Falcon W vs BMS Herlev W Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	72.2	60.8	133.1	+11.4	82%
Season at home (9)	69.3	56.0	125.3	+13.3	89%
Season away (8)	75.5	66.2	141.8	+9.2	75%
Last 10 (10)	69.1	63.3	132.4	+5.8	80%
Last 5 (5)	61.4	56.2	117.6	+5.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	68.6	66.1	134.8	+2.5	62%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	76.8	62.5	139.4	+14.3	86%

This opponent (BMS Herlev W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BMS Herlev W Denmark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Amager W

87-64

+23

H17/01

Dameligaen W

Horsholm W

79-57

+22

A21/01

Dameligaen W

Amager W

77-53

+24

H06/02

Dameligaen W

Falcon W

47-49

-2

A15/02

Dameligaen W

Aabyhoj W

52-70

-18

A21/02

Dameligaen W

Horsholm W

79-52

+27

H27/02

Dameligaen W

Amager W

62-54

H07/03

Dameligaen W

Amager W

71-62

A21/03

Dameligaen W

Falcon W

45-54

-9

A28/03

Dameligaen W

Falcon W

82-67

+15

H11/04

Dameligaen W

20-5

29-20

23-23

15-16

19-13

17-19

25-14

18-11

13-24

24-12

21-7

19-10

13-16

9-8

8-9

17-16

8-14

5-20

12-22

27-14

14-7

24-10

20-15

21-20

17-11

13-16

21-16

11-11

20-11

19-15

18-17

14-19

9-20

14-21

9-7

13-6

22-14

28-16

17-21

15-16

126.3Avg total

68.1Scored

58.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	65.2	64.3	129.5	+0.8	53%
Season at home (10)	68.3	66.1	134.4	+2.2	60%
Season away (9)	61.7	62.3	124.0	-0.7	44%
Last 10 (10)	68.1	58.2	126.3	+9.9	70%
Last 5 (5)	67.8	57.8	125.6	+10.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	58.5	72.4	130.9	-13.9	15%
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (10)	71.4	60.7	132.1	+10.7	70%

This opponent (Falcon W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Falcon WBMS Herlev W

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	15.2	35.3	+4.9	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	14.3	34.4	+5.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.0	16.2	36.2	+3.8	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	14.7	32.5	+3.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	12.4	29.8	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	17.6	18.0	35.6	-0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	21.0	14.2	35.1	+6.8	82%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.6	17.8	33.4	-2.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	15.9	17.5	33.4	-1.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.3	18.1	33.4	-2.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.5	13.5	29.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	12.6	29.0	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	15.3	19.9	35.2	-4.5	25%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (10)	16.0	13.7	29.7	+2.3	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	16.0	34.7	+2.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.9	13.8	31.8	+4.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	18.5	38.1	+1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	16.2	34.1	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	16.2	31.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	17.6	15.6	33.2	+2.0	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	19.1	16.1	35.2	+3.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.8	17.6	33.4	-1.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.8	17.0	35.8	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	13.2	18.2	31.4	-5.0	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	15.7	33.9	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	15.6	35.2	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	14.7	18.6	33.2	-3.9	35%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (10)	18.0	15.8	33.8	+2.2	40%	-

Falcon WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Aabyhoj W

44-49

-5

A14/12

Dameligaen W

BMS Herlev W

37-29

H18/12

Dameligaen W

Aabyhoj W

28-21

H17/01

Dameligaen W

Sisu W

42-39

A25/01

Dameligaen W

Horsholm W

42-28

+14

A04/02

Dameligaen W

BMS Herlev W

24-22

H15/02

Dameligaen W

Sisu W

32-23

A20/02

Dameligaen W

Amager W

37-25

+12

H28/02

Dameligaen W

BMS Herlev W

41-23

+18

H28/03

Dameligaen W

BMS Herlev W

30-50

-20

A11/04

Dameligaen W

66.6Avg total

35.7Scored

30.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	31.2	70.0	+7.6	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.1	28.1	66.2	+9.9	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.6	34.7	74.3	+4.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.7	30.9	66.6	+4.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.8	28.6	61.4	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	35.2	33.6	68.9	+1.6	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	40.0	30.3	70.4	+9.7	77%	-

