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Evansville vs Illinois State Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 10 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 88-80
45-32 43-48
Position#362
Record5-19
FormLLLLL
Points / game66.8
Allowed / game74.3
vs
Position#96
Record16-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game66.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Evansville v Illinois State
29 Dec 2026
EVAN v ILLI
upcoming
09 Feb 2026
EVAN88
ILLI80
08 Jan 2025
EVAN69
ILLI51
27 Jan 2024
EVAN58
ILLI54
07 Jan 2023
EVAN61
ILLI69
23 Jan 2022
EVAN56
ILLI53
10 Jan 2021
EVAN68
ILLI73
09 Jan 2021
EVAN57
ILLI48
29 Feb 2020
EVAN60
ILLI71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Evansville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EvansvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#96
L
47-73
47
73
-26
A01/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
48-62
48
62
-14
H04/01
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H08/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A10/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
90-94 OT
90
94
-4
H14/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
49-76
49
76
-27
A21/01
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A29/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
55-71
55
71
-16
A31/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
L
63-84
63
84
-21
H04/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
63-70 OT
63
70
-7
A07/02
NCAA
1H
2H
28-46
19-27
18-34
30-28
30-42
39-37
35-38
37-31
36-29
43-50
20-34
29-42
36-30
42-52
21-41
34-30
29-46
34-38
26-28
32-30
139.4Avg total
63.4Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)66.874.3141.1-7.521%
Season at home (13)70.173.3143.4-3.223%
Season away (11)63.075.5138.5-12.518%
Last 10 (10)63.476.0139.4-12.610%
Last 5 (5)61.676.6138.2-15.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)65.675.4141.1-9.818%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (2)84.048.5132.5+35.5100%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#362
W
73-47
73
47
+26
H01/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A08/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
59-63 OT
59
63
-4
H10/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
L
89-94
89
94
-5
A15/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
88-62
88
62
+26
H17/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
59-54
59
54
+5
H22/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A24/01
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
70-65
70
65
+5
A29/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H04/02
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H07/02
NCAA
1H
2H
46-28
27-19
23-35
48-42
25-28
26-23
42-51
47-43
44-29
44-33
24-16
35-38
36-44
33-36
35-29
35-36
24-22
26-32
47-32
39-44
138.6Avg total
71.4Scored
67.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)76.766.8143.5+9.967%
Season at home (14)78.460.1138.5+18.486%
Season away (10)74.276.2150.4-2.040%
Last 10 (10)71.467.2138.6+4.250%
Last 5 (5)66.865.8132.6+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)80.077.0157.0+3.050%
vs Similar (10)68.165.2133.3+2.960%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)78.468.2146.5+10.271%
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: -8.9-8.91st half: +3.2+3.22nd half2nd half: -2.6-2.62nd half: +1.4+1.4
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: -8.9-8.91st half: +3.2+3.22nd half2nd half: -2.6-2.62nd half: +1.4+1.4
EvansvilleIllinois State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
EvansvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#96
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A01/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
18-34
18
34
-16
H04/01
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H08/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A10/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H14/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
20-34
20
34
-14
A21/01
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A29/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
21-41
21
41
-20
A31/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H04/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A07/02
NCAA
64.7Avg total
27.9Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.836.066.7-5.227%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.036.168.1-4.127%-
Last 30 away (15)29.535.965.4-6.327%-
Last 10 (10)27.936.864.7-8.920%-
Last 5 (5)26.435.862.2-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)30.036.766.7-6.721%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (2)41.525.567.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#362
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H01/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
23-35
23
35
-12
A08/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H10/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A15/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H17/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
24-16
24
16
+8
H22/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A24/01
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A29/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
24-22
24
22
+2
H04/02
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H07/02
NCAA
66.0Avg total
34.6Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.131.167.2+5.063%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.226.565.6+12.788%-
Last 30 away (13)32.137.169.2-5.031%-
Last 10 (10)34.631.466.0+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)33.228.661.8+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.033.567.5+0.550%-
vs Similar (10)30.331.261.5-0.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)39.131.370.4+7.871%-
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Evansville wins
6
Illinois State wins
Evansvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26AValparaiso63-70 OT
04/02/26HIndiana State63-84
31/01/26ANorthern Iowa55-71
29/01/26ADrake78-82
21/01/26AIllinois (Chi.)49-76
14/01/26HBradley90-94 OT
10/01/26AIndiana State72-69
08/01/26HMurray State69-79
04/01/26HNorthern Iowa48-62
01/01/26AIllinois State47-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26HDrake86-76
04/02/26HSouthern Illinois50-54
29/01/26AMurray State70-65
24/01/26ABelmont69-80
22/01/26HNorthern Iowa59-54
17/01/26HBradley88-62
15/01/26AIndiana State89-94
10/01/26HIllinois (Chi.)59-63 OT
08/01/26AValparaiso71-77
01/01/26HEvansville73-47

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Evansville
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeLLLLL23%
AwayWLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %21%23%18%
Points / game66.870.163.0
Allowed / game74.373.375.5
Point differential-7.5-3.2-12.5
Avg total141.1143.4138.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%23%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)0% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %8%8%9%
Illinois State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW67%
HomeLWWLW86%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241410
Win %67%86%40%
Points / game76.778.474.2
Allowed / game66.860.176.2
Point differential+9.9+18.4-2.0
Avg total143.5138.5150.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%71%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)33% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belmont2622485%82.172.3+9.8
2 Murray State2518772%86.379.1+7.2
3 Illinois State2416867%76.766.8+9.9
4 Bradley2516964%76.772.4+4.2
5 Northern Iowa2415962%66.960.0+6.9
6 Illinois (Chi.)25131252%74.670.3+4.3
7 Valparaiso25131252%71.470.2+1.2
8 Drake26121446%77.675.0+2.6
9 Southern Illinois25111444%74.271.6+2.6
10 Indiana State25101540%75.274.9+0.3
11 Evansville2451921%66.874.3-7.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Evansville454388
Illinois State324880
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