Valencia vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Mar 2012

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 87-80

23-16 19-30 28-17 17-17

Position#4

Record14-11

FormLWWWL

Points / game74.1

Allowed / game71.4

Valencia 🏆

Murcia

Position#13

Record8-17

FormWLWLW

Points / game69.5

Allowed / game73.8

ACBRound 26

Domestic2011-12

Meetings · Valencia v Murcia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Murcia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Nymburk

73-72

H07/02

Eurocup

Gipuzkoa

69-60

H12/02

ACB

Gravelines-Dunkerque

#21

79-61

+18

H21/02

Eurocup

Unicaja

68-58

+10

A26/02

ACB

VEF Riga

#17

82-71

+11

A28/02

Eurocup

Baskonia

63-68

-5

H03/03

ACB

Alicante

70-65

A06/03

ACB

Real Madrid

83-66

+17

H11/03

ACB

Manresa

#12

89-68

+21

A17/03

ACB

Buducnost

#15

71-75

-4

A20/03

Eurocup

19-11

21-17

20-23

13-21

20-21

8-9

20-18

21-12

19-19

22-17

13-9

25-16

6-15

19-16

23-13

20-14

13-20

19-15

23-17

27-19

15-22

15-15

18-15

15-16

18-15

22-12

13-23

17-15

26-22

23-14

15-18

19-12

23-20

22-17

26-12

18-19

21-20

18-20

22-14

10-21

141.1Avg total

74.7Scored

66.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	74.1	71.4	145.5	+2.7	56%
Season at home (12)	74.4	69.4	143.8	+5.0	58%
Season away (13)	73.8	73.2	147.1	+0.6	54%
Last 10 (10)	74.7	66.4	141.1	+8.3	80%
Last 5 (5)	75.2	68.4	143.6	+6.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	73.5	73.5	147.0	+0.0	50%
vs Similar (6)	73.2	73.3	146.5	-0.2	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	76.4	69.4	145.8	+7.0	73%

This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Murcia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Unicaja

79-87

-8

A14/01

ACB

Gipuzkoa

85-89

-4

H22/01

ACB

Barcelona

53-90

-37

A29/01

ACB

Joventut Badalona

#11

76-54

+22

H05/02

ACB

Fuenlabrada

#16

73-89

-16

A11/02

ACB

Bilbao

73-69

H26/02

ACB

Real Betis

60-76

-16

A03/03

ACB

Gran Canaria

#15

76-60

+16

H07/03

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

#14

62-69

-7

A11/03

ACB

Baloncesto Valladolid

#18

85-56

+29

H18/03

ACB

21-25

12-24

19-23

27-15

24-18

24-19

19-20

18-32

13-10

8-25

14-34

18-21

21-14

11-9

23-21

21-10

21-20

9-32

13-17

30-20

25-19

16-18

17-16

15-16

9-24

17-22

14-16

20-14

18-18

18-22

20-13

20-7

7-17

14-15

17-22

24-15

18-14

22-12

26-10

19-20

146.1Avg total

72.2Scored

73.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	69.5	73.8	143.3	-4.2	32%
Season at home (13)	72.4	71.0	143.4	+1.4	54%
Season away (12)	66.4	76.8	143.2	-10.3	8%
Last 10 (10)	72.2	73.9	146.1	-1.7	40%
Last 5 (5)	71.2	66.0	137.2	+5.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	63.4	80.8	144.2	-17.4	0%
vs Similar (18)	70.0	73.3	143.3	-3.3	33%
vs Weaker (7)	88.3	72.9	161.1	+15.4	100%