This opponent (BMS Herlev W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BMS Herlev WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Amager W

49-25

+24

H17/01

Dameligaen W

Horsholm W

36-32

A21/01

Dameligaen W

Amager W

37-36

H06/02

Dameligaen W

Falcon W

22-24

-2

A15/02

Dameligaen W

Aabyhoj W

13-34

-21

A21/02

Dameligaen W

Horsholm W

38-17

+21

H27/02

Dameligaen W

Amager W

30-27

H07/03

Dameligaen W

Amager W

39-26

+13

A21/03

Dameligaen W

Falcon W

23-41

-18

A28/03

Dameligaen W

Falcon W

50-30

+20

H11/04

Dameligaen W

62.9Avg total

33.7Scored

29.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	31.4	35.4	66.8	-4.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	34.6	34.5	69.1	+0.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	28.5	36.2	64.8	-7.8	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.7	29.2	62.9	+4.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	28.2	64.2	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	30.1	38.4	68.5	-8.3	25%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (10)	34.0	29.5	63.5	+4.5	60%	-

This opponent (Falcon W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	15.5	33.0	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.6	16.0	33.6	+1.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	14.9	32.4	+2.7	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	15.0	32.1	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	12.0	27.8	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	16.1	17.0	33.1	-0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	18.1	14.9	33.0	+3.2	64%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	14.8	17.1	31.8	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	14.6	18.2	32.9	-3.6	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	14.9	16.1	30.9	-1.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	15.1	32.5	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	15.2	32.2	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	12.6	18.2	30.8	-5.6	15%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (10)	19.1	14.8	33.9	+4.3	70%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	16.4	33.8	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.4	15.6	33.0	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.5	17.2	34.7	+0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.8	16.4	31.2	-1.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	12.8	15.6	28.4	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	15.9	15.0	30.9	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	18.0	16.9	34.9	+1.1	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.4	15.7	32.1	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	14.7	15.8	30.5	-1.1	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.9	15.6	33.5	+2.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	13.9	30.9	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	14.4	29.2	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	15.8	15.8	31.6	+0.0	45%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (10)	17.6	15.4	33.0	+2.2	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.0	31.8	66.8	+3.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	34.9	31.6	66.6	+3.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.1	32.1	67.1	+3.0	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	31.9	31.4	63.3	+0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.6	27.6	56.2	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	32.0	32.0	64.0	+0.0	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	36.1	31.8	67.9	+4.3	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	31.2	32.7	63.9	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	29.4	34.0	63.4	-4.6	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	32.8	31.6	64.4	+1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.4	29.0	63.4	+5.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.8	29.6	61.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	28.4	34.0	62.5	-5.6	25%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (10)	36.7	30.2	66.9	+6.5	70%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Falcon Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Falcon W: 70.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀52%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 52% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 65.6 points a game

54%

25%

21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.7	18.3	41.9%	40.1%	36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.8	7.2	31.6%	24.9%	21.6
🏀 Free throws	19.6	12.3	62.8%	64.7%	12.3

They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 33%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

BMS Herlev Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BMS Herlev W: 65.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀56%

🏀🏀🏀21%

🏀23%

🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 56% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.5 pts a game · 21% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 23% of the points

League average for comparison: 65.6 points a game

54%

25%

21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	46.4	18.3	39.4%	40.1%	36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	19.5	4.5	23.1%	24.9%	13.5
🏀 Free throws	24.2	15.1	62.4%	64.7%	15.1

They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 33%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.7	16.0	35.8%	40.1%	32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	18.9	3.6	19.0%	24.9%	10.8
🏀 Free throws	27.8	17.4	62.6%	64.7%	17.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.4	14.5	35.0%	40.1%	29.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.0	5.3	24.1%	24.9%	15.9
🏀 Free throws	20.9	13.4	64.1%	64.7%	13.4

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	47.3	21.5	45.4%	40.1%	42.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.1	6.1	29.1%	24.9%	18.4
🏀 Free throws	19.9	12.9	65.0%	64.7%	12.9

