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Evansville vs Missouri State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 57-40
23-20 34-20
Position#319
Record3-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game65.6
Allowed / game74.3
vs
Position#334
Record7-5
FormWLLWW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game71.8
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Evansville v Missouri State
29 Dec 2024
EVAN57
MISS40
13 Jan 2024
EVAN64
MISS74
12 Feb 2023
EVAN60
MISS66
26 Feb 2022
EVAN79
MISS88
27 Feb 2021
EVAN72
MISS63
26 Feb 2021
EVAN81
MISS90
18 Jan 2020
EVAN58
MISS68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Evansville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EvansvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
L
63-80
63
80
-17
A14/11
NCAA
Radford
#125
L
81-92
81
92
-11
H16/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
L
30-80
30
80
-50
A20/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#366
W
98-81
98
81
+17
H23/11
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
66-53
66
53
+13
H24/11
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A04/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
L
65-79
65
79
-14
H07/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
L
67-75
67
75
-8
H13/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
L
54-80
54
80
-26
A19/12
NCAA
Ball State
#243
L
43-80
43
80
-37
A21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
38-41
25-39
50-32
31-60
14-28
16-52
46-31
52-50
34-28
32-25
25-33
36-30
33-32
32-47
29-41
38-34
24-44
30-36
17-37
26-43
139.1Avg total
62.8Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)65.674.3139.9-8.825%
Season at home (6)78.871.5150.3+7.350%
Season away (6)52.377.2129.5-24.80%
Last 10 (10)62.876.3139.1-13.520%
Last 5 (5)58.075.4133.4-17.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)60.776.8137.5-16.211%
vs Similar ◀ (6)70.369.0139.3+1.350%
vs Weaker (4)83.866.8150.5+17.0100%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulsa
#291
W
111-106 OT
111
106
+5
H16/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H20/11
NCAA
High Point
#13
W
71-61
71
61
+10
A24/11
NCAA
Boston College
#298
L
74-76 OT
74
76
-2
A26/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#108
L
55-75
55
75
-20
H26/11
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#343
W
72-67
72
67
+5
A01/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
77-80
77
80
-3
H08/12
NCAA
Washington State
#148
L
78-91
78
91
-13
A14/12
NCAA
Lincoln Mo.
#381
W
61-49
61
49
+12
H19/12
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
W
68-56
68
56
+12
H22/12
NCAA
1H
2H
33-32
42-43
34-37
44-31
35-30
36-31
26-29
38-35
24-36
31-39
33-42
39-25
40-36
37-44
27-34
51-57
23-24
38-25
31-25
37-31
147.4Avg total
74.5Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)75.071.8146.8+3.258%
Season at home (7)77.170.7147.9+6.471%
Season away (5)72.073.4145.4-1.440%
Last 10 (10)74.572.9147.4+1.660%
Last 5 (5)71.268.6139.8+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)67.974.3142.2-6.444%
vs Similar ◀ (17)73.474.5147.8-1.141%
vs Weaker (2)81.572.0153.5+9.5100%
This opponent (Evansville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -3.7-3.71st half: -1.9-1.92nd half2nd half: -9.8-9.82nd half: +3.2+3.2
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -3.7-3.71st half: -1.9-1.92nd half2nd half: -9.8-9.82nd half: +3.2+3.2
EvansvilleMissouri State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
EvansvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A14/11
NCAA
Radford
#125
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H16/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
L
14-28
14
28
-14
A20/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#366
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H23/11
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H24/11
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A04/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H07/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H13/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
L
24-44
24
44
-20
A19/12
NCAA
Ball State
#243
L
17-37
17
37
-20
A21/12
NCAA
65.7Avg total
31.0Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.733.864.6-3.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.030.966.9+5.179%-
Last 30 away (16)26.136.462.6-10.312%-
Last 10 (10)31.034.765.7-3.740%-
Last 5 (5)25.637.463.0-11.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)28.435.664.1-7.237%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)31.330.762.0+0.750%-
vs Weaker (4)41.031.072.0+10.075%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulsa
#291
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H16/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H20/11
NCAA
High Point
#13
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A24/11
NCAA
Boston College
#298
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A26/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#108
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H26/11
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#343
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A01/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H08/12
NCAA
Washington State
#148
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A14/12
NCAA
Lincoln Mo.
#381
L
23-24
23
24
-1
H19/12
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H22/12
NCAA
63.1Avg total
30.6Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.634.967.4-2.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.134.866.9-2.740%-
Last 30 away (15)33.034.967.9-1.947%-
Last 10 (10)30.632.563.1-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)30.832.263.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)30.435.766.1-5.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)32.934.967.8-2.147%-
vs Weaker (2)39.039.078.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Evansville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Evansville wins
9
Missouri State wins
Evansvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24ABall State43-80
19/12/24AUT Arlington54-80
13/12/24HChattanooga Mocs67-75
07/12/24HWestern Kentucky65-79
04/12/24AMurray State61-63
24/11/24HCampbell66-53
23/11/24HWisc. Green Bay98-81
20/11/24AOhio State30-80
16/11/24HRadford81-92
14/11/24AMiddle Tenn. St.63-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/24HUC Santa Barbara68-56
19/12/24HLincoln Mo.61-49
14/12/24AWashington State78-91
08/12/24HIndiana State77-80
01/12/24AOral Roberts72-67
26/11/24HSouth Dakota St.55-75
26/11/24ABoston College74-76 OT
24/11/24AHigh Point71-61
20/11/24HUT Arlington78-68
16/11/24HTulsa111-106 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Evansville
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game65.678.852.3
Allowed / game74.371.577.2
Point differential-8.8+7.3-24.8
Avg total139.9150.3129.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Missouri State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW58%
HomeWLLWW71%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %58%71%40%
Points / game75.077.172.0
Allowed / game71.870.773.4
Point differential+3.2+6.4-1.4
Avg total146.8147.9145.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%57%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %17%14%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake12120100%73.856.2+17.5
2 Bradley1210283%82.066.8+15.2
3 Belmont139469%81.277.8+3.3
4 Illinois (Chi.)128467%81.473.5+7.9
5 Illinois State128467%80.172.2+7.8
6 Northern Iowa138562%78.066.4+11.6
7 Indiana State138562%84.376.8+7.5
8 Valparaiso127558%80.471.7+8.8
9 Murray State137654%76.869.1+7.7
10 Southern Illinois135838%73.875.2-1.4
11 Evansville123925%65.674.3-8.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty1312192%81.458.2+23.2
2 Louisiana Tech1311285%80.567.0+13.5
3 UTEP1310377%74.565.9+8.5
4 Western Kentucky129375%82.073.2+8.8
5 Middle Tenn. St.139469%79.571.1+8.5
6 Kennesaw State138562%81.174.8+6.2
7 Jacksonville State127558%79.169.7+9.4
8 Missouri State127558%75.071.8+3.2
9 New Mexico State137654%74.570.3+4.2
10 Sam Houston St.137654%81.278.2+2.9
11 Delaware137654%78.076.5+1.5
12 Florida International125742%73.870.6+3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Evansville233457
Missouri State202040
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