This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ValenciaMurcia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.9	37.9	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	18.9	40.1	+2.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.1	18.9	36.1	-1.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	18.5	36.5	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	19.8	40.4	+0.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.2	19.0	37.2	-0.8	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	19.2	18.9	38.1	+0.3	59%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	18.6	36.5	-0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	18.8	38.9	+1.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.4	18.4	33.8	-2.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	17.9	35.6	-0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	18.4	33.8	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	17.8	17.2	35.0	+0.6	60%	-
vs Similar (18)	16.5	19.5	36.0	-3.0	39%	-
vs Weaker (7)	21.7	17.3	39.0	+4.4	86%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	16.1	35.0	+2.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.8	16.0	34.8	+2.8	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	16.1	35.2	+3.0	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	15.2	34.1	+3.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	15.6	35.6	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.5	18.0	39.5	+3.5	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.2	16.7	34.8	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	19.0	15.7	34.7	+3.2	68%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	18.5	35.9	-1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.6	17.1	34.7	+0.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	20.1	37.2	-3.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.1	19.8	34.9	-4.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	17.8	35.2	-0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	13.0	18.2	31.2	-5.2	20%	-
vs Similar (18)	17.0	18.9	35.9	-1.9	44%	-
vs Weaker (7)	21.3	17.7	39.0	+3.6	71%	-

ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Nymburk

40-28

+12

H07/02

Eurocup

Gipuzkoa

28-30

-2

H12/02

ACB

Gravelines-Dunkerque

#21

41-36

H21/02

Eurocup

Unicaja

25-31

-6

A26/02

ACB

VEF Riga

#17

32-35

-3

A28/02

Eurocup

Baskonia

30-37

-7

H03/03

ACB

Alicante

40-27

+13

A06/03

ACB

Real Madrid

49-36

+13

H11/03

ACB

Manresa

#12

45-37

A17/03

ACB

Buducnost

#15

39-40

-1

A20/03

Eurocup

70.6Avg total

36.9Scored

33.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	35.0	73.0	+3.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.9	34.9	74.9	+5.0	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.2	35.1	71.3	+1.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.9	33.7	70.6	+3.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	35.4	76.0	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	40.5	37.0	77.5	+3.5	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	36.3	35.7	72.0	+0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	38.2	34.6	72.8	+3.5	59%	-

This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Unicaja

33-49

-16

A14/01

ACB

Gipuzkoa

48-37

+11

H22/01

ACB

Barcelona

21-35

-14

A29/01

ACB

Joventut Badalona

#11

32-23

H05/02

ACB

Fuenlabrada

#16

30-52

-22

A11/02

ACB

Bilbao

41-37

H26/02

ACB

Real Betis

26-46

-20

A03/03

ACB

Gran Canaria

#15

36-40

-4

H07/03

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

#14

21-32

-11

A11/03

ACB

Baloncesto Valladolid

#18

40-26

+14

H18/03

ACB

70.5Avg total

32.8Scored

37.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.3	37.1	72.4	-1.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.7	35.9	73.6	+1.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	32.5	38.5	71.0	-6.0	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.8	37.7	70.5	-4.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.8	36.2	69.0	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	30.8	35.4	66.2	-4.6	40%	-
vs Similar (18)	33.5	38.4	71.9	-4.9	28%	-
vs Weaker (7)	43.0	35.0	78.0	+8.0	86%	-

This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	17.1	35.5	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.7	16.2	34.9	+2.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	17.9	36.0	+0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	16.2	35.5	+3.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	16.4	35.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	12.0	19.0	31.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.0	20.0	38.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	19.1	16.1	35.2	+3.0	59%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	18.5	36.4	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	17.6	36.5	+1.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.8	19.6	36.4	-2.8	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	19.2	37.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	15.4	34.2	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	14.6	23.6	38.2	-9.0	20%	-
vs Similar (18)	16.7	17.3	34.0	-0.6	33%	-
vs Weaker (7)	23.4	18.0	41.4	+5.4	86%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	18.0	36.7	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.0	17.0	36.0	+2.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	18.8	37.2	-0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	16.5	35.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	16.6	32.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.0	17.5	38.5	+3.5	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.8	17.7	36.5	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	18.5	18.1	36.5	+0.4	55%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.0	37.2	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	18.9	37.9	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	16.9	36.3	+2.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	17.0	38.2	+4.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	14.4	34.0	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	15.6	18.8	34.4	-3.2	0%	-
vs Similar (18)	19.8	17.6	37.3	+2.2	61%	-
vs Weaker (7)	20.3	18.4	38.7	+1.9	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.1	35.1	72.2	+2.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.7	33.2	70.9	+4.5	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.6	36.7	73.2	-0.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	32.7	70.5	+5.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	33.0	67.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	33.0	36.5	69.5	-3.5	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	36.8	37.7	74.5	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	37.5	34.2	71.8	+3.3	59%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.1	36.5	73.6	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.0	36.4	74.4	+1.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.1	36.5	72.6	-0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	36.2	75.6	+3.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	29.8	68.2	+8.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	30.2	42.4	72.6	-12.2	20%	-
vs Similar (18)	36.5	34.8	71.3	+1.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	43.7	36.4	80.1	+7.3	86%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Valencia wins

