% (7)50% (4)
Overtime %5%6%5%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW56%
HomeWWWLW75%
AwayWLLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games391623
Win %56%75%43%
Points / game106.7110.1104.3
Allowed / game105.3102.7107.0
Point differential+1.4+7.4-2.7
Avg total211.9212.8211.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%44%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %5%6%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston Rockets3628878%114.0104.6+9.4
2 Golden State Warriors3829976%114.5105.1+9.4
3 Boston Celtics42321076%103.798.0+5.7
4 Toronto Raptors37261170%110.6102.4+8.2
5 San Antonio Spurs40271368%102.198.2+3.9
6 Cleveland Cavaliers39251464%109.3107.2+2.1
7 Minnesota Timberwolves37231462%108.5106.7+1.8
8 Oklahoma City Thunder37211657%102.599.5+3.1
9 Washington Wizards39221756%105.8103.8+2.0
10 Denver Nuggets39221756%106.7105.3+1.4
11 Portland Trail Blazers38211755%103.1100.5+2.6
12 Detroit Pistons38211755%102.9101.8+1.1
13 Indiana Pacers38211755%107.1106.0+1.0
14 Miami Heat40211952%100.1102.1-2.0
15 Milwaukee Bucks36181850%104.5105.9-1.4
16 New Orleans Pelicans37181949%109.7111.1-1.4
17 Utah Jazz38182047%102.0100.9+1.2
18 Philadelphia 76ers38172145%107.8108.8-0.9
19 New York Knicks38172145%103.1104.8-1.6
20 Los Angeles Clippers38162242%105.0106.2-1.1
21 Brooklyn Nets37152241%107.9109.4-1.5
22 Charlotte Hornets39142536%103.8105.9-2.0
23 Chicago Bulls39142536%100.1106.8-6.8
24 Dallas Mavericks42152736%100.3102.0-1.7
25 Phoenix Suns40142635%105.5112.6-7.0
26 Los Angeles Lakers38132534%105.4108.8-3.4
27 Orlando Magic41142734%104.0108.7-4.7
28 Memphis Grizzlies39132633%98.0100.4-2.4
29 Sacramento Kings39122731%95.6104.9-9.3
30 Atlanta Hawks39112828%103.0107.2-4.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Minnesota Timberwolves3536172614128
Denver Nuggets2335243211125
← all games of the day
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