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.1	17.2	39.0%	40.1%	34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.7	4.9	23.9%	24.9%	14.8
🏀 Free throws	20.2	13.0	64.2%	64.7%	13.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.5	16.8	38.5%	40.1%	33.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.2	5.0	23.7%	24.9%	15.1
🏀 Free throws	21.8	14.2	65.2%	64.7%	14.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.5	18.2	40.9%	40.1%	36.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.9	6.3	27.4%	24.9%	18.8
🏀 Free throws	19.6	13.2	67.2%	64.7%	13.2

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Falcon W

LWWWWWLWWW

BMS Herlev W

WLWWWLLWWW

League position

+11.3

Net rating

+7.4

77.4

Offensive rating

70.0

66.1

Defensive rating

62.6

43.8%

Effective FG%

38.0%

33.6%

Opp. effective FG%

35.4%

20.1%

Turnover %

21.8%

32.8%

Off. rebound %

44.7%

0.29

Free-throw rate

0.37

31.6%

3-point %

23.1%

67.1%

Assist %

60.5%

80%

Form (last 10/10)

70%

Profile

■ Falcon W ■ BMS Herlev W

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Falcon W wins

BMS Herlev W wins

Date	Game	Score
11/04/26	BMS Herlev W v Falcon W	82-67
28/03/26	Falcon W v BMS Herlev W	54-45
15/02/26	Falcon W v BMS Herlev W	49-47
18/12/25	Falcon W v BMS Herlev W	71-60
25/10/25	BMS Herlev W v Falcon W	62-77
23/02/25	Falcon W v BMS Herlev W	96-65
21/12/24	BMS Herlev W v Falcon W	67-91
26/10/24	Falcon W v BMS Herlev W	58-48
21/09/24	BMS Herlev W v Falcon W	81-86
23/03/24	BMS Herlev W v Falcon W	68-57

Falcon Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/04/26	A	BMS Herlev W	67-82
28/03/26	H	BMS Herlev W	54-45
28/02/26	H	Amager W	71-54
20/02/26	A	Sisu W	66-53
15/02/26	H	BMS Herlev W	49-47
04/02/26	A	Horsholm W	84-67
25/01/26	A	Sisu W	63-70
17/01/26	H	Aabyhoj W	76-71 OT
18/12/25	H	BMS Herlev W	71-60
14/12/25	A	Aabyhoj W	90-84

BMS Herlev Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/04/26	H	Falcon W	82-67
28/03/26	A	Falcon W	45-54
21/03/26	A	Amager W	71-62
07/03/26	H	Amager W	62-54
27/02/26	H	Horsholm W	79-52
21/02/26	A	Aabyhoj W	52-70
15/02/26	A	Falcon W	47-49
06/02/26	H	Amager W	77-53
21/01/26	A	Horsholm W	79-57
17/01/26	H	Amager W	87-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Falcon W

Dameligaen W 2025-26

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	82%
Home	WWWWW	89%
Away	WLWWL	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	82%	89%	75%
Points / game	72.2	69.3	75.5
Allowed / game	60.8	56.0	66.2
Point differential	+11.4	+13.3	+9.2
Avg total	133.1	125.3	141.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	53%	44%	62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	67% (3)	-
Overtime %	6%	11%	0%

BMS Herlev W

Dameligaen W 2025-26

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	53%
Home	WWWWW	60%
Away	WLLWL	44%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	10	9
Win %	53%	60%	44%
Points / game	65.2	68.3	61.7
Allowed / game	64.3	66.1	62.3
Point differential	+0.8	+2.2	-0.7
Avg total	129.5	134.4	124.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	32%	40%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	-	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Falcon W	17	14	3	82%	72.2	60.8	+11.4
2	Aabyhoj W	17	11	6	65%	70.8	65.3	+5.5
3	Sisu W	19	12	7	63%	73.6	64.2	+9.5
4	BMS Herlev W	19	10	9	53%	65.2	64.3	+0.8
5	Amager W	17	3	14	18%	59.7	71.2	-11.5
6	Horsholm W	17	3	14	18%	63.8	80.7	-16.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Falcon W	19	18	5	6	48
BMS Herlev W	14	16	13	17	60

← all games of the day

Falcon W vs BMS Herlev W Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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