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Fenerbahce vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Dec 2017
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 77-79
17-10 19-27 25-25 16-17
Position#2
Record9-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game73.7
Fenerbahce
vs
Real Madrid 🏆
Position#3
Record8-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game79.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 15
European cup2017
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Real Madrid
29 Jan 2027
FEN v MAD
upcoming
09 Apr 2026
FEN69
MAD74
06 Feb 2025
FEN78
MAD67
30 Nov 2023
FEN100
MAD99
02 Dec 2022
FEN71
MAD85
08 Feb 2022
FEN66
MAD51
08 Apr 2021
FEN67
MAD93
19 May 2019
FEN75
MAD94
28 Dec 2018
FEN65
MAD63
28 Dec 2017
FEN77
MAD79
19 May 2017
FEN84
MAD75
01 Dec 2016
FEN78
MAD77
14 Apr 2016
FEN100
MAD78
12 Apr 2016
FEN75
MAD69
30 Oct 2015
FEN77
MAD66
25 Oct 2012
FEN75
MAD83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Buyukcekmece
#12
W
82-59
82
59
+23
no box
H28/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#7
W
83-69
83
69
+14
113avg 104
A30/11
Euroleague
Trabzonspor
#14
W
119-90
119
90
+29
no box
A03/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#12
W
83-68
83
68
+15
109avg 104
A08/12
Euroleague
Yesilgiresun
#15
W
85-72
85
72
+13
no box
H10/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
L
89-90
89
90
-1
113avg 104
H14/12
Euroleague
Tofas
#2
W
88-71
88
71
+17
no box
A17/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#14
W
82-56
82
56
+26
117avg 104
H19/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
73-82
73
82
-9
98avg 104
A21/12
Euroleague
Usak Sportif
#16
W
89-72
89
72
+17
no box
H24/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-13
24-16
15-12
22-18
15-25
26-12
25-14
17-18
25-25
30-23
32-26
32-16
22-28
17-10
25-13
19-17
26-16
25-18
19-12
15-26
24-16
18-25
22-22
25-27
13-10
27-22
19-20
29-19
17-11
24-22
21-9
20-14
15-24
21-16
18-20
19-22
26-23
20-11
18-19
25-19
160.2Avg total
87.3Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)80.473.7154.1+6.764%
Season at home (6)80.873.2154.0+7.767%
Season away (8)80.174.1154.2+6.062%
Last 10 (10)87.372.9160.2+14.480%
Last 5 (5)84.274.2158.4+10.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)85.679.8165.4+5.975%
vs Weaker (21)84.371.8156.0+12.576%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Real Betis
#18
W
98-63
98
63
+35
127avg 116
A18/11
ACB
Panathinaikos
#5
L
80-82
80
82
-2
108avg 116
A24/11
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#14
L
83-87
83
87
-4
116avg 116
H01/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#5
W
96-72
96
72
+24
126avg 116
H03/12
ACB
Olympiacos
#6
L
83-92 OT
83
92
-9
no box
A08/12
Euroleague
Murcia
#9
W
87-85 OT
87
85
+2
no box
H10/12
ACB
Barcelona
#12
W
87-75
87
75
+12
119avg 116
H14/12
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
102-93
102
93
+9
133avg 116
A17/12
ACB
Valencia
#11
W
91-72
91
72
+19
123avg 116
H19/12
Euroleague
Bamberg
#13
W
81-66
81
66
+15
114avg 116
A21/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-18
24-18
25-14
20-13
28-23
26-17
15-24
11-18
24-19
15-27
19-21
25-20
23-17
30-19
18-17
25-19
8-18
22-16
17-22
25-16
16-22
21-19
12-13
25-20
15-15
25-23
28-14
19-23
18-21
34-16
24-30
26-26
24-18
19-23
21-17
27-14
29-13
21-22
18-16
13-15
167.5Avg total
88.8Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)84.979.4164.3+5.657%
Season at home (7)87.476.6164.0+10.971%
Season away (7)82.482.1164.6+0.343%
Last 10 (10)88.878.7167.5+10.170%
Last 5 (5)89.678.2167.8+11.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)77.683.9161.4-6.329%
vs Weaker (22)89.679.3168.9+10.377%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +3.2+3.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +3.2+3.2
FenerbahceReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buyukcekmece
#12
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H28/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#7
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A30/11
Euroleague
Trabzonspor
#14
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A03/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#12
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A08/12
Euroleague
Yesilgiresun
#15
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H10/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H14/12
Euroleague
Tofas
#2
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A17/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#14
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H19/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A21/12
Euroleague
Usak Sportif
#16
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H24/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
80.2Avg total
43.6Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.636.578.1+5.173%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.733.975.6+7.986%-
Last 30 away (16)41.538.880.3+2.762%-
Last 10 (10)43.636.680.2+7.090%-