Murcia wins

Date	Game	Score
20/11/11	Murcia v Valencia	83-86 OT
04/04/10	Murcia v Valencia	92-96
29/12/09	Valencia v Murcia	72-67
26/04/09	Valencia v Murcia	83-63
07/12/08	Murcia v Valencia	68-75

Valencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/03/12	A	Buducnost	71-75
17/03/12	A	Manresa	89-68
11/03/12	H	Real Madrid	83-66
06/03/12	A	Alicante	70-65
03/03/12	H	Baskonia	63-68
28/02/12	A	VEF Riga	82-71
26/02/12	A	Unicaja	68-58
21/02/12	H	Gravelines-Dunkerque	79-61
12/02/12	H	Gipuzkoa	69-60
07/02/12	H	Nymburk	73-72

Murcialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/03/12	H	Baloncesto Valladolid	85-56
11/03/12	A	Obradoiro CAB	62-69
07/03/12	H	Gran Canaria	76-60
03/03/12	A	Real Betis	60-76
26/02/12	H	Bilbao	73-69
11/02/12	A	Fuenlabrada	73-89
05/02/12	H	Joventut Badalona	76-54
29/01/12	A	Barcelona	53-90
22/01/12	H	Gipuzkoa	85-89
14/01/12	A	Unicaja	79-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia

ACB 2011-12

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	56%
Home	LWWLW	58%
Away	LLWWW	54%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	12	13
Win %	56%	58%	54%
Points / game	74.1	74.4	73.8
Allowed / game	71.4	69.4	73.2
Point differential	+2.7	+5.0	+0.6
Avg total	145.5	143.8	147.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	28%	33%	23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	29% (7)	0% (4)	67% (3)
Overtime %	4%	0%	8%

Murcia

ACB 2011-12

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	32%
Home	LWWWW	54%
Away	LLLLL	8%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	13	12
Win %	32%	54%	8%
Points / game	69.5	72.4	66.4
Allowed / game	73.8	71.0	76.8
Point differential	-4.2	+1.4	-10.3
Avg total	143.3	143.4	143.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	31%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	33% (3)	0% (1)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Madrid	25	20	5	80%	83.2	71.6	+11.6
2	Barcelona	25	20	5	80%	75.8	64.3	+11.5
3	Baskonia	25	18	7	72%	73.2	68.5	+4.7
4	Gipuzkoa	25	14	11	56%	78.9	75.8	+3.1
5	Valencia	25	14	11	56%	74.1	71.4	+2.7
6	Unicaja	26	14	12	54%	74.7	74.5	+0.2
7	Alicante	26	14	12	54%	68.6	70.5	-1.9
8	Real Betis	25	13	12	52%	74.3	73.0	+1.2
9	Bilbao	25	13	12	52%	77.1	76.2	+0.9
10	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	25	13	12	52%	72.4	71.5	+0.9
11	Manresa	25	12	13	48%	72.5	74.2	-1.7
12	Joventut Badalona	25	11	14	44%	72.4	75.4	-3.0
13	Fuenlabrada	24	10	14	42%	71.6	75.8	-4.2
14	Gran Canaria	25	10	15	40%	67.5	70.4	-3.0
15	Obradoiro CAB	25	8	17	32%	70.1	74.0	-3.8
16	Murcia	25	8	17	32%	69.5	73.8	-4.2
17	Estudiantes	24	7	17	29%	68.6	76.5	-7.8
18	Baloncesto Valladolid	25	6	19	24%	68.2	75.6	-7.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Valencia	23	19	28	17	87
Murcia	16	30	17	17	80

← all games of the day

Valencia vs Murcia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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