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Evansville vs Illinois State Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 30 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Scheduled
Position#229
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game76.2
vs
Position#300
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game75.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Evansville v Illinois State
29 Dec 2026
EVAN v ILLI
upcoming
09 Feb 2026
EVAN88
ILLI80
08 Jan 2025
EVAN69
ILLI51
27 Jan 2024
EVAN58
ILLI54
07 Jan 2023
EVAN61
ILLI69
23 Jan 2022
EVAN56
ILLI53
10 Jan 2021
EVAN68
ILLI73
09 Jan 2021
EVAN57
ILLI48
29 Feb 2020
EVAN60
ILLI71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Evansville win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EvansvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
46-84
46
84
-38
H19/02
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
75-88
75
88
-13
A21/02
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
64-98
64
98
-34
A26/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
80-79
80
79
+1
H28/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
67-81
67
81
-14
H01/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
59-68
59
68
-9
A06/03
NCAA
Indiana-Kokomo
#355
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H03/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#297
W
78-76 OT
78
76
+2
H08/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#139
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A11/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#76
L
78-86
78
86
-8
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
23-38
23-46
36-37
39-51
29-44
35-54
34-42
46-37
27-38
40-43
36-35
23-33
34-42
46-28
30-35
39-34
20-27
48-46
45-43
33-43
149.8Avg total
69.5Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.076.2152.2-0.250%
Season at home (3)78.777.3156.0+1.367%
Season away (1)68.073.0141.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)69.580.3149.8-10.830%
Last 5 (5)72.674.6147.2-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)66.478.4144.8-11.917%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Illinois State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
56-83
56
83
-27
A15/02
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
78-61
78
61
+17
H19/02
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
60-74
60
74
-14
A22/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A26/02
NCAA
Belmont
#25
W
81-74
81
74
+7
H01/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
52-74
52
74
-22
H07/03
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#105
L
85-90 OT
85
90
-5
A03/11
NCAA
Central State (OH)
#404
W
100-55
100
55
+45
H06/11
NCAA
Purdue
#126
L
59-76
59
76
-17
A10/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#264
L
81-82 OT
81
82
-1
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-33
30-50
36-28
42-33
31-43
29-31
28-23
43-46
38-40
43-34
27-35
25-39
39-33
38-44
56-29
44-26
28-36
31-40
31-31
38-38
146.1Avg total
72.3Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.275.8157.0+5.525%
Season at home (1)100.055.0155.0+45.0100%
Season away (3)75.082.7157.7-7.70%
Last 10 (10)72.373.8146.1-1.540%
Last 5 (5)75.475.4150.8+0.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.586.5168.0-5.00%
vs Similar (15)66.668.1134.7-1.553%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)83.669.5153.2+14.169%
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.7-6.71st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: -4.3-4.32nd half: -1.8-1.8
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.7-6.71st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: -4.3-4.32nd half: -1.8-1.8
EvansvilleIllinois State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
EvansvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
23-38
23
38
-15
H19/02
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A21/02
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A26/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H28/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H01/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A06/03
NCAA
Indiana-Kokomo
#355
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H03/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#297
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H08/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#139
L
20-27
20
27
-7
A11/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#76
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H14/11
NCAA
69.5Avg total
31.4Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.737.368.0-6.623%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.637.969.6-6.325%-
Last 30 away (14)29.636.566.1-6.921%-
Last 10 (10)31.438.169.5-6.720%-
Last 5 (5)33.036.469.4-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)30.637.167.7-6.524%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Illinois State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A15/02
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H19/02
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A22/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A26/02
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H01/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H07/03
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#105
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A03/11
NCAA
Central State (OH)
#404
W
56-29
56
29
+27
H06/11
NCAA
Purdue
#126
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A10/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#264
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A14/11
NCAA
67.1Avg total
34.0Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.332.567.8+2.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.329.467.7+8.969%-
Last 30 away (14)31.836.167.9-4.329%-
Last 10 (10)34.033.167.1+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)36.232.869.0+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.036.572.5-0.550%-
vs Similar (15)31.031.862.8-0.840%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)40.132.772.8+7.462%-
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Evansville wins
5
Illinois State wins
Evansvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HMiami (Ohio)78-86
11/11/26AMiddle Tenn. St.68-73
08/11/26HSouthern Indiana78-76 OT
03/11/26HIndiana-Kokomo80-70
06/03/26ANorthern Iowa59-68
01/03/26HSouthern Illinois67-81
28/02/26HValparaiso80-79
26/02/26ABelmont64-98
21/02/26AMurray State75-88
19/02/26HIllinois (Chi.)46-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ANorth Dakota St81-82 OT
10/11/26APurdue59-76
06/11/26HCentral State (OH)100-55
03/11/26ASt. Marys (CA)85-90 OT
07/03/26HNorthern Iowa52-74
01/03/26HBelmont81-74
26/02/26ANorthern Iowa71-69
22/02/26ABradley60-74
19/02/26HMurray State78-61
15/02/26AIllinois (Chi.)56-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Evansville
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game76.078.768.0
Allowed / game76.277.373.0
Point differential-0.2+1.3-5.0
Avg total152.2156.0141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %25%33%0%
Illinois State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game81.2100.075.0
Allowed / game75.855.082.7
Point differential+5.5+45.0-7.7
Avg total157.0155.0157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %50%0%67%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State440100%95.067.5+27.5
2 Drake330100%85.762.7+23.0
3 Illinois (Chi.)43175%79.564.8+14.8
4 Belmont43175%73.562.2+11.2
5 Southern Illinois32167%85.070.0+15.0
6 Valparaiso32167%77.373.0+4.3
7 Indiana State42250%80.265.8+14.5
8 Evansville42250%76.076.2-0.2
9 Bradley52340%59.856.4+3.4
10 Northern Iowa52340%85.286.0-0.8
11 Illinois State41325%81.275.8+5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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