Last 5 (5)41.036.077.0+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.139.080.1+2.175%-
vs Weaker (21)41.936.077.9+6.071%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Betis
#18
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A18/11
ACB
Panathinaikos
#5
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A24/11
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#14
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H01/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#5
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H03/12
ACB
Olympiacos
#6
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A08/12
Euroleague
Murcia
#9
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H10/12
ACB
Barcelona
#12
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H14/12
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A17/12
ACB
Valencia
#11
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H19/12
Euroleague
Bamberg
#13
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A21/12
Euroleague
83.5Avg total
45.1Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.940.383.2+2.650%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.139.883.9+4.357%-
Last 30 away (16)41.940.882.7+1.244%-
Last 10 (10)45.138.483.5+6.770%-
Last 5 (5)44.438.482.8+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)40.143.984.0-3.729%-
vs Weaker (22)44.539.383.8+5.259%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.619.9
51.6%
51.7%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.48.2
40.2%
37.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws17.913.7
76.5%
76.3%13.7
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.017.8
55.6%
51.7%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.911.9
41.2%
37.6%35.7
🏀 Free throws19.616.3
83.2%
76.3%16.3
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
WLWWLWWWWW
Real Madrid
WWWWWLWLLW
#2
League position
#3
+13.9
Net rating
+15.2
115.4
Offensive rating
121.1
101.5
Defensive rating
105.9
54.6%
Effective FG%
58.5%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
14.2%
Turnover %
15.1%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
26.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.32
40.2%
3-point %
41.2%
66.5%
Assist %
67.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence115.4 · 121.1Defence101.5 · 105.9Shooting54.6% · 58.5%3-point %40.2% · 41.2%Ball care14.2% · 15.1%Off. rebounds29.8% · 26.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Fenerbahce wins
4
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
19/05/17Fenerbahce v Real Madrid84-75
31/03/17Real Madrid v Fenerbahce61-56
01/12/16Fenerbahce v Real Madrid78-77
19/04/16Real Madrid v Fenerbahce63-75
14/04/16Fenerbahce v Real Madrid100-78
12/04/16Fenerbahce v Real Madrid75-69
03/12/15Real Madrid v Fenerbahce80-73
30/10/15Fenerbahce v Real Madrid77-66
15/05/15Real Madrid v Fenerbahce96-87
30/11/12Real Madrid v Fenerbahce77-61
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/17HUsak Sportif89-72
21/12/17AMaccabi Tel Aviv73-82
19/12/17HCrvena zvezda82-56
17/12/17ATofas88-71
14/12/17HZalgiris Kaunas89-90
10/12/17HYesilgiresun85-72
08/12/17ABarcelona83-68
03/12/17ATrabzonspor119-90
30/11/17ABaskonia83-69
28/11/17HBuyukcekmece82-59
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/17ABamberg81-66
19/12/17HValencia91-72
17/12/17AObradoiro CAB102-93
14/12/17HBarcelona87-75
10/12/17HMurcia87-85 OT
08/12/17AOlympiacos83-92 OT
03/12/17HGran Canaria96-72
01/12/17HCrvena zvezda83-87
24/11/17APanathinaikos80-82
18/11/17AReal Betis98-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL64%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayWWWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %64%67%62%
Points / game80.480.880.1
Allowed / game73.773.274.1
Point differential+6.7+7.7+6.0
Avg total154.1154.0154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %21%17%25%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW57%
HomeLWLWW71%
AwayLLLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %57%71%43%
Points / game84.987.482.4
Allowed / game79.476.682.1
Point differential+5.6+10.9+0.3
Avg total164.3164.0164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%71%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow1411379%89.078.4+10.6
2 Olympiacos1411379%76.372.1+4.1
3 Panathinaikos1410471%78.776.1+2.6
4 Fenerbahce149564%80.473.7+6.7
5 Zalgiris Kaunas149564%81.680.9+0.7
6 Real Madrid148657%84.979.4+5.6
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv148657%79.980.3-0.4
8 Khimki M.148657%78.279.4-1.2
9 Baskonia147750%81.381.1+0.2
10 Unicaja146843%75.780.6-4.9
11 Bamberg146843%74.280.0-5.8
12 Crvena zvezda145936%75.481.1-5.6
13 Barcelona1441029%80.979.9+0.9
14 Olimpia Milano1441029%78.683.4-4.7
15 Valencia1431121%76.880.3-3.5
16 Anadolu Efes1431121%76.882.2-5.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce1719251677
Real Madrid1027251779